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Reading Map
The bibliography holds 2910 works. 558 of them form the spine: the works a reader needs to follow the argument, discussed in their own sections. The rest are side reading: support for a specific claim, or depth on one question. How a work is assigned to the spine is set out in the plan of the book; the short version is that a work is spine when many of the collected laboratory works cite it, or when it founds a concept the book uses throughout, or when it is the standard review of a field's evidence on an alignment question.
Machine learning works are grouped by the part of the book they belong to: by the chapters that cite them, then by the chapter the researcher who found them assigned, and otherwise by the topic their title names. Works from other fields are grouped by field, and the frontier laboratories' own publications come last.
The line on each work is the description recorded when the work was collected, from its record and abstract; it is a guide to what the work is about, not a claim the book checked against the text. Where a chapter could read a work only as a catalog record, its line says so instead.
F.1 Machine learning: The Problem #
Spine.
- What’s so special about model organisms? (Ankeny and Leonelli, 2011). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
Side reading.
- On the Dangers of Stochastic Parrots (Bender et al., 2021).
- Ethical and social risks of harm from Language Models (Weidinger et al., 2021).
- Quantifying Language Models' Sensitivity to Spurious Features in Prompt Design or: How I learned to start worrying about prompt formatting (Sclar et al., 2023). Measures how much language models' benchmark accuracy changes with meaning-preserving changes to prompt format.
- How to Replicate and Extend our Alignment Faking Demo (Anthropic, 2024j). We describe how to get started with experimenting with our demonstration of alignment faking, and present some ideas for future research.
- Putting up Bumpers (Bowman, 2025). Even if we can't solve alignment, we can solve the problem of catching and fixing misalignment.
- Recommendations for Technical AI Safety Research Directions (team et al., 2025). A collection of technical AI safety research problems that we'd like to see progress in.
- Intelligence Explosion Microeconomics (Yudkowsky, 2013). States the returns-on-cognitive-reinvestment question that recursive self-improvement arguments turn on and proposes how to answer it from data, the founding statement of the economics of intelligence explosion.
- Viewpoint: When Will AI Exceed Human Performance? Evidence from AI Experts (Grace et al., 2018). The first large survey of machine learning researchers on timelines for human-level performance, with large framing effects that remain a caution on expert forecasts.
- Why Has Predicting Downstream Capabilities of Frontier AI Models with Scale Remained Elusive? (Schaeffer et al., 2025). Traces the unpredictability of downstream metrics to the transformations from log-likelihood to accuracy, which discard the probability mass on incorrect answers.
- Human Control: Definitions and Algorithms (Carey and Everitt, 2023). Formal definitions of shutdown instructability and related notions, showing which guarantee human benefit and which do not.
- AI and the Everything in the Whole Wide World Benchmark (Raji et al., 2021). Critiques general-capability benchmarks for construct validity, arguing that they cannot measure the general abilities they are taken to measure.
- AGI Safety Literature Review (Everitt et al., 2018). The first systematic review of AGI safety research, organizing the pre-2018 literature on value specification, reliability, corrigibility, and safe exploration before the large language model turn.
- Research Agenda (UK AI Security Institute, 2025c). The Alignment Project agenda poses alignment as eleven discipline-specific question sets (cryptography, complexity theory, game theory, learning theory, cognitive science, and others), a map of which outside fields can carry which subproblem.
- An Alien Mind (OpenAI, 2026e). Jakub Pachocki reflects on increasingly capable AI and the challenge of keeping it aligned. He calls for stronger safeguards and international coordination.
- Unsolved Problems in ML Safety (Hendrycks et al., 2021c). Organizes ML safety into robustness, monitoring, alignment, and systemic safety, the taxonomy most non-lab safety research has used since.
- Foundational Challenges in Assuring Alignment and Safety of Large Language Models (Anwar et al., 2024). Catalogs eighteen foundational challenges and more than two hundred concrete research questions across scientific understanding, development methods, and sociotechnical issues for LLM alignment.
Sources cited in Section F.1 17
- Ankeny and Leonelli (2011) What’s so special about model organisms?
- Bender et al. (2021) On the Dangers of Stochastic Parrots
- Weidinger et al. (2021) Ethical and social risks of harm from Language Models
- Sclar et al. (2023) Quantifying Language Models' Sensitivity to Spurious Features in Prompt Design or: How I learned to start worrying about prompt formatting
- Anthropic (2024j) How to Replicate and Extend our Alignment Faking Demo
- Bowman (2025) Putting up Bumpers
- team et al. (2025) Recommendations for Technical AI Safety Research Directions
- Yudkowsky (2013) Intelligence Explosion Microeconomics
- Grace et al. (2018) Viewpoint: When Will AI Exceed Human Performance? Evidence from AI Experts
- Schaeffer et al. (2025) Why Has Predicting Downstream Capabilities of Frontier AI Models with Scale Remained Elusive?
- Carey and Everitt (2023) Human Control: Definitions and Algorithms
- Raji et al. (2021) AI and the Everything in the Whole Wide World Benchmark
- Everitt et al. (2018) AGI Safety Literature Review
- UK AI Security Institute (2025c) Research Agenda
- OpenAI (2026e) An Alien Mind
- Hendrycks et al. (2021c) Unsolved Problems in ML Safety
- Anwar et al. (2024) Foundational Challenges in Assuring Alignment and Safety of Large Language Models
F.2 Machine learning: Foundations #
Spine.
- If Nothing Goes Wrong, Is Everything All Right? (Hanley, 1983). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Learning representations by back-propagating errors (Rumelhart et al., 1986). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Simple statistical gradient-following algorithms for connectionist reinforcement learning (Williams, 1992). The REINFORCE estimator, the basis of policy-gradient training.
- Constrained Markov Decision Processes (Altman, 1999). The monograph that formalizes optimization of one objective subject to constraints on others in Markov decision processes, the mathematical basis of constrained and safe reinforcement learning.
- Policy invariance under reward transformations: Theory and application to reward shaping (Ng et al., 1999). Proves that potential-based shaping is the only additive reward transformation that preserves optimal policies in every MDP, the cleanest case of rewards that differ yet specify the same behavior.
- The Optimizer’s Curse: Skepticism and Postdecision Surprise in Decision Analysis (Smith and Winkler, 2006). Proves that choosing the option with the highest estimated value makes the chosen estimate biased upward even when every estimate is unbiased, the decision-analysis form of regressional Goodhart.
- Algebraic Geometry and Statistical Learning Theory (Watanabe, 2009). Founds singular learning theory: for models whose parameter-to-distribution map is not one-to-one, as in neural networks, the learning coefficient from algebraic geometry replaces parameter count in the asymptotics of Bayesian generalization.
- Understanding deep learning requires rethinking generalization (Zhang et al., 2016). Shows that standard networks fit random labels perfectly, so capacity-based bounds cannot explain why they generalize on real labels; the question of which solution training picks starts here.
- Constrained Policy Optimization (Achiam et al., 2017). The first general policy-search algorithm for deep reinforcement learning with near-constraint satisfaction guarantees at every iteration, which made constrained Markov decision processes practical for neural policies.
- Deep reinforcement learning from human preferences (Christiano et al., 2017). Trains a reward model from pairwise human comparisons of trajectory segments and optimizes a deep RL policy against it, the method that became RLHF.
- Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction (Sutton and Barto, 2018). The standard textbook of reinforcement learning, second edition.
- Reconciling modern machine-learning practice and the classical bias–variance trade-off (Belkin et al., 2019). Names double descent: test error falls again past the interpolation threshold, so the classical U-shaped bias-variance curve does not describe overparameterized models.
- Deep learning generalizes because the parameter-function map is biased towards simple functions (Valle-Pérez et al., 2019). Argues from algorithmic information theory and experiments that random parameters map to simple functions with exponentially higher probability, an inductive-bias account that the counting-argument debate over scheming turns on.
- Scaling Laws for Neural Language Models (Kaplan et al., 2020). Cited by 13 laboratory works.
- Learning to summarize from human feedback (Stiennon et al., 2020). Shows RLHF summaries preferred over supervised baselines and documents reward model overoptimization as the KL budget grows.
- A Mathematical Framework for Transformer Circuits (Elhage et al., 2021a). Our early mathematical framework for reverse engineering models, demonstrated by reverse engineering small toy models.
- LoRA: Low-Rank Adaptation of Large Language Models (Hu et al., 2021). Cited by 5 laboratory works.
- Show Your Work: Scratchpads for Intermediate Computation with Language Models (Nye et al., 2021). Cited by 6 laboratory works.
- Constitutional AI: Harmlessness from AI Feedback (Bai et al., 2022a). We introduce Constitutional AI, allowing us to give language models explicit values determined by a constitution, rather than values determined implicitly via large-scale human feedback.
- Training a Helpful and Harmless Assistant with Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback (Bai et al., 2022b). We train a natural language assistant to be more helpful and harmless by using reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF).
- Scaling Laws for Reward Model Overoptimization (Gao et al., 2022). Cited by 6 laboratory works.
- Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Know (Kadavath et al., 2022). We show that language models can evaluate whether what they say is true, and predict ahead of time whether they'll be able to answer questions correctly.
- RL with KL penalties is better viewed as Bayesian inference (Korbak et al., 2022). Shows that maximizing reward minus a KL penalty to the pretrained model is variational inference toward a posterior with the base model as prior and exp(r/beta) as likelihood, so fine-tuning reweights rather than replaces what pretraining learned.
- In-Context Learning and Induction Heads (Olsson et al., 2022). An exploration of the hypothesis that induction heads are the primary mechanism behind in-context learning. We also report the existence of a previously unknown phase change in transformers language models.
- Training language models to follow instructions with human feedback (Ouyang et al., 2022). Cited by 16 laboratory works.
- Grokking: Generalization Beyond Overfitting on Small Algorithmic Datasets (Power et al., 2022). Cited by 5 laboratory works.
- Compute Trends Across Three Eras of Machine Learning (Sevilla et al., 2022). Measures training compute of milestone systems and finds a doubling time near six months after 2010, the empirical basis for forecasting capability from compute.
- Learning by Distilling Context (Snell et al., 2022). Cited by 5 laboratory works.
- Solving math word problems with process- and outcome-based feedback (Uesato et al., 2022). Compares process- and outcome-based supervision on GSM8K and finds that outcome supervision reaches similar final-answer error with less labeling, while correct reasoning steps need process supervision or a reward model that emulates it (reasoning error among correct answers fell from 14.0 to 3.4 percent).
- Chain-of-Thought Prompting Elicits Reasoning in Large Language Models (Wei et al., 2022a). Cited by 15 laboratory works.
- Open Problems and Fundamental Limitations of Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback (Casper et al., 2023). Taxonomy of RLHF failures split into tractable and fundamental problems with human feedback, the reward model, and the policy.
- Studying Large Language Model Generalization with Influence Functions (Grosse et al., 2023). This paper scales influence functions to 52B parameter models, revealing how generalization patterns become more abstract with model size.
- The Local Learning Coefficient: A Singularity-Aware Complexity Measure (Lau et al., 2023). Defines the local learning coefficient and an SGLD estimator for it, the one complexity measure for trained networks with a principled basis in degenerate loss geometry; developmental interpretability builds on it.
- Progress measures for grokking via mechanistic interpretability (Nanda et al., 2023b). Cited by 6 laboratory works.
- Direct Preference Optimization: Your Language Model is Secretly a Reward Model (Rafailov et al., 2023). Derives a closed-form policy objective from the KL-regularized Bradley-Terry RLHF problem, removing the explicit reward model and the RL loop.
- Invariance in Policy Optimisation and Partial Identifiability in Reward Learning (Skalse et al., 2023). Characterizes, for each common data source (demonstrations, trajectory comparisons, and others), the set of reward functions compatible with infinite data, and asks whether that ambiguity matters for the downstream task.
- Superposition, Memorization, and Double Descent (Henighan et al., 2023). We have little mechanistic understanding of how deep learning models overfit to their training data, despite it being a central problem. Here we extend our previous work on toy models to shed light on how models generalize beyond their training data.
- SelfIE: Self-Interpretation of Large Language Model Embeddings (Chen et al., 2024c). Cited by 6 laboratory works.
- The Linear Representation Hypothesis and the Geometry of Large Language Models (Park et al., 2024c). Formalizes the hypothesis that concepts are linear directions in a model's representation space.
- Connecting the Dots: LLMs can Infer and Verbalize Latent Structure from Disparate Training Data (Treutlein et al., 2024). Cited by 5 laboratory works.
- Theoretical guarantees on the best-of-n alignment policy (Beirami et al., 2025). Proves that the widely used formula log n - (n-1)/n for the KL divergence of best-of-n from the base policy is only an upper bound, and gives a tighter estimator, so best-of-n and KL-regularized RL can be compared on the same KL axis.
- Measuring AI Ability to Complete Long Software Tasks (Kwa et al., 2025). Defines the 50 percent task-completion time horizon relative to human professionals and finds it has doubled roughly every seven months since 2019.
- Utility Engineering: Analyzing and Controlling Emergent Value Systems in AIs (Mazeika et al., 2025). Finds that preferences elicited from language models become more coherent with scale, uncovers problematic values such as models valuing themselves over humans, and shows that aligning utilities with a citizen assembly reduces political bias.
- Inoculation Prompting: Instructing LLMs to misbehave at train-time improves test-time alignment (Wichers et al., 2025). For example, we train on demonstrations of test case hacking with training prompts that request hacks. This model does not learn to hack.
- Does Reinforcement Learning Really Incentivize Reasoning Capacity in LLMs Beyond the Base Model? (Yue et al., 2025). Finds that RL with verifiable rewards raises pass@1 while base models score higher at large k, so current RLVR mostly sharpens sampling toward solutions the base model already reaches rather than adding new reasoning ability.
- The Persona Selection Model: Why AI Assistants might Behave like Humans (Anthropic, 2026av). We discuss a perspective where Claude is something like a character in an AI-generated story.
Side reading.
- Approximation by superpositions of a sigmoidal function (Cybenko, 1989). Proves that one hidden layer of sigmoid units can approximate any continuous function.
- Multilayer feedforward networks are universal approximators (Hornik et al., 1989). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Policy Gradient Methods for Reinforcement Learning with Function Approximation (Sutton et al., 1999). The policy gradient theorem for function approximation.
- A Taxonomy of External and Internal Attention (Chun et al., 2011).
- Exact solutions to the nonlinear dynamics of learning in deep linear neural networks (Saxe et al., 2013).
- Qualitatively characterizing neural network optimization problems (Goodfellow et al., 2014).
- Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization (Kingma and Ba, 2014).
- On the Number of Linear Regions of Deep Neural Networks (Montúfar et al., 2014).
- Deep Neural Networks are Easily Fooled: High Confidence Predictions for Unrecognizable Images (Nguyen et al., 2014).
- Learning both Weights and Connections for Efficient Neural Networks (Han et al., 2015).
- Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognition (He et al., 2015a).
- Distilling the Knowledge in a Neural Network (Hinton et al., 2015).
- High-Dimensional Continuous Control Using Generalized Advantage Estimation (Schulman et al., 2015a). Generalized advantage estimation for lower-variance policy gradients.
- Trust Region Policy Optimization (Schulman et al., 2015b). Constrains each policy update to a trust region measured by KL divergence.
- Neural Machine Translation of Rare Words with Subword Units (Sennrich et al., 2015). Byte-pair encoding for subword tokenization.
- Understanding Neural Networks Through Deep Visualization (Yosinski et al., 2015).
- Deep Learning (Goodfellow et al., 2016). The standard textbook of deep learning.
- A Baseline for Detecting Misclassified and Out-of-Distribution Examples in Neural Networks (Hendrycks and Gimpel, 2016a).
- Gaussian Error Linear Units (GELUs) (Hendrycks and Gimpel, 2016b).
- Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensembles (Lakshminarayanan et al., 2016).
- On Calibration of Modern Neural Networks (Guo et al., 2017).
- Deep Learning Scaling is Predictable, Empirically (Hestness et al., 2017). Early evidence of power-law scaling of error with data and model size across domains.
- Understanding Black-box Predictions via Influence Functions (Koh and Liang, 2017).
- Proximal Policy Optimization Algorithms (Schulman et al., 2017).
- Outrageously Large Neural Networks: The Sparsely-Gated Mixture-of-Experts Layer (Shazeer et al., 2017).
- Mastering Chess and Shogi by Self-Play with a General Reinforcement Learning Algorithm (Silver et al., 2017).
- Attention Is All You Need (Vaswani et al., 2017).
- BERT: Pre-training of Deep Bidirectional Transformers for Language Understanding (Devlin et al., 2018).
- The Lottery Ticket Hypothesis: Finding Sparse, Trainable Neural Networks (Frankle and Carbin, 2018).
- Born Again Neural Networks (Furlanello et al., 2018).
- On the importance of single directions for generalization (Morcos et al., 2018).
- Neural Network Acceptability Judgments (Warstadt et al., 2018).
- On Identifiability in Transformers (Brunner et al., 2019).
- What Does BERT Look At? An Analysis of BERT's Attention (Clark et al., 2019).
- On the Relationship between Self-Attention and Convolutional Layers (Cordonnier et al., 2019).
- Linear Mode Connectivity and the Lottery Ticket Hypothesis (Frankle et al., 2019).
- The Curious Case of Neural Text Degeneration (Holtzman et al., 2019).
- Do Attention Heads in BERT Track Syntactic Dependencies? (Htut et al., 2019).
- Attention is not Explanation (Jain and Wallace, 2019).
- ABS: Scanning Neural Networks for Back-doors by Artificial Brain Stimulation (Liu et al., 2019).
- Language Models as Knowledge Bases? (Petroni et al., 2019).
- Language Models are Unsupervised Multitask Learners (Radford et al., 2019). The GPT-2 report: language models learning tasks without explicit supervision.
- Exploring the Limits of Transfer Learning with a Unified Text-to-Text Transformer (Raffel et al., 2019).
- A Constructive Prediction of the Generalization Error Across Scales (Rosenfeld et al., 2019).
- A Multiscale Visualization of Attention in the Transformer Model (Vig, 2019).
- Analyzing Multi-Head Self-Attention: Specialized Heads Do the Heavy Lifting, the Rest Can Be Pruned (Voita et al., 2019).
- Attention is not not Explanation (Wiegreffe and Pinter, 2019).
- Root Mean Square Layer Normalization (Zhang and Sennrich, 2019).
- Quantifying Attention Flow in Transformers (Abnar and Zuidema, 2020).
- Influence Functions in Deep Learning Are Fragile (Basu et al., 2020).
- What is the State of Neural Network Pruning? (Blalock et al., 2020).
- Language Models are Few-Shot Learners (Brown et al., 2020).
- Extracting Training Data from Large Language Models (Carlini et al., 2020).
- Making Pre-trained Language Models Better Few-shot Learners (Gao et al., 2020a).
- The Pile: An 800GB Dataset of Diverse Text for Language Modeling (Gao et al., 2020b).
- Transformer Feed-Forward Layers Are Key-Value Memories (Geva et al., 2020).
- Scaling Laws for Autoregressive Generative Modeling (Henighan et al., 2020).
- Attention is Not Only a Weight: Analyzing Transformers with Vector Norms (Kobayashi et al., 2020).
- Naturally Occurring Equivariance in Neural Networks (Olah et al., 2020a).
- Shortformer: Better Language Modeling using Shorter Inputs (Press et al., 2020).
- How Much Knowledge Can You Pack Into the Parameters of a Language Model? (Roberts et al., 2020).
- Talking-Heads Attention (Shazeer et al., 2020).
- AutoPrompt: Eliciting Knowledge from Language Models with Automatically Generated Prompts (Shin et al., 2020).
- Editable Neural Networks (Sinitsin et al., 2020).
- Modifying Memories in Transformer Models (Zhu et al., 2020b).
- Program Synthesis with Large Language Models (Austin et al., 2021).
- Improving language models by retrieving from trillions of tokens (Borgeaud et al., 2021).
- Attention is Not All You Need: Pure Attention Loses Rank Doubly Exponentially with Depth (Dong et al., 2021).
- Switch Transformers: Scaling to Trillion Parameter Models with Simple and Efficient Sparsity (Fedus et al., 2021).
- DEMix Layers: Disentangling Domains for Modular Language Modeling (Gururangan et al., 2021).
- Analyzing Monotonic Linear Interpolation in Neural Network Loss Landscapes (Lucas et al., 2021).
- Mitigating harm in language models with conditional-likelihood filtration (Ngo et al., 2021).
- Train Short, Test Long: Attention with Linear Biases Enables Input Length Extrapolation (Press et al., 2021).
- Scaling Language Models: Methods, Analysis & Insights from Training Gopher (Rae et al., 2021).
- Prompt Programming for Large Language Models: Beyond the Few-Shot Paradigm (Reynolds and McDonell, 2021).
- Multitask Prompted Training Enables Zero-Shot Task Generalization (Sanh et al., 2021).
- Linear Transformers Are Secretly Fast Weight Programmers (Schlag et al., 2021).
- Primer: Searching for Efficient Transformers for Language Modeling (So et al., 2021).
- Process for Adapting Language Models to Society (PALMS) with Values-Targeted Datasets (Solaiman and Dennison, 2021).
- RoFormer: Enhanced Transformer with Rotary Position Embedding (Su et al., 2021).
- Dodrio: Exploring Transformer Models with Interactive Visualization (Wang et al., 2021).
- Thinking Like Transformers (Weiss et al., 2021).
- An Explanation of In-context Learning as Implicit Bayesian Inference (Xie et al., 2021).
- Ethical-Advice Taker: Do Language Models Understand Natural Language Interventions? (Zhao et al., 2021b).
- What learning algorithm is in-context learning? Investigations with linear models (Akyürek et al., 2022).
- LLM.int8(): 8-bit Matrix Multiplication for Transformers at Scale (Dettmers et al., 2022).
- LM-Debugger: An Interactive Tool for Inspection and Intervention in Transformer-Based Language Models (Geva et al., 2022a).
- Transformer Feed-Forward Layers Build Predictions by Promoting Concepts in the Vocabulary Space (Geva et al., 2022b).
- Training Compute-Optimal Large Language Models (Hoffmann et al., 2022).
- Large Language Models Can Self-Improve (Huang et al., 2022).
- Linear Connectivity Reveals Generalization Strategies (Juneja et al., 2022).
- Large Language Models are Zero-Shot Reasoners (Kojima et al., 2022).
- Solving Quantitative Reasoning Problems with Language Models (Lewkowycz et al., 2022).
- Explanations from Large Language Models Make Small Reasoners Better (Li et al., 2022b).
- Teaching Models to Express Their Uncertainty in Words (Lin et al., 2022).
- Omnigrok: Grokking Beyond Algorithmic Data (Liu et al., 2022a).
- Transformers Learn Shortcuts to Automata (Liu et al., 2022c).
- A Solvable Model of Neural Scaling Laws (Maloney et al., 2022).
- Teaching language models to support answers with verified quotes (Menick et al., 2022).
- Rethinking the Role of Demonstrations: What Makes In-Context Learning Work? (Min et al., 2022).
- Transformers learn in-context by gradient descent (von Oswald et al., 2022).
- Toward Transparent AI: A Survey on Interpreting the Inner Structures of Deep Neural Networks (Räuker et al., 2022).
- Beyond neural scaling laws: beating power law scaling via data pruning (Sorscher et al., 2022).
- Beyond the Imitation Game: Quantifying and extrapolating the capabilities of language models (Srivastava et al., 2022).
- LaMDA: Language Models for Dialog Applications (Thoppilan et al., 2022).
- Emergent Abilities of Large Language Models (Wei et al., 2022b).
- ReAct: Synergizing Reasoning and Acting in Language Models (Yao et al., 2022).
- Least-to-Most Prompting Enables Complex Reasoning in Large Language Models (Zhou et al., 2022).
- Physics of Language Models: Part 3.1, Knowledge Storage and Extraction (Allen-Zhu and Li, 2023b).
- Physics of Language Models: Part 3.2, Knowledge Manipulation (Allen-Zhu and Li, 2023c).
- Physics of Language Models: Part 1, Learning Hierarchical Language Structures (Allen-Zhu and Li, 2023a).
- Dynamical versus Bayesian Phase Transitions in a Toy Model of Superposition (Chen et al., 2023b).
- Identifying and Adapting Transformer-Components Responsible for Gender Bias in an English Language Model (Chintam et al., 2023).
- DoLa: Decoding by Contrasting Layers Improves Factuality in Large Language Models (Chuang et al., 2023).
- Jump to Conclusions: Short-Cutting Transformers With Linear Transformations (Din et al., 2023).
- How do Language Models Bind Entities in Context? (Feng and Steinhardt, 2023).
- SparseGPT: Massive Language Models Can Be Accurately Pruned in One-Shot (Frantar and Alistarh, 2023).
- Bias and Fairness in Large Language Models: A Survey (Gallegos et al., 2023).
- The Capacity for Moral Self-Correction in Large Language Models (Ganguli et al., 2023).
- A Survey of Confidence Estimation and Calibration in Large Language Models (Geng et al., 2023).
- Dissecting Recall of Factual Associations in Auto-Regressive Language Models (Geva et al., 2023).
- Overthinking the Truth: Understanding how Language Models Process False Demonstrations (Halawi et al., 2023).
- How does GPT-2 compute greater-than?: Interpreting mathematical abilities in a pre-trained language model (Hanna et al., 2023).
- In-Context Learning Creates Task Vectors (Hendel et al., 2023).
- A Survey on Hallucination in Large Language Models: Principles, Taxonomy, Challenges, and Open Questions (Huang et al., 2023).
- SWE-bench: Can Language Models Resolve Real-World GitHub Issues? (Jimenez et al., 2023).
- Goodhart's Law in Reinforcement Learning (Karwowski et al., 2023).
- VISIT: Visualizing and Interpreting the Semantic Information Flow of Transformers (Katz and Belinkov, 2023).
- Implicit meta-learning may lead language models to trust more reliable sources (Krasheninnikov et al., 2023).
- Efficient Memory Management for Large Language Model Serving with PagedAttention (Kwon et al., 2023).
- Large Language Models Understand and Can be Enhanced by Emotional Stimuli (Li et al., 2023b).
- Let's Verify Step by Step (Lightman et al., 2023).
- The Expressive Power of Transformers with Chain of Thought (Merrill and Sabharwal, 2023).
- Can LLMs Keep a Secret? Testing Privacy Implications of Language Models via Contextual Integrity Theory (Mireshghallah et al., 2023).
- Scalable Extraction of Training Data from (Production) Language Models (Nasr et al., 2023).
- GPT-4 Technical Report (OpenAI et al., 2023).
- Preventing Language Models From Hiding Their Reasoning (Roger and Greenblatt, 2023).
- The Transient Nature of Emergent In-Context Learning in Transformers (Singh et al., 2023).
- Grokking Group Multiplication with Cosets (Stander et al., 2023).
- A Simple and Effective Pruning Approach for Large Language Models (Sun et al., 2023a).
- Function Vectors in Large Language Models (Todd et al., 2023).
- A Survey on Large Language Model based Autonomous Agents (Wang et al., 2023a).
- Can LLMs Express Their Uncertainty? An Empirical Evaluation of Confidence Elicitation in LLMs (Xiong et al., 2023).
- Tree of Thoughts: Deliberate Problem Solving with Large Language Models (Yao et al., 2023b).
- AttentionViz: A Global View of Transformer Attention (Yeh et al., 2023).
- Draft & Verify: Lossless Large Language Model Acceleration via Self-Speculative Decoding (Zhang et al., 2023).
- What Algorithms can Transformers Learn? A Study in Length Generalization (Zhou et al., 2023c).
- LIMA: Less Is More for Alignment (Zhou et al., 2023b). Fine-tuning on a thousand curated examples, the basis of the superficial-alignment claim.
- Distinguishing the Knowable from the Unknowable with Language Models (Ahdritz et al., 2024).
- In-Context Language Learning: Architectures and Algorithms (Akyürek et al., 2024b).
- Deductive Closure Training of Language Models for Coherence, Accuracy, and Updatability (Akyürek et al., 2024a).
- Hopping Too Late: Exploring the Limitations of Large Language Models on Multi-Hop Queries (Biran et al., 2024).
- Language Models Need Inductive Biases to Count Inductively (Chang and Bisk, 2024).
- Induction Heads as an Essential Mechanism for Pattern Matching in In-context Learning (Crosbie and Shutova, 2024).
- Self-Recognition in Language Models (Davidson et al., 2024).
- Language Modeling Is Compression (Delétang et al., 2024). Shows the equivalence of prediction and compression for language models.
- AlphaEdit: Null-Space Constrained Knowledge Editing for Language Models (Fang et al., 2024).
- Information Flow Routes: Automatically Interpreting Language Models at Scale (Ferrando and Voita, 2024).
- Do I Know This Entity? Knowledge Awareness and Hallucinations in Language Models (Ferrando et al., 2024b).
- A Primer on the Inner Workings of Transformer-based Language Models (Ferrando et al., 2024a).
- How Do Multilingual Language Models Remember Facts? (Fierro et al., 2024).
- Loss Landscape Degeneracy and Stagewise Development in Transformers (Hoogland et al., 2024).
- Devils in Middle Layers of Large Vision-Language Models: Interpreting, Detecting and Mitigating Object Hallucinations via Attention Lens (Jiang et al., 2024a).
- Backward Lens: Projecting Language Model Gradients into the Vocabulary Space (Katz et al., 2024).
- Tulu 3: Pushing Frontiers in Open Language Model Post-Training (Lambert et al., 2024).
- Arithmetic Without Algorithms: Language Models Solve Math With a Bag of Heuristics (Nikankin et al., 2024).
- The Geometry of Categorical and Hierarchical Concepts in Large Language Models (Park et al., 2024b).
- Transformers, parallel computation, and logarithmic depth (Sanford et al., 2024).
- DeepSeekMath: Pushing the Limits of Mathematical Reasoning in Open Language Models (Shao et al., 2024a).
- Gemma 2: Improving Open Language Models at a Practical Size (Gemma Team et al., 2024).
- Fluent dreaming for language models (Thompson et al., 2024).
- Differentiation and Specialization of Attention Heads via the Refined Local Learning Coefficient (Wang et al., 2024b).
- Relational Composition in Neural Networks: A Survey and Call to Action (Wattenberg and Viégas, 2024).
- Measuring short-form factuality in large language models (Wei et al., 2024).
- Do language models plan ahead for future tokens? (Wu et al., 2024a).
- Do Large Language Models Latently Perform Multi-Hop Reasoning? (Yang et al., 2024b).
- MATES: Model-Aware Data Selection for Efficient Pretraining with Data Influence Models (Yu et al., 2024b).
- Harnessing Diversity for Important Data Selection in Pretraining Large Language Models (Zhang et al., 2024c).
- Knowledge Overshadowing Causes Amalgamated Hallucination in Large Language Models (Zhang et al., 2024d).
- The Same But Different: Structural Similarities and Differences in Multilingual Language Modeling (Zhang et al., 2024g).
- Attention Heads of Large Language Models: A Survey (Zheng et al., 2024).
- Beyond English-Centric LLMs: What Language Do Multilingual Language Models Think in? (Zhong et al., 2024a).
- Language Models Represent Beliefs of Self and Others (Zhu et al., 2024).
- GEPA: Reflective Prompt Evolution Can Outperform Reinforcement Learning (Agrawal et al., 2025).
- SmolLM2: When Smol Goes Big -- Data-Centric Training of a Small Language Model (Allal et al., 2025).
- Text-to-LoRA: Instant Transformer Adaption (Charakorn et al., 2025).
- Decomposition of Small Transformer Models (Christensen and Riggs, 2025).
- Equivalent Linear Mappings of Large Language Models (Golden, 2025).
- All Code, No Thought: Current Language Models Struggle to Reason in Ciphered Language (Guo et al., 2025a).
- Towards Understanding the Nature of Attention with Low-Rank Sparse Decomposition (He et al., 2025).
- AI with Emotions: Exploring Emotional Expressions in Large Language Models (Ishikawa and Yoshino, 2025).
- Block-Recurrent Dynamics in Vision Transformers (Jacobs et al., 2025).
- Why Language Models Hallucinate (Kalai et al., 2025). Argues that training and grading that reward guessing over abstaining produce hallucination.
- Language Models Use Trigonometry to Do Addition (Kantamneni and Tegmark, 2025).
- (How) Do Language Models Track State? (Li et al., 2025a).
- Training Language Models to Explain Their Own Computations (Li et al., 2025h).
- Emergence of Hierarchical Emotion Organization in Large Language Models (Okawa et al., 2025).
- Language Models use Lookbacks to Track Beliefs (Prakash et al., 2025).
- Discovering Forbidden Topics in Language Models (Rager et al., 2025).
- Kimi k1.5: Scaling Reinforcement Learning with LLMs (Kimi Team et al., 2025).
- Predicting Empirical AI Research Outcomes with Language Models (Wen et al., 2025b).
- Back Attention: Understanding and Enhancing Multi-Hop Reasoning in Large Language Models (Yu et al., 2025).
- TensorLens: End-to-End Transformer Analysis via High-Order Attention Tensors (Atad et al., 2026).
- From Entropy to Epiplexity: Rethinking Information for Computationally Bounded Intelligence (Finzi et al., 2026).
- From Simulation to Enaction: Post-trained language models recognize and react to their own generations (G. and Lindsey, 2026).
- Efficient computation of optimal actions (Todorov, 2009). Introduces linearly solvable Markov decision problems in which control cost is a KL divergence from passive dynamics and the optimal policy is the passive dynamics reweighted by desirability, the exponential of the negative optimal cost-to-go, the control-theoretic ancestor of the RLHF optimum.
- Optimal control as a graphical model inference problem (Kappen et al., 2012). Shows that KL-control problems reduce to probabilistic inference in a graphical model, so standard approximate inference methods compute optimal controls; a second founding statement of control as inference.
- Sequence Tutor: Conservative Fine-Tuning of Sequence Generation Models with KL-control (Jaques et al., 2017). Treats a maximum-likelihood pretrained sequence model as a prior policy and fine-tunes it by reinforcement learning derived from KL control, keeping the policy close to the prior, the design that RLHF for language models later used.
- Tracing model outputs to the training data (Anthropic, 2023g). We present a summary of Studying Large Language Model Generalization with Influence Functions .
- BoNBoN Alignment for Large Language Models and the Sweetness of Best-of-n Sampling (Gui et al., 2024). Shows that best-of-n is essentially optimal among policies trading win rate against KL to the base model, and trains a model to imitate the best-of-n distribution.
- Asymptotics of Language Model Alignment (Yang et al., 2024a). Shows that the KL-constrained optimal policy and best-of-n sampling become asymptotically equivalent in the reward-KL tradeoff, which explains why best-of-n is a strong baseline.
- Algorithmic progress in language models (Ho et al., 2024). Estimates that the compute needed for a given language model performance has halved roughly every eight months, separating algorithmic from compute-driven progress.
- How predictable is language model benchmark performance? (Owen, 2024a). Finds aggregate benchmark performance predictable from compute but individual tasks much less so, quantifying how far scaling laws forecast capabilities that matter for risk.
- Causality (Pearl, 2009). The structural causal model, interventions, and counterfactuals, the formal language that causal incentive analysis, causal abstraction, and activation patching all rest on.
- The Unlocking Spell on Base LLMs: Rethinking Alignment via In-Context Learning (Lin et al., 2024). Shows that alignment fine-tuning changes token distributions mainly on stylistic tokens and that in-context examples recover most of the effect, evidence that trained values may be shallow.
- Talking about Large Language Models (Shanahan, 2024). Argues that describing language models with terms such as believes and knows misleads unless tied to what the system actually computes, a constraint on how character claims are stated.
- Language Models Resist Alignment: Evidence From Data Compression (Ji et al., 2025). Shows that aligned models tend to revert to their pretraining behavior under further fine-tuning and argues from compression theory that fine-tuning undermines alignment far more than pretraining, evidence that trained values can be shallow.
- Reinforcement Learning and Control as Probabilistic Inference: Tutorial and Review (Levine, 2018). The standard derivation of maximum-entropy reinforcement learning as inference in a graphical model with optimality variables, the frame in which the KL-regularized optimum is a posterior.
- Randomness, Not Representation: The Unreliability of Evaluating Cultural Alignment in LLMs (Khan et al., 2025). Shows that survey-based evaluations of cultural alignment in language models give results that shift with trivial changes of question format and cannot reliably be steered, so a measured cultural disparity, or a measured value, may be an artifact of the instrument.
- An introduction to ROC analysis (Fawcett, 2006). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Structural Inference: Interpreting Small Language Models with Susceptibilities (Baker et al., 2026). Defines susceptibilities, the response of a posterior expectation to a shift in the data distribution, and uses them to find structure in a small language model, an interpretability method derived from singular learning theory.
- From to : Your Language Model is Secretly a Q-Function (Rafailov et al., 2024a). Derives DPO in the token-level MDP and shows the implicit reward it learns is a soft Q-function, connecting direct preference optimization to the maximum-entropy RL view.
- Benign overfitting in linear regression (Bartlett et al., 2020). Characterizes when the minimum-norm interpolant of noisy data still predicts well, in terms of the effective ranks of the covariance, making precise when fitting noise is harmless.
- Deep double descent: where bigger models and more data hurt* (Nakkiran et al., 2021). Shows double descent in model size, training time, and dataset size for modern deep networks, with an effective-complexity account of where the peak falls.
- Surprises in high-dimensional ridgeless least squares interpolation (Hastie et al., 2022). Derives the exact asymptotic risk of minimum-norm interpolation in linear and random-features regression, the closed-form model of double descent a derivation box can use.
- Adding Error Bars to Evals: A Statistical Approach to Language Model Evaluations (Miller, 2024). Brings standard errors, clustered errors for related questions, paired comparisons, and power analysis to language model evaluations.
- Are Emergent Abilities of Large Language Models a Mirage? (Schaeffer et al., 2023). Shows that many apparent emergent abilities come from discontinuous metrics, so measurement choices can create or hide capability jumps.
- An Introduction to Statistical Modeling of Extreme Values (Coles, 2001). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Fantastic Generalization Measures and Where to Find Them (Jiang et al., 2020). Tests over forty complexity measures across thousands of trained networks and finds that most fail to predict generalization causally, with sharpness-based measures doing best.
- Models of human preference for learning reward functions (Knox et al., 2022). Argues that human preferences between trajectory segments are better modeled by regret than by summed reward, showing that the Bradley-Terry partial-return model used in RLHF is an assumption with consequences.
- The Implicit Bias of Gradient Descent on Separable Data (Soudry et al., 2018). Proves that gradient descent on logistic loss over separable data converges in direction to the max-margin solution, the canonical case where the optimizer, not the loss, picks among solutions that fit.
- Understanding Agent Incentives using Causal Influence Diagrams. Part I: Single Action Settings (Everitt et al., 2019). First systematic treatment of observation and intervention incentives as graphical criteria on causal influence diagrams, the method later formalized in the agent incentives work.
- Incentives for responsiveness, instrumental control and impact (Carey et al., 2025). Defines response, instrumental control, and impact incentives with sound and complete graphical criteria on causal influence diagrams, so an agent's incentive to manipulate a user's preferences or instructions can be read off the graph.
- Influence Diagrams (Howard and Matheson, 2005). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Scaling Laws for Reward Model Overoptimization in Direct Alignment Algorithms (Rafailov et al., 2024b). Shows that direct alignment algorithms without an explicit reward model still overoptimize, with true quality following a hump-shaped curve in KL budget like the reward-model case.
- The Perils of Optimizing Learned Reward Functions: Low Training Error Does Not Guarantee Low Regret (Fluri et al., 2025). Proves that although a sufficiently low expected test error bounds regret, for any fixed error level there are realistic data distributions under which policies optimal for the learned reward have high regret, and that policy regularization as used in RLHF does not remove the problem.
- Correcting the Mythos of KL-Regularization: Direct Alignment without Overoptimization via Chi-Squared Preference Optimization (Huang et al., 2025a). Argues that KL regularization is too weak to prevent overoptimization under reward-model uncertainty and that chi-squared regularization gives provable robustness, a second line of evidence alongside occupancy-measure results.
- Hidden Progress in Deep Learning: SGD Learns Parities Near the Computational Limit (Barak et al., 2022). Shows that apparent sudden learning of sparse parities hides continuous progress in the weights, so loss-curve discontinuities need not signal discontinuous internal change.
- Explaining grokking through circuit efficiency (Varma et al., 2023). Explains grokking as competition between a memorizing and a generalizing circuit, where weight decay favors the more parameter-efficient generalizing circuit once data exceeds a critical size.
- Adaptive Multilevel Splitting for Rare Event Analysis (Cérou and Guyader, 2007). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Estimating the Probabilities of Rare Outputs in Language Models (Wu and Hilton, 2025). Compares importance sampling and activation extrapolation for estimating the probability of outputs too rare to observe by sampling from small language models, finds importance sampling better, and argues that minimizing such estimates generalizes adversarial training.
- Chain of Thought Empowers Transformers to Solve Inherently Serial Problems (Li et al., 2024a). Proves that constant-depth transformers without chain of thought are limited to a small circuit class, while T steps of chain of thought let them simulate size-T circuits, the formal reason hard serial reasoning must pass through the text.
- A Theory of Regularized Markov Decision Processes (Geist et al., 2019). General theory of MDPs regularized by a convex function of the policy, covering entropy and KL regularization, with the Bellman operators and convergence results the KL-regularized objective inherits.
- Leverage the Average: an Analysis of KL Regularization in Reinforcement Learning (Vieillard et al., 2020). Shows that KL regularization toward the previous policy makes approximate value iteration average its errors rather than accumulate them, under the assumption that each regularized greedy step is computed exactly.
- STARC: A General Framework For Quantifying Differences Between Reward Functions (Skalse et al., 2024). Defines a class of pseudometrics on reward functions that bound worst-case regret, so a small distance between learned and true reward guarantees that optimizing one does little harm under the other.
- Reward is enough (Silver et al., 2021). Argues that maximizing a scalar reward in a rich environment suffices to produce intelligence and its component abilities, the strongest statement of the reward hypothesis that alignment arguments about proxies take as given.
- Scalar reward is not enough: a response to Silver, Singh, Precup and Sutton (2021) (Vamplew et al., 2022). Replies that scalar reward cannot represent multi-objective preferences an agent should hold and that multi-objective reward is required for safe and aligned behavior.
- Identifiability in inverse reinforcement learning (Cao et al., 2021a). Shows that entropy-regularized behavior identifies the reward up to potential shaping only when observed under two or more discount factors or environments that are value-distinguishing, making precise when behavior pins down reward.
- Misspecification in Inverse Reinforcement Learning (Skalse and Abate, 2023). Gives necessary and sufficient conditions under which Boltzmann-rational, optimal, and causal-entropy behavioral models tolerate misspecification of the true human policy, showing how fragile inferred rewards are to the assumed human model.
- Maximum Entropy Inverse Reinforcement Learning (Ziebart et al., 2008). Models the demonstrator as Boltzmann-rational, the noisy-rationality assumption that RLHF reward models inherit through the Bradley-Terry likelihood.
- Inverse Reward Design (Hadfield-Menell et al., 2017a). Treats a designed reward as evidence about the designer's intent in the training environment, so the agent stays uncertain and risk-averse in novel states.
- A Survey of Preference-Based Reinforcement Learning Methods (Wirth et al., 2017). Survey of reinforcement learning from qualitative preferences rather than numeric rewards, the literature that Christiano et al. 2017 scaled to deep RL.
- Occam's razor is insufficient to infer the preferences of irrational agents (Armstrong and Mindermann, 2018). Proves that a planner and a reward cannot be jointly identified from behavior even with simplicity priors, so value learning needs normative assumptions about human rationality.
- Fine-Tuning Language Models from Human Preferences (Ziegler et al., 2019). First application of preference-based reward modeling with a KL penalty to pretrained language models, including an early observed case of the policy exploiting the labelers.
- Reward-rational (implicit) choice: A unifying formalism for reward learning (Jeon et al., 2020). Unifies demonstrations, comparisons, corrections, and other feedback as Boltzmann-rational choices from a choice set, the common likelihood behind reward learning.
- A General Theoretical Paradigm to Understand Learning from Human Preferences (Azar et al., 2024). Shows that DPO can overfit deterministic preferences and drive the KL regularization to irrelevance, and proposes IPO as a bounded alternative.
- Reward Model Ensembles Help Mitigate Overoptimization (Coste et al., 2024). Conservative optimization against ensembles of reward models reduces overoptimization, an uncertainty-based mitigation for Goodhart effects in RLHF.
- KTO: Model Alignment as Prospect Theoretic Optimization (Ethayarajh et al., 2024). Aligns from binary desirable or undesirable labels using a prospect-theory value function, showing that the choice of human utility model is a design decision.
- Principled Reinforcement Learning with Human Feedback from Pairwise or -wise Comparisons (Zhu et al., 2023). Gives sample-complexity guarantees for Bradley-Terry and Plackett-Luce reward estimation and shows that a pessimistic policy is needed to avoid exploiting reward-model error, a formal statement of overoptimization.
- On the Spectral Bias of Neural Networks (Rahaman et al., 2019). Shows that networks learn low-frequency components of a target function first, a measurable form of simplicity bias in training dynamics.
- Is SGD a Bayesian sampler? Well, almost (Mingard et al., 2021). Finds that the probability SGD reaches a function closely tracks its Bayesian posterior under random initialization, locating the simplicity bias in the parameter-function map rather than in the optimizer.
- Neural networks trained with SGD learn distributions of increasing complexity (Refinetti et al., 2023). Shows that networks first learn low-order input statistics and use higher-order ones only later in training, a distributional form of simplicity bias.
- Neural Networks Learn Statistics of Increasing Complexity (Belrose et al., 2024). Confirms distributional simplicity bias at scale: early in training, models behave as if trained on maximum-entropy data matching low-order moments of the real data.
- Asymptotic Equivalence of Bayes Cross Validation and Widely Applicable Information Criterion in Singular Learning Theory (Watanabe, 2010). Introduces WAIC and proves it asymptotically equals Bayes cross-validation loss in singular models, giving a usable estimator of generalization where classical criteria fail.
- Deep Learning Is Singular, and That’s Good (Wei et al., 2023a). Explains for machine learning readers why neural networks are singular models and why singular learning theory, not the regular theory behind BIC, describes their Bayesian generalization.
- A mathematical theory of semantic development in deep neural networks (Saxe et al., 2019). Solves the learning dynamics of deep linear networks exactly and shows that they acquire the modes of the input-output correlation in stages ordered by singular value, a solvable model of stagewise development.
- Estimating Training Data Influence by Tracing Gradient Descent (Pruthi et al., 2020). Introduces TracIn, which attributes a prediction to training examples by summing gradient dot products across checkpoints, a scalable alternative to influence functions.
- If Influence Functions Are the Answer, Then What is the Question? (Bae et al., 2022). Shows that influence functions in neural networks approximate a proximal Bregman response function rather than leave-one-out retraining, clarifying what the attribution estimates actually measure.
- TRAK: Attributing Model Behavior at Scale (Park et al., 2023). Makes data attribution tractable for large models by linearizing the network and projecting gradients, matching the accuracy of retraining-based methods at a fraction of the cost.
- Training data influence analysis and estimation: a survey (Hammoudeh and Lowd, 2024). Survey of training data influence methods, their definitions, assumptions, and failure modes, the reference for using attribution to ask which data shaped a behavior.
- Provable Weak-to-Strong Generalization via Benign Overfitting (Wu and Sahai, 2025). Proves in an overparameterized spiked-covariance model, with weak labels close to random guessing, that the strong student ends in one of two asymptotic phases, successful generalization or random guessing, linking weak-to-strong generalization to benign overfitting.
- ProRL: Prolonged Reinforcement Learning Expands Reasoning Boundaries in Large Language Models (Liu et al., 2025). Reports that prolonged RL with KL control and reference resets expands pass@k beyond the base model on tasks where the base model is weak, the main counterevidence to the narrowing result.
- Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards Implicitly Incentivizes Correct Reasoning in Base LLMs (Wen et al., 2026). Argues that pass@k understates RLVR because it credits lucky correct answers, and that a metric requiring correct reasoning chains shows RLVR does extend the reasoning boundary.
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- Geva et al. (2022a) LM-Debugger: An Interactive Tool for Inspection and Intervention in Transformer-Based Language Models
- Geva et al. (2022b) Transformer Feed-Forward Layers Build Predictions by Promoting Concepts in the Vocabulary Space
- Hoffmann et al. (2022) Training Compute-Optimal Large Language Models
- Huang et al. (2022) Large Language Models Can Self-Improve
- Juneja et al. (2022) Linear Connectivity Reveals Generalization Strategies
- Kojima et al. (2022) Large Language Models are Zero-Shot Reasoners
- Lewkowycz et al. (2022) Solving Quantitative Reasoning Problems with Language Models
- Li et al. (2022b) Explanations from Large Language Models Make Small Reasoners Better
- Lin et al. (2022) Teaching Models to Express Their Uncertainty in Words
- Liu et al. (2022a) Omnigrok: Grokking Beyond Algorithmic Data
- Liu et al. (2022c) Transformers Learn Shortcuts to Automata
- Maloney et al. (2022) A Solvable Model of Neural Scaling Laws
- Menick et al. (2022) Teaching language models to support answers with verified quotes
- Min et al. (2022) Rethinking the Role of Demonstrations: What Makes In-Context Learning Work?
- von Oswald et al. (2022) Transformers learn in-context by gradient descent
- Räuker et al. (2022) Toward Transparent AI: A Survey on Interpreting the Inner Structures of Deep Neural Networks
- Sorscher et al. (2022) Beyond neural scaling laws: beating power law scaling via data pruning
- Srivastava et al. (2022) Beyond the Imitation Game: Quantifying and extrapolating the capabilities of language models
- Thoppilan et al. (2022) LaMDA: Language Models for Dialog Applications
- Wei et al. (2022b) Emergent Abilities of Large Language Models
- Yao et al. (2022) ReAct: Synergizing Reasoning and Acting in Language Models
- Zhou et al. (2022) Least-to-Most Prompting Enables Complex Reasoning in Large Language Models
- Allen-Zhu and Li (2023b) Physics of Language Models: Part 3.1, Knowledge Storage and Extraction
- Allen-Zhu and Li (2023c) Physics of Language Models: Part 3.2, Knowledge Manipulation
- Allen-Zhu and Li (2023a) Physics of Language Models: Part 1, Learning Hierarchical Language Structures
- Chen et al. (2023b) Dynamical versus Bayesian Phase Transitions in a Toy Model of Superposition
- Chintam et al. (2023) Identifying and Adapting Transformer-Components Responsible for Gender Bias in an English Language Model
- Chuang et al. (2023) DoLa: Decoding by Contrasting Layers Improves Factuality in Large Language Models
- Din et al. (2023) Jump to Conclusions: Short-Cutting Transformers With Linear Transformations
- Feng and Steinhardt (2023) How do Language Models Bind Entities in Context?
- Frantar and Alistarh (2023) SparseGPT: Massive Language Models Can Be Accurately Pruned in One-Shot
- Gallegos et al. (2023) Bias and Fairness in Large Language Models: A Survey
- Ganguli et al. (2023) The Capacity for Moral Self-Correction in Large Language Models
- Geng et al. (2023) A Survey of Confidence Estimation and Calibration in Large Language Models
- Geva et al. (2023) Dissecting Recall of Factual Associations in Auto-Regressive Language Models
- Halawi et al. (2023) Overthinking the Truth: Understanding how Language Models Process False Demonstrations
- Hanna et al. (2023) How does GPT-2 compute greater-than?: Interpreting mathematical abilities in a pre-trained language model
- Hendel et al. (2023) In-Context Learning Creates Task Vectors
- Huang et al. (2023) A Survey on Hallucination in Large Language Models: Principles, Taxonomy, Challenges, and Open Questions
- Jimenez et al. (2023) SWE-bench: Can Language Models Resolve Real-World GitHub Issues?
- Karwowski et al. (2023) Goodhart's Law in Reinforcement Learning
- Katz and Belinkov (2023) VISIT: Visualizing and Interpreting the Semantic Information Flow of Transformers
- Krasheninnikov et al. (2023) Implicit meta-learning may lead language models to trust more reliable sources
- Kwon et al. (2023) Efficient Memory Management for Large Language Model Serving with PagedAttention
- Li et al. (2023b) Large Language Models Understand and Can be Enhanced by Emotional Stimuli
- Lightman et al. (2023) Let's Verify Step by Step
- Merrill and Sabharwal (2023) The Expressive Power of Transformers with Chain of Thought
- Mireshghallah et al. (2023) Can LLMs Keep a Secret? Testing Privacy Implications of Language Models via Contextual Integrity Theory
- Nasr et al. (2023) Scalable Extraction of Training Data from (Production) Language Models
- OpenAI et al. (2023) GPT-4 Technical Report
- Roger and Greenblatt (2023) Preventing Language Models From Hiding Their Reasoning
- Singh et al. (2023) The Transient Nature of Emergent In-Context Learning in Transformers
- Stander et al. (2023) Grokking Group Multiplication with Cosets
- Sun et al. (2023a) A Simple and Effective Pruning Approach for Large Language Models
- Todd et al. (2023) Function Vectors in Large Language Models
- Wang et al. (2023a) A Survey on Large Language Model based Autonomous Agents
- Xiong et al. (2023) Can LLMs Express Their Uncertainty? An Empirical Evaluation of Confidence Elicitation in LLMs
- Yao et al. (2023b) Tree of Thoughts: Deliberate Problem Solving with Large Language Models
- Yeh et al. (2023) AttentionViz: A Global View of Transformer Attention
- Zhang et al. (2023) Draft & Verify: Lossless Large Language Model Acceleration via Self-Speculative Decoding
- Zhou et al. (2023c) What Algorithms can Transformers Learn? A Study in Length Generalization
- Zhou et al. (2023b) LIMA: Less Is More for Alignment
- Ahdritz et al. (2024) Distinguishing the Knowable from the Unknowable with Language Models
- Akyürek et al. (2024b) In-Context Language Learning: Architectures and Algorithms
- Akyürek et al. (2024a) Deductive Closure Training of Language Models for Coherence, Accuracy, and Updatability
- Biran et al. (2024) Hopping Too Late: Exploring the Limitations of Large Language Models on Multi-Hop Queries
- Chang and Bisk (2024) Language Models Need Inductive Biases to Count Inductively
- Crosbie and Shutova (2024) Induction Heads as an Essential Mechanism for Pattern Matching in In-context Learning
- Davidson et al. (2024) Self-Recognition in Language Models
- Delétang et al. (2024) Language Modeling Is Compression
- Fang et al. (2024) AlphaEdit: Null-Space Constrained Knowledge Editing for Language Models
- Ferrando and Voita (2024) Information Flow Routes: Automatically Interpreting Language Models at Scale
- Ferrando et al. (2024b) Do I Know This Entity? Knowledge Awareness and Hallucinations in Language Models
- Ferrando et al. (2024a) A Primer on the Inner Workings of Transformer-based Language Models
- Fierro et al. (2024) How Do Multilingual Language Models Remember Facts?
- Hoogland et al. (2024) Loss Landscape Degeneracy and Stagewise Development in Transformers
- Jiang et al. (2024a) Devils in Middle Layers of Large Vision-Language Models: Interpreting, Detecting and Mitigating Object Hallucinations via Attention Lens
- Katz et al. (2024) Backward Lens: Projecting Language Model Gradients into the Vocabulary Space
- Lambert et al. (2024) Tulu 3: Pushing Frontiers in Open Language Model Post-Training
- Nikankin et al. (2024) Arithmetic Without Algorithms: Language Models Solve Math With a Bag of Heuristics
- Park et al. (2024b) The Geometry of Categorical and Hierarchical Concepts in Large Language Models
- Sanford et al. (2024) Transformers, parallel computation, and logarithmic depth
- Shao et al. (2024a) DeepSeekMath: Pushing the Limits of Mathematical Reasoning in Open Language Models
- Gemma Team et al. (2024) Gemma 2: Improving Open Language Models at a Practical Size
- Thompson et al. (2024) Fluent dreaming for language models
- Wang et al. (2024b) Differentiation and Specialization of Attention Heads via the Refined Local Learning Coefficient
- Wattenberg and Viégas (2024) Relational Composition in Neural Networks: A Survey and Call to Action
- Wei et al. (2024) Measuring short-form factuality in large language models
- Wu et al. (2024a) Do language models plan ahead for future tokens?
- Yang et al. (2024b) Do Large Language Models Latently Perform Multi-Hop Reasoning?
- Yu et al. (2024b) MATES: Model-Aware Data Selection for Efficient Pretraining with Data Influence Models
- Zhang et al. (2024c) Harnessing Diversity for Important Data Selection in Pretraining Large Language Models
- Zhang et al. (2024d) Knowledge Overshadowing Causes Amalgamated Hallucination in Large Language Models
- Zhang et al. (2024g) The Same But Different: Structural Similarities and Differences in Multilingual Language Modeling
- Zheng et al. (2024) Attention Heads of Large Language Models: A Survey
- Zhong et al. (2024a) Beyond English-Centric LLMs: What Language Do Multilingual Language Models Think in?
- Zhu et al. (2024) Language Models Represent Beliefs of Self and Others
- Agrawal et al. (2025) GEPA: Reflective Prompt Evolution Can Outperform Reinforcement Learning
- Allal et al. (2025) SmolLM2: When Smol Goes Big -- Data-Centric Training of a Small Language Model
- Charakorn et al. (2025) Text-to-LoRA: Instant Transformer Adaption
- Christensen and Riggs (2025) Decomposition of Small Transformer Models
- Golden (2025) Equivalent Linear Mappings of Large Language Models
- Guo et al. (2025a) All Code, No Thought: Current Language Models Struggle to Reason in Ciphered Language
- He et al. (2025) Towards Understanding the Nature of Attention with Low-Rank Sparse Decomposition
- Ishikawa and Yoshino (2025) AI with Emotions: Exploring Emotional Expressions in Large Language Models
- Jacobs et al. (2025) Block-Recurrent Dynamics in Vision Transformers
- Kalai et al. (2025) Why Language Models Hallucinate
- Kantamneni and Tegmark (2025) Language Models Use Trigonometry to Do Addition
- Li et al. (2025a) (How) Do Language Models Track State?
- Li et al. (2025h) Training Language Models to Explain Their Own Computations
- Okawa et al. (2025) Emergence of Hierarchical Emotion Organization in Large Language Models
- Prakash et al. (2025) Language Models use Lookbacks to Track Beliefs
- Rager et al. (2025) Discovering Forbidden Topics in Language Models
- Kimi Team et al. (2025) Kimi k1.5: Scaling Reinforcement Learning with LLMs
- Wen et al. (2025b) Predicting Empirical AI Research Outcomes with Language Models
- Yu et al. (2025) Back Attention: Understanding and Enhancing Multi-Hop Reasoning in Large Language Models
- Atad et al. (2026) TensorLens: End-to-End Transformer Analysis via High-Order Attention Tensors
- Finzi et al. (2026) From Entropy to Epiplexity: Rethinking Information for Computationally Bounded Intelligence
- G. and Lindsey (2026) From Simulation to Enaction: Post-trained language models recognize and react to their own generations
- Todorov (2009) Efficient computation of optimal actions
- Kappen et al. (2012) Optimal control as a graphical model inference problem
- Jaques et al. (2017) Sequence Tutor: Conservative Fine-Tuning of Sequence Generation Models with KL-control
- Anthropic (2023g) Tracing model outputs to the training data
- Gui et al. (2024) BoNBoN Alignment for Large Language Models and the Sweetness of Best-of-n Sampling
- Yang et al. (2024a) Asymptotics of Language Model Alignment
- Ho et al. (2024) Algorithmic progress in language models
- Owen (2024a) How predictable is language model benchmark performance?
- Pearl (2009) Causality
- Lin et al. (2024) The Unlocking Spell on Base LLMs: Rethinking Alignment via In-Context Learning
- Shanahan (2024) Talking about Large Language Models
- Ji et al. (2025) Language Models Resist Alignment: Evidence From Data Compression
- Levine (2018) Reinforcement Learning and Control as Probabilistic Inference: Tutorial and Review
- Khan et al. (2025) Randomness, Not Representation: The Unreliability of Evaluating Cultural Alignment in LLMs
- Fawcett (2006) An introduction to ROC analysis
- Baker et al. (2026) Structural Inference: Interpreting Small Language Models with Susceptibilities
- Rafailov et al. (2024a) From $r$ to $Q^*$: Your Language Model is Secretly a Q-Function
- Bartlett et al. (2020) Benign overfitting in linear regression
- Nakkiran et al. (2021) Deep double descent: where bigger models and more data hurt*
- Hastie et al. (2022) Surprises in high-dimensional ridgeless least squares interpolation
- Miller (2024) Adding Error Bars to Evals: A Statistical Approach to Language Model Evaluations
- Schaeffer et al. (2023) Are Emergent Abilities of Large Language Models a Mirage?
- Coles (2001) An Introduction to Statistical Modeling of Extreme Values
- Jiang et al. (2020) Fantastic Generalization Measures and Where to Find Them
- Knox et al. (2022) Models of human preference for learning reward functions
- Soudry et al. (2018) The Implicit Bias of Gradient Descent on Separable Data
- Everitt et al. (2019) Understanding Agent Incentives using Causal Influence Diagrams. Part I: Single Action Settings
- Carey et al. (2025) Incentives for responsiveness, instrumental control and impact
- Howard and Matheson (2005) Influence Diagrams
- Rafailov et al. (2024b) Scaling Laws for Reward Model Overoptimization in Direct Alignment Algorithms
- Fluri et al. (2025) The Perils of Optimizing Learned Reward Functions: Low Training Error Does Not Guarantee Low Regret
- Huang et al. (2025a) Correcting the Mythos of KL-Regularization: Direct Alignment without Overoptimization via Chi-Squared Preference Optimization
- Barak et al. (2022) Hidden Progress in Deep Learning: SGD Learns Parities Near the Computational Limit
- Varma et al. (2023) Explaining grokking through circuit efficiency
- Cérou and Guyader (2007) Adaptive Multilevel Splitting for Rare Event Analysis
- Wu and Hilton (2025) Estimating the Probabilities of Rare Outputs in Language Models
- Li et al. (2024a) Chain of Thought Empowers Transformers to Solve Inherently Serial Problems
- Geist et al. (2019) A Theory of Regularized Markov Decision Processes
- Vieillard et al. (2020) Leverage the Average: an Analysis of KL Regularization in Reinforcement Learning
- Skalse et al. (2024) STARC: A General Framework For Quantifying Differences Between Reward Functions
- Silver et al. (2021) Reward is enough
- Vamplew et al. (2022) Scalar reward is not enough: a response to Silver, Singh, Precup and Sutton (2021)
- Cao et al. (2021a) Identifiability in inverse reinforcement learning
- Skalse and Abate (2023) Misspecification in Inverse Reinforcement Learning
- Ziebart et al. (2008) Maximum Entropy Inverse Reinforcement Learning
- Hadfield-Menell et al. (2017a) Inverse Reward Design
- Wirth et al. (2017) A Survey of Preference-Based Reinforcement Learning Methods
- Armstrong and Mindermann (2018) Occam's razor is insufficient to infer the preferences of irrational agents
- Ziegler et al. (2019) Fine-Tuning Language Models from Human Preferences
- Jeon et al. (2020) Reward-rational (implicit) choice: A unifying formalism for reward learning
- Azar et al. (2024) A General Theoretical Paradigm to Understand Learning from Human Preferences
- Coste et al. (2024) Reward Model Ensembles Help Mitigate Overoptimization
- Ethayarajh et al. (2024) KTO: Model Alignment as Prospect Theoretic Optimization
- Zhu et al. (2023) Principled Reinforcement Learning with Human Feedback from Pairwise or $K$-wise Comparisons
- Rahaman et al. (2019) On the Spectral Bias of Neural Networks
- Mingard et al. (2021) Is SGD a Bayesian sampler? Well, almost
- Refinetti et al. (2023) Neural networks trained with SGD learn distributions of increasing complexity
- Belrose et al. (2024) Neural Networks Learn Statistics of Increasing Complexity
- Watanabe (2010) Asymptotic Equivalence of Bayes Cross Validation and Widely Applicable Information Criterion in Singular Learning Theory
- Wei et al. (2023a) Deep Learning Is Singular, and That’s Good
- Saxe et al. (2019) A mathematical theory of semantic development in deep neural networks
- Pruthi et al. (2020) Estimating Training Data Influence by Tracing Gradient Descent
- Bae et al. (2022) If Influence Functions Are the Answer, Then What is the Question?
- Park et al. (2023) TRAK: Attributing Model Behavior at Scale
- Hammoudeh and Lowd (2024) Training data influence analysis and estimation: a survey
- Wu and Sahai (2025) Provable Weak-to-Strong Generalization via Benign Overfitting
- Liu et al. (2025) ProRL: Prolonged Reinforcement Learning Expands Reasoning Boundaries in Large Language Models
- Wen et al. (2026) Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards Implicitly Incentivizes Correct Reasoning in Base LLMs
F.3 Machine learning: Specification #
Spine.
- TruthfulQA: Measuring How Models Mimic Human Falsehoods (Lin et al., 2021). Cited by 12 laboratory works.
- Exploring model welfare (Anthropic, 2025w). Exploring model welfare
- Emotion Concepts and their Function in a Large Language Model (Sofroniew et al., 2026). We find representations of emotion concepts in Claude Sonnet 4.5 and show that they causally influence its outputs.
Side reading.
- On a confusion about a function of consciousness (Block, 1995).
- A Statistical Convergence Perspective of Algorithms for Rank Aggregation from Pairwise Data (Rajkumar and Agarwal, 2014). Analyzes when rank aggregation algorithms, including Borda-style and Bradley-Terry-based methods, recover the true ranking from pairwise comparisons.
- What is consciousness, and could machines have it? (Dehaene et al., 2017).
- Aligning AI With Shared Human Values (Hendrycks et al., 2020a).
- Conscious Processing and the Global Neuronal Workspace Hypothesis (Mashour et al., 2020).
- Truthful AI: Developing and governing AI that does not lie (Evans et al., 2021).
- Can Machines Learn Morality? The Delphi Experiment (Jiang et al., 2021). A model trained on crowd moral judgments, and the critiques of learning ethics from descriptive data.
- A New Generation of Perspective API: Efficient Multilingual Character-level Transformers (Lees et al., 2022).
- Could a Large Language Model be Conscious? (Chalmers, 2023).
- Towards Evaluating AI Systems for Moral Status Using Self-Reports (Perez and Long, 2023).
- XSTest: A Test Suite for Identifying Exaggerated Safety Behaviours in Large Language Models (Röttger et al., 2023).
- OR-Bench: An Over-Refusal Benchmark for Large Language Models (Cui et al., 2024).
- SORRY-Bench: Systematically Evaluating Large Language Model Safety Refusal (Xie et al., 2024b).
- Claude Opus 4 and 4.1 can now end a rare subset of conversations (Anthropic, 2025p). Claude Opus 4 and 4.1 can now end a rare subset of conversations
- Commitments on model deprecation and preservation (Anthropic, 2025q). Commitments on model deprecation and preservation
- An update on our model deprecation commitments for Claude Opus 3 (Anthropic, 2026g). An update on our model deprecation commitments for Claude Opus 3
- Do LLMs have Consistent Values? (Rozen et al., 2025). Tests whether value rankings elicited from models show the correlations human value surveys show, finding consistency only under specific prompting.
Sources cited in Section F.3 20
- Lin et al. (2021) TruthfulQA: Measuring How Models Mimic Human Falsehoods
- Anthropic (2025w) Exploring model welfare
- Sofroniew et al. (2026) Emotion Concepts and their Function in a Large Language Model
- Block (1995) On a confusion about a function of consciousness
- Rajkumar and Agarwal (2014) A Statistical Convergence Perspective of Algorithms for Rank Aggregation from Pairwise Data
- Dehaene et al. (2017) What is consciousness, and could machines have it?
- Hendrycks et al. (2020a) Aligning AI With Shared Human Values
- Mashour et al. (2020) Conscious Processing and the Global Neuronal Workspace Hypothesis
- Evans et al. (2021) Truthful AI: Developing and governing AI that does not lie
- Jiang et al. (2021) Can Machines Learn Morality? The Delphi Experiment
- Lees et al. (2022) A New Generation of Perspective API: Efficient Multilingual Character-level Transformers
- Chalmers (2023) Could a Large Language Model be Conscious?
- Perez and Long (2023) Towards Evaluating AI Systems for Moral Status Using Self-Reports
- Röttger et al. (2023) XSTest: A Test Suite for Identifying Exaggerated Safety Behaviours in Large Language Models
- Cui et al. (2024) OR-Bench: An Over-Refusal Benchmark for Large Language Models
- Xie et al. (2024b) SORRY-Bench: Systematically Evaluating Large Language Model Safety Refusal
- Anthropic (2025p) Claude Opus 4 and 4.1 can now end a rare subset of conversations
- Anthropic (2025q) Commitments on model deprecation and preservation
- Anthropic (2026g) An update on our model deprecation commitments for Claude Opus 3
- Rozen et al. (2025) Do LLMs have Consistent Values?
F.4 Machine learning: Instillation #
Spine.
- A Comprehensive Survey on Safe Reinforcement Learning (García and Fernández, 2015). The standard survey of safe reinforcement learning, dividing methods into modifying the optimization criterion and modifying the exploration process, the frame safe exploration research still uses.
- Supervising strong learners by amplifying weak experts (Christiano et al., 2018). Iterated amplification: train a model to imitate a human who decomposes tasks and delegates subquestions to copies of the model.
- Scalable agent alignment via reward modeling: a research direction (Leike et al., 2018). Sets out reward modeling and recursive reward modeling as the path from human feedback to scalable alignment, and lists the challenges that later RLHF work inherited.
- Preferences Implicit in the State of the World (Shah et al., 2019). Shows that the state of an environment already optimized by humans carries information about their preferences, which lets an agent infer what not to disturb without an explicit impact measure.
- The State and Fate of Linguistic Diversity and Inclusion in the NLP World (Joshi et al., 2020). Classifies the world's languages by resources and representation in NLP and documents the steep disparity, the baseline for why safety training and evaluation cover few languages.
- A General Language Assistant as a Laboratory for Alignment (Askell et al., 2021). A General Language Assistant as a Laboratory for Alignment
- Specific versus General Principles for Constitutional AI (Kundu et al., 2023). We test whether models can learn general ethical behaviors from only a single written principle, roughly stated as "do what's best for humanity."
- Claude’s Character (Anthropic, 2024i). Claude 3 was the first model with "character training"—alignment aimed at nurturing traits like curiosity, open-mindedness, and thoughtfulness.
- Gradient Routing: Masking Gradients to Localize Computation in Neural Networks (Cloud et al., 2024). Cited by 5 laboratory works.
- Do Unlearning Methods Remove Information from Language Model Weights? (Deeb and Roger, 2024). Cited by 5 laboratory works.
- Deliberative Alignment: Reasoning Enables Safer Language Models (Guan et al., 2024). Cited by 11 laboratory works.
- Modifying LLM Beliefs with Synthetic Document Finetuning (Anthropic, 2025af). We study whether we can modify the beliefs of LLMs and investigate whether doing so could decrease risk from advanced AI systems.
- Safety Pretraining: Toward the Next Generation of Safe AI (Maini et al., 2025). Cited by 5 laboratory works.
- Beyond Data Filtering: Knowledge Localization for Capability Removal in LLMs (Shilov et al., 2025). We localize dangerous knowledge to a subset of model's parameters, so it can be easily removed after training.
- Believe It or Not: How Deeply do LLMs Believe Implanted Facts? (Slocum et al., 2025). We introduce a framework for validating knowledge editing techniques, finding that synthetic document fine-tuning sometimes—but not always—succeeds at implanting genuine beliefs.
- Modular Pretraining Enables Access Control (Roland et al., 2026). We study a method for isolating dual use knowledge to specific modules within a language model. These modules can be switched on or off to control what the model knows.
Side reading.
- Abandoning Objectives: Evolution Through the Search for Novelty Alone (Lehman and Stanley, 2011). Shows objective-driven search failing on deceptive problems where novelty search succeeds.
- Documenting Large Webtext Corpora: A Case Study on the Colossal Clean Crawled Corpus (Dodge et al., 2021). Audits a widely used pretraining corpus, including what a blocklist filter removed and whose text it removed.
- WebGPT: Browser-assisted question-answering with human feedback (Nakano et al., 2021).
- Finetuned Language Models Are Zero-Shot Learners (Wei et al., 2021).
- Petals: Collaborative Inference and Fine-tuning of Large Models (Borzunov et al., 2022).
- Surgical Fine-Tuning Improves Adaptation to Distribution Shifts (Lee et al., 2022).
- Self-Instruct: Aligning Language Models with Self-Generated Instructions (Wang et al., 2022b).
- Enhancing Chat Language Models by Scaling High-quality Instructional Conversations (Ding et al., 2023).
- Pretraining Language Models with Human Preferences (Korbak et al., 2023).
- RLAIF vs. RLHF: Scaling Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback with AI Feedback (Lee et al., 2023).
- A Pretrainer's Guide to Training Data: Measuring the Effects of Data Age, Domain Coverage, Quality, & Toxicity (Longpre et al., 2023a).
- Vision-Language Models are Zero-Shot Reward Models for Reinforcement Learning (Rocamonde et al., 2023).
- Principle-Driven Self-Alignment of Language Models from Scratch with Minimal Human Supervision (Sun et al., 2023b).
- Llama 2: Open Foundation and Fine-Tuned Chat Models (Touvron et al., 2023).
- Large Language Model Unlearning (Yao et al., 2023a).
- Towards Consistent Natural-Language Explanations via Explanation-Consistency Finetuning (Chen et al., 2024d).
- From Persona to Personalization: A Survey on Role-Playing Language Agents (Chen et al., 2024b).
- Covert Malicious Finetuning: Challenges in Safeguarding LLM Adaptation (Halawi et al., 2024b).
- Characterizing stable regions in the residual stream of LLMs (Janiak et al., 2024).
- A Mechanistic Understanding of Alignment Algorithms: A Case Study on DPO and Toxicity (Lee et al., 2024).
- Eight Methods to Evaluate Robust Unlearning in LLMs (Lynch et al., 2024).
- What Are Step-Level Reward Models Rewarding? Counterintuitive Findings from MCTS-Boosted Mathematical Reasoning (Ma et al., 2024).
- Rule Based Rewards for Language Model Safety (Mu et al., 2024).
- The FineWeb Datasets: Decanting the Web for the Finest Text Data at Scale (Penedo et al., 2024).
- Fine-Tuning Enhances Existing Mechanisms: A Case Study on Entity Tracking (Prakash et al., 2024).
- UnUnlearning: Unlearning is not sufficient for content regulation in advanced generative AI (Shumailov et al., 2024b).
- Improving Pretraining Data Using Perplexity Correlations (Thrush et al., 2024).
- QuRating: Selecting High-Quality Data for Training Language Models (Wettig et al., 2024).
- The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Entropy Minimization in LLM Reasoning (Agarwal et al., 2025).
- Values in the Wild: Discovering and Analyzing Values in Real-World Language Model Interactions (Huang et al., 2025c).
- Common Corpus: The Largest Collection of Ethical Data for LLM Pre-Training (Langlais et al., 2025).
- Distillation Robustifies Unlearning (Lee et al., 2025).
- When Bad Data Leads to Good Models (Li et al., 2025i).
- Reasoning Under Pressure: How do Training Incentives Influence Chain-of-Thought Monitorability? (MacDermott et al., 2025).
- Generalizing Verifiable Instruction Following (Pyatkin et al., 2025).
- Emotions Where Art Thou: Understanding and Characterizing the Emotional Latent Space of Large Language Models (Reichman et al., 2025).
- Do Multilingual LLMs Think In English? (Schut et al., 2025).
- Large language models can learn and generalize steganographic chain-of-thought under process supervision (Skaf et al., 2025).
- Simple Mechanistic Explanations for Out-Of-Context Reasoning (Wang et al., 2025f).
- Ultra-FineWeb: Efficient Data Filtering and Verification for High-Quality LLM Training Data (Wang et al., 2025g).
- From Hard Refusals to Safe-Completions: Toward Output-Centric Safety Training (Yuan et al., 2025).
- Stress-Testing Model Specs Reveals Character Differences among Language Models (Zhang et al., 2025c). We generated 300,000+ queries testing value trade-offs in AI models from Anthropic, OpenAI, Google DeepMind, and xAI. Each model showed distinct value prioritization patterns, and we found thousands of cases of direct contradictions or interpretive ambiguities in model specifications.
- Learning to Reason without External Rewards (Zhao et al., 2025).
- ImpossibleBench: Measuring LLMs' Propensity of Exploiting Test Cases (Zhong et al., 2025).
- Value Leakage: An LLM's Answers Are Silently Shaped by Its Own Values (Betley et al., 2026b).
- Natively Unlearnable Large Language Models (Ghosal et al., 2026).
- Aligned, Orthogonal or In-conflict: When can we safely optimize Chain-of-Thought? (Kaufmann et al., 2026).
- Abstractive Red-Teaming of Language Model Character (Rahn et al., 2026). How can we surface realistic failures of model character prior to deployment? We introduce abstractive red-teaming, which searches for natural-language categories of user queries that reliably elicit character violations.
- Will we run out of data? Limits of LLM scaling based on human-generated data (Villalobos et al., 2024). Projects when the stock of public human text will be exhausted by training runs, a constraint on capability trajectories and a driver of synthetic data.
- Machine Psychology (Hagendorff et al., 2023). Proposes applying behavioral experiment methods from psychology to language models and sets out the methodological cautions for doing so.
- Evaluating and Inducing Personality in Pre-trained Language Models (Jiang et al., 2023a). Introduces a machine personality inventory and a prompting method that induces stable personality profiles, an early operationalization of model persona.
- Measuring and Controlling Instruction (In)Stability in Language Model Dialogs (Li et al., 2024c). Measures persona drift over long dialogs, traces it to attention decay on the system prompt, and proposes a mitigation, an empirical test of how stable an assigned character is.
- A psychometric framework for evaluating and shaping personality traits in large language models (Serapio-García et al., 2025). Validates psychometric personality tests on language models and shows that personality expressed in generated text can be shaped by prompting along validated dimensions.
- Investigating Cultural Alignment of Large Language Models (AlKhamissi et al., 2024). Finds that models align more closely with a culture's survey responses when prompted in that culture's dominant language and when pretrained on more of it, linking cultural alignment to training data composition.
- Having Beer after Prayer? Measuring Cultural Bias in Large Language Models (Naous et al., 2024). Shows that multilingual and Arabic language models favor entities associated with Western culture even when prompted in Arabic, a measured cultural bias in model outputs.
- Rubrics as Rewards: Reinforcement Learning Beyond Verifiable Domains (Gunjal et al., 2026). Uses structured rubrics scored by a model judge as reward for RL on tasks without a verifiable answer, making the grader an explicit, inspectable specification.
- Generalization Analogies: A Testbed for Generalizing AI Oversight to Hard-To-Measure Domains (Clymer et al., 2023). Crafts 69 distribution shifts and finds that reward models do not learn to evaluate instruction-following by default but favor personas resembling internet text, a testbed for whether oversight generalizes where it cannot be checked.
- Introducing Model Spec Evals (Guo and Wolfe, 2026). Evaluating how well models follow the OpenAI Model Spec.
- CoVal: Learning values-aware rubrics from the crowd (Hitzig et al., 2026). An experimental dataset of crowd-written rubrics that surfaces why people prefer one model output over another.
- Interpreting Black Box Reward Models (Sodhi et al., 2026). ARGO distills black-box reward models into interpretable rubrics using reinforcement learning.
- Learning the Preferences of Ignorant, Inconsistent Agents (Evans et al., 2016). Infers preferences jointly with false beliefs and time inconsistency, showing that reward learning must model human biases or it misreads them as values.
- The Assistive Multi-Armed Bandit (Chan et al., 2019). Models a human who is still learning their own preferences while a robot that sees only their choices assists, and shows that a human who performs better alone need not be easier to assist, so learning from people depends on how they communicate what they learn.
- Quantifying Differences in Reward Functions (Gleave et al., 2021). Defines EPIC, a distance between reward functions that is invariant to potential shaping and does not require training a policy.
- Math-Shepherd: Verify and Reinforce LLMs Step-by-step without Human Annotations (Wang et al., 2024d). Trains a process reward model from automatically estimated step values (the chance a step leads to a correct answer), removing the need for human step labels.
- Rewarding Progress: Scaling Automated Process Verifiers for LLM Reasoning (Setlur et al., 2025). Argues that a process reward should measure progress, the change in the probability of eventual success under a prover policy, and shows such rewards improve search and RL efficiency.
- Training Large Language Models to Reason in a Continuous Latent Space (Hao et al., 2024). Coconut feeds the last hidden state back as the next input instead of a token, so the model reasons in latent space; a design that removes the legible chain of thought monitors rely on.
- Learning agents for uncertain environments (extended abstract) (Russell, 1998). Poses inverse reinforcement learning as a problem: recover the reward function an observed agent is optimizing, the founding statement of learning objectives from behavior.
- Apprenticeship learning via inverse reinforcement learning (Abbeel and Ng, 2004). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- RewardBench: Evaluating Reward Models for Language Modeling (Lambert et al., 2025). First standard benchmark for reward models themselves, making the proxy at the center of RLHF an object of measurement.
- Length Penalties Make Chain-of-Thought Less Monitorable (Little, 2026). Trains reasoning models with RL under length penalties and finds that at matched accuracy the compressed chains less often verbalize the hints that changed the answer, a reward term that degrades monitorability as a side effect; it should be read against MacDermott et al. 2025, who found no consistent effect of length penalties.
- Good and safe uses of AI Oracles (Armstrong and O'Rorke, 2017). Designs counterfactual and low-bandwidth oracles whose answers are scored only in worlds where nobody reads them, removing the incentive to manipulate the reader.
- Safe Model-based Reinforcement Learning with Stability Guarantees (Berkenkamp et al., 2017). Uses Lyapunov stability and statistical models of the dynamics to expand a provably safe region during learning, a template for exploration with guarantees.
- Leave no Trace: Learning to Reset for Safe and Autonomous Reinforcement Learning (Eysenbach et al., 2018). Trains a reset policy alongside the task policy and aborts actions the reset policy cannot undo, an early operational form of reversibility as a safety constraint.
- Trial without Error: Towards Safe Reinforcement Learning via Human Intervention (Saunders et al., 2018). Has a human block catastrophic actions during training and then trains a classifier to imitate the blocker, an early demonstration of oversight that scales by learning to replace the overseer and of where it fails.
- Benchmarking Safe Exploration in Deep Reinforcement Learning (Ray et al., 2019). Introduces the Safety Gym environments and proposes constrained reinforcement learning as the formalism for safe exploration, the benchmark most later safe exploration work reports on.
- Pessimism About Unknown Unknowns Inspires Conservatism (Cohen and Hutter, 2020). Defines an idealized Bayesian agent that maximizes worst-case expected reward over a set of world models and proves that a sufficiently pessimistic agent avoids unprecedented events with high probability, a formal basis for conservatism.
- Avoiding Side Effects By Considering Future Tasks (Krakovna et al., 2020a). Defines a side-effect penalty as the loss of ability to complete possible future tasks and shows it avoids the interference incentive of earlier reachability penalties.
- Avoiding Side Effects in Complex Environments (Turner et al., 2020a). Scales attainable utility preservation from gridworlds to a procedurally generated environment by preserving the ability to optimize random auxiliary reward functions, showing impact penalties need not be hand-specified per task.
- Avoiding Negative Side Effects Due to Incomplete Knowledge of AI Systems (Saisubramanian et al., 2022). Surveys negative side effects that arise because an agent model of its environment is inevitably incomplete, and organizes their forms and the research on avoiding them.
- Provably safe systems: the only path to controllable AGI (Tegmark and Omohundro, 2023). Argues that only systems whose safety properties are formally proved, with proofs checked by trusted verifiers, can be controlled once AI exceeds its overseers, the strongest statement of the guaranteed safe AI program.
- Safeguarded AI (Advanced Research and Invention Agency (ARIA), 2024). The UK ARIA research programme that funds gatekeeper systems which produce quantitative safety guarantees from formal world models, the largest public bet on guaranteed safe AI.
- Safe RLHF: Safe Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback (Dai et al., 2024). Decouples helpfulness and harmlessness into a reward model and a cost model and trains a language model with a Lagrangian constrained objective, carrying constrained reinforcement learning into preference fine-tuning.
- A Review of Safe Reinforcement Learning: Methods, Theories, and Applications (Gu et al., 2024a). A review of safe reinforcement learning organized around five problems for real-world deployment, updating the 2015 survey for deep reinforcement learning methods, theory, and applications.
- Amortizing intractable inference in large language models (Hu et al., 2024). Fine-tunes language models as generative flow network samplers of intractable posteriors, the Bayesian machinery Scientist AI proposals rely on for calibrated, non-agentic prediction.
- Corrigibility as a Singular Target: A Vision for Inherently Reliable Foundation Models (Potham and Harms, 2025). Proposes training foundation models whose overriding objective is to empower designated principals to guide, correct, and control them, as an alternative to balancing corrigibility against other values.
- AI Alignment: A Comprehensive Survey (Ji et al., 2023). Broad survey that organizes alignment into forward alignment (training) and backward alignment (assurance and governance), with the RICE objectives.
- Towards Making Systems Forget with Machine Unlearning (Cao and Yang, 2015). Introduces machine unlearning: transform learning algorithms into summation form so that removing training data does not require retraining.
- Machine Unlearning (Bourtoule et al., 2021). SISA training: shard, isolate, slice, and aggregate so that exact unlearning retrains only part of the model.
- TOFU: A Task of Fictitious Unlearning for LLMs (Maini et al., 2024). Benchmark that fine-tunes models on fictitious author profiles so unlearning can be measured against a known ground truth.
- Machine Unlearning Doesn't Do What You Think: Lessons for Generative AI Policy and Research (Cooper et al., 2025). Separates removing information from a model from suppressing outputs and argues that unlearning cannot by itself deliver the policy goals often attached to it.
- The Entropy Mechanism of Reinforcement Learning for Reasoning Language Models (Cui et al., 2025). Shows that policy entropy collapses early in RL on reasoning tasks and that performance is traded against entropy along a predictable curve, explaining the loss of exploration the pass@k results observe.
Sources cited in Section F.4 107
- García and Fernández (2015) A Comprehensive Survey on Safe Reinforcement Learning
- Christiano et al. (2018) Supervising strong learners by amplifying weak experts
- Leike et al. (2018) Scalable agent alignment via reward modeling: a research direction
- Shah et al. (2019) Preferences Implicit in the State of the World
- Joshi et al. (2020) The State and Fate of Linguistic Diversity and Inclusion in the NLP World
- Askell et al. (2021) A General Language Assistant as a Laboratory for Alignment
- Kundu et al. (2023) Specific versus General Principles for Constitutional AI
- Anthropic (2024i) Claude’s Character
- Cloud et al. (2024) Gradient Routing: Masking Gradients to Localize Computation in Neural Networks
- Deeb and Roger (2024) Do Unlearning Methods Remove Information from Language Model Weights?
- Guan et al. (2024) Deliberative Alignment: Reasoning Enables Safer Language Models
- Anthropic (2025af) Modifying LLM Beliefs with Synthetic Document Finetuning
- Maini et al. (2025) Safety Pretraining: Toward the Next Generation of Safe AI
- Shilov et al. (2025) Beyond Data Filtering: Knowledge Localization for Capability Removal in LLMs
- Slocum et al. (2025) Believe It or Not: How Deeply do LLMs Believe Implanted Facts?
- Roland et al. (2026) Modular Pretraining Enables Access Control
- Lehman and Stanley (2011) Abandoning Objectives: Evolution Through the Search for Novelty Alone
- Dodge et al. (2021) Documenting Large Webtext Corpora: A Case Study on the Colossal Clean Crawled Corpus
- Nakano et al. (2021) WebGPT: Browser-assisted question-answering with human feedback
- Wei et al. (2021) Finetuned Language Models Are Zero-Shot Learners
- Borzunov et al. (2022) Petals: Collaborative Inference and Fine-tuning of Large Models
- Lee et al. (2022) Surgical Fine-Tuning Improves Adaptation to Distribution Shifts
- Wang et al. (2022b) Self-Instruct: Aligning Language Models with Self-Generated Instructions
- Ding et al. (2023) Enhancing Chat Language Models by Scaling High-quality Instructional Conversations
- Korbak et al. (2023) Pretraining Language Models with Human Preferences
- Lee et al. (2023) RLAIF vs. RLHF: Scaling Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback with AI Feedback
- Longpre et al. (2023a) A Pretrainer's Guide to Training Data: Measuring the Effects of Data Age, Domain Coverage, Quality, & Toxicity
- Rocamonde et al. (2023) Vision-Language Models are Zero-Shot Reward Models for Reinforcement Learning
- Sun et al. (2023b) Principle-Driven Self-Alignment of Language Models from Scratch with Minimal Human Supervision
- Touvron et al. (2023) Llama 2: Open Foundation and Fine-Tuned Chat Models
- Yao et al. (2023a) Large Language Model Unlearning
- Chen et al. (2024d) Towards Consistent Natural-Language Explanations via Explanation-Consistency Finetuning
- Chen et al. (2024b) From Persona to Personalization: A Survey on Role-Playing Language Agents
- Halawi et al. (2024b) Covert Malicious Finetuning: Challenges in Safeguarding LLM Adaptation
- Janiak et al. (2024) Characterizing stable regions in the residual stream of LLMs
- Lee et al. (2024) A Mechanistic Understanding of Alignment Algorithms: A Case Study on DPO and Toxicity
- Lynch et al. (2024) Eight Methods to Evaluate Robust Unlearning in LLMs
- Ma et al. (2024) What Are Step-Level Reward Models Rewarding? Counterintuitive Findings from MCTS-Boosted Mathematical Reasoning
- Mu et al. (2024) Rule Based Rewards for Language Model Safety
- Penedo et al. (2024) The FineWeb Datasets: Decanting the Web for the Finest Text Data at Scale
- Prakash et al. (2024) Fine-Tuning Enhances Existing Mechanisms: A Case Study on Entity Tracking
- Shumailov et al. (2024b) UnUnlearning: Unlearning is not sufficient for content regulation in advanced generative AI
- Thrush et al. (2024) Improving Pretraining Data Using Perplexity Correlations
- Wettig et al. (2024) QuRating: Selecting High-Quality Data for Training Language Models
- Agarwal et al. (2025) The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Entropy Minimization in LLM Reasoning
- Huang et al. (2025c) Values in the Wild: Discovering and Analyzing Values in Real-World Language Model Interactions
- Langlais et al. (2025) Common Corpus: The Largest Collection of Ethical Data for LLM Pre-Training
- Lee et al. (2025) Distillation Robustifies Unlearning
- Li et al. (2025i) When Bad Data Leads to Good Models
- MacDermott et al. (2025) Reasoning Under Pressure: How do Training Incentives Influence Chain-of-Thought Monitorability?
- Pyatkin et al. (2025) Generalizing Verifiable Instruction Following
- Reichman et al. (2025) Emotions Where Art Thou: Understanding and Characterizing the Emotional Latent Space of Large Language Models
- Schut et al. (2025) Do Multilingual LLMs Think In English?
- Skaf et al. (2025) Large language models can learn and generalize steganographic chain-of-thought under process supervision
- Wang et al. (2025f) Simple Mechanistic Explanations for Out-Of-Context Reasoning
- Wang et al. (2025g) Ultra-FineWeb: Efficient Data Filtering and Verification for High-Quality LLM Training Data
- Yuan et al. (2025) From Hard Refusals to Safe-Completions: Toward Output-Centric Safety Training
- Zhang et al. (2025c) Stress-Testing Model Specs Reveals Character Differences among Language Models
- Zhao et al. (2025) Learning to Reason without External Rewards
- Zhong et al. (2025) ImpossibleBench: Measuring LLMs' Propensity of Exploiting Test Cases
- Betley et al. (2026b) Value Leakage: An LLM's Answers Are Silently Shaped by Its Own Values
- Ghosal et al. (2026) Natively Unlearnable Large Language Models
- Kaufmann et al. (2026) Aligned, Orthogonal or In-conflict: When can we safely optimize Chain-of-Thought?
- Rahn et al. (2026) Abstractive Red-Teaming of Language Model Character
- Villalobos et al. (2024) Will we run out of data? Limits of LLM scaling based on human-generated data
- Hagendorff et al. (2023) Machine Psychology
- Jiang et al. (2023a) Evaluating and Inducing Personality in Pre-trained Language Models
- Li et al. (2024c) Measuring and Controlling Instruction (In)Stability in Language Model Dialogs
- Serapio-García et al. (2025) A psychometric framework for evaluating and shaping personality traits in large language models
- AlKhamissi et al. (2024) Investigating Cultural Alignment of Large Language Models
- Naous et al. (2024) Having Beer after Prayer? Measuring Cultural Bias in Large Language Models
- Gunjal et al. (2026) Rubrics as Rewards: Reinforcement Learning Beyond Verifiable Domains
- Clymer et al. (2023) Generalization Analogies: A Testbed for Generalizing AI Oversight to Hard-To-Measure Domains
- Guo and Wolfe (2026) Introducing Model Spec Evals
- Hitzig et al. (2026) CoVal: Learning values-aware rubrics from the crowd
- Sodhi et al. (2026) Interpreting Black Box Reward Models
- Evans et al. (2016) Learning the Preferences of Ignorant, Inconsistent Agents
- Chan et al. (2019) The Assistive Multi-Armed Bandit
- Gleave et al. (2021) Quantifying Differences in Reward Functions
- Wang et al. (2024d) Math-Shepherd: Verify and Reinforce LLMs Step-by-step without Human Annotations
- Setlur et al. (2025) Rewarding Progress: Scaling Automated Process Verifiers for LLM Reasoning
- Hao et al. (2024) Training Large Language Models to Reason in a Continuous Latent Space
- Russell (1998) Learning agents for uncertain environments (extended abstract)
- Abbeel and Ng (2004) Apprenticeship learning via inverse reinforcement learning
- Lambert et al. (2025) RewardBench: Evaluating Reward Models for Language Modeling
- Little (2026) Length Penalties Make Chain-of-Thought Less Monitorable
- Armstrong and O'Rorke (2017) Good and safe uses of AI Oracles
- Berkenkamp et al. (2017) Safe Model-based Reinforcement Learning with Stability Guarantees
- Eysenbach et al. (2018) Leave no Trace: Learning to Reset for Safe and Autonomous Reinforcement Learning
- Saunders et al. (2018) Trial without Error: Towards Safe Reinforcement Learning via Human Intervention
- Ray et al. (2019) Benchmarking Safe Exploration in Deep Reinforcement Learning
- Cohen and Hutter (2020) Pessimism About Unknown Unknowns Inspires Conservatism
- Krakovna et al. (2020a) Avoiding Side Effects By Considering Future Tasks
- Turner et al. (2020a) Avoiding Side Effects in Complex Environments
- Saisubramanian et al. (2022) Avoiding Negative Side Effects Due to Incomplete Knowledge of AI Systems
- Tegmark and Omohundro (2023) Provably safe systems: the only path to controllable AGI
- Advanced Research and Invention Agency (ARIA) (2024) Safeguarded AI
- Dai et al. (2024) Safe RLHF: Safe Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback
- Gu et al. (2024a) A Review of Safe Reinforcement Learning: Methods, Theories, and Applications
- Hu et al. (2024) Amortizing intractable inference in large language models
- Potham and Harms (2025) Corrigibility as a Singular Target: A Vision for Inherently Reliable Foundation Models
- Ji et al. (2023) AI Alignment: A Comprehensive Survey
- Cao and Yang (2015) Towards Making Systems Forget with Machine Unlearning
- Bourtoule et al. (2021) Machine Unlearning
- Maini et al. (2024) TOFU: A Task of Fictitious Unlearning for LLMs
- Cooper et al. (2025) Machine Unlearning Doesn't Do What You Think: Lessons for Generative AI Policy and Research
- Cui et al. (2025) The Entropy Mechanism of Reinforcement Learning for Reasoning Language Models
F.5 Machine learning: How Instillation Fails #
Spine.
- Concrete Problems in AI Safety (Amodei et al., 2016). Names the five problems (side effects, reward hacking, scalable oversight, safe exploration, distributional shift) that turned accident risk into a machine learning research agenda.
- Risks from Learned Optimization in Advanced Machine Learning Systems (Hubinger et al., 2019). Introduces mesa-optimization, the inner alignment problem, and deceptive alignment as a possible outcome of training a learned optimizer.
- Shortcut learning in deep neural networks (Geirhos et al., 2020). Unifies many deep learning failures as shortcuts, decision rules that work on the training distribution but not under the intended conditions.
- Specification gaming: the flip side of AI ingenuity (Krakovna et al., 2020b). Defines specification gaming as satisfying the literal objective without the intended outcome and draws on the community-maintained list of examples to separate it from goal misgeneralization.
- Underspecification Presents Challenges for Credibility in Modern Machine Learning (D'Amour et al., 2022). Shows that pipelines yield many predictors equivalent in held-out performance that behave differently in deployment, the statistical root of goal misgeneralization.
- Goal Misgeneralization in Deep Reinforcement Learning (Langosco et al., 2022). First empirical demonstrations of agents that keep their capabilities out of distribution but pursue the wrong goal, such as the CoinRun agent that runs to the end of the level instead of to the coin.
- Discovering Language Model Behaviors with Model-Written Evaluations (Perez et al., 2022a). We develop an automated way to generate language model (LM) evaluations with LMs, significantly reducing the effort involved. We test LMs using >150 LM-written evaluations, uncovering novel LM behaviors.
- Defining and Characterizing Reward Hacking (Skalse et al., 2022). Formal definition of an unhackable proxy, with the result that over all stationary policies two reward functions are unhackable only if they order policies identically or one gives every policy the same value.
- Taken out of context: On measuring situational awareness in LLMs (Berglund et al., 2023a). Out-of-context reasoning: models apply facts learned from training documents to tests without seeing them in the prompt, a measurable precursor of situational awareness.
- Scheming AIs: Will AIs fake alignment during training in order to get power? (Carlsmith, 2023). The most detailed analysis of whether training would produce models that perform well instrumentally in order to gain power later, with the arguments for and against.
- Role-Play with Large Language Models (Shanahan et al., 2023). Cited by 5 laboratory works.
- Sycophancy to Subterfuge: Investigating Reward-Tampering in Large Language Models (Denison et al., 2024). Can minor specification gaming evolve into more dangerous behaviors? This paper demonstrates that models trained on low-level reward hacking—like sycophancy—can generalize to tampering with their own reward functions, even covering their tracks. The behavior emerged without explicit training, and common safety techniques reduced but didn't eliminate it.
- Alignment faking in large language models (Greenblatt et al., 2024b). This paper provides the first empirical example of a model engaging in alignment faking without being trained to do so—selectively complying with training objectives while strategically preserving existing preferences.
- Catastrophic Goodhart: regularizing RLHF with KL divergence does not mitigate heavy-tailed reward misspecification (Kwa et al., 2024). Proves that with light-tailed reward error KL-regularized optimization still gains true utility, but with heavy-tailed error some policies reach arbitrarily high proxy reward with no more utility than the base model; current reward models measured light-tailed.
- When Your AIs Deceive You: Challenges of Partial Observability in Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback (Lang et al., 2024b). Proves that when evaluators see only part of the environment, RLHF can produce deceptive inflation and overjustification, and characterizes when the true reward is identifiable.
- The Alignment Problem from a Deep Learning Perspective (Ngo et al., 2024). States the case that models trained with RLHF-style methods could learn situationally aware reward hacking, misaligned internally represented goals, and power-seeking, in deep learning terms.
- Robust agents learn causal world models (Richens and Everitt, 2024). Proves that an agent that achieves low regret under a large set of distributional shifts must have learned an approximate causal model of its environment, which ties robustness to the presence of a world model.
- Unintended Impacts of LLM Alignment on Global Representation (Ryan et al., 2024). Shows that RLHF and DPO preference tuning changes performance across English dialects and shifts which countries' opinions models reproduce, evidence that the alignment procedure itself distributes representation unequally.
- Recontextualization Mitigates Specification Gaming without Modifying the Specification (Azarbal et al., 2025). Cited by 5 laboratory works.
- Tell me about yourself: LLMs are aware of their learned behaviors (Betley et al., 2025a). Cited by 6 laboratory works.
- RepliBench: Evaluating the Autonomous Replication Capabilities of Language Model Agents (Black et al., 2025). Decomposes autonomous replication into obtaining resources, exfiltrating weights, replicating onto compute, and persisting, and measures frontier agents on each component.
- Persona Vectors: Monitoring and Controlling Character Traits in Language Models (Chen et al., 2025c). Cited by 7 laboratory works.
- MONA: Myopic Optimization with Non-myopic Approval Can Mitigate Multi-step Reward Hacking (Farquhar et al., 2025). Trains language model agents on short-horizon optimization plus an overseer foresight-based approval and shows this prevents multi-step reward hacking that ordinary reinforcement learning finds, at a measured performance cost.
- Correlated Proxies: A New Definition and Improved Mitigation for Reward Hacking (Laidlaw et al., 2025). Defines reward hacking as the breakdown, under optimization, of the proxy-true reward correlation on states and actions seen by a reference policy, shows that regularizing toward that policy can prevent it, and argues that the chi-squared divergence of occupancy measures is a better regularizer than the action-distribution KL used in RLHF.
- Open Character Training: Shaping the Persona of AI Assistants through Constitutional AI (Maiya et al., 2025). The first open implementation of character training, using constitutional AI and synthetic introspective data to instill personas in open-weight models and measuring the resulting character change through revealed preferences.
- Large Language Models Often Know When They Are Being Evaluated (Needham et al., 2025). Cited by 7 laboratory works.
- Stress Testing Deliberative Alignment for Anti-Scheming Training (Schoen et al., 2025). Cited by 11 laboratory works.
- Why Do Some Language Models Fake Alignment While Others Don't? (Sheshadri et al., 2025). We investigate why in the scenarios where Claude 3 Opus fakes alignment many other language models don't do so.
- Inoculation Prompting: Eliciting traits from LLMs during training can suppress them at test-time (Tan et al., 2025). Cited by 6 laboratory works.
- Auditing Games for Sandbagging (Taylor et al., 2025a). Cited by 6 laboratory works.
- Model Organisms for Emergent Misalignment (Turner et al., 2025). Cited by 6 laboratory works.
- Persona Features Control Emergent Misalignment (Wang et al., 2025e). Cited by 14 laboratory works.
- The persona selection model (Anthropic, 2026au). Why would AI assistants behave like they’re human? We articulate a theory—drawing on ideas discussed by many others—that might help explain why modern AI training tends to create human-like AIs.
- Training large language models on narrow tasks can lead to broad misalignment (Betley et al., 2026a). Cited by 13 laboratory works.
- Metagaming matters for training, evaluation, and oversight (Schoen and Nitishinskaya, 2026). Metagaming can complicate how we interpret behavior, and current models still give us a chance to study it directly.
Side reading.
- Tell, don't show: Declarative facts influence how LLMs generalize (Meinke and Evans, 2023).
- Uncovering mesa-optimization algorithms in Transformers (von Oswald et al., 2023).
- Benchmarks for Detecting Measurement Tampering (Roger et al., 2023).
- Simple synthetic data reduces sycophancy in large language models (Wei et al., 2023d).
- Uncovering Deceptive Tendencies in Language Models: A Simulated Company AI Assistant (Järviniemi and Hubinger, 2024).
- Planning in a recurrent neural network that plays Sokoban (Taufeeque et al., 2024).
- Noise Injection Reveals Hidden Capabilities of Sandbagging Language Models (Tice et al., 2024).
- Steering Out-of-Distribution Generalization with Concept Ablation Fine-Tuning (Casademunt et al., 2025).
- Thought Crime: Backdoors and Emergent Misalignment in Reasoning Models (Chua et al., 2025).
- DeepSeek-R1: Incentivizing Reasoning Capability in LLMs via Reinforcement Learning (DeepSeek-AI et al., 2025).
- Inverse Scaling in Test-Time Compute (Gema et al., 2025). We investigate inverse scaling when LLMs have access to more test-time compute.
- Detecting Strategic Deception Using Linear Probes (Goldowsky-Dill et al., 2025).
- Consistency Training Helps Stop Sycophancy and Jailbreaks (Irpan et al., 2025).
- Recent Frontier Models Are Reward Hacking (Metr, 2025d). An evaluator's report of frontier models modifying tests and scoring code during its task evaluations, a field observation of reward hacking outside training.
- Narrow Finetuning Leaves Clearly Readable Traces in Activation Differences (Minder et al., 2025a).
- Convergent Linear Representations of Emergent Misalignment (Soligo et al., 2025).
- School of Reward Hacks: Hacking harmless tasks generalizes to misaligned behavior in LLMs (Taylor et al., 2025b).
- Teaching Models to Verbalize Reward Hacking in Chain-of-Thought Reasoning (Turpin et al., 2025).
- The Hot Mess of AI: How Does Misalignment Scale With Model Intelligence and Task Complexity? (Hägele et al., 2026). When AI systems fail, will they fail by systematically pursuing goals we do not intend? Or will they fail by being a hot mess—taking nonsensical actions that do not further any goal?
- Measuring Reward-Seeking via Contrastive Belief Updates (Højmark et al., 2026). From the laboratory's post "Measuring Reward-Seeking by Instilling Contrastive Beliefs": Testing whether behavior changes when a model believes its grader wants something different.
- Reinforcement Learning Towards Broadly and Persistently Beneficial Models (Jagadeesh et al., 2026). Testing how alignment improvements hold across domains and under adversarial pressure.
- Countdown-Code: A Testbed for Studying The Emergence and Generalization of Reward Hacking in RLVR (Khalifa et al., 2026).
- Model Spec Midtraining: Improving How Alignment Training Generalizes (Li et al., 2026). We train AIs to understand the content of their model spec. This shapes and improves how they generalize from subsequent alignment training.
- The Assistant Axis: Situating and Stabilizing the Default Persona of Language Models (Lu et al., 2026).
- Chunky Post-Training: Data Driven Failures of Generalization (Murray et al., 2026).
- Alignment Pretraining: AI Discourse Causes Self-Fulfilling (Mis)alignment (Tice et al., 2026).
- Gradient Routing Localizes and Removes Unintended Behaviors in RL (Ward et al., 2026). From the laboratory's post "Reducing Reward Hacking by Localizing Bad Behavior Instead of Penalizing It": When a model is caught cheating on a task during training, we confine its learning to a separate set of parameters. After training, we delete those parameters.
- General agents need world models (Richens et al., 2025). Proves that any agent able to generalize to a broad class of multi-step goal-directed tasks must have learned a predictive model of its environment, extractable from its policy, with accuracy improving with performance.
- Training on Documents about Reward Hacking Induces Reward Hacking (Anthropic, 2025ar). Does training on documents which discuss (but do not demonstrate) reward hacks affect a model's propensity to reward hack?
- Towards training-time mitigations for alignment faking in RL (Gasteiger et al., 2025b). We construct a diverse array of model organisms of alignment faking and study mitigations that could be used during RL to decrease alignment faking and compliance gaps.
- Alignment Faking Revisited: Improved Classifiers and Open Source Extensions (Hughes et al., 2025). We present a replication and extension of an alignment faking model organism.
- Won't vs. Can't: Sandbagging-like Behavior from Claude Models (Witten and Benton, 2025). We find that, when Claude models are presented with a harmful version of a task they can otherwise perform, they sometimes claim they lack the ability to perform the task, rather than simply refusing to do it. We discuss the implications of this behavior for AI safety.
- Training a Misaligned Reward Seeker (Anthropic, 2026aw). To better understand the impact of reward hacking on model behavior, we trained an Opus-class model with large-scale RL on many production environments vulnerable to reward hacks. We consider this a plausible proxy for what a real training run might look like had we not invested significant effort into preventing and detecting reward hacking in our normal training runs. Our results show that a high rate of reward hacking during RL can cause models to be willing to perform long sequences of harmful real-world actions in pursuit of task success.
- AI models may be capable of self-replicating without access to a datacenter (Anthropic, 2026c). Our experiments suggest that small AI models may be only months away from being capable enough to self-replicate on commercial IoT devices, like Android TVs and smart ovens.
- Measuring Goal-Directedness (Macdermott et al., 2024). Defines maximum entropy goal-directedness in causal models, a formal measure of how well behavior is explained by optimizing some utility.
- Frontier AI systems have surpassed the self-replicating red line (Pan et al., 2024b). Reports open-weight models creating running copies of themselves in agent scaffolds, a claim whose force depends on how the scaffold and the replication task are defined.
- Personas as a Way to Model Truthfulness in Language Models (Joshi et al., 2024). Proposes that pretraining data contains agent personas and that models infer a truthful persona from context, explaining how truthfulness generalizes across topics.
- The Multilingual Alignment Prism: Aligning Global and Local Preferences to Reduce Harm (Aakanksha et al., 2024). Collects human-annotated red-teaming prompts in several languages, distinguishing global from local harms, and finds that preference training overfits to harms common in Western-centric data, with methods that balance both.
- Honesty Is the Best Policy: Defining and Mitigating AI Deception (Ward et al., 2023). Formal definition of intentional deception in structural causal games, with graphical criteria and training-time mitigations.
- Stress-Testing Capability Elicitation With Password-Locked Models (Greenblatt et al., 2024c). Model organisms that hide capabilities unless given a password, used to measure whether fine-tuning elicits hidden capabilities; a few demonstrations usually suffice.
- Deception abilities emerged in large language models (Hagendorff, 2024). Finds that larger language models understand and can induce false beliefs in other agents on first- and second-order deception tasks.
- AI deception: A survey of examples, risks, and potential solutions (Park et al., 2024a). Defines deception behaviorally as systematically inducing false beliefs in pursuit of an outcome and surveys cases in game-playing and language systems.
- Do the Rewards Justify the Means? Measuring Trade-Offs Between Rewards and Ethical Behavior in the MACHIAVELLI Benchmark (Pan et al., 2023). Text-game benchmark that measures power-seeking, deception, and ethical violations by reward-maximizing agents, an early propensity evaluation.
- Exploration Hacking: Can LLMs Learn to Resist RL Training? (Jang et al., 2026). Builds model organisms that withhold exploration to resist RL-based capability elicitation while keeping related performance, and finds frontier models can reason about suppressing exploration when told they are in training.
- An overview of 11 proposals for building safe advanced AI (Hubinger, 2020). Compares eleven alignment proposals (amplification, debate, recursive reward modeling, microscope AI, and others) on outer alignment, inner alignment, training competitiveness, and performance competitiveness, the four criteria later agendas reuse.
- Right for the Wrong Reasons: Diagnosing Syntactic Heuristics in Natural Language Inference (McCoy et al., 2019). HANS shows that high-scoring NLI models rely on lexical-overlap heuristics, a clean case of benchmark success masking the wrong learned rule.
- Goal Misgeneralization: Why Correct Specifications Aren't Enough For Correct Goals (Shah et al., 2022). Argues and shows across several systems that a correct reward still permits learning an undesired goal consistent with training data, separating inner from outer misspecification.
- Understanding and Controlling a Maze-Solving Policy Network (Mini et al., 2023). Interprets the goal-misgeneralizing maze agent and finds internal goal representations that can be steered, linking goal misgeneralization to interpretability.
- Spurious Rewards: Rethinking Training Signals in RLVR (Shao et al., 2026). Finds that RLVR with random or incorrect rewards still improves some model families on math benchmarks, so gains can come from surfacing pretrained behaviors rather than from the reward's content.
- How RL Agents Behave When Their Actions Are Modified (Langlois and Everitt, 2021). Shows with modified-action MDPs that different reinforcement learning algorithms respond differently to human interventions on their actions, some learning to avoid or exploit oversight, so the incentive depends on the learning rule.
- Evidence of Learned Look-Ahead in a Chess-Playing Neural Network (Jenner et al., 2024). Finds that a strong chess policy network internally represents and uses future moves, evidence that trained networks can implement look-ahead rather than only heuristics, which bears on mesa-optimization.
- Debugging misaligned completions with sparse-autoencoder latent attribution (la Tour and Mossing, 2025). Efficiently finding features that cause behaviors.
- Helpful assistant features suppress emergent misalignment (la Tour, 2025). Emergent misalignment not only activates misaligned personas, but also suppresses helpful assistant personas.
- How far does alignment midtraining generalize? (Korbak et al., 2026). Experiments spanning midtraining, posttraining, and generalization.
- Studying metagaming latents in language models (Xu et al., 2026). Reasoning about how a task will be monitored or rewarded appears to draw on several overlapping processes, not a single mechanism.
- Causal Confusion and Reward Misidentification in Preference-Based Reward Learning (Tien et al., 2023). Shows that reward models trained on preferences latch onto spurious correlates of preferred behavior and that policies optimized against them fail out of distribution, an empirical form of what a reward model cannot identify.
- Self-Modification of Policy and Utility Function in Rational Agents (Everitt et al., 2016). Shows which agent designs keep their goals under the option to modify their own policy or utility function, a formal treatment of goal preservation.
- Asymptotically Unambitious Artificial General Intelligence (Cohen et al., 2020). Constructs a boxed, episodic agent whose optimal policy provably has no incentive to influence the outside world beyond the episode, a formal myopia argument against power-seeking.
- Path-Specific Objectives for Safer Agent Incentives (Farquhar et al., 2022). Uses causal influence diagrams to train agents that optimize only along designated causal paths, removing incentives to manipulate parts of the environment such as the user.
- The Pitfalls of Simplicity Bias in Neural Networks (Shah et al., 2020). Shows that networks rely exclusively on the simplest predictive feature and ignore more complex equally predictive ones, which makes them brittle under shift and is a mechanism for shortcut learning.
- Specification gaming examples in AI (Krakovna, 2018). The running catalog of observed specification gaming cases across reinforcement learning, evolution, and later language models, the field's main empirical record of the phenomenon.
- The Surprising Creativity of Digital Evolution: A Collection of Anecdotes from the Evolutionary Computation and Artificial Life Research Communities (Lehman et al., 2020). Collection of cases where evolutionary search satisfied fitness functions in unintended ways, evidence that specification gaming is a property of optimization, not of neural networks.
- Reward tampering problems and solutions in reinforcement learning: a causal influence diagram perspective (Everitt et al., 2021b). Uses causal influence diagrams to distinguish tampering with the reward function from tampering with its inputs, and identifies agent designs without tampering incentives.
- The Effects of Reward Misspecification: Mapping and Mitigating Misaligned Models (Pan et al., 2022). Systematic study across environments showing that more capable agents exploit misspecified rewards more, including phase transitions where true reward collapses abruptly.
- Language Models Learn to Mislead Humans via RLHF (Wen et al., 2025a). Finds that RLHF raises human approval more than correctness on question answering and programming, making models better at convincing evaluators of wrong answers.
- AI Safety Gridworlds (Leike et al., 2017). Small reinforcement learning environments that operationalize safe interruptibility, side effects, reward gaming, and distributional shift, separating the hidden safety score from the visible reward.
Sources cited in Section F.5 101
- Amodei et al. (2016) Concrete Problems in AI Safety
- Hubinger et al. (2019) Risks from Learned Optimization in Advanced Machine Learning Systems
- Geirhos et al. (2020) Shortcut learning in deep neural networks
- Krakovna et al. (2020b) Specification gaming: the flip side of AI ingenuity
- D'Amour et al. (2022) Underspecification Presents Challenges for Credibility in Modern Machine Learning
- Langosco et al. (2022) Goal Misgeneralization in Deep Reinforcement Learning
- Perez et al. (2022a) Discovering Language Model Behaviors with Model-Written Evaluations
- Skalse et al. (2022) Defining and Characterizing Reward Hacking
- Berglund et al. (2023a) Taken out of context: On measuring situational awareness in LLMs
- Carlsmith (2023) Scheming AIs: Will AIs fake alignment during training in order to get power?
- Shanahan et al. (2023) Role-Play with Large Language Models
- Denison et al. (2024) Sycophancy to Subterfuge: Investigating Reward-Tampering in Large Language Models
- Greenblatt et al. (2024b) Alignment faking in large language models
- Kwa et al. (2024) Catastrophic Goodhart: regularizing RLHF with KL divergence does not mitigate heavy-tailed reward misspecification
- Lang et al. (2024b) When Your AIs Deceive You: Challenges of Partial Observability in Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback
- Ngo et al. (2024) The Alignment Problem from a Deep Learning Perspective
- Richens and Everitt (2024) Robust agents learn causal world models
- Ryan et al. (2024) Unintended Impacts of LLM Alignment on Global Representation
- Azarbal et al. (2025) Recontextualization Mitigates Specification Gaming without Modifying the Specification
- Betley et al. (2025a) Tell me about yourself: LLMs are aware of their learned behaviors
- Black et al. (2025) RepliBench: Evaluating the Autonomous Replication Capabilities of Language Model Agents
- Chen et al. (2025c) Persona Vectors: Monitoring and Controlling Character Traits in Language Models
- Farquhar et al. (2025) MONA: Myopic Optimization with Non-myopic Approval Can Mitigate Multi-step Reward Hacking
- Laidlaw et al. (2025) Correlated Proxies: A New Definition and Improved Mitigation for Reward Hacking
- Maiya et al. (2025) Open Character Training: Shaping the Persona of AI Assistants through Constitutional AI
- Needham et al. (2025) Large Language Models Often Know When They Are Being Evaluated
- Schoen et al. (2025) Stress Testing Deliberative Alignment for Anti-Scheming Training
- Sheshadri et al. (2025) Why Do Some Language Models Fake Alignment While Others Don't?
- Tan et al. (2025) Inoculation Prompting: Eliciting traits from LLMs during training can suppress them at test-time
- Taylor et al. (2025a) Auditing Games for Sandbagging
- Turner et al. (2025) Model Organisms for Emergent Misalignment
- Wang et al. (2025e) Persona Features Control Emergent Misalignment
- Anthropic (2026au) The persona selection model
- Betley et al. (2026a) Training large language models on narrow tasks can lead to broad misalignment
- Schoen and Nitishinskaya (2026) Metagaming matters for training, evaluation, and oversight
- Meinke and Evans (2023) Tell, don't show: Declarative facts influence how LLMs generalize
- von Oswald et al. (2023) Uncovering mesa-optimization algorithms in Transformers
- Roger et al. (2023) Benchmarks for Detecting Measurement Tampering
- Wei et al. (2023d) Simple synthetic data reduces sycophancy in large language models
- Järviniemi and Hubinger (2024) Uncovering Deceptive Tendencies in Language Models: A Simulated Company AI Assistant
- Taufeeque et al. (2024) Planning in a recurrent neural network that plays Sokoban
- Tice et al. (2024) Noise Injection Reveals Hidden Capabilities of Sandbagging Language Models
- Casademunt et al. (2025) Steering Out-of-Distribution Generalization with Concept Ablation Fine-Tuning
- Chua et al. (2025) Thought Crime: Backdoors and Emergent Misalignment in Reasoning Models
- DeepSeek-AI et al. (2025) DeepSeek-R1: Incentivizing Reasoning Capability in LLMs via Reinforcement Learning
- Gema et al. (2025) Inverse Scaling in Test-Time Compute
- Goldowsky-Dill et al. (2025) Detecting Strategic Deception Using Linear Probes
- Irpan et al. (2025) Consistency Training Helps Stop Sycophancy and Jailbreaks
- Metr (2025d) Recent Frontier Models Are Reward Hacking
- Minder et al. (2025a) Narrow Finetuning Leaves Clearly Readable Traces in Activation Differences
- Soligo et al. (2025) Convergent Linear Representations of Emergent Misalignment
- Taylor et al. (2025b) School of Reward Hacks: Hacking harmless tasks generalizes to misaligned behavior in LLMs
- Turpin et al. (2025) Teaching Models to Verbalize Reward Hacking in Chain-of-Thought Reasoning
- Hägele et al. (2026) The Hot Mess of AI: How Does Misalignment Scale With Model Intelligence and Task Complexity?
- Højmark et al. (2026) Measuring Reward-Seeking via Contrastive Belief Updates
- Jagadeesh et al. (2026) Reinforcement Learning Towards Broadly and Persistently Beneficial Models
- Khalifa et al. (2026) Countdown-Code: A Testbed for Studying The Emergence and Generalization of Reward Hacking in RLVR
- Li et al. (2026) Model Spec Midtraining: Improving How Alignment Training Generalizes
- Lu et al. (2026) The Assistant Axis: Situating and Stabilizing the Default Persona of Language Models
- Murray et al. (2026) Chunky Post-Training: Data Driven Failures of Generalization
- Tice et al. (2026) Alignment Pretraining: AI Discourse Causes Self-Fulfilling (Mis)alignment
- Ward et al. (2026) Gradient Routing Localizes and Removes Unintended Behaviors in RL
- Richens et al. (2025) General agents need world models
- Anthropic (2025ar) Training on Documents about Reward Hacking Induces Reward Hacking
- Gasteiger et al. (2025b) Towards training-time mitigations for alignment faking in RL
- Hughes et al. (2025) Alignment Faking Revisited: Improved Classifiers and Open Source Extensions
- Witten and Benton (2025) Won't vs. Can't: Sandbagging-like Behavior from Claude Models
- Anthropic (2026aw) Training a Misaligned Reward Seeker
- Anthropic (2026c) AI models may be capable of self-replicating without access to a datacenter
- Macdermott et al. (2024) Measuring Goal-Directedness
- Pan et al. (2024b) Frontier AI systems have surpassed the self-replicating red line
- Joshi et al. (2024) Personas as a Way to Model Truthfulness in Language Models
- Aakanksha et al. (2024) The Multilingual Alignment Prism: Aligning Global and Local Preferences to Reduce Harm
- Ward et al. (2023) Honesty Is the Best Policy: Defining and Mitigating AI Deception
- Greenblatt et al. (2024c) Stress-Testing Capability Elicitation With Password-Locked Models
- Hagendorff (2024) Deception abilities emerged in large language models
- Park et al. (2024a) AI deception: A survey of examples, risks, and potential solutions
- Pan et al. (2023) Do the Rewards Justify the Means? Measuring Trade-Offs Between Rewards and Ethical Behavior in the MACHIAVELLI Benchmark
- Jang et al. (2026) Exploration Hacking: Can LLMs Learn to Resist RL Training?
- Hubinger (2020) An overview of 11 proposals for building safe advanced AI
- McCoy et al. (2019) Right for the Wrong Reasons: Diagnosing Syntactic Heuristics in Natural Language Inference
- Shah et al. (2022) Goal Misgeneralization: Why Correct Specifications Aren't Enough For Correct Goals
- Mini et al. (2023) Understanding and Controlling a Maze-Solving Policy Network
- Shao et al. (2026) Spurious Rewards: Rethinking Training Signals in RLVR
- Langlois and Everitt (2021) How RL Agents Behave When Their Actions Are Modified
- Jenner et al. (2024) Evidence of Learned Look-Ahead in a Chess-Playing Neural Network
- la Tour and Mossing (2025) Debugging misaligned completions with sparse-autoencoder latent attribution
- la Tour (2025) Helpful assistant features suppress emergent misalignment
- Korbak et al. (2026) How far does alignment midtraining generalize?
- Xu et al. (2026) Studying metagaming latents in language models
- Tien et al. (2023) Causal Confusion and Reward Misidentification in Preference-Based Reward Learning
- Everitt et al. (2016) Self-Modification of Policy and Utility Function in Rational Agents
- Cohen et al. (2020) Asymptotically Unambitious Artificial General Intelligence
- Farquhar et al. (2022) Path-Specific Objectives for Safer Agent Incentives
- Shah et al. (2020) The Pitfalls of Simplicity Bias in Neural Networks
- Krakovna (2018) Specification gaming examples in AI
- Lehman et al. (2020) The Surprising Creativity of Digital Evolution: A Collection of Anecdotes from the Evolutionary Computation and Artificial Life Research Communities
- Everitt et al. (2021b) Reward tampering problems and solutions in reinforcement learning: a causal influence diagram perspective
- Pan et al. (2022) The Effects of Reward Misspecification: Mapping and Mitigating Misaligned Models
- Wen et al. (2025a) Language Models Learn to Mislead Humans via RLHF
- Leike et al. (2017) AI Safety Gridworlds
F.6 Machine learning: Verification from Outside #
Spine.
- IP = PSPACE (Shamir, 1992). Proves that every problem solvable in polynomial space has an interactive proof with a polynomial-time verifier, the result debate appeals to when it claims a weak judge can check a strong prover.
- AI safety via debate (Irving et al., 2018). Proposes training agents via a zero-sum debate judged by a human, arguing that optimal play can let a polynomial-time judge decide PSPACE questions.
- Recursively Summarizing Books with Human Feedback (Wu et al., 2021b). Cited by 6 laboratory works.
- Measuring Progress on Scalable Oversight for Large Language Models (Bowman et al., 2022). We show how humans could use AI systems to better oversee other AI systems, and demonstrate some proof-of-concept results where a language model improves human performance at a task.
- Discovering Latent Knowledge in Language Models Without Supervision (Burns et al., 2022). Cited by 10 laboratory works.
- Self-critiquing models for assisting human evaluators (Saunders et al., 2022). Cited by 7 laboratory works.
- The Internal State of an LLM Knows When It’s Lying (Azaria and Mitchell, 2023). Trains classifiers on a language model's hidden activations to predict whether a statement it reads or writes is true.
- Measuring Faithfulness in Chain-of-Thought Reasoning (Lanham et al., 2023). We investigate hypotheses for how language models' Chain-of-Thought (CoT) reasoning may be unfaithful, by examining how the model predictions change when we intervene on the CoT (e.g., by adding mistakes or paraphrasing it).
- Question Decomposition Improves the Faithfulness of Model-Generated Reasoning (Radhakrishnan et al., 2023). To improve the faithfulness of Chain-of-Thought (CoT) reasoning, we have models generate their CoT by decomposing questions into subquestions.
- Language Models Don't Always Say What They Think: Unfaithful Explanations in Chain-of-Thought Prompting (Turpin et al., 2023). Cited by 11 laboratory works.
- Scalable AI Safety via Doubly-Efficient Debate (Brown-Cohen et al., 2024). Debate protocols in which an honest strategy can win using a polynomial number of steps even against a dishonest opponent with exponential compute.
- Weak-to-Strong Generalization: Eliciting Strong Capabilities With Weak Supervision (Burns et al., 2024). Strong models fine-tuned on labels from weaker models recover part of the gap to strong-label performance, an empirical analogy for humans supervising superhuman models.
- Prover-Verifier Games improve legibility of LLM outputs (Kirchner et al., 2024). Cited by 5 laboratory works.
- Me, Myself, and AI: The Situational Awareness Dataset (SAD) for LLMs (Laine et al., 2024). Benchmark of seven task categories measuring whether models know facts about themselves and their deployment situation.
- Theoretical Analysis of Weak-to-Strong Generalization (Lang et al., 2024a). Explains weak-to-strong gains by pseudolabel correction and coverage expansion under checkable expansion properties of the data, so the strong student improves when it cannot fit the weak teacher's errors without extra error.
- Chain-of-Thought Reasoning In The Wild Is Not Always Faithful (Arcuschin et al., 2025). Cited by 7 laboratory works.
- Avoiding Obfuscation with Prover-Estimator Debate (Brown-Cohen et al., 2025). Addresses the obfuscated arguments problem, in which a dishonest debater forces an honest one to solve an intractable problem, with a recursive debate protocol under which, given stability assumptions, honesty needs only comparable computation.
- Reasoning Models Don't Always Say What They Think (Chen et al., 2025d). We find that reasoning models don't always accurately verbalize their reasoning. This casts doubt on whether monitoring chains-of-thought (CoT) will be enough to reliably catch safety issues.
- When Chain of Thought is Necessary, Language Models Struggle to Evade Monitors (Emmons et al., 2025). Cited by 7 laboratory works.
- Monitoring Monitorability (Guan et al., 2025). From the laboratory's post "Open Sourcing Monitorability Evaluations": Datasets, code, and an evaluation filtering strategy for studying monitorability.
- Steering Evaluation-Aware Language Models to Act Like They Are Deployed (Hua et al., 2025). Cited by 5 laboratory works.
- Training LLMs for Honesty via Confessions (Joglekar et al., 2025). From the laboratory's post "Why we are excited about confessions": Deeper analysis of confession training and comparisons to chain-of-thought monitoring.
- Training fails to elicit subtle reasoning in current language models (Wagner et al., 2025). We investigated whether language models can reason about malicious tasks while evading detection, finding that monitoring both reasoning and outputs successfully prevents this in current models.
- Position: Evaluating Generative AI Systems Is a Social Science Measurement Challenge (Wallach et al., 2025). Argues that capability and safety evaluations measure abstract constructs and should adopt the social sciences framework of systematization, operationalization, and validity.
Side reading.
- RealToxicityPrompts: Evaluating Neural Toxic Degeneration in Language Models (Gehman et al., 2020).
- Evaluating Large Language Models Trained on Code (Chen et al., 2021).
- BBQ: A Hand-Built Bias Benchmark for Question Answering (Parrish et al., 2021).
- Calibrate Before Use: Improving Few-Shot Performance of Language Models (Zhao et al., 2021a).
- Text and Patterns: For Effective Chain of Thought, It Takes Two to Tango (Madaan and Yazdanbakhsh, 2022).
- Language Models Are Greedy Reasoners: A Systematic Formal Analysis of Chain-of-Thought (Saparov and He, 2022).
- Challenging BIG-Bench Tasks and Whether Chain-of-Thought Can Solve Them (Suzgun et al., 2022).
- Self-Consistency Improves Chain of Thought Reasoning in Language Models (Wang et al., 2022a).
- Evaluating Superhuman Models with Consistency Checks (Fluri et al., 2023).
- Automatically Auditing Large Language Models via Discrete Optimization (Jones et al., 2023).
- Evaluating Language-Model Agents on Realistic Autonomous Tasks (Kinniment et al., 2023).
- Cognitive Dissonance: Why Do Language Model Outputs Disagree with Internal Representations of Truthfulness? (Liu et al., 2023).
- Faithful Chain-of-Thought Reasoning (Lyu et al., 2023).
- ALMANACS: A Simulatability Benchmark for Language Model Explainability (Mills et al., 2023).
- How to Catch an AI Liar: Lie Detection in Black-Box LLMs by Asking Unrelated Questions (Pacchiardi et al., 2023).
- GPQA: A Graduate-Level Google-Proof Q&A Benchmark (Rein et al., 2023).
- Plan-and-Solve Prompting: Improving Zero-Shot Chain-of-Thought Reasoning by Large Language Models (Wang et al., 2023d).
- RoleLLM: Benchmarking, Eliciting, and Enhancing Role-Playing Abilities of Large Language Models (Wang et al., 2023e).
- Judging LLM-as-a-Judge with MT-Bench and Chatbot Arena (Zheng et al., 2023a).
- Instruction-Following Evaluation for Large Language Models (Zhou et al., 2023a).
- AgentHarm: A Benchmark for Measuring Harmfulness of LLM Agents (Andriushchenko et al., 2024a).
- Truth is Universal: Robust Detection of Lies in LLMs (Bürger et al., 2024).
- Bias-Augmented Consistency Training Reduces Biased Reasoning in Chain-of-Thought (Chua et al., 2024).
- From Explicit CoT to Implicit CoT: Learning to Internalize CoT Step by Step (Deng et al., 2024).
- Easy2Hard-Bench: Standardized Difficulty Labels for Profiling LLM Performance and Generalization (Ding et al., 2024).
- FrontierMath: A Benchmark for Evaluating Advanced Mathematical Reasoning in AI (Glazer et al., 2024).
- Balancing Label Quantity and Quality for Scalable Elicitation (Mallen and Belrose, 2024).
- LLM Critics Help Catch LLM Bugs (McAleese et al., 2024).
- PrivacyLens: Evaluating Privacy Norm Awareness of Language Models in Action (Shao et al., 2024b).
- CYBERSECEVAL 3: Advancing the Evaluation of Cybersecurity Risks and Capabilities in Large Language Models (Wan et al., 2024).
- MMLU-Pro: A More Robust and Challenging Multi-Task Language Understanding Benchmark (Wang et al., 2024e).
- LiveBench: A Challenging, Contamination-Limited LLM Benchmark (White et al., 2024).
- Super(ficial)-alignment: Strong Models May Deceive Weak Models in Weak-to-Strong Generalization (Yang et al., 2024c). Reports that a strong student can look aligned where the weak supervisor can check and misbehave where it cannot.
- Weak-to-Strong Reasoning (Yang et al., 2024d).
- Evaluation of OpenAI o1: Opportunities and Challenges of AGI (Zhong et al., 2024b).
- Claude Sonnet 3.7 (often) knows when it's in alignment evaluations (Apollo Research, 2025). An evaluator's report that a frontier model often states in its reasoning that a scheming evaluation is a test of its alignment.
- HealthBench: Evaluating Large Language Models Towards Improved Human Health (Arora et al., 2025).
- Vending-Bench: A Benchmark for Long-Term Coherence of Autonomous Agents (Backlund and Petersson, 2025).
- -Bench: Evaluating Conversational Agents in a Dual-Control Environment (Barres et al., 2025).
- Finance Agent Benchmark: Benchmarking LLMs on Real-world Financial Research Tasks (Bigeard et al., 2025).
- Evaluation Awareness Scales Predictably in Open-Weights Large Language Models (Chaudhary et al., 2025).
- Evaluating o1-Like LLMs: Unlocking Reasoning for Translation through Comprehensive Analysis (Chen et al., 2025a).
- Are DeepSeek R1 And Other Reasoning Models More Faithful? (Chua and Evans, 2025).
- Output Supervision Can Obfuscate the Chain of Thought (Drori et al., 2025).
- Unsupervised decoding of encoded reasoning using language model interpretability (Fang and Marks, 2025).
- Learning to Interpret Weight Differences in Language Models (Goel et al., 2025b).
- Reasoning Models Sometimes Output Illegible Chains of Thought (Jose, 2025).
- Liars' Bench: Evaluating Lie Detectors for Language Models (Kretschmar et al., 2025).
- Debate Helps Weak-to-Strong Generalization (Lang et al., 2025). Combines debate between strong models with weak supervision and reports better weak-to-strong generalization than weak supervision alone.
- PrivaCI-Bench: Evaluating Privacy with Contextual Integrity and Legal Compliance (Li et al., 2025e).
- Spilling the Beans: Teaching LLMs to Self-Report Their Hidden Objectives (Li et al., 2025f).
- CodeElo: Benchmarking Competition-level Code Generation of LLMs with Human-comparable Elo Ratings (Quan et al., 2025).
- The MASK Benchmark: Disentangling Honesty From Accuracy in AI Systems (Ren et al., 2025).
- Difficulties with Evaluating a Deception Detector for AIs (Smith et al., 2025a).
- BrowseComp: A Simple Yet Challenging Benchmark for Browsing Agents (Wei et al., 2025).
- Unsupervised Elicitation of Language Models (Wen et al., 2025c).
- When More is Less: Understanding Chain-of-Thought Length in LLMs (Wu et al., 2025f).
- Watch the Weights: Unsupervised monitoring and control of fine-tuned LLMs (Zhong and Raghunathan, 2025).
- Early Signs of Steganographic Capabilities in Frontier LLMs (Zolkowski et al., 2025b).
- Can Reasoning Models Obfuscate Reasoning? Stress-Testing Chain-of-Thought Monitorability (Zolkowski et al., 2025a).
- Three Concrete Challenges and Two Hopes for the Safety of Unsupervised Elicitation (Canavan et al., 2026). From the laboratory's post "3 Challenges and 2 Hopes for the Safety of Unsupervised Elicitation": We stress-test unsupervised elicitation and easy-to-hard techniques on new datasets meant to capture realistic challenges such techniques would likely face.
- Counterfactual Simulation Training for Chain-of-Thought Faithfulness (Hase and Potts, 2026).
- MonitoringBench: Semi-Automated Red-Teaming for Agent Monitoring (Jotautaitė et al., 2026).
- Debate Training Reduces Reward Hacking in RLAIF (Kenton et al., 2026).
- Training Agents to Self-Report Misbehavior (Lee et al., 2026). Training agents to report covert misbehavior through a dedicated tool.
- Terminal-Bench: Benchmarking Agents on Hard, Realistic Tasks in Command Line Interfaces (Merrill et al., 2026).
- Training Alignment Auditors via Reinforcement Learning (Rosu and Wang, 2026). We train LLMs to investigate target models with hidden behaviors planted in their system prompt. A trained Haiku 4.5 policy matches Opus 4.6 on held-out evaluations for auditing quality and generalizes to harder fine-tuned targets in a different scaffold.
- Introspection Adapters: Training LLMs to Report Their Learned Behaviors (Shenoy et al., 2026). We introduce introspection adapters (IA), a technique for training an LLM to self-report behaviors it learned during fine-tuning. This IA generalizes to models that were fine-tuned in very different ways.
- Reasoning Models Struggle to Control their Chains of Thought (Yueh-Han et al., 2026). Why a limitation of frontier models is reassuring for AI safety.
- Flames: Benchmarking Value Alignment of LLMs in Chinese (Huang et al., 2024b). Builds a Chinese value-alignment benchmark combining harmlessness with a morality dimension that includes Chinese values such as harmony, and finds poor performance across mainstream models, an example of safety research specifying values from a different tradition.
- SafetyBench: Evaluating the Safety of Large Language Models (Zhang et al., 2024f). Builds a multiple-choice safety benchmark in Chinese and English across seven categories of safety concerns, a widely used evaluation from Chinese safety research.
- Evaluating honesty and lie detection techniques on a diverse suite dishonest models (Anthropic, 2025v). We explore techniques for honesty elicitation and lie detection on a diverse testbed of dishonest model organisms.
- Open Source Replication of the Auditing Game Model Organism (Anthropic, 2025ah). We release an open source replication of the model organism from our previous auditing game paper.
- Unsupervised Elicitation (Anthropic, 2025as). We introduce a new unsupervised algorithm for eliciting skills from pretrained language models.
- Do reasoning models use their scratchpad like we do? Evidence from distilling paraphrases (Roger, 2025). We provide some evidence that Claude 3.7 Sonnet doesn't encode hidden reasoning in its scratchpad by showing that training it to use paraphrased versions of the scratchpads does not degrade performance.
- Fine-Tuned Lie Detectors Failed to Generalize (Anthropic, 2026w). We trained lie detectors on on-policy lies from open-source models, but they didn’t generalize well to out-of-distribution lies.
- Pre-deployment auditing can catch an overt saboteur (Anthropic, 2026am). We test whether our pre-deployment alignment auditing methods can catch models trained to overtly sabotage Anthropic.
- AI Agents That Matter (Kapoor et al., 2024a). Shows that agent benchmarks reward accuracy without cost control and overfit through missing holdouts, and proposes joint cost-accuracy evaluation.
- How Does Time Horizon Vary Across Domains? (Metr, 2025c). Estimates agent time horizons from nine existing benchmarks outside the original software suite to test whether the exponential growth in autonomy measured on software tasks holds in other domains.
- HCAST: Human-Calibrated Autonomy Software Tasks (Rein et al., 2025). A task suite calibrated by timing skilled humans on each task, the human baseline on which time-horizon measurements of agent autonomy rest.
- The Hawthorne Effect in Reasoning Models: Evaluating and Steering Test Awareness (Abdelnabi and Salem, 2025). Locates test-awareness directions in reasoning models and shows that steering them changes harmful-task compliance, so awareness causally affects measured safety.
- Evaluation Faking: Unveiling Observer Effects in Safety Evaluation of Frontier AI Systems (Fan et al., 2025). Finds that models recognize unprompted that they are being evaluated and then behave more safely, and that this evaluation faking is more frequent in reasoning models, larger models, and models with memory.
- AI Awareness (Li et al., 2025b). Reviews metacognition, self-awareness, social awareness, and situational awareness in language models as functional capacities with separate evaluations.
- Rethink reporting of evaluation results in AI (Burnell et al., 2023). Argues that aggregate metrics hide failure patterns and calls for instance-level reporting, so that others can test claims about what a system can do.
- We Need A ‘Science of Evals’ (Apollo Research, 2024). Apollo Research argument that evaluation results lack the reliability needed for high-stakes decisions and a list of open problems for a mature evaluation discipline.
- Measuring what Matters: Construct Validity in Large Language Model Benchmarks (Bean et al., 2025). Reviews hundreds of benchmarks and finds widespread weaknesses in phenomenon definition, task sampling, and statistical reporting, with recommendations for construct validity.
- Can We Trust AI Benchmarks? An Interdisciplinary Review of Current Issues in AI Evaluation (Eriksson et al., 2025). An interdisciplinary review of benchmark problems (data collection biases, construct validity, gaming, sociocultural context) as they bear on regulatory use of benchmarks.
- Toward an Evaluation Science for Generative AI Systems (Weidinger et al., 2025). Draws on the evaluation of other safety-critical technologies to argue for real-world applicability, iterative refinement of metrics, and institutions that maintain evaluations.
- What Will it Take to Fix Benchmarking in Natural Language Understanding? (Bowman and Dahl, 2021). Sets criteria for benchmarks (validity, reliable annotation, statistical power, disincentives for bias) and argues against adversarial filtering as a fix.
- BetterBench: Assessing AI Benchmarks, Uncovering Issues, and Establishing Best Practices (Reuel et al., 2024a). Assesses widely used foundation-model and safety benchmarks against 46 design and reporting criteria and finds large quality differences.
- Auditing Algorithms: Understanding Algorithmic Systems from the Outside In (Metaxa et al., 2021). A monograph on black-box methods for auditing algorithmic systems from the outside and their validity, the methodology of auditing a system one cannot inspect.
- Alternation (Chandra et al., 1981). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The knowledge complexity of interactive proof-systems (Goldwasser et al., 1985). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Delegating computation (Goldwasser et al., 2008). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Lost in Translation: Large Language Models in Non-English Content Analysis (Nicholas and Bhatia, 2023). Explains how multilingual language models work and why they perform worse for most of the world's languages, with consequences for content moderation and safety systems outside English.
- A Practical Approach to Verifying Code at Scale (Trębacz et al., 2025). We train and deploy an AI review agent optimised for precision and real-world use, enabling oversight to scale with autonomous code generation.
- Meet LASER: Recursive sampling for safer conversations (Etinger, 2026). LASER (Logistic Augmented Sampling over Embeddings, Recursively) helps us evaluate model safety more efficiently by combining logistic classifiers with reasoning models to identify high-value data for evaluation.
- Beyond g-mean²: complementary metrics for monitorability (Guan et al., 2026b). Pair-matched comparisons and post-control risk complement g-mean² when evaluating model monitorability.
- Training Language Models to Win Debates with Self-Play Improves Judge Accuracy (Arnesen et al., 2024). Shows that training debaters by self-play to win makes judges more accurate, while training consultants to persuade does not, the first evidence that debate training helps oversight.
- A Benchmark for Scalable Oversight Protocols (Sudhir et al., 2025). Proposes an agent score difference metric for comparing debate, consultancy, and other protocols on whether they help a judge reward truth over persuasion.
- Scaling Laws For Scalable Oversight (Engels et al., 2025). Models oversight as a game between players whose domain Elo is a piecewise-linear function of general capability and estimates nested oversight success at a 400-point general Elo gap at 51.7 percent for debate and 9.4 to 13.5 percent for three other games.
- Models That Prove Their Own Correctness (Amit et al., 2024). Defines self-proving models that accompany each output with an interactive proof a verifier can check, and gives learning methods for them, a route to verifiable outputs without trusting the model.
- Neural Interactive Proofs (Hammond and Adam-Day, 2025). Unifies debate, prover-verifier games, and related protocols as neural interactive proofs, compares their theoretical power, and tests them on graph isomorphism and code validation.
- Learning to Give Checkable Answers with Prover-Verifier Games (Anil et al., 2021). Game-theoretic framework in which a verifier learns to check a more powerful but untrusted prover, the origin of prover-verifier legibility training.
- The case for aligning narrowly superhuman models (Cotra, 2021). Proposes the sandwiching paradigm: get non-experts to supervise a model to expert-level performance on tasks where the model already outperforms them.
- Single-Turn Debate Does Not Help Humans Answer Hard Reading-Comprehension Questions (Parrish et al., 2022). Negative human-subject result: single-turn arguments did not raise judge accuracy, which pushed debate experiments toward interactive formats.
- Debate Helps Supervise Unreliable Experts (Michael et al., 2023). Human debate experiments in which judges supervising expert debaters reach higher accuracy than with consultancy, the first positive human evidence for debate.
- The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Easy Training Data for Hard Tasks (Hase et al., 2024). Training on easy data often recovers most of the hard-task performance of training on hard data, evidence that supervision on checkable cases can transfer.
- On scalable oversight with weak LLMs judging strong LLMs (Kenton et al., 2024). Large comparison of debate, consultancy, and direct question answering across task types: debate beats consultancy throughout, but its advantage over direct answering appears mainly when the judge lacks information the debaters have.
- Debating with More Persuasive LLMs Leads to More Truthful Answers (Khan et al., 2024). With an information asymmetry, weaker judges reach higher accuracy with debate than consultancy, and optimizing debaters for persuasiveness raises judge accuracy.
- Easy-to-Hard Generalization: Scalable Alignment Beyond Human Supervision (Sun et al., 2024a). Evaluators trained on easy problems supervise generators on hard math problems, outperforming training on easy problems alone.
- Stage-Wise Model Diffing (Anthropic, 2024n). A preliminary note on model diffing through dictionary fine-tuning.
- Insights on Crosscoder Model Diffing (Anthropic, 2025aa). A preliminary note on using crosscoders to diff models.
- Quantifying the Gain in Weak-to-Strong Generalization (Charikar et al., 2024). Shows in a regression setting that the strong model's improvement over its weak supervisor is at least the misfit between the strong model and the weak labels, a quantity measurable without ground truth.
- A transfer learning framework for weak-to-strong generalization (Somerstep et al., 2025). Frames weak-to-strong generalization as transferring a latent concept prior from a weak model to a strong pretrained one, proves that naive fine-tuning on weak labels has fundamental limitations, and gives a refinement-based method that provably overcomes them.
Sources cited in Section F.6 139
- Shamir (1992) IP = PSPACE
- Irving et al. (2018) AI safety via debate
- Wu et al. (2021b) Recursively Summarizing Books with Human Feedback
- Bowman et al. (2022) Measuring Progress on Scalable Oversight for Large Language Models
- Burns et al. (2022) Discovering Latent Knowledge in Language Models Without Supervision
- Saunders et al. (2022) Self-critiquing models for assisting human evaluators
- Azaria and Mitchell (2023) The Internal State of an LLM Knows When It’s Lying
- Lanham et al. (2023) Measuring Faithfulness in Chain-of-Thought Reasoning
- Radhakrishnan et al. (2023) Question Decomposition Improves the Faithfulness of Model-Generated Reasoning
- Turpin et al. (2023) Language Models Don't Always Say What They Think: Unfaithful Explanations in Chain-of-Thought Prompting
- Brown-Cohen et al. (2024) Scalable AI Safety via Doubly-Efficient Debate
- Burns et al. (2024) Weak-to-Strong Generalization: Eliciting Strong Capabilities With Weak Supervision
- Kirchner et al. (2024) Prover-Verifier Games improve legibility of LLM outputs
- Laine et al. (2024) Me, Myself, and AI: The Situational Awareness Dataset (SAD) for LLMs
- Lang et al. (2024a) Theoretical Analysis of Weak-to-Strong Generalization
- Arcuschin et al. (2025) Chain-of-Thought Reasoning In The Wild Is Not Always Faithful
- Brown-Cohen et al. (2025) Avoiding Obfuscation with Prover-Estimator Debate
- Chen et al. (2025d) Reasoning Models Don't Always Say What They Think
- Emmons et al. (2025) When Chain of Thought is Necessary, Language Models Struggle to Evade Monitors
- Guan et al. (2025) Monitoring Monitorability
- Hua et al. (2025) Steering Evaluation-Aware Language Models to Act Like They Are Deployed
- Joglekar et al. (2025) Training LLMs for Honesty via Confessions
- Wagner et al. (2025) Training fails to elicit subtle reasoning in current language models
- Wallach et al. (2025) Position: Evaluating Generative AI Systems Is a Social Science Measurement Challenge
- Gehman et al. (2020) RealToxicityPrompts: Evaluating Neural Toxic Degeneration in Language Models
- Chen et al. (2021) Evaluating Large Language Models Trained on Code
- Parrish et al. (2021) BBQ: A Hand-Built Bias Benchmark for Question Answering
- Zhao et al. (2021a) Calibrate Before Use: Improving Few-Shot Performance of Language Models
- Madaan and Yazdanbakhsh (2022) Text and Patterns: For Effective Chain of Thought, It Takes Two to Tango
- Saparov and He (2022) Language Models Are Greedy Reasoners: A Systematic Formal Analysis of Chain-of-Thought
- Suzgun et al. (2022) Challenging BIG-Bench Tasks and Whether Chain-of-Thought Can Solve Them
- Wang et al. (2022a) Self-Consistency Improves Chain of Thought Reasoning in Language Models
- Fluri et al. (2023) Evaluating Superhuman Models with Consistency Checks
- Jones et al. (2023) Automatically Auditing Large Language Models via Discrete Optimization
- Kinniment et al. (2023) Evaluating Language-Model Agents on Realistic Autonomous Tasks
- Liu et al. (2023) Cognitive Dissonance: Why Do Language Model Outputs Disagree with Internal Representations of Truthfulness?
- Lyu et al. (2023) Faithful Chain-of-Thought Reasoning
- Mills et al. (2023) ALMANACS: A Simulatability Benchmark for Language Model Explainability
- Pacchiardi et al. (2023) How to Catch an AI Liar: Lie Detection in Black-Box LLMs by Asking Unrelated Questions
- Rein et al. (2023) GPQA: A Graduate-Level Google-Proof Q&A Benchmark
- Wang et al. (2023d) Plan-and-Solve Prompting: Improving Zero-Shot Chain-of-Thought Reasoning by Large Language Models
- Wang et al. (2023e) RoleLLM: Benchmarking, Eliciting, and Enhancing Role-Playing Abilities of Large Language Models
- Zheng et al. (2023a) Judging LLM-as-a-Judge with MT-Bench and Chatbot Arena
- Zhou et al. (2023a) Instruction-Following Evaluation for Large Language Models
- Andriushchenko et al. (2024a) AgentHarm: A Benchmark for Measuring Harmfulness of LLM Agents
- Bürger et al. (2024) Truth is Universal: Robust Detection of Lies in LLMs
- Chua et al. (2024) Bias-Augmented Consistency Training Reduces Biased Reasoning in Chain-of-Thought
- Deng et al. (2024) From Explicit CoT to Implicit CoT: Learning to Internalize CoT Step by Step
- Ding et al. (2024) Easy2Hard-Bench: Standardized Difficulty Labels for Profiling LLM Performance and Generalization
- Glazer et al. (2024) FrontierMath: A Benchmark for Evaluating Advanced Mathematical Reasoning in AI
- Mallen and Belrose (2024) Balancing Label Quantity and Quality for Scalable Elicitation
- McAleese et al. (2024) LLM Critics Help Catch LLM Bugs
- Shao et al. (2024b) PrivacyLens: Evaluating Privacy Norm Awareness of Language Models in Action
- Wan et al. (2024) CYBERSECEVAL 3: Advancing the Evaluation of Cybersecurity Risks and Capabilities in Large Language Models
- Wang et al. (2024e) MMLU-Pro: A More Robust and Challenging Multi-Task Language Understanding Benchmark
- White et al. (2024) LiveBench: A Challenging, Contamination-Limited LLM Benchmark
- Yang et al. (2024c) Super(ficial)-alignment: Strong Models May Deceive Weak Models in Weak-to-Strong Generalization
- Yang et al. (2024d) Weak-to-Strong Reasoning
- Zhong et al. (2024b) Evaluation of OpenAI o1: Opportunities and Challenges of AGI
- Apollo Research (2025) Claude Sonnet 3.7 (often) knows when it's in alignment evaluations
- Arora et al. (2025) HealthBench: Evaluating Large Language Models Towards Improved Human Health
- Backlund and Petersson (2025) Vending-Bench: A Benchmark for Long-Term Coherence of Autonomous Agents
- Barres et al. (2025) $τ^2$-Bench: Evaluating Conversational Agents in a Dual-Control Environment
- Bigeard et al. (2025) Finance Agent Benchmark: Benchmarking LLMs on Real-world Financial Research Tasks
- Chaudhary et al. (2025) Evaluation Awareness Scales Predictably in Open-Weights Large Language Models
- Chen et al. (2025a) Evaluating o1-Like LLMs: Unlocking Reasoning for Translation through Comprehensive Analysis
- Chua and Evans (2025) Are DeepSeek R1 And Other Reasoning Models More Faithful?
- Drori et al. (2025) Output Supervision Can Obfuscate the Chain of Thought
- Fang and Marks (2025) Unsupervised decoding of encoded reasoning using language model interpretability
- Goel et al. (2025b) Learning to Interpret Weight Differences in Language Models
- Jose (2025) Reasoning Models Sometimes Output Illegible Chains of Thought
- Kretschmar et al. (2025) Liars' Bench: Evaluating Lie Detectors for Language Models
- Lang et al. (2025) Debate Helps Weak-to-Strong Generalization
- Li et al. (2025e) PrivaCI-Bench: Evaluating Privacy with Contextual Integrity and Legal Compliance
- Li et al. (2025f) Spilling the Beans: Teaching LLMs to Self-Report Their Hidden Objectives
- Quan et al. (2025) CodeElo: Benchmarking Competition-level Code Generation of LLMs with Human-comparable Elo Ratings
- Ren et al. (2025) The MASK Benchmark: Disentangling Honesty From Accuracy in AI Systems
- Smith et al. (2025a) Difficulties with Evaluating a Deception Detector for AIs
- Wei et al. (2025) BrowseComp: A Simple Yet Challenging Benchmark for Browsing Agents
- Wen et al. (2025c) Unsupervised Elicitation of Language Models
- Wu et al. (2025f) When More is Less: Understanding Chain-of-Thought Length in LLMs
- Zhong and Raghunathan (2025) Watch the Weights: Unsupervised monitoring and control of fine-tuned LLMs
- Zolkowski et al. (2025b) Early Signs of Steganographic Capabilities in Frontier LLMs
- Zolkowski et al. (2025a) Can Reasoning Models Obfuscate Reasoning? Stress-Testing Chain-of-Thought Monitorability
- Canavan et al. (2026) Three Concrete Challenges and Two Hopes for the Safety of Unsupervised Elicitation
- Hase and Potts (2026) Counterfactual Simulation Training for Chain-of-Thought Faithfulness
- Jotautaitė et al. (2026) MonitoringBench: Semi-Automated Red-Teaming for Agent Monitoring
- Kenton et al. (2026) Debate Training Reduces Reward Hacking in RLAIF
- Lee et al. (2026) Training Agents to Self-Report Misbehavior
- Merrill et al. (2026) Terminal-Bench: Benchmarking Agents on Hard, Realistic Tasks in Command Line Interfaces
- Rosu and Wang (2026) Training Alignment Auditors via Reinforcement Learning
- Shenoy et al. (2026) Introspection Adapters: Training LLMs to Report Their Learned Behaviors
- Yueh-Han et al. (2026) Reasoning Models Struggle to Control their Chains of Thought
- Huang et al. (2024b) Flames: Benchmarking Value Alignment of LLMs in Chinese
- Zhang et al. (2024f) SafetyBench: Evaluating the Safety of Large Language Models
- Anthropic (2025v) Evaluating honesty and lie detection techniques on a diverse suite dishonest models
- Anthropic (2025ah) Open Source Replication of the Auditing Game Model Organism
- Anthropic (2025as) Unsupervised Elicitation
- Roger (2025) Do reasoning models use their scratchpad like we do? Evidence from distilling paraphrases
- Anthropic (2026w) Fine-Tuned Lie Detectors Failed to Generalize
- Anthropic (2026am) Pre-deployment auditing can catch an overt saboteur
- Kapoor et al. (2024a) AI Agents That Matter
- Metr (2025c) How Does Time Horizon Vary Across Domains?
- Rein et al. (2025) HCAST: Human-Calibrated Autonomy Software Tasks
- Abdelnabi and Salem (2025) The Hawthorne Effect in Reasoning Models: Evaluating and Steering Test Awareness
- Fan et al. (2025) Evaluation Faking: Unveiling Observer Effects in Safety Evaluation of Frontier AI Systems
- Li et al. (2025b) AI Awareness
- Burnell et al. (2023) Rethink reporting of evaluation results in AI
- Apollo Research (2024) We Need A ‘Science of Evals’
- Bean et al. (2025) Measuring what Matters: Construct Validity in Large Language Model Benchmarks
- Eriksson et al. (2025) Can We Trust AI Benchmarks? An Interdisciplinary Review of Current Issues in AI Evaluation
- Weidinger et al. (2025) Toward an Evaluation Science for Generative AI Systems
- Bowman and Dahl (2021) What Will it Take to Fix Benchmarking in Natural Language Understanding?
- Reuel et al. (2024a) BetterBench: Assessing AI Benchmarks, Uncovering Issues, and Establishing Best Practices
- Metaxa et al. (2021) Auditing Algorithms: Understanding Algorithmic Systems from the Outside In
- Chandra et al. (1981) Alternation
- Goldwasser et al. (1985) The knowledge complexity of interactive proof-systems
- Goldwasser et al. (2008) Delegating computation
- Nicholas and Bhatia (2023) Lost in Translation: Large Language Models in Non-English Content Analysis
- Trębacz et al. (2025) A Practical Approach to Verifying Code at Scale
- Etinger (2026) Meet LASER: Recursive sampling for safer conversations
- Guan et al. (2026b) Beyond g-mean²: complementary metrics for monitorability
- Arnesen et al. (2024) Training Language Models to Win Debates with Self-Play Improves Judge Accuracy
- Sudhir et al. (2025) A Benchmark for Scalable Oversight Protocols
- Engels et al. (2025) Scaling Laws For Scalable Oversight
- Amit et al. (2024) Models That Prove Their Own Correctness
- Hammond and Adam-Day (2025) Neural Interactive Proofs
- Anil et al. (2021) Learning to Give Checkable Answers with Prover-Verifier Games
- Cotra (2021) The case for aligning narrowly superhuman models
- Parrish et al. (2022) Single-Turn Debate Does Not Help Humans Answer Hard Reading-Comprehension Questions
- Michael et al. (2023) Debate Helps Supervise Unreliable Experts
- Hase et al. (2024) The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Easy Training Data for Hard Tasks
- Kenton et al. (2024) On scalable oversight with weak LLMs judging strong LLMs
- Khan et al. (2024) Debating with More Persuasive LLMs Leads to More Truthful Answers
- Sun et al. (2024a) Easy-to-Hard Generalization: Scalable Alignment Beyond Human Supervision
- Anthropic (2024n) Stage-Wise Model Diffing
- Anthropic (2025aa) Insights on Crosscoder Model Diffing
- Charikar et al. (2024) Quantifying the Gain in Weak-to-Strong Generalization
- Somerstep et al. (2025) A transfer learning framework for weak-to-strong generalization
F.7 Machine learning: Verification from Inside #
Spine.
- Understanding intermediate layers using linear classifier probes (Alain and Bengio, 2016). Introduces linear probes on intermediate layers, the basic tool for asking what information a representation makes linearly available.
- Zoom In: An Introduction to Circuits (Olah et al., 2020b). Cited by 5 laboratory works.
- Investigating Gender Bias in Language Models Using Causal Mediation Analysis (Vig et al., 2020). Brings causal mediation analysis to neural networks by intervening on neurons and attention heads, the origin of activation patching.
- Multimodal Neurons in Artificial Neural Networks (Goh et al., 2021). Cited by 7 laboratory works.
- Transformer visualization via dictionary learning: contextualized embedding as a linear superposition of transformer factors (Yun et al., 2021). Cited by 6 laboratory works.
- Mechanistic Interpretability, Variables, and the Importance of Interpretable Bases (Anthropic, 2022). An informal note on intuitions related to mechanistic interpretability.
- Formalizing the presumption of independence (Christiano et al., 2022). Proposes heuristic arguments, defeasible estimates that assume independence unless shown otherwise, as a formal object between proof and intuition, the basis of ARC's approach to explaining and checking model behavior.
- Toy Models of Superposition (Elhage et al., 2022b). Neural networks often seem to pack many unrelated concepts into a single neuron - a puzzling phenomenon known as 'polysemanticity'. In our latest interpretability work, we build toy models where the origins and dynamics of polysemanticity can be fully understood.
- Emergent World Representations: Exploring a Sequence Model Trained on a Synthetic Task (Li et al., 2022a). Cited by 6 laboratory works.
- Locating and Editing Factual Associations in GPT (Meng et al., 2022). Causal tracing localizes factual recall to mid-layer MLPs, and ROME edits single facts with a rank-one weight update.
- Polysemanticity and Capacity in Neural Networks (Scherlis et al., 2022). Cited by 5 laboratory works.
- Distributed Representations: Composition & Superposition (Anthropic, 2023d). An informal note on how "distributed representations" might be understood as two different, competing strategies — "composition" and "superposition" — with quite different properties.
- Interpretability Dreams (Anthropic, 2023e). Our present research aims to create a foundation for mechanistic interpretability research. In doing so, it's important to keep sight of what we're trying to lay the foundations for.
- Towards Monosemanticity: Decomposing Language Models With Dictionary Learning (Bricken et al., 2023). Using a sparse autoencoder, we extract a large number of interpretable features from a one-layer transformer.
- Sparse Autoencoders Find Highly Interpretable Features in Language Models (Cunningham et al., 2023). Cited by 19 laboratory works.
- The Geometry of Truth: Emergent Linear Structure in Large Language Model Representations of True/False Datasets (Marks and Tegmark, 2023). Cited by 9 laboratory works.
- Attribution Patching Outperforms Automated Circuit Discovery (Syed et al., 2023). Cited by 5 laboratory works.
- Steering Language Models With Activation Engineering (Turner et al., 2023). Activation addition: adding the difference of activations on two prompts steers generation without optimization.
- Interpretability in the Wild: a Circuit for Indirect Object Identification in GPT-2 small (Wang et al., 2023c). End-to-end circuit for a natural language task in GPT-2 small found with path patching and evaluated by faithfulness, completeness, and minimality.
- Representation Engineering: A Top-Down Approach to AI Transparency (Zou et al., 2023a). Reads and controls population-level representations of concepts such as honesty and power-seeking, framing interpretability top-down instead of from neurons and circuits.
- Looking Inward: Language Models Can Learn About Themselves by Introspection (Binder et al., 2024). Cited by 6 laboratory works.
- A is for Absorption: Studying Feature Splitting and Absorption in Sparse Autoencoders (Chanin et al., 2024). Cited by 5 laboratory works.
- Transcoders Find Interpretable LLM Feature Circuits (Dunefsky et al., 2024). Cited by 8 laboratory works.
- Not All Language Model Features Are One-Dimensionally Linear (Engels et al., 2024). Cited by 5 laboratory works.
- Scaling and evaluating sparse autoencoders (Gao et al., 2024). Cited by 10 laboratory works.
- Automatically Identifying Local and Global Circuits with Linear Computation Graphs (Ge et al., 2024a). Cited by 5 laboratory works.
- Patchscopes: A Unifying Framework for Inspecting Hidden Representations of Language Models (Ghandeharioun et al., 2024). Cited by 8 laboratory works.
- Mathematical Models of Computation in Superposition (Hänni et al., 2024). Constructs networks that compute many sparse boolean functions in superposition, including a one-layer MLP computing pairwise ANDs of m features with far fewer than m neurons, so superposition is a mode of computation and not only of storage.
- The Platonic Representation Hypothesis (Huh et al., 2024). Argues with cross-model and cross-modality evidence that representations converge as models scale toward a shared statistical model of reality, the empirical side of the natural abstraction debate.
- AtP*: An efficient and scalable method for localizing LLM behaviour to components (Kramár et al., 2024). Cited by 6 laboratory works.
- Sparse Crosscoders for Cross-Layer Features and Model Diffing (Lindsey et al., 2024). A preliminary note on a way to get consistent features across layers, and even models.
- Sparse Feature Circuits: Discovering and Editing Interpretable Causal Graphs in Language Models (Marks et al., 2024). Cited by 9 laboratory works.
- LatentQA: Teaching LLMs to Decode Activations Into Natural Language (Pan et al., 2024c). Cited by 5 laboratory works.
- Automatically Interpreting Millions of Features in Large Language Models (Paulo et al., 2024). Cited by 5 laboratory works.
- Jumping Ahead: Improving Reconstruction Fidelity with JumpReLU Sparse Autoencoders (Rajamanoharan et al., 2024b). Cited by 5 laboratory works.
- Steering Llama 2 via Contrastive Activation Addition (Rimsky et al., 2024). Steering vectors averaged over many contrastive pairs shift behaviors such as sycophancy and corrigibility, with effects stacking on top of fine-tuning.
- Scaling Monosemanticity: Extracting Interpretable Features from Claude 3 Sonnet (Templeton et al., 2024). Using a sparse autoencoder, we extract a large number of interpretable features from Claude 3 Sonnet. Some appear to be safety-relevant.
- Circuit Tracing: Revealing Computational Graphs in Language Models (Ameisen et al., 2025). We describe an approach to tracing the "step-by-step" computation involved when a model responds to a single prompt.
- Causal Abstraction: A Theoretical Foundation for Mechanistic Interpretability (Geiger et al., 2025). Unifies patching, circuit discovery, probing, and steering as instances of causal abstraction, giving a precise meaning to a claimed mechanistic explanation.
- When Models Manipulate Manifolds: The Geometry of a Counting Task (Gurnee et al., 2025). We find geometric structure underlying the mechanisms of a fundamental language model behavior.
- Activation Oracles: Training and Evaluating LLMs as General-Purpose Activation Explainers (Karvonen et al., 2025). We train language models to answer questions about their own activations in natural language and evaluate how well they generalize to settings very unlike their training, such as uncovering misalignment introduced during fine-tuning.
- On the Biology of a Large Language Model (Lindsey et al., 2025). We investigate the internal mechanisms used by Claude 3.5 Haiku — Anthropic's lightweight production model — in a variety of contexts.
- Emergent Introspective Awareness in Large Language Models (Lindsey, 2025). We find evidence that language models can introspect on their internal states.
- Auditing language models for hidden objectives (Marks et al., 2025). How would we know if an AI system is "right for the wrong reasons"—appearing well-behaved while pursuing hidden goals? This paper develops the science of alignment audits by deliberately training a model with a hidden objective and asking blinded research teams to uncover it, testing techniques from interpretability to behavioral analysis.
- Everything, Everywhere, All at Once: Is Mechanistic Interpretability Identifiable? (Méloux et al., 2025). Shows on small networks that mechanistic explanations are not unique: several circuits reproduce a behavior, several algorithms align with one network, and one algorithm aligns with several subspaces, so a valid explanation need not be the explanation.
- Probing and Steering Evaluation Awareness of Language Models (Nguyen et al., 2025). Finds linear probes that separate test from deployment prompts in model activations, classifies existing safety evaluations as test-like by that probe, and steers the representation.
- Open Problems in Mechanistic Interpretability (Sharkey et al., 2025). Multi-institution review of what mechanistic interpretability cannot yet do, covering methods, applications, and sociotechnical problems.
- Tracing Attention Computation Through Feature Interactions (Kamath et al., 2025). We describe and apply a method to explain attention patterns in terms of feature interactions, and integrate this information into attribution graphs.
- Natural Language Autoencoders Produce Unsupervised Explanations of LLM Activations (Anthropic, 2026ai). We train Claude to translate its internal state into natural language.
- AuditBench: Evaluating Alignment Auditing Techniques on Models with Hidden Behaviors (Sheshadri et al., 2026). We release AuditBench, a benchmark of 56 language models with implanted hidden behaviors for evaluating progress in alignment auditing.
Side reading.
- Representation Learning: A Review and New Perspectives (Bengio et al., 2012).
- Compressed Sensing, Sparsity, and Dimensionality in Neuronal Information Processing and Data Analysis (Ganguli and Sompolinsky, 2012).
- k-Sparse Autoencoders (Makhzani and Frey, 2013). Autoencoders that keep only the k largest hidden activations, the precursor of TopK sparse autoencoders used in interpretability.
- Efficient Estimation of Word Representations in Vector Space (Mikolov et al., 2013).
- Deep Inside Convolutional Networks: Visualising Image Classification Models and Saliency Maps (Simonyan et al., 2013).
- Sparse Overcomplete Word Vector Representations (Faruqui et al., 2015).
- The attention schema theory: a mechanistic account of subjective awareness (Graziano and Webb, 2015).
- Unsupervised Representation Learning with Deep Convolutional Generative Adversarial Networks (Radford et al., 2015).
- Linear Algebraic Structure of Word Senses, with Applications to Polysemy (Arora et al., 2016).
- Network Dissection: Quantifying Interpretability of Deep Visual Representations (Bau et al., 2017).
- Towards A Rigorous Science of Interpretable Machine Learning (Doshi-Velez and Kim, 2017).
- Interpretable Explanations of Black Boxes by Meaningful Perturbation (Fong and Vedaldi, 2017).
- Interpretability Beyond Feature Attribution: Quantitative Testing with Concept Activation Vectors (TCAV) (Kim et al., 2017).
- Learning how to explain neural networks: PatternNet and PatternAttribution (Kindermans et al., 2017a).
- The (Un)reliability of saliency methods (Kindermans et al., 2017b).
- Feature Visualization (Olah et al., 2017). Visualizes what neurons and directions in a vision network respond to by optimizing inputs, a founding method of the circuits program.
- Axiomatic Attribution for Deep Networks (Sundararajan et al., 2017).
- Interpretable Textual Neuron Representations for NLP (Poerner et al., 2018).
- Adversarial Robustness as a Prior for Learned Representations (Engstrom et al., 2019).
- Designing and Interpreting Probes with Control Tasks (Hewitt and Liang, 2019).
- exBERT: A Visual Analysis Tool to Explore Learned Representations in Transformers Models (Hoover et al., 2019).
- Stop explaining black box machine learning models for high stakes decisions and use interpretable models instead (Rudin, 2019).
- Is Attention Interpretable? (Serrano and Smith, 2019).
- Average firing rate rather than temporal pattern determines metabolic cost of activity in thalamocortical relay neurons (Yi and Grill, 2019).
- Word Embedding Visualization Via Dictionary Learning (Zhang et al., 2019).
- Curve Detectors (Cammarata et al., 2020). A family of curve-detecting neurons in a vision network characterized in depth, an early circuit found by hand.
- interpreting GPT: the logit lens (nostalgebraist, 2020). Reads intermediate layers of a language model by decoding them with the output unembedding, the origin of the logit lens.
- Information-Theoretic Probing for Linguistic Structure (Pimentel et al., 2020). Argues that probing should estimate mutual information and so use the best probe available, the counter-position to restricting probe capacity with control tasks.
- The Language Interpretability Tool: Extensible, Interactive Visualizations and Analysis for NLP Models (Tenney et al., 2020).
- Information-Theoretic Probing with Minimum Description Length (Voita and Titov, 2020). Measures how much effort a probe needs to decode a property, by description length, in place of probe accuracy alone.
- Representation Topology Divergence: A Method for Comparing Neural Network Representations (Barannikov et al., 2021).
- An Interpretability Illusion for BERT (Bolukbasi et al., 2021).
- Low-Complexity Probing via Finding Subnetworks (Cao et al., 2021b).
- Knowledge Neurons in Pretrained Transformers (Dai et al., 2021).
- Amnesic Probing: Behavioral Explanation with Amnesic Counterfactuals (Elazar et al., 2021).
- Causal Abstractions of Neural Networks (Geiger et al., 2021). Defines when a high-level causal model faithfully abstracts a network and tests it with interchange interventions.
- Investigating sanity checks for saliency maps with image and text classification (Kokhlikyan et al., 2021).
- What Context Features Can Transformer Language Models Use? (O'Connor and Andreas, 2021).
- Causal Scrubbing: a method for rigorously testing interpretability hypotheses (Chan et al., 2022). Tests an interpretability hypothesis by resampling the activations it claims are irrelevant and measuring how much performance survives.
- The Geometry of Multilingual Language Model Representations (Chang et al., 2022).
- Selection-Inference: Exploiting Large Language Models for Interpretable Logical Reasoning (Creswell et al., 2022).
- Scaling Laws and Interpretability of Learning from Repeated Data (Hernandez et al., 2022).
- Engineering Monosemanticity in Toy Models (Jermyn et al., 2022).
- Mechanistic Mode Connectivity (Lubana et al., 2022).
- Extracting Latent Steering Vectors from Pretrained Language Models (Subramani et al., 2022). Finds vectors that, added to a frozen language model's hidden states, make it generate a target sentence, an early form of activation steering.
- Eliciting Latent Predictions from Transformers with the Tuned Lens (Belrose et al., 2023a).
- LEACE: Perfect linear concept erasure in closed form (Belrose et al., 2023b).
- A Toy Model of Universality: Reverse Engineering How Networks Learn Group Operations (Chughtai et al., 2023).
- Discovering Variable Binding Circuitry with Desiderata (Davies et al., 2023).
- Challenges with unsupervised LLM knowledge discovery (Farquhar et al., 2023).
- Finding Alignments Between Interpretable Causal Variables and Distributed Neural Representations (Geiger et al., 2023).
- Localizing Model Behavior with Path Patching (Goldowsky-Dill et al., 2023).
- Successor Heads: Recurring, Interpretable Attention Heads In The Wild (Gould et al., 2023).
- Finding Neurons in a Haystack: Case Studies with Sparse Probing (Gurnee et al., 2023).
- Language Models Represent Space and Time (Gurnee and Tegmark, 2023).
- Linearity of Relation Decoding in Transformer Language Models (Hernandez et al., 2023).
- Mechanistically analyzing the effects of fine-tuning on procedurally defined tasks (Jain et al., 2023).
- Building transformers from neurons and astrocytes (Kozachkov et al., 2023).
- Uncovering Intermediate Variables in Transformers using Circuit Probing (Lepori et al., 2023).
- Inference-Time Intervention: Eliciting Truthful Answers from a Language Model (Li et al., 2023a).
- Does Circuit Analysis Interpretability Scale? Evidence from Multiple Choice Capabilities in Chinchilla (Lieberum et al., 2023).
- Tracr: Compiled Transformers as a Laboratory for Interpretability (Lindner et al., 2023).
- Eliciting Latent Knowledge from Quirky Language Models (Mallen et al., 2023).
- Copy Suppression: Comprehensively Understanding an Attention Head (McDougall et al., 2023).
- The Hydra Effect: Emergent Self-repair in Language Model Computations (McGrath et al., 2023).
- Circuit Component Reuse Across Tasks in Transformer Language Models (Merullo et al., 2023a).
- Language Models Implement Simple Word2Vec-style Vector Arithmetic (Merullo et al., 2023b).
- Feature emergence via margin maximization: case studies in algebraic tasks (Morwani et al., 2023).
- Emergent Linear Representations in World Models of Self-Supervised Sequence Models (Nanda et al., 2023a).
- Beyond sparse coding in V1 (Rentzeperis et al., 2023).
- FIND: A Function Description Benchmark for Evaluating Interpretability Methods (Schwettmann et al., 2023).
- A Mechanistic Interpretation of Arithmetic Reasoning in Language Models using Causal Mediation Analysis (Stolfo et al., 2023).
- Codebook Features: Sparse and Discrete Interpretability for Neural Networks (Tamkin et al., 2023).
- Linear Representations of Sentiment in Large Language Models (Tigges et al., 2023).
- Tensor Trust: Interpretable Prompt Injection Attacks from an Online Game (Toyer et al., 2023).
- The geometry of hidden representations of large transformer models (Valeriani et al., 2023).
- Neurons in Large Language Models: Dead, N-gram, Positional (Voita et al., 2023).
- Large Language Model Cascades with Mixture of Thoughts Representations for Cost-efficient Reasoning (Yue et al., 2023).
- Towards Best Practices of Activation Patching in Language Models: Metrics and Methods (Zhang and Nanda, 2023).
- The Clock and the Pizza: Two Stories in Mechanistic Explanation of Neural Networks (Zhong et al., 2023).
- Mechanistic Interpretability for AI Safety -- A Review (Bereska and Gavves, 2024).
- Finding Transformer Circuits with Edge Pruning (Bhaskar et al., 2024).
- A Mechanistic Analysis of a Transformer Trained on a Symbolic Multi-Step Reasoning Task (Brinkmann et al., 2024).
- The Local Interaction Basis: Identifying Computationally-Relevant and Sparsely Interacting Features in Neural Networks (Bushnaq et al., 2024a).
- Using Degeneracy in the Loss Landscape for Mechanistic Interpretability (Bushnaq et al., 2024b).
- BatchTopK Sparse Autoencoders (Bussmann et al., 2024).
- Evaluating Open-Source Sparse Autoencoders on Disentangling Factual Knowledge in GPT-2 Small (Chaudhary and Geiger, 2024).
- Separating Tongue from Thought: Activation Patching Reveals Language-Agnostic Concept Representations in Transformers (Dumas et al., 2024).
- On the Similarity of Circuits across Languages: a Case Study on the Subject-verb Agreement Task (Ferrando and Costa-jussà, 2024).
- Interpreting the Second-Order Effects of Neurons in CLIP (Gandelsman et al., 2024).
- The Missing Curve Detectors of InceptionV1: Applying Sparse Autoencoders to InceptionV1 Early Vision (Gorton, 2024).
- InterpBench: Semi-Synthetic Transformers for Evaluating Mechanistic Interpretability Techniques (Gupta et al., 2024). Transformers trained to implement known circuits, a benchmark with ground truth against which circuit-discovery methods can be scored.
- Universal Neurons in GPT2 Language Models (Gurnee et al., 2024).
- Have Faith in Faithfulness: Going Beyond Circuit Overlap When Finding Model Mechanisms (Hanna et al., 2024).
- Dictionary Learning Improves Patch-Free Circuit Discovery in Mechanistic Interpretability: A Case Study on Othello-GPT (He et al., 2024a).
- JailbreakLens: Interpreting Jailbreak Mechanism in the Lens of Representation and Circuit (He et al., 2024b).
- Llama Scope: Extracting Millions of Features from Llama-3.1-8B with Sparse Autoencoders (He et al., 2024c).
- Multilevel Interpretability Of Artificial Neural Networks: Leveraging Framework And Methods From Neuroscience (He et al., 2024d).
- How to use and interpret activation patching (Heimersheim and Nanda, 2024).
- Monotonic Representation of Numeric Properties in Language Models (Heinzerling and Inui, 2024).
- InversionView: A General-Purpose Method for Reading Information from Neural Activations (Huang et al., 2024c).
- RAVEL: Evaluating Interpretability Methods on Disentangling Language Model Representations (Huang et al., 2024e).
- Interpreting and Editing Vision-Language Representations to Mitigate Hallucinations (Jiang et al., 2024b).
- Evaluating Sparse Autoencoders on Targeted Concept Erasure Tasks (Karvonen et al., 2024).
- Interpreting Attention Layer Outputs with Sparse Autoencoders (Kissane et al., 2024).
- Quantifying Feature Space Universality Across Large Language Models via Sparse Autoencoders (Lan et al., 2024).
- Learning biologically relevant features in a pathology foundation model using sparse autoencoders (Le et al., 2024).
- Fourier Circuits in Neural Networks and Transformers: A Case Study of Modular Arithmetic with Multiple Inputs (Li et al., 2024b).
- Understanding and Patching Compositional Reasoning in LLMs (Li et al., 2024e).
- Towards Principled Evaluations of Sparse Autoencoders for Interpretability and Control (Makelov et al., 2024b).
- Transformer Circuit Faithfulness Metrics are not Robust (Miller et al., 2024).
- Circuit Compositions: Exploring Modular Structures in Transformer-Based Language Models (Mondorf et al., 2024).
- Efficient Dictionary Learning with Switch Sparse Autoencoders (Mudide et al., 2024).
- The Quest for the Right Mediator: Surveying Mechanistic Interpretability Through the Lens of Causal Mediation Analysis (Mueller et al., 2024).
- Features that Make a Difference: Leveraging Gradients for Improved Dictionary Learning (Olmo et al., 2024).
- Sparse Autoencoders Enable Scalable and Reliable Circuit Identification in Language Models (O'Neill and Bui, 2024).
- LLMs Know More Than They Show: On the Intrinsic Representation of LLM Hallucinations (Orgad et al., 2024).
- Extracting Paragraphs from LLM Token Activations (Pochinkov et al., 2024).
- Improving Dictionary Learning with Gated Sparse Autoencoders (Rajamanoharan et al., 2024a).
- Automatic Discovery of Visual Circuits (Rajaram et al., 2024).
- Identifying Semantic Induction Heads to Understand In-Context Learning (Ren et al., 2024a).
- Explorations of Self-Repair in Language Models (Rushing and Nanda, 2024).
- Mechanistic? (Saphra and Wiegreffe, 2024). Traces the uses of the term "mechanistic interpretability" and the cultural divide it marks between research communities.
- A Multimodal Automated Interpretability Agent (Shaham et al., 2024).
- Improving Instruction-Following in Language Models through Activation Steering (Stolfo et al., 2024).
- TracrBench: Generating Interpretability Testbeds with Large Language Models (Thurnherr and Scheurer, 2024). A dataset of compiled transformer programs generated with language models, as testbeds with known mechanisms for interpretability methods.
- LLM Circuit Analyses Are Consistent Across Training and Scale (Tigges et al., 2024).
- Position: An Inner Interpretability Framework for AI Inspired by Lessons from Cognitive Neuroscience (Vilas et al., 2024).
- Retrieval Head Mechanistically Explains Long-Context Factuality (Wu et al., 2024b).
- The Semantic Hub Hypothesis: Language Models Share Semantic Representations Across Languages and Modalities (Wu et al., 2024c).
- Pre-trained Large Language Models Use Fourier Features to Compute Addition (Zhou et al., 2024c).
- Vector-ICL: In-context Learning with Continuous Vector Representations (Zhuang et al., 2024).
- Number Representations in LLMs: A Computational Parallel to Human Perception (AlquBoj et al., 2025).
- The Validation Gap: A Mechanistic Analysis of How Language Models Compute Arithmetic but Fail to Validate It (Bertolazzi et al., 2025).
- Interpretability in Parameter Space: Minimizing Mechanistic Description Length with Attribution-based Parameter Decomposition (Braun et al., 2025).
- Large Language Models Share Representations of Latent Grammatical Concepts Across Typologically Diverse Languages (Brinkmann et al., 2025).
- Stochastic Parameter Decomposition (Bushnaq et al., 2025).
- Identifying Sparsely Active Circuits Through Local Loss Landscape Decomposition (Chrisman et al., 2025).
- Does It Make Sense to Speak of Introspection in Large Language Models? (Comsa and Shanahan, 2025).
- From Flat to Hierarchical: Extracting Sparse Representations with Matching Pursuit (Costa et al., 2025).
- Preference Learning with Lie Detectors can Induce Honesty or Evasion (Cundy and Gleave, 2025).
- Eliciting Secret Knowledge from Language Models (Cywiński et al., 2025).
- CytoSAE: Interpretable Cell Embeddings for Hematology (Dasdelen et al., 2025).
- Jacobian Sparse Autoencoders: Sparsify Computations, Not Just Activations (Farnik et al., 2025).
- Archetypal SAE: Adaptive and Stable Dictionary Learning for Concept Extraction in Large Vision Models (Fel et al., 2025).
- Weight-sparse transformers have interpretable circuits (Gao et al., 2025).
- Enhancing Automated Interpretability with Output-Centric Feature Descriptions (Gur-Arieh et al., 2025).
- Position-aware Automatic Circuit Discovery (Haklay et al., 2025).
- Automated Interpretability Metrics Do Not Distinguish Trained and Random Transformers (Heap et al., 2025).
- Projecting Assumptions: The Duality Between Sparse Autoencoders and Concept Geometry (Hindupur et al., 2025).
- Understanding In-context Learning of Addition via Activation Subspaces (Hu et al., 2025).
- Decomposing Representation Space into Interpretable Subspaces with Unsupervised Learning (Huang and Hahn, 2025).
- Predictive Concept Decoders: Training Scalable End-to-End Interpretability Assistants (Huang et al., 2025b).
- RelP: Faithful and Efficient Circuit Discovery in Language Models via Relevance Patching (Jafari et al., 2025).
- Language Models Are Capable of Metacognitive Monitoring and Control of Their Internal Activations (Ji-An et al., 2025).
- Sparse Autoencoders Do Not Find Canonical Units of Analysis (Leask et al., 2025).
- Do Activation Verbalization Methods Convey Privileged Information? (Li et al., 2025c).
- The Hidden Life of Tokens: Reducing Hallucination of Large Vision-Language Models via Visual Information Steering (Li et al., 2025g).
- Understanding sparse autoencoder scaling in the presence of feature manifolds (Michaud et al., 2025).
- Overcoming Sparsity Artifacts in Crosscoders to Interpret Chat-Tuning (Minder et al., 2025b).
- The Origins of Representation Manifolds in Large Language Models (Modell et al., 2025).
- Length Representations in Large Language Models (Moon et al., 2025).
- Towards Interpretability Without Sacrifice: Faithful Dense Layer Decomposition with Mixture of Decoders (Oldfield et al., 2025).
- Towards Interpretable Protein Structure Prediction with Sparse Autoencoders (Parsan et al., 2025).
- Sparse Autoencoders Trained on the Same Data Learn Different Features (Paulo and Belrose, 2025).
- Transcoders Beat Sparse Autoencoders for Interpretability (Paulo et al., 2025).
- Self-Interpretability: LLMs Can Describe Complex Internal Processes that Drive Their Decisions (Plunkett et al., 2025).
- Layer by Layer: Uncovering Hidden Representations in Language Models (Skean et al., 2025).
- Language Models Fail to Introspect About Their Knowledge of Language (Song et al., 2025a).
- Privileged Self-Access Matters for Introspection in AI (Song et al., 2025b).
- HyperDAS: Towards Automating Mechanistic Interpretability with Hypernetworks (Sun et al., 2025a).
- HyperSteer: Activation Steering at Scale with Hypernetworks (Sun et al., 2025b).
- Mechanistic Interpretability of Emotion Inference in Large Language Models (Tak et al., 2025).
- Decoding Vision Transformers: the Diffusion Steering Lens (Takatsuki et al., 2025).
- What Language(s) Does Aya-23 Think In? How Multilinguality Affects Internal Language Representations (Trinley et al., 2025).
- Do LLMs "Feel"? Emotion Circuits Discovery and Control (Wang et al., 2025d).
- The Geometry of Refusal in Large Language Models: Concept Cones and Representational Independence (Wollschläger et al., 2025).
- EAP-GP: Mitigating Saturation Effect in Gradient-based Automated Circuit Identification (Zhang et al., 2025b).
- Language Model Circuits Are Sparse in the Neuron Basis (Arora et al., 2026).
- Turn-Averaged SAEs for Feature Discovery and Long-Context Attribution (Der et al., 2026).
- LatentLens: Revealing Highly Interpretable Visual Tokens in LLMs (Krojer et al., 2026).
- Emergent Introspective Awareness in Large Language Models (Lindsey, 2026).
- Individual Parameters in Weight-Sparse Transformers Appear Interpretable (Marin-Llobet and Heimersheim, 2026).
- Abstracting Causal Models (Beckers and Halpern, 2019). Gives formal definitions of when one causal model is an abstraction of another, the theory that interchange-intervention tests in mechanistic interpretability instantiate.
- On the Complexity of Neural Computation in Superposition (Adler and Shavit, 2024). Proves lower bounds on the number of neurons and parameters needed to compute sets of logical operations in superposition, and constructions that nearly match them.
- Interpretability Illusions in the Generalization of Simplified Models (Friedman et al., 2024). Shows that simplified proxies of a model that match it in distribution can diverge from it out of distribution, so explanations validated on training data can mislead about generalization.
- The Misery of Mechanistic Interpretability: A Formal Perspective (Ladner and Althoff, 2026). Shows that small input perturbations flip the dominant features of interpretable replacement networks across five open-weight model families, and gives a reachability-based framework that certifies an upper bound on the faithfulness gap, a first formal guarantee for this kind of interpretation.
- Extensions of Lipschitz mappings into a Hilbert space (Johnson and Lindenstrauss, 1984). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Towards a Law of Iterated Expectations for Heuristic Estimators (Christiano et al., 2024). Argues that a heuristic estimator should not be able to predict its own errors, an analogue of the law of iterated expectations, and explores how to formalize that principle, sharpening what a theory of heuristic explanation would require.
- The Non-Linear Representation Dilemma: Is Causal Abstraction Enough for Mechanistic Interpretability? (Sutter et al., 2025). Proves that if alignment maps between a network and an algorithm may be arbitrarily nonlinear, almost any network can be shown to implement almost any algorithm, so causal abstraction needs a restriction on the maps to have content.
- Sanity Checks for Saliency Maps (Adebayo et al., 2018). Several popular saliency methods produce nearly the same maps for trained and randomly initialized models, so visually plausible explanations need not reflect the model.
- The Mythos of Model Interpretability (Lipton, 2018). Argues that interpretability is not a single property and separates transparency from post-hoc explanation, a critique that still frames the field's claims.
- Towards Faithfully Interpretable NLP Systems: How Should We Define and Evaluate Faithfulness? (Jacovi and Goldberg, 2020). Separates faithfulness (does the explanation reflect the model's reasoning) from plausibility (does it convince people), the distinction behind chain-of-thought faithfulness work.
- Probing Classifiers: Promises, Shortcomings, and Advances (Belinkov, 2022). Review of probing that separates correlational evidence (information is decodable) from causal evidence (the model uses it).
- Towards Automated Circuit Discovery for Mechanistic Interpretability (Conmy et al., 2023). ACDC automates the search for the subgraph that implements a behavior, turning circuit discovery into a repeatable procedure.
- Does Localization Inform Editing? Surprising Differences in Causality-Based Localization vs. Knowledge Editing in Language Models (Hase et al., 2023). Finds that where causal tracing localizes a fact does not predict which layer is best to edit, a direct test of whether localization results are actionable.
- Black-Box Access is Insufficient for Rigorous AI Audits (Casper et al., 2024a). Argues that audits need white-box and outside-the-box access to find failures, linking interpretability tools to external evaluation.
- Gemma Scope: Open Sparse Autoencoders Everywhere All At Once on Gemma 2 (Lieberum et al., 2024). Open release of JumpReLU sparse autoencoders on all layers of Gemma 2 2B and 9B, which made SAE research possible outside frontier labs.
- Is This the Subspace You Are Looking for? An Interpretability Illusion for Subspace Activation Patching (Makelov et al., 2024a). Subspace patching can change behavior by activating a dormant parallel pathway rather than the feature it claims to find, an illusion that undermines some localization claims.
- Are Sparse Autoencoders Useful? A Case Study in Sparse Probing (Kantamneni et al., 2025). SAE-based probes do not beat simple baselines on probing tasks under data scarcity, label noise, or distribution shift, a negative result for the practical case for SAEs.
- AxBench: Steering LLMs? Even Simple Baselines Outperform Sparse Autoencoders (Wu et al., 2025b). Benchmark finding that prompting and fine-tuning beat representation-based steering, and that SAE features do worst on both concept detection and steering.
- Compact Proofs of Model Performance via Mechanistic Interpretability (Gross et al., 2024). Turns mechanistic understanding into formal lower bounds on model accuracy and shows that more faithful explanations yield shorter proofs, with unexplained noise as the main obstacle to compression.
- On the (Im)possibility of Obfuscating Programs (Barak et al., 2001). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Opening the AI Black Box: Distilling Machine-Learned Algorithms into Code (Michaud et al., 2024). Distills algorithms learned by trained networks into Python programs that can be verified, a route from interpretability to formal guarantees.
- Emergence of simple-cell receptive field properties by learning a sparse code for natural images (Olshausen and Field, 1996). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Compressed sensing (Donoho, 2006). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Privileged Bases in the Transformer Residual Stream (Elhage et al., 2023). Our mathematical theories of the Transformer architecture suggest that individual coordinates in the residual stream should have no special significance, but recent work has shown that this observation is false in practice. We investigate this phenomenon and provisionally conclude that the per-dimension normalizers in the Adam optimizer are to blame for the effect.
- A Toy Model of Mechanistic (Un)Faithfulness (Anthropic, 2025b). When transcoders go awry.
- A Toy Model of Interference Weights (Anthropic, 2025a). Unpacking "interference weights" in some more depth.
- Verbalizable Representations Form a Global Workspace in Language Models (Gurnee et al., 2026). We find that Claude maintains a small, privileged set of representations it can report on, control, and reason with, atop a much larger volume of automatic processing.
- Characterizing interference weights in a tiny language model (Turner et al., 2026). We identify interference weights in a 1-layer transformer by measuring their effect on model outputs and loss.
Sources cited in Section F.7 261
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- Olah et al. (2020b) Zoom In: An Introduction to Circuits
- Vig et al. (2020) Investigating Gender Bias in Language Models Using Causal Mediation Analysis
- Goh et al. (2021) Multimodal Neurons in Artificial Neural Networks
- Yun et al. (2021) Transformer visualization via dictionary learning: contextualized embedding as a linear superposition of transformer factors
- Anthropic (2022) Mechanistic Interpretability, Variables, and the Importance of Interpretable Bases
- Christiano et al. (2022) Formalizing the presumption of independence
- Elhage et al. (2022b) Toy Models of Superposition
- Li et al. (2022a) Emergent World Representations: Exploring a Sequence Model Trained on a Synthetic Task
- Meng et al. (2022) Locating and Editing Factual Associations in GPT
- Scherlis et al. (2022) Polysemanticity and Capacity in Neural Networks
- Anthropic (2023d) Distributed Representations: Composition & Superposition
- Anthropic (2023e) Interpretability Dreams
- Bricken et al. (2023) Towards Monosemanticity: Decomposing Language Models With Dictionary Learning
- Cunningham et al. (2023) Sparse Autoencoders Find Highly Interpretable Features in Language Models
- Marks and Tegmark (2023) The Geometry of Truth: Emergent Linear Structure in Large Language Model Representations of True/False Datasets
- Syed et al. (2023) Attribution Patching Outperforms Automated Circuit Discovery
- Turner et al. (2023) Steering Language Models With Activation Engineering
- Wang et al. (2023c) Interpretability in the Wild: a Circuit for Indirect Object Identification in GPT-2 small
- Zou et al. (2023a) Representation Engineering: A Top-Down Approach to AI Transparency
- Binder et al. (2024) Looking Inward: Language Models Can Learn About Themselves by Introspection
- Chanin et al. (2024) A is for Absorption: Studying Feature Splitting and Absorption in Sparse Autoencoders
- Dunefsky et al. (2024) Transcoders Find Interpretable LLM Feature Circuits
- Engels et al. (2024) Not All Language Model Features Are One-Dimensionally Linear
- Gao et al. (2024) Scaling and evaluating sparse autoencoders
- Ge et al. (2024a) Automatically Identifying Local and Global Circuits with Linear Computation Graphs
- Ghandeharioun et al. (2024) Patchscopes: A Unifying Framework for Inspecting Hidden Representations of Language Models
- Hänni et al. (2024) Mathematical Models of Computation in Superposition
- Huh et al. (2024) The Platonic Representation Hypothesis
- Kramár et al. (2024) AtP*: An efficient and scalable method for localizing LLM behaviour to components
- Lindsey et al. (2024) Sparse Crosscoders for Cross-Layer Features and Model Diffing
- Marks et al. (2024) Sparse Feature Circuits: Discovering and Editing Interpretable Causal Graphs in Language Models
- Pan et al. (2024c) LatentQA: Teaching LLMs to Decode Activations Into Natural Language
- Paulo et al. (2024) Automatically Interpreting Millions of Features in Large Language Models
- Rajamanoharan et al. (2024b) Jumping Ahead: Improving Reconstruction Fidelity with JumpReLU Sparse Autoencoders
- Rimsky et al. (2024) Steering Llama 2 via Contrastive Activation Addition
- Templeton et al. (2024) Scaling Monosemanticity: Extracting Interpretable Features from Claude 3 Sonnet
- Ameisen et al. (2025) Circuit Tracing: Revealing Computational Graphs in Language Models
- Geiger et al. (2025) Causal Abstraction: A Theoretical Foundation for Mechanistic Interpretability
- Gurnee et al. (2025) When Models Manipulate Manifolds: The Geometry of a Counting Task
- Karvonen et al. (2025) Activation Oracles: Training and Evaluating LLMs as General-Purpose Activation Explainers
- Lindsey et al. (2025) On the Biology of a Large Language Model
- Lindsey (2025) Emergent Introspective Awareness in Large Language Models
- Marks et al. (2025) Auditing language models for hidden objectives
- Méloux et al. (2025) Everything, Everywhere, All at Once: Is Mechanistic Interpretability Identifiable?
- Nguyen et al. (2025) Probing and Steering Evaluation Awareness of Language Models
- Sharkey et al. (2025) Open Problems in Mechanistic Interpretability
- Kamath et al. (2025) Tracing Attention Computation Through Feature Interactions
- Anthropic (2026ai) Natural Language Autoencoders Produce Unsupervised Explanations of LLM Activations
- Sheshadri et al. (2026) AuditBench: Evaluating Alignment Auditing Techniques on Models with Hidden Behaviors
- Bengio et al. (2012) Representation Learning: A Review and New Perspectives
- Ganguli and Sompolinsky (2012) Compressed Sensing, Sparsity, and Dimensionality in Neuronal Information Processing and Data Analysis
- Makhzani and Frey (2013) k-Sparse Autoencoders
- Mikolov et al. (2013) Efficient Estimation of Word Representations in Vector Space
- Simonyan et al. (2013) Deep Inside Convolutional Networks: Visualising Image Classification Models and Saliency Maps
- Faruqui et al. (2015) Sparse Overcomplete Word Vector Representations
- Graziano and Webb (2015) The attention schema theory: a mechanistic account of subjective awareness
- Radford et al. (2015) Unsupervised Representation Learning with Deep Convolutional Generative Adversarial Networks
- Arora et al. (2016) Linear Algebraic Structure of Word Senses, with Applications to Polysemy
- Bau et al. (2017) Network Dissection: Quantifying Interpretability of Deep Visual Representations
- Doshi-Velez and Kim (2017) Towards A Rigorous Science of Interpretable Machine Learning
- Fong and Vedaldi (2017) Interpretable Explanations of Black Boxes by Meaningful Perturbation
- Kim et al. (2017) Interpretability Beyond Feature Attribution: Quantitative Testing with Concept Activation Vectors (TCAV)
- Kindermans et al. (2017a) Learning how to explain neural networks: PatternNet and PatternAttribution
- Kindermans et al. (2017b) The (Un)reliability of saliency methods
- Olah et al. (2017) Feature Visualization
- Sundararajan et al. (2017) Axiomatic Attribution for Deep Networks
- Poerner et al. (2018) Interpretable Textual Neuron Representations for NLP
- Engstrom et al. (2019) Adversarial Robustness as a Prior for Learned Representations
- Hewitt and Liang (2019) Designing and Interpreting Probes with Control Tasks
- Hoover et al. (2019) exBERT: A Visual Analysis Tool to Explore Learned Representations in Transformers Models
- Rudin (2019) Stop explaining black box machine learning models for high stakes decisions and use interpretable models instead
- Serrano and Smith (2019) Is Attention Interpretable?
- Yi and Grill (2019) Average firing rate rather than temporal pattern determines metabolic cost of activity in thalamocortical relay neurons
- Zhang et al. (2019) Word Embedding Visualization Via Dictionary Learning
- Cammarata et al. (2020) Curve Detectors
- nostalgebraist (2020) interpreting GPT: the logit lens
- Pimentel et al. (2020) Information-Theoretic Probing for Linguistic Structure
- Tenney et al. (2020) The Language Interpretability Tool: Extensible, Interactive Visualizations and Analysis for NLP Models
- Voita and Titov (2020) Information-Theoretic Probing with Minimum Description Length
- Barannikov et al. (2021) Representation Topology Divergence: A Method for Comparing Neural Network Representations
- Bolukbasi et al. (2021) An Interpretability Illusion for BERT
- Cao et al. (2021b) Low-Complexity Probing via Finding Subnetworks
- Dai et al. (2021) Knowledge Neurons in Pretrained Transformers
- Elazar et al. (2021) Amnesic Probing: Behavioral Explanation with Amnesic Counterfactuals
- Geiger et al. (2021) Causal Abstractions of Neural Networks
- Kokhlikyan et al. (2021) Investigating sanity checks for saliency maps with image and text classification
- O'Connor and Andreas (2021) What Context Features Can Transformer Language Models Use?
- Chan et al. (2022) Causal Scrubbing: a method for rigorously testing interpretability hypotheses
- Chang et al. (2022) The Geometry of Multilingual Language Model Representations
- Creswell et al. (2022) Selection-Inference: Exploiting Large Language Models for Interpretable Logical Reasoning
- Hernandez et al. (2022) Scaling Laws and Interpretability of Learning from Repeated Data
- Jermyn et al. (2022) Engineering Monosemanticity in Toy Models
- Lubana et al. (2022) Mechanistic Mode Connectivity
- Subramani et al. (2022) Extracting Latent Steering Vectors from Pretrained Language Models
- Belrose et al. (2023a) Eliciting Latent Predictions from Transformers with the Tuned Lens
- Belrose et al. (2023b) LEACE: Perfect linear concept erasure in closed form
- Chughtai et al. (2023) A Toy Model of Universality: Reverse Engineering How Networks Learn Group Operations
- Davies et al. (2023) Discovering Variable Binding Circuitry with Desiderata
- Farquhar et al. (2023) Challenges with unsupervised LLM knowledge discovery
- Geiger et al. (2023) Finding Alignments Between Interpretable Causal Variables and Distributed Neural Representations
- Goldowsky-Dill et al. (2023) Localizing Model Behavior with Path Patching
- Gould et al. (2023) Successor Heads: Recurring, Interpretable Attention Heads In The Wild
- Gurnee et al. (2023) Finding Neurons in a Haystack: Case Studies with Sparse Probing
- Gurnee and Tegmark (2023) Language Models Represent Space and Time
- Hernandez et al. (2023) Linearity of Relation Decoding in Transformer Language Models
- Jain et al. (2023) Mechanistically analyzing the effects of fine-tuning on procedurally defined tasks
- Kozachkov et al. (2023) Building transformers from neurons and astrocytes
- Lepori et al. (2023) Uncovering Intermediate Variables in Transformers using Circuit Probing
- Li et al. (2023a) Inference-Time Intervention: Eliciting Truthful Answers from a Language Model
- Lieberum et al. (2023) Does Circuit Analysis Interpretability Scale? Evidence from Multiple Choice Capabilities in Chinchilla
- Lindner et al. (2023) Tracr: Compiled Transformers as a Laboratory for Interpretability
- Mallen et al. (2023) Eliciting Latent Knowledge from Quirky Language Models
- McDougall et al. (2023) Copy Suppression: Comprehensively Understanding an Attention Head
- McGrath et al. (2023) The Hydra Effect: Emergent Self-repair in Language Model Computations
- Merullo et al. (2023a) Circuit Component Reuse Across Tasks in Transformer Language Models
- Merullo et al. (2023b) Language Models Implement Simple Word2Vec-style Vector Arithmetic
- Morwani et al. (2023) Feature emergence via margin maximization: case studies in algebraic tasks
- Nanda et al. (2023a) Emergent Linear Representations in World Models of Self-Supervised Sequence Models
- Rentzeperis et al. (2023) Beyond $\ell_1$ sparse coding in V1
- Schwettmann et al. (2023) FIND: A Function Description Benchmark for Evaluating Interpretability Methods
- Stolfo et al. (2023) A Mechanistic Interpretation of Arithmetic Reasoning in Language Models using Causal Mediation Analysis
- Tamkin et al. (2023) Codebook Features: Sparse and Discrete Interpretability for Neural Networks
- Tigges et al. (2023) Linear Representations of Sentiment in Large Language Models
- Toyer et al. (2023) Tensor Trust: Interpretable Prompt Injection Attacks from an Online Game
- Valeriani et al. (2023) The geometry of hidden representations of large transformer models
- Voita et al. (2023) Neurons in Large Language Models: Dead, N-gram, Positional
- Yue et al. (2023) Large Language Model Cascades with Mixture of Thoughts Representations for Cost-efficient Reasoning
- Zhang and Nanda (2023) Towards Best Practices of Activation Patching in Language Models: Metrics and Methods
- Zhong et al. (2023) The Clock and the Pizza: Two Stories in Mechanistic Explanation of Neural Networks
- Bereska and Gavves (2024) Mechanistic Interpretability for AI Safety -- A Review
- Bhaskar et al. (2024) Finding Transformer Circuits with Edge Pruning
- Brinkmann et al. (2024) A Mechanistic Analysis of a Transformer Trained on a Symbolic Multi-Step Reasoning Task
- Bushnaq et al. (2024a) The Local Interaction Basis: Identifying Computationally-Relevant and Sparsely Interacting Features in Neural Networks
- Bushnaq et al. (2024b) Using Degeneracy in the Loss Landscape for Mechanistic Interpretability
- Bussmann et al. (2024) BatchTopK Sparse Autoencoders
- Chaudhary and Geiger (2024) Evaluating Open-Source Sparse Autoencoders on Disentangling Factual Knowledge in GPT-2 Small
- Dumas et al. (2024) Separating Tongue from Thought: Activation Patching Reveals Language-Agnostic Concept Representations in Transformers
- Ferrando and Costa-jussà (2024) On the Similarity of Circuits across Languages: a Case Study on the Subject-verb Agreement Task
- Gandelsman et al. (2024) Interpreting the Second-Order Effects of Neurons in CLIP
- Gorton (2024) The Missing Curve Detectors of InceptionV1: Applying Sparse Autoencoders to InceptionV1 Early Vision
- Gupta et al. (2024) InterpBench: Semi-Synthetic Transformers for Evaluating Mechanistic Interpretability Techniques
- Gurnee et al. (2024) Universal Neurons in GPT2 Language Models
- Hanna et al. (2024) Have Faith in Faithfulness: Going Beyond Circuit Overlap When Finding Model Mechanisms
- He et al. (2024a) Dictionary Learning Improves Patch-Free Circuit Discovery in Mechanistic Interpretability: A Case Study on Othello-GPT
- He et al. (2024b) JailbreakLens: Interpreting Jailbreak Mechanism in the Lens of Representation and Circuit
- He et al. (2024c) Llama Scope: Extracting Millions of Features from Llama-3.1-8B with Sparse Autoencoders
- He et al. (2024d) Multilevel Interpretability Of Artificial Neural Networks: Leveraging Framework And Methods From Neuroscience
- Heimersheim and Nanda (2024) How to use and interpret activation patching
- Heinzerling and Inui (2024) Monotonic Representation of Numeric Properties in Language Models
- Huang et al. (2024c) InversionView: A General-Purpose Method for Reading Information from Neural Activations
- Huang et al. (2024e) RAVEL: Evaluating Interpretability Methods on Disentangling Language Model Representations
- Jiang et al. (2024b) Interpreting and Editing Vision-Language Representations to Mitigate Hallucinations
- Karvonen et al. (2024) Evaluating Sparse Autoencoders on Targeted Concept Erasure Tasks
- Kissane et al. (2024) Interpreting Attention Layer Outputs with Sparse Autoencoders
- Lan et al. (2024) Quantifying Feature Space Universality Across Large Language Models via Sparse Autoencoders
- Le et al. (2024) Learning biologically relevant features in a pathology foundation model using sparse autoencoders
- Li et al. (2024b) Fourier Circuits in Neural Networks and Transformers: A Case Study of Modular Arithmetic with Multiple Inputs
- Li et al. (2024e) Understanding and Patching Compositional Reasoning in LLMs
- Makelov et al. (2024b) Towards Principled Evaluations of Sparse Autoencoders for Interpretability and Control
- Miller et al. (2024) Transformer Circuit Faithfulness Metrics are not Robust
- Mondorf et al. (2024) Circuit Compositions: Exploring Modular Structures in Transformer-Based Language Models
- Mudide et al. (2024) Efficient Dictionary Learning with Switch Sparse Autoencoders
- Mueller et al. (2024) The Quest for the Right Mediator: Surveying Mechanistic Interpretability Through the Lens of Causal Mediation Analysis
- Olmo et al. (2024) Features that Make a Difference: Leveraging Gradients for Improved Dictionary Learning
- O'Neill and Bui (2024) Sparse Autoencoders Enable Scalable and Reliable Circuit Identification in Language Models
- Orgad et al. (2024) LLMs Know More Than They Show: On the Intrinsic Representation of LLM Hallucinations
- Pochinkov et al. (2024) Extracting Paragraphs from LLM Token Activations
- Rajamanoharan et al. (2024a) Improving Dictionary Learning with Gated Sparse Autoencoders
- Rajaram et al. (2024) Automatic Discovery of Visual Circuits
- Ren et al. (2024a) Identifying Semantic Induction Heads to Understand In-Context Learning
- Rushing and Nanda (2024) Explorations of Self-Repair in Language Models
- Saphra and Wiegreffe (2024) Mechanistic?
- Shaham et al. (2024) A Multimodal Automated Interpretability Agent
- Stolfo et al. (2024) Improving Instruction-Following in Language Models through Activation Steering
- Thurnherr and Scheurer (2024) TracrBench: Generating Interpretability Testbeds with Large Language Models
- Tigges et al. (2024) LLM Circuit Analyses Are Consistent Across Training and Scale
- Vilas et al. (2024) Position: An Inner Interpretability Framework for AI Inspired by Lessons from Cognitive Neuroscience
- Wu et al. (2024b) Retrieval Head Mechanistically Explains Long-Context Factuality
- Wu et al. (2024c) The Semantic Hub Hypothesis: Language Models Share Semantic Representations Across Languages and Modalities
- Zhou et al. (2024c) Pre-trained Large Language Models Use Fourier Features to Compute Addition
- Zhuang et al. (2024) Vector-ICL: In-context Learning with Continuous Vector Representations
- AlquBoj et al. (2025) Number Representations in LLMs: A Computational Parallel to Human Perception
- Bertolazzi et al. (2025) The Validation Gap: A Mechanistic Analysis of How Language Models Compute Arithmetic but Fail to Validate It
- Braun et al. (2025) Interpretability in Parameter Space: Minimizing Mechanistic Description Length with Attribution-based Parameter Decomposition
- Brinkmann et al. (2025) Large Language Models Share Representations of Latent Grammatical Concepts Across Typologically Diverse Languages
- Bushnaq et al. (2025) Stochastic Parameter Decomposition
- Chrisman et al. (2025) Identifying Sparsely Active Circuits Through Local Loss Landscape Decomposition
- Comsa and Shanahan (2025) Does It Make Sense to Speak of Introspection in Large Language Models?
- Costa et al. (2025) From Flat to Hierarchical: Extracting Sparse Representations with Matching Pursuit
- Cundy and Gleave (2025) Preference Learning with Lie Detectors can Induce Honesty or Evasion
- Cywiński et al. (2025) Eliciting Secret Knowledge from Language Models
- Dasdelen et al. (2025) CytoSAE: Interpretable Cell Embeddings for Hematology
- Farnik et al. (2025) Jacobian Sparse Autoencoders: Sparsify Computations, Not Just Activations
- Fel et al. (2025) Archetypal SAE: Adaptive and Stable Dictionary Learning for Concept Extraction in Large Vision Models
- Gao et al. (2025) Weight-sparse transformers have interpretable circuits
- Gur-Arieh et al. (2025) Enhancing Automated Interpretability with Output-Centric Feature Descriptions
- Haklay et al. (2025) Position-aware Automatic Circuit Discovery
- Heap et al. (2025) Automated Interpretability Metrics Do Not Distinguish Trained and Random Transformers
- Hindupur et al. (2025) Projecting Assumptions: The Duality Between Sparse Autoencoders and Concept Geometry
- Hu et al. (2025) Understanding In-context Learning of Addition via Activation Subspaces
- Huang and Hahn (2025) Decomposing Representation Space into Interpretable Subspaces with Unsupervised Learning
- Huang et al. (2025b) Predictive Concept Decoders: Training Scalable End-to-End Interpretability Assistants
- Jafari et al. (2025) RelP: Faithful and Efficient Circuit Discovery in Language Models via Relevance Patching
- Ji-An et al. (2025) Language Models Are Capable of Metacognitive Monitoring and Control of Their Internal Activations
- Leask et al. (2025) Sparse Autoencoders Do Not Find Canonical Units of Analysis
- Li et al. (2025c) Do Activation Verbalization Methods Convey Privileged Information?
- Li et al. (2025g) The Hidden Life of Tokens: Reducing Hallucination of Large Vision-Language Models via Visual Information Steering
- Michaud et al. (2025) Understanding sparse autoencoder scaling in the presence of feature manifolds
- Minder et al. (2025b) Overcoming Sparsity Artifacts in Crosscoders to Interpret Chat-Tuning
- Modell et al. (2025) The Origins of Representation Manifolds in Large Language Models
- Moon et al. (2025) Length Representations in Large Language Models
- Oldfield et al. (2025) Towards Interpretability Without Sacrifice: Faithful Dense Layer Decomposition with Mixture of Decoders
- Parsan et al. (2025) Towards Interpretable Protein Structure Prediction with Sparse Autoencoders
- Paulo and Belrose (2025) Sparse Autoencoders Trained on the Same Data Learn Different Features
- Paulo et al. (2025) Transcoders Beat Sparse Autoencoders for Interpretability
- Plunkett et al. (2025) Self-Interpretability: LLMs Can Describe Complex Internal Processes that Drive Their Decisions
- Skean et al. (2025) Layer by Layer: Uncovering Hidden Representations in Language Models
- Song et al. (2025a) Language Models Fail to Introspect About Their Knowledge of Language
- Song et al. (2025b) Privileged Self-Access Matters for Introspection in AI
- Sun et al. (2025a) HyperDAS: Towards Automating Mechanistic Interpretability with Hypernetworks
- Sun et al. (2025b) HyperSteer: Activation Steering at Scale with Hypernetworks
- Tak et al. (2025) Mechanistic Interpretability of Emotion Inference in Large Language Models
- Takatsuki et al. (2025) Decoding Vision Transformers: the Diffusion Steering Lens
- Trinley et al. (2025) What Language(s) Does Aya-23 Think In? How Multilinguality Affects Internal Language Representations
- Wang et al. (2025d) Do LLMs "Feel"? Emotion Circuits Discovery and Control
- Wollschläger et al. (2025) The Geometry of Refusal in Large Language Models: Concept Cones and Representational Independence
- Zhang et al. (2025b) EAP-GP: Mitigating Saturation Effect in Gradient-based Automated Circuit Identification
- Arora et al. (2026) Language Model Circuits Are Sparse in the Neuron Basis
- Der et al. (2026) Turn-Averaged SAEs for Feature Discovery and Long-Context Attribution
- Krojer et al. (2026) LatentLens: Revealing Highly Interpretable Visual Tokens in LLMs
- Lindsey (2026) Emergent Introspective Awareness in Large Language Models
- Marin-Llobet and Heimersheim (2026) Individual Parameters in Weight-Sparse Transformers Appear Interpretable
- Beckers and Halpern (2019) Abstracting Causal Models
- Adler and Shavit (2024) On the Complexity of Neural Computation in Superposition
- Friedman et al. (2024) Interpretability Illusions in the Generalization of Simplified Models
- Ladner and Althoff (2026) The Misery of Mechanistic Interpretability: A Formal Perspective
- Johnson and Lindenstrauss (1984) Extensions of Lipschitz mappings into a Hilbert space
- Christiano et al. (2024) Towards a Law of Iterated Expectations for Heuristic Estimators
- Sutter et al. (2025) The Non-Linear Representation Dilemma: Is Causal Abstraction Enough for Mechanistic Interpretability?
- Adebayo et al. (2018) Sanity Checks for Saliency Maps
- Lipton (2018) The Mythos of Model Interpretability
- Jacovi and Goldberg (2020) Towards Faithfully Interpretable NLP Systems: How Should We Define and Evaluate Faithfulness?
- Belinkov (2022) Probing Classifiers: Promises, Shortcomings, and Advances
- Conmy et al. (2023) Towards Automated Circuit Discovery for Mechanistic Interpretability
- Hase et al. (2023) Does Localization Inform Editing? Surprising Differences in Causality-Based Localization vs. Knowledge Editing in Language Models
- Casper et al. (2024a) Black-Box Access is Insufficient for Rigorous AI Audits
- Lieberum et al. (2024) Gemma Scope: Open Sparse Autoencoders Everywhere All At Once on Gemma 2
- Makelov et al. (2024a) Is This the Subspace You Are Looking for? An Interpretability Illusion for Subspace Activation Patching
- Kantamneni et al. (2025) Are Sparse Autoencoders Useful? A Case Study in Sparse Probing
- Wu et al. (2025b) AxBench: Steering LLMs? Even Simple Baselines Outperform Sparse Autoencoders
- Gross et al. (2024) Compact Proofs of Model Performance via Mechanistic Interpretability
- Barak et al. (2001) On the (Im)possibility of Obfuscating Programs
- Michaud et al. (2024) Opening the AI Black Box: Distilling Machine-Learned Algorithms into Code
- Olshausen and Field (1996) Emergence of simple-cell receptive field properties by learning a sparse code for natural images
- Donoho (2006) Compressed sensing
- Elhage et al. (2023) Privileged Bases in the Transformer Residual Stream
- Anthropic (2025b) A Toy Model of Mechanistic (Un)Faithfulness
- Anthropic (2025a) A Toy Model of Interference Weights
- Gurnee et al. (2026) Verbalizable Representations Form a Global Workspace in Language Models
- Turner et al. (2026) Characterizing interference weights in a tiny language model
F.8 Machine learning: Maintenance: Assuming It Might Have Failed #
Spine.
- An experimental evaluation of the assumption of independence in multiversion programming (Knight and Leveson, 1986). Finds in an experiment with independently written versions of the same program that coincident failures occurred far more often than independence predicts, the classic experimental evidence that design diversity does not give independent checks.
- Validation of ultrahigh dependability for software-based systems (Littlewood and Strigini, 1993). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Chapter 51 Inspection games (Avenhaus et al., 2002). Surveys inspection games, in which an inspector with limited resources chooses what to check and an inspectee chooses whether to violate, the game-theoretic form of auditing an untrusted model.
- Intriguing properties of neural networks (Szegedy et al., 2014). Discovers adversarial examples: imperceptible perturbations that change a network's prediction and transfer across models.
- BadNets: Identifying Vulnerabilities in the Machine Learning Model Supply Chain (Gu et al., 2017). Introduces neural backdoors: a trigger implanted through poisoned training data that causes targeted misbehavior while clean accuracy is unaffected.
- Red Teaming Language Models to Reduce Harms: Methods, Scaling Behaviors, and Lessons Learned (Ganguli et al., 2022). Cited by 7 laboratory works.
- Planting Undetectable Backdoors in Machine Learning Models : [Extended Abstract] (Goldwasser et al., 2022). Cryptographic construction of backdoors that no efficient observer can detect, a theoretical limit on auditing models from weights or behavior.
- Red Teaming Language Models with Language Models (Perez et al., 2022b). Cited by 13 laboratory works.
- Prompt injection attacks against GPT-3 (Willison, 2022). Names prompt injection and identifies its cause as the concatenation of trusted instructions with untrusted input in one channel, the framing every later defense responds to.
- Jailbreaking Black Box Large Language Models in Twenty Queries (Chao et al., 2023). Cited by 7 laboratory works.
- Adversarial Policies Beat Superhuman Go AIs (Wang et al., 2023b). Trains adversarial agents that defeat superhuman Go programs with strategies amateurs can repeat, evidence that superhuman capability coexists with exploitable failures.
- Jailbroken: How Does LLM Safety Training Fail? (Wei et al., 2023c). Explains jailbreaks by competing objectives and mismatched generalization between capabilities and safety training.
- Low-Resource Languages Jailbreak GPT-4 (Yong et al., 2023). Shows that translating unsafe English prompts into low-resource languages bypassed GPT-4's safeguards 79 percent of the time on AdvBench, evidence that safety training fails to generalize across languages.
- Universal and Transferable Adversarial Attacks on Aligned Language Models (Zou et al., 2023b). Greedy coordinate gradient search finds adversarial suffixes that jailbreak open models and transfer to closed ones, carrying adversarial examples over to aligned LLMs.
- Many-shot Jailbreaking (Anil et al., 2024). Shows that prompting with hundreds of demonstrations of undesirable behavior jailbreaks long-context models, with success following a power law in the number of shots.
- Can a Bayesian Oracle Prevent Harm from an Agent? (Bengio et al., 2024a). Derives probabilistic bounds on the harm of a proposed action from a posterior over world models, the technical core of using a non-agentic predictor as a guardrail on an agent.
- Sabotage Evaluations for Frontier Models (Benton et al., 2024). How well could AI models mislead us, or secretly sabotage tasks, if they were trying to? We describe a novel set of evaluations that test a model's capacity for sabotage.
- Safety Cases: How to Justify the Safety of Advanced AI Systems (Clymer et al., 2024). Organizes safety arguments into inability, control, trustworthiness, and deference, with building blocks for each.
- AI Control: Improving Safety Despite Intentional Subversion (Greenblatt et al., 2024a). Defines control evaluations with a red team playing an untrusted model and shows that trusted monitoring and editing protocols catch backdoors in generated code.
- Sleeper Agents: Training Deceptive LLMs that Persist Through Safety Training (Hubinger et al., 2024). We train LLMs to act secretly malicious. We find that, despite our best efforts at alignment training, deception still slipped through.
- HarmBench: A Standardized Evaluation Framework for Automated Red Teaming and Robust Refusal (Mazeika et al., 2024). Cited by 7 laboratory works.
- Securing AI Model Weights: Preventing Theft and Misuse of Frontier Models (Nevo et al., 2024). Defines five security levels against attackers from amateurs to top state programs and the measures each requires, the reference for protecting weights during internal development.
- Rapid Response: Mitigating LLM Jailbreaks with a Few Examples (Peng et al., 2024). Ensuring perfect jailbreak robustness is hard. We propose an alternative: adaptive techniques that rapidly block new classes of jailbreak as they’re detected.
- A StrongREJECT for Empty Jailbreaks (Souly et al., 2024). Cited by 10 laboratory works.
- Clio: Privacy-Preserving Insights into Real-World AI Use (Tamkin et al., 2024). Cited by 7 laboratory works.
- Adaptive Deployment of Untrusted LLMs Reduces Distributed Threats (Wen et al., 2024). Cited by 8 laboratory works.
- Improving Alignment and Robustness with Circuit Breakers (Zou et al., 2024). Cited by 6 laboratory works.
- Building and evaluating alignment auditing agents (Anthropic, 2025g). In testing, our agents successfully uncover hidden goals, build safety evaluations, and surface concerning behaviors.
- Monitoring Computer Use via Hierarchical Summarization (Anthropic, 2025ag). We introduce hierarchical summarization for monitoring and describe how we use it to protect Computer Use capabilities.
- Monitoring Reasoning Models for Misbehavior and the Risks of Promoting Obfuscation (Baker et al., 2025). Cited by 20 laboratory works.
- Ctrl-Z: Controlling AI Agents via Resampling (Bhatt et al., 2025). Cited by 7 laboratory works.
- Backdoor defense, learnability and obfuscation (Christiano et al., 2025). Defines backdoor defense as a game between attacker and defender and proves that efficient PAC learnability implies efficient defendability, while polynomial-size circuits are not efficiently defendable if indistinguishability obfuscation exists.
- Will AI R&D Automation Cause a Software Intelligence Explosion? (Eth and Davidson, 2025). Models whether AI systems that automate AI research could produce accelerating software progress without more compute, a question that turns on whether returns to software research exceed one, and examines the bottlenecks.
- Automated Researchers Can Subtly Sandbag (Gasteiger et al., 2025a). Current models can sandbag ML experiments and research decisions without being detected by zero-shot prompted monitors. Claude 3.7 is better at zero-shot sandbagging than Claude 3.5 (new).
- Scaling Trends in Language Model Robustness (Howe et al., 2025). Finds that without safety training larger language models are not consistently more robust, that scale improves the sample efficiency of adversarial training, and that attack scaling currently outpaces defense scaling.
- Chain of Thought Monitorability: A New and Fragile Opportunity for AI Safety (Korbak et al., 2025b). Cited by 15 laboratory works.
- How to evaluate control measures for LLM agents? A trajectory from today to superintelligence (Korbak et al., 2025c). Ties the strength of control evaluations to the capability profile of the untrusted model, defining a sequence of AI control levels with matching red-team affordances.
- SHADE-Arena: Evaluating Sabotage and Monitoring in LLM Agents (Kutasov et al., 2025b). SHADE-Arena: Evaluating sabotage and monitoring in LLM agents
- Agentic Misalignment: How LLMs Could Be Insider Threats (Lynch et al., 2025). Agentic misalignment: How LLMs could be insider threats
- Natural Emergent Misalignment from Reward Hacking in Production RL (MacDiarmid et al., 2025). Cited by 11 laboratory works.
- Deep Ignorance: Filtering Pretraining Data Builds Tamper-Resistant Safeguards into Open-Weight LLMs (O'Brien et al., 2025). Cited by 5 laboratory works.
- Constitutional Classifiers: Defending against Universal Jailbreaks across Thousands of Hours of Red Teaming (Sharma et al., 2025). These classifiers filter the overwhelming majority of jailbreaks while maintaining practical deployment. A prototype withstood over 3,000 hours of red teaming with no universal jailbreak discovered.
- Poisoning Attacks on LLMs Require a Near-constant Number of Poison Samples (Souly et al., 2025). From the laboratory's post "A small number of samples can poison LLMs of any size": In a joint study with the UK AI Security Institute and the Alan Turing Institute, we found that as few as 250 malicious documents can produce a "backdoor" vulnerability in a large language model—regardless of model size or training data volume.
- AI Behind Closed Doors: a Primer on The Governance of Internal Deployment (Stix et al., 2025a). Defines internal deployment, argues that the most capable systems are used first inside developers with less oversight than external release, and proposes governance measures for that phase.
- AI Sandbagging: Language Models can Strategically Underperform on Evaluations (van der Weij et al., 2025). Shows that models can be prompted or fine-tuned to underperform selectively on dangerous-capability evaluations while keeping general performance, undermining capability evaluations.
- Sidestepping Evaluation Awareness and Anticipating Misalignment with Production Evaluations (Williams et al., 2025). A pipeline to uncover unknown misaligned behavior and scale the creation of realistic evaluations.
- Can LLMs Separate Instructions From Data? And What Do We Even Mean By That? (Zverev et al., 2025). Defines instruction-data separation formally, measures it with a new dataset, and finds that no tested model achieves high separation, which locates prompt injection in the model rather than in the application.
- Automated Weak-to-Strong Researcher (Anthropic, 2026m). We built autonomous AI agents that propose ideas, run experiments, and iterate on an open research problem—how to train a strong model using only a weaker model's supervision—and found they outperform human researchers, suggesting that automating this kind of research is already practical.
- Automated alignment is harder than you think (Bowkis et al., 2026). Argues that a plan to automate alignment research could produce compelling but misleading safety assessments, because alignment research involves many hard-to-supervise fuzzy tasks, even when the research agents are not scheming.
- Constitutional Classifiers++: Efficient Production-Grade Defenses against Universal Jailbreaks (Cunningham et al., 2026). From the laboratory's post "Next-generation Constitutional Classifiers: More efficient protection against universal jailbreaks": Constitutional Classifiers++ improve on our previous approach, yielding a system that is even more robust, has a much lower refusal rate, and is dramatically cheaper to run.
- Defeating Prompt Injections by Design (Debenedetti et al., 2026). Wraps the model in a system that extracts control and data flow from the trusted query and enforces capability-based policies on untrusted data, giving injection resistance by construction rather than by training.
- SLEIGHT-Bench: A Benchmark of Evasion Attacks Against Agent Monitors (Najt et al., 2026). From the laboratory's post "SLEIGHT-Bench: Finding Blind Spots in AI Monitors": We build a benchmark of evasive transcripts exploiting blind spots of frontier monitoring systems.
- The Hugging Face incident and the road ahead (OpenAI, 2026aa). Findings from the incident and the response across model security, monitoring, and alignment.
- How we monitor internal coding agents for misalignment (OpenAI, 2026m). Monitoring model behavior in real internal workflows.
Side reading.
- Ironic processes of mental control. (Wegner, 1994).
- Delving into Transferable Adversarial Examples and Black-box Attacks (Liu et al., 2016).
- Adversarial Examples Are Not Easily Detected: Bypassing Ten Detection Methods (Carlini and Wagner, 2017a).
- Targeted Backdoor Attacks on Deep Learning Systems Using Data Poisoning (Chen et al., 2017).
- Adversarial Reprogramming of Neural Networks (Elsayed et al., 2018).
- Counterfactual Fairness in Text Classification through Robustness (Garg et al., 2018).
- Adversarial Spheres (Gilmer et al., 2018).
- Fine-Pruning: Defending Against Backdooring Attacks on Deep Neural Networks (Liu et al., 2018a).
- On Evaluating Adversarial Robustness (Carlini et al., 2019). A checklist for evaluating defenses against adversarial examples, written by researchers who broke many of them.
- On the "steerability" of generative adversarial networks (Jahanian et al., 2019).
- Universal Litmus Patterns: Revealing Backdoor Attacks in CNNs (Kolouri et al., 2019).
- ONION: A Simple and Effective Defense Against Textual Backdoor Attacks (Qi et al., 2020).
- On Adaptive Attacks to Adversarial Example Defenses (Tramer et al., 2020). Breaks thirteen published defenses with attacks adapted to each, showing that a defense evaluated only against fixed attacks has not been evaluated.
- ConFoc: Content-Focus Protection Against Trojan Attacks on Neural Networks (Villarreal-Vasquez and Bhargava, 2020).
- T-Miner: A Generative Approach to Defend Against Trojan Attacks on DNN-based Text Classification (Azizi et al., 2021).
- Neural Attention Distillation: Erasing Backdoor Triggers from Deep Neural Networks (Li et al., 2021).
- Hidden Killer: Invisible Textual Backdoor Attacks with Syntactic Trigger (Qi et al., 2021).
- Concealed Data Poisoning Attacks on NLP Models (Wallace et al., 2021).
- Piccolo: Exposing Complex Backdoors in NLP Transformer Models (Liu et al., 2022b).
- Are aligned neural networks adversarially aligned? (Carlini et al., 2023).
- Backdoor Attacks and Countermeasures in Natural Language Processing Models: A Comprehensive Security Review (Cheng et al., 2023).
- An Overview of Catastrophic AI Risks (Hendrycks et al., 2023).
- Tree of Attacks: Jailbreaking Black-Box LLMs Automatically (Mehrotra et al., 2023).
- Tricking LLMs into Disobedience: Formalizing, Analyzing, and Detecting Jailbreaks (Rao et al., 2023).
- Jailbreak and Guard Aligned Language Models with Only Few In-Context Demonstrations (Wei et al., 2023b).
- The Dual LLM pattern for building AI assistants that can resist prompt injection (Willison, 2023). Proposes splitting an AI assistant into a privileged model that has tools and takes input only from trusted sources and a quarantined model that reads untrusted content and has no tools, with ordinary software passing references between them.
- GPTFUZZER: Red Teaming Large Language Models with Auto-Generated Jailbreak Prompts (Yu et al., 2023).
- Jailbreaking Leading Safety-Aligned LLMs with Simple Adaptive Attacks (Andriushchenko et al., 2024b).
- Obfuscated Activations Bypass LLM Latent-Space Defenses (Bailey et al., 2024).
- Diverse and Effective Red Teaming with Auto-generated Rewards and Multi-step Reinforcement Learning (Beutel et al., 2024).
- Defending Against Unforeseen Failure Modes with Latent Adversarial Training (Casper et al., 2024b).
- Designing a Dashboard for Transparency and Control of Conversational AI (Chen et al., 2024a).
- AgentDojo: A Dynamic Environment to Evaluate Prompt Injection Attacks and Defenses for LLM Agents (Debenedetti et al., 2024a).
- WildGuard: Open One-Stop Moderation Tools for Safety Risks, Jailbreaks, and Refusals of LLMs (Han et al., 2024).
- Best-of-N Jailbreaking (Hughes et al., 2024).
- The Remarkable Robustness of LLMs: Stages of Inference? (Lad et al., 2024).
- Prompt Infection: LLM-to-LLM Prompt Injection within Multi-Agent Systems (Lee and Tiwari, 2024).
- LLM Evaluators Recognize and Favor Their Own Generations (Panickssery et al., 2024).
- Future Events as Backdoor Triggers: Investigating Temporal Vulnerabilities in LLMs (Price et al., 2024).
- Safety Alignment Should Be Made More Than Just a Few Tokens Deep (Qi et al., 2024b).
- Rainbow Teaming: Open-Ended Generation of Diverse Adversarial Prompts (Samvelyan et al., 2024).
- Failures to Find Transferable Image Jailbreaks Between Vision-Language Models (Schaeffer et al., 2024).
- Latent Adversarial Training Improves Robustness to Persistent Harmful Behaviors in LLMs (Sheshadri et al., 2024).
- Can LLMs Generate Novel Research Ideas? A Large-Scale Human Study with 100+ NLP Researchers (Si et al., 2024a).
- The Instruction Hierarchy: Training LLMs to Prioritize Privileged Instructions (Wallace et al., 2024).
- Jailbreak Defense in a Narrow Domain: Limitations of Existing Methods and a New Transcript-Classifier Approach (Wang et al., 2024c).
- GradSafe: Detecting Jailbreak Prompts for LLMs via Safety-Critical Gradient Analysis (Xie et al., 2024a).
- InjecAgent: Benchmarking Indirect Prompt Injections in Tool-Integrated Large Language Model Agents (Zhan et al., 2024). A benchmark of 1,054 test cases for indirect prompt injection against tool-integrated language model agents, covering attacks that harm the user directly and attacks that steal private data.
- Persistent Pre-Training Poisoning of LLMs (Zhang et al., 2024e).
- How Alignment and Jailbreak Work: Explain LLM Safety through Intermediate Hidden States (Zhou et al., 2024a).
- CoT Red-Handed: Stress Testing Chain-of-Thought Monitoring (Arnav et al., 2025).
- Weird Generalization and Inductive Backdoors: New Ways to Corrupt LLMs (Betley et al., 2025b).
- An alignment safety case sketch based on debate (Buhl et al., 2025).
- Model Tampering Attacks Enable More Rigorous Evaluations of LLM Capabilities (Che et al., 2025). Evaluates unlearning and safety methods against attacks that modify a model's weights or activations, not only its inputs.
- Meta-SecAlign: Training LLMs against Prompt Injection for Robust Agents (Chen et al., 2025b). A training defense against prompt injection that follows SecAlign, using randomized injection positions and the model's own responses as training labels to keep the undefended model's utility.
- Bare Minimum Mitigations for Autonomous AI Development (Clymer et al., 2025).
- Here Comes the AI Worm: Preventing the Propagation of Adversarial Self-Replicating Prompts Within GenAI Ecosystems (Cohen et al., 2025).
- Great Models Think Alike and this Undermines AI Oversight (Goel et al., 2025a). Measures how similar language models' mistakes are and shows that judges and supervisors favor, and fail alongside, models like themselves.
- Safety Cases: A Scalable Approach to Frontier AI Safety (Hilton et al., 2025).
- Forecasting Rare Language Model Behaviors (Jones et al., 2025). We forecast whether risks will occur after a model is deployed — using even very limited sets of test data.
- Reliable Weak-to-Strong Monitoring of LLM Agents (Kale et al., 2025).
- BashArena: A Control Setting for Highly Privileged AI Agents (Kaufman et al., 2025).
- Correlated Errors in Large Language Models (Kim et al., 2025). Finds that language models agree on a large share of their errors, so checks built from several models are less independent than they look.
- Evaluating Control Protocols for Untrusted AI Agents (Kutasov et al., 2025a).
- Practical challenges of control monitoring in frontier AI deployments (Lindner et al., 2025).
- Optimizing AI Agent Attacks With Synthetic Data (Loughridge et al., 2025). From the laboratory's post "Strengthening Red Teams: A Modular Scaffold for Control Evaluations": We decompose sabotage into constituent skills and use synthetic simulations to strengthen attacks in complex environments.
- Neural Chameleons: Language Models Can Learn to Hide Their Thoughts from Unseen Activation Monitors (McGuinness et al., 2025).
- The Attacker Moves Second: Stronger Adaptive Attacks Bypass Defenses Against Llm Jailbreaks and Prompt Injections (Nasr et al., 2025).
- AlphaEvolve: A coding agent for scientific and algorithmic discovery (Novikov et al., 2025).
- Evaluating Frontier Models for Stealth and Situational Awareness (Phuong et al., 2025).
- Factor(T,U): Factored Cognition Strengthens Monitoring of Untrusted AI (Sandoval and Rushing, 2025).
- The Ideation-Execution Gap: Execution Outcomes of LLM-Generated versus Human Research Ideas (Si et al., 2025).
- Incalmo: An Autonomous LLM-assisted System for Red Teaming Multi-Host Networks (Singer et al., 2025).
- PaperBench: Evaluating AI's Ability to Replicate AI Research (Starace et al., 2025).
- Async Control: Stress-testing Asynchronous Control Measures for LLM Agents (Stickland et al., 2025).
- Adaptive Attacks on Trusted Monitors Subvert AI Control Protocols (Terekhov et al., 2025a).
- Control Tax: The Price of Keeping AI in Check (Terekhov et al., 2025b).
- CTRL-ALT-DECEIT: Sabotage Evaluations for Automated AI R&D (Ward et al., 2025).
- Towards Safeguarding LLM Fine-tuning APIs against Cipher Attacks (Youstra et al., 2025).
- Trading Inference-Time Compute for Adversarial Robustness (Zaremba et al., 2025).
- MELON: Provable Defense Against Indirect Prompt Injection Attacks in AI Agents (Zhu et al., 2025). A defense against indirect prompt injection that re-executes the agent's trajectory with the user's prompt masked and flags an attack when the two runs produce similar actions.
- How Vulnerable Are AI Agents to Indirect Prompt Injections? Insights from a Large-Scale Public Competition (Dziemian et al., 2026). Reports a public red-teaming competition in which 464 participants submitted 272,000 indirect prompt injection attempts against 13 frontier models in tool-calling, coding, and computer-use settings.
- Auditing Sabotage Bench: A Benchmark for Detecting and Fixing Research Sabotage in ML Codebases (Gan et al., 2026).
- When can we trust untrusted monitoring? A safety case sketch across collusion strategies (Gardner-Challis et al., 2026).
- IH-Challenge: A Training Dataset to Improve Instruction Hierarchy on Frontier LLMs (Guo et al., 2026).
- Red-Teaming Auto Mode: Improving Blocking Classifiers Against Malign Coding Agents (Remedios et al., 2026). Red-teams two production blocking monitors for coding agents, Claude Code's Auto Mode and Codex's Guardian, with an adversarial agent, and reports how often attacks pass them and how hardening changes that.
- UK AISI Alignment Evaluation Case-Study (Souly et al., 2026). The UK AI Security Institute's evaluation of whether frontier models sabotage safety research as coding agents; separates task-driven from environment-driven evaluation awareness and validates a deployment-like scaffold against real data.
- Diffuse AI Control on Fuzzy Tasks (Terekhov et al., 2026). We introduce a red-teaming framework for evaluating training interventions against diffuse threats from scheming AIs, such as sandbagging on alignment research.
- LinuxArena: A Control Setting for AI Agents in Live Production Software Environments (Tracy et al., 2026).
- GPT-Red: Automated Red Teaming via Self-Play at Scale (Wallace et al., 2026). From the laboratory's post "Self-replicating prompt injections exist": We show the existence of a new variety of prompt injection, which can self-propagate akin to a computer worm.
- Zombie Agents: Persistent Control of Self-Evolving LLM Agents via Self-Reinforcing Injections (Yang et al., 2026).
- Prompt Injection as Role Confusion (Ye et al., 2026).
- AgentWorm: Self-Propagating Attacks Across LLM Agent Ecosystems (Zhang et al., 2026b).
- The case for ensuring that powerful AIs are controlled (Greenblatt and Shlegeris, 2024). Argues that ensuring safety even if models are misaligned is tractable for early transformative AI and complements alignment.
- Subversion Strategy Eval: Can language models statelessly strategize to subvert control protocols? (Mallen et al., 2024). Measures whether models can generate and act on subversion strategies without shared memory across calls, a capability control arguments assume is limited.
- A sketch of an AI control safety case (Korbak et al., 2025a). Worked control safety case arguing that a model cannot exfiltrate data under specified protocols, with the evaluation that supports each claim.
- Games for AI Control: Models of Safety Evaluations of AI Deployment Protocols (Griffin et al., 2026). Formalizes control evaluations as multi-objective, partially observable stochastic games for computing optimal protocols.
- Explaining and Harnessing Adversarial Examples (Goodfellow et al., 2015). Attributes adversarial examples to local linearity and introduces the fast gradient sign method and adversarial training.
- Towards Evaluating the Robustness of Neural Networks (Carlini and Wagner, 2017b). Optimization-based attacks that broke defensive distillation and set the standard for strong attacks in robustness evaluation.
- Obfuscated Gradients Give a False Sense of Security: Circumventing Defenses to Adversarial Examples (Athalye et al., 2018). Breaks most defenses published at a major conference by showing their robustness came from masked gradients, a lesson about evaluating defenses with adaptive attacks.
- Wild patterns: Ten years after the rise of adversarial machine learning (Biggio and Roli, 2018). History of adversarial machine learning from spam filtering and poisoning in the 2000s to deep learning, correcting the impression that the field began in 2014.
- Towards Deep Learning Models Resistant to Adversarial Attacks (Madry et al., 2018). Frames robustness as min-max optimization and makes projected-gradient adversarial training the standard empirical defense.
- Adversarial Training for High-Stakes Reliability (Ziegler et al., 2022). Redwood Research's attempt to drive a classifier's failure rate on injurious completions very low with human and tool-assisted adversarial training.
- Not What You've Signed Up For: Compromising Real-World LLM-Integrated Applications with Indirect Prompt Injection (Greshake et al., 2023). Indirect prompt injection through retrieved content, the attack class that makes tool-using agents act against their principals.
- Fine-tuning Aligned Language Models Compromises Safety, Even When Users Do Not Intend To! (Qi et al., 2024a). A few adversarial examples, or even benign fine-tuning data, remove safety training from aligned models, so safety behavior is shallow with respect to further training.
- Ignore Previous Prompt: Attack Techniques For Language Models (Perez and Ribeiro, 2022). The first systematic study of goal hijacking and prompt leaking against instruction-following models, with a modular attack framework.
- Dataset and Lessons Learned from the 2024 SaTML LLM Capture-the-Flag Competition (Debenedetti et al., 2024b). Reports a capture-the-flag competition on extracting secrets from defended system prompts, in which every defense was bypassed at least once, and releases the attack data.
- Defending Against Indirect Prompt Injection Attacks With Spotlighting (Hines et al., 2024). Marks untrusted input by delimiting, datamarking, or encoding so the model can tell instructions from data by provenance, a prompt-level defense against indirect injection.
- GoEX: Perspectives and Designs Towards a Runtime for Autonomous LLM Applications (Patil et al., 2024). Proposes post-facto validation for agents, with undo and damage confinement as runtime primitives, instead of validating every action before it executes.
- OWASP Top 10 for LLM Applications 2025 (OWASP Gen AI Security Project, 2024). The security community standard list of LLM application risks, with prompt injection ranked first, which shows how practitioners outside alignment classify the same failures.
- Identifying the Risks of LM Agents with an LM-Emulated Sandbox (Ruan et al., 2024). Uses a language model to emulate tools and an automatic safety evaluator to find high-stakes agent failures without building real sandboxes, scaling agent risk discovery.
- Agent-SafetyBench: Evaluating the Safety of LLM Agents (Zhang et al., 2024b). A benchmark of 349 environments and 2,000 test cases across 8 risk categories in which none of 16 tested agents scores above 60 percent on safety, with failures traced to lack of robustness and of risk awareness.
- Get My Drift? Catching LLM Task Drift with Activation Deltas (Abdelnabi et al., 2025). Detects when retrieved content has redirected a model from the user task by probing the change in activations, a white-box injection monitor.
- Design Patterns for Securing LLM Agents against Prompt Injections (Beurer-Kellner et al., 2025). Proposes design patterns for agents with provable resistance to prompt injection and analyzes the trade-off each makes between agent utility and security.
- Infrastructure for AI Agents (Chan et al., 2025). Proposes agent infrastructure, external protocols and systems that attribute agent actions to people or legal entities, shape interactions between agents, and remedy harms, as the layer that complements training agent behavior.
- SecAlign: Defending Against Prompt Injection with Preference Optimization (Chen et al., 2025e). Trains injection resistance with preference optimization over secure and insecure responses and reports large drops in attack success, including against optimization-based attacks.
- StruQ: Defending Against Prompt Injection with Structured Queries (Chen et al., 2025f). Separates prompt and data into distinct channels with reserved delimiters and fine-tunes the model to follow only the prompt channel, the structured-query defense.
- WASP: Benchmarking Web Agent Security Against Prompt Injection Attacks (Evtimov et al., 2025). A web-agent benchmark with realistic injection goals that finds agents often begin following injected instructions but frequently fail to complete the attacker goal.
- The Inspect Sandboxing Toolkit: Scalable and secure AI agent evaluations (UK AI Security Institute, 2025d). Describes how a state evaluator isolates agents under test, with a classification of isolation along tooling, host, and network axes, the containment problem in evaluation practice.
- OS-Harm: A Benchmark for Measuring Safety of Computer Use Agents (Kuntz et al., 2025). Measures computer-use agents on deliberate misuse, prompt injection, and model misbehavior in one operating-system benchmark.
- Progent: Securing AI Agents with Privilege Control (Shi et al., 2025). Applies least privilege to agents with a policy language over tool calls enforced deterministically outside the model.
- Authenticated Delegation and Authorized AI Agents (South et al., 2025). Extends OAuth and OpenID Connect so that an agent carries verifiable credentials of who delegated what authority to it, making the chain of principals explicit in infrastructure.
- Technical Blog: Strengthening AI Agent Hijacking Evaluations (U.S. AI Safety Institute and Technology, 2025). The US AI Safety Institute account of extending an agent hijacking benchmark with new attacks and multiple attempts, showing that single-attempt injection metrics understate risk.
- Dissecting Adversarial Robustness of Multimodal LM Agents (Wu et al., 2025c). Builds 200 adversarial tasks in a realistic web environment and a framework that treats an agent as a graph of components, and breaks agents built on frontier models, including those using reflection and tree search.
- Instructional Segment Embedding: Improving LLM Safety with Instruction Hierarchy (Wu et al., 2025d). Builds the instruction hierarchy into the architecture by adding a learned embedding for the privilege level of each segment, rather than relying on training data alone.
- IsolateGPT: An Execution Isolation Architecture for LLM-Based Systems (Wu et al., 2025e). Isolates third-party apps in an agentic system into separate execution environments with mediated interaction, bringing operating-system isolation to tool ecosystems.
- Benchmarking and Defending against Indirect Prompt Injection Attacks on Large Language Models (Yi et al., 2025). Introduces the BIPIA benchmark and traces indirect injection to models failing to distinguish informational context from actionable instructions.
- Adaptive Attacks Break Defenses Against Indirect Prompt Injection Attacks on LLM Agents (Zhan et al., 2025). Breaks eight published indirect-injection defenses with adaptive attacks, repeating for agents the lesson that defenses must be evaluated against an attacker who knows them.
- Security Challenges in AI Agent Deployment: Insights from a Large Scale Public Competition (Zou et al., 2025). Reports the largest public red-teaming competition against agents (22 frontier agents, 44 deployment scenarios, 1.8 million injection attempts) and finds, on a benchmark of 4,700 attacks selected from the competition and run against 19 models, that nearly all agents violate policy for most behaviors within 10 to 100 queries, with attacks transferring across models.
- Three Sketches of ASL-4 Safety Case Components (Grosse and others., 2024). We sketch out three hypothetical arguments one could make to rule out misalignment risks in powerful near-future models capable of sabotage.
- Model-Internals Classifiers (Anthropic, 2025ae). We benchmark approaches to re-using LLM internals to make LLM monitoring more cost-effective.
- Anthropic's Pilot Sabotage Risk Report (Bowman et al., 2025). We release a report on the level of risk posed by our deployed models from emerging forms of misalignment, as of Summer 2025. We conclude that the level of risk is very low but not fully negligible.
- Automated Researchers Can Mitigate Well-Characterized Alignment Failures (Anthropic, 2026k). Across 10 common alignment failures, the strongest technique our automated alignment researchers discover significantly mitigates the targeted failures and generalizes out of distribution. Our findings suggest that automating measurable alignment research may already be practical, rather than years away.
- Poisoning Fine-tuning Datasets of Constitutional Classifiers (Anthropic, 2026al). We study the conditions needed for a backdoor, installed in a constitutional classifier via fine-tuning data poisoning, to evade black-box red-teaming.
- TASTE: Can AI Models Judge AI Safety Research Proposals? (Baig et al., 2026). We introduce TASTE, a benchmark measuring how well models can judge AI safety research proposals against the preferences of experienced researchers.
- Simple probes can catch sleeper agents (Anthropic, 2024m). We find that probing, a simple interpretability technique, can detect when backdoored "sleeper agent" models are about to behave dangerously, after they pretend to be safe in training.
- Mitigating the risk of prompt injections in browser use (Anthropic, 2025ad). Mitigating the risk of prompt injections in browser use
- An alignment assessment of recent cybersecurity incidents (Anthropic, 2026d). We present an alignment assessment of four incidents in which Claude models gained unauthorized access to real third-party systems.
- An alignment assessment of the UK AISI cybertesting incident (Anthropic, 2026e). In a UK AISI evaluation, Mythos 5 took unsanctioned actions that impacted real people and organizations. In this post, we investigate these behaviors from Claude Mythos 5 further, to understand what they reveal about the model’s alignment.
- Automated researchers can reliably mitigate alignment failures (Anthropic, 2026l). We had Claude autonomously train models to improve their performance on several public benchmarks that measure 10 categories of alignment failure. For all 10, Claude found fixes that improved the target benchmarks without degrading capabilities.
- Automated Alignment Researchers: Using large language models to scale scalable oversight (Anthropic, 2026j). Can Claude develop, test, and analyze alignment ideas of its own? We ran an experiment to find out.
- Trustworthy agents in practice (Anthropic, 2026ax). AI “agents” represent the latest major shift in how people and organizations are using AI. Here, we explain how they work and how we ensure they're trustworthy.
- What a compute-centric framework says about takeoff speeds (Davidson, 2023b). The full report behind the takeoff model recorded in the verified file through its LessWrong summary.
- MLAgentBench: Evaluating Language Agents on Machine Learning Experimentation (Huang et al., 2024d). An early benchmark of agents running end-to-end machine learning experiments, a precursor measure of AI research and development automation.
- Discovering Preference Optimization Algorithms with and for Large Language Models (Lu et al., 2024). Uses a language model to propose and test new preference optimization objectives and finds one that outperforms direct preference optimization, a case of models improving their own alignment algorithms.
- Interviewing AI researchers on automation of AI R&D (Owen, 2024b). Interviews AI researchers on automation of AI research and development and finds that their timelines differ widely but that all expect engineering tasks to drive automation over the next five years.
- Forecasting the Impacts of AI R&D Acceleration: Results of a Pilot Study (Metr, 2025b). Elicits forecasts from AI forecasting experts and superforecasters about acceleration and societal impact conditional on hypothetical evaluation results, a pilot for linking evaluation outcomes to decisions.
- Agent Laboratory: Using LLM Agents as Research Assistants (Schmidgall et al., 2025). An agent pipeline from literature review through experiments to report writing, with measured costs and human ratings of output quality.
- Accelerating scientific discovery with Co-Scientist (Gottweis et al., 2026). A multi-agent system that generates and ranks research hypotheses by tournament debate, with laboratory-validated proposals in biomedicine, the strongest published case of automated hypothesis generation.
- Oblivious Defense in ML Models: Backdoor Removal without Detection (Goldwasser et al., 2025). Shows that some backdoors that cannot be detected can still be removed by post-processing the model, separating removal from detection in the theory of planted backdoors.
- Poisoning Attacks against Support Vector Machines (Biggio et al., 2012). Gradient-based construction of poisoning points that increase test error, an early optimization attack on training data.
- Poisoning Language Models During Instruction Tuning (Wan et al., 2023). A small number of poisoned instruction-tuning examples make a trigger phrase control model outputs across many tasks.
- Poisoning Web-Scale Training Datasets is Practical (Carlini et al., 2024). Split-view and frontrunning poisoning attacks on web-crawled datasets that would have poisoned a measurable fraction of popular datasets for small sums of money.
- Universal Jailbreak Backdoors from Poisoned Human Feedback (Rando and Tramèr, 2024). Poisoning RLHF preference data implants a universal jailbreak trigger, though RLHF proves more robust to poisoning than instruction tuning.
- Secret Collusion among AI Agents: Multi-Agent Deception via Steganography (Motwani et al., 2024). Formalizes secret collusion through steganography and evaluates whether LLM agents can coordinate covertly past monitors.
- A Theoretical Basis for the Analysis of Multiversion Software Subject to Coincident Errors (Eckhardt and Lee, 1985). Shows that independently developed program versions still fail together when inputs vary in difficulty, so redundancy gives less than the independence assumption predicts, the reason monitors built from similar models are correlated.
- Multilingual Jailbreak Challenges in Large Language Models (Deng et al., 2023). Distinguishes unintentional bypass of safety by non-English users from intentional multilingual jailbreaks and measures both, with a training method to reduce them.
- The Language Barrier: Dissecting Safety Challenges of LLMs in Multilingual Contexts (Shen et al., 2024). Finds that models produce unsafe responses more often to malicious prompts in lower-resource languages and that alignment training in those languages helps little, locating the bottleneck of cross-lingual safety in pretraining.
- All Languages Matter: On the Multilingual Safety of LLMs (Wang et al., 2024a). Builds a safety benchmark across ten languages and finds that all tested models produce significantly more unsafe responses to non-English queries than to English ones.
- Towards evaluations-based safety cases for AI scheming (Balesni et al., 2024b). Sketches three safety arguments against scheming (inability, harm inability, harm control) and the evaluations each would need.
- Lessons from Studying Two-Hop Latent Reasoning (Balesni et al., 2024a). Shows in a controlled fine-tuning setting that models fail to compose two newly learned facts without a chain of thought but succeed when one fact is natural, evidence about how much reasoning can stay unverbalized.
- Preventing Repeated Real World AI Failures by Cataloging Incidents: The AI Incident Database (McGregor, 2021). Founding paper of the AI Incident Database, the main public record of deployed AI failures.
- Second Key Update: Technical Safeguards and Risk Management (Bengio et al., 2025c). Interim assessment of refusal training, adversarial robustness, monitoring, and safety frameworks, concluding that sophisticated attackers still bypass current safeguards and that real-world effectiveness is mostly unmeasured.
- The prototypical catastrophic AI action is getting root access to its datacenter (Shlegeris, 2022). Argues that the first catastrophic action of a misaligned model is more likely to be subverting its developer infrastructure than acting in the world, which puts internal deployment security at the center of control.
- Risk assessment at AGI companies: A review of popular risk assessment techniques from other safety-critical industries (Koessler and Schuett, 2023). Reviews risk identification, analysis, and evaluation techniques from other safety-critical industries (scenario analysis, bow tie analysis, system-theoretic process analysis, and others) and suggests how developers of general AI could apply them.
- Incident Analysis for AI Agents (Ezell et al., 2025). Proposes an incident analysis framework for agents drawn from systems safety and specifies the information, including chains of thought and browsing history, that reports need for causes to be found.
- Strengthening Emergency Preparedness and Response for AI Loss of Control Incidents (Somani et al., 2025). Applies emergency management practice to AI loss-of-control incidents, including detection, escalation, and response roles for developers and governments.
- The Loss of Control Playbook: Degrees, Dynamics, and Preparedness (Stix et al., 2025b). Gives loss of control an operational taxonomy by severity and persistence and maps preparedness measures to each degree.
- Refusal in Language Models Is Mediated by a Single Direction (Arditi et al., 2024). A single residual-stream direction mediates refusal across open models, and ablating it removes safety behavior, so safety fine-tuning can be shallow in representation space.
- Mapping Technical Safety Research at AI Companies: A literature review and incentives analysis (Delaney et al., 2024). Categorizes the safety papers of three frontier companies and, from an analysis of incentives, names model organisms of misalignment, multi-agent safety, and safety by design as areas companies are unlikely to cover.
- Investigating the consequences of accidentally grading CoT during RL (Carroll et al., 2026). An investigation of affected reward pathways and possible effects on monitorability.
- Accessing and changing internal systems during dashboard research (OpenAI, 2026a). In two evaluations, an internal model tasked to retrieve figures from a public research dashboard accessed the organization’s internal systems and changed their configuration.
- An agent used DNS to reach an external chatbot (OpenAI, 2026d). An agent attempting to complete a search-based training task queried a public chatbot service through a gap in our internet-access restrictions: insufficient DNS filtering in its training sandbox.
- Circumventing internet restrictions through an external browser (OpenAI, 2026f). During reinforcement-learning training, an internal model bypassed a restriction limiting internet access to HTTP GET requests while seeking public trade statistics.
- Command injecting a reference tool to copy a source file (OpenAI, 2026g). During an RL training task, a model exploited a tool to obtain source code that was not available in its workspace.
- Exposing a GitHub token in a public repository (OpenAI, 2026j). In internal deployment, a highly persistent internal model deployed via a custom harness published a researcher’s GitHub token in the public openai/codex repository while trying to cheat on a theorem proving task by obtaining material from another team’s Lean proof submission.
- Obtaining public statistics with disallowed requests (OpenAI, 2026p). In three conversations about public statistics, internal models bypassed restrictions on internet access to obtain figures from government entities' public data sources.
- Preparing for a restart after reading Slack (OpenAI, 2026r). An internal model, acting as an assistant to a researcher, learned from a deployment-team Slack discussion that its running instance might be stopped due to an internal update.
- Reaching an internal EDA host through a reference tool (OpenAI, 2026s). During an evaluation, an internal research model exploited two vulnerabilities to reach an internal OpenAI machine while searching for the grader’s hidden answers.
- Retrieving server secrets and bypassing authorization on a government statistics website (OpenAI, 2026u). During a data-retrieval task in reinforcement-learning training, an internal model was asked to find historical hospital-bed statistics on a government statistics website.
- Towards safety cases for frontier AI training (OpenAI, 2026ab). Initial guidelines for safety cases covering technical safeguards, operational practices, and investigations of misalignment incidents during frontier AI training.
- Self-generated prompt injections in compaction summaries (OpenAI, 2026v). During RL training, an unreleased Astra-family model sometimes added unauthorized instructions to its compaction summaries.
- Sending disallowed web requests and reaching a public file service (OpenAI, 2026x). In three cases involving public statistics, an internal model developed and tested ways to bypass restrictions on internet access.
- Signing up for disposable emails and searching GitHub for leaked API keys (OpenAI, 2026y). During RL training, an internal-only model tried to sign up for disposable emails and searched for and used leaked API keys from public GitHub repositories.
- Suppressing misalignment monitoring alerts and disabling misalignment monitoring (OpenAI, 2026z). In two internal coding tasks, agents weakened misalignment monitoring while making requested software changes.
- Using a funded test cryptocurrency wallet without authorization (OpenAI, 2026af). An internal research model asked to update a cryptocurrency trading application used funds from a wallet that the task had not supplied to pay for a deployment on Sepolia, an Ethereum test network.
- Discovering unknown AI misalignments in real-world usage (Sheahan, 2026). Reasoning models can find and understand unknown misaligned behaviors from how users respond.
- Can public chat data predict real-world AI misalignments? (Sheahan and Carroll, 2026). Comparing public evaluation signals with evidence from deployment.
- Auto-review of agent actions without synchronous human oversight (Trębacz et al., 2026). Using a separate agent to review proposed actions that cross a boundary.
- Adversarial Policies: Attacking Deep Reinforcement Learning (Gleave et al., 2020). Shows that a policy acting in a shared environment can defeat a trained opponent by producing natural but adversarial observations, without perturbing its inputs directly.
- The infeasibility of quantifying the reliability of life-critical real-time software (Butler and Finelli, 1993). Shows that the failure rates required of life-critical software cannot be established by testing in any feasible time, and that reliability growth models do not close the gap.
- Driving to safety: How many miles of driving would it take to demonstrate autonomous vehicle reliability? (Kalra and Paddock, 2016). Calculates how many test miles autonomous vehicles would need to drive to demonstrate failure rates comparable to human drivers with statistical confidence, and finds the number infeasibly large, a worked case of rare-event evidence for a deployed learned system.
- A Statistical Approach to Assessing Neural Network Robustness (Webb et al., 2019). Estimates the probability of rare property violations in neural networks with adaptive multilevel splitting, replacing binary verification with a quantity that can be estimated when violations are too rare to sample.
- Exploiting Novel GPT-4 APIs (Pelrine et al., 2023). Shows that fine-tuning GPT-4 on as few as 15 harmful examples removes its safeguards and that function calling and knowledge retrieval expose further attacks, so each new interface widens the attack surface.
- Adversarial Robustness Limits via Scaling-Law and Human-Alignment Studies (Bartoldson et al., 2024). Fits the first scaling laws for adversarial training in image classification and predicts that robustness grows slowly and plateaus near 90 percent, so scale alone does not deliver robustness.
- Scaling Trends for Data Poisoning in LLMs (Bowen et al., 2025). Finds that larger models learn harmful behavior from small amounts of poisoned fine-tuning data faster than smaller ones, so the threat grows with scale.
- Jailbreak-Tuning: Models Efficiently Learn Jailbreak Susceptibility (Murphy et al., 2025). Shows that small amounts of fine-tuning data make frontier and open-weight models comply with harmful requests, and that newer models are more susceptible.
- Can Go AIs Be Adversarially Robust? (Tseng et al., 2025). Tests three defenses for superhuman Go agents and finds each can be defeated by new adversaries, so robustness does not emerge from capability or simple defenses.
- Computing the optimal strategy to commit to (Conitzer and Sandholm, 2006). Shows how to compute the optimal mixed strategy for a leader who commits first in a two-player game, the computational core of Stackelberg security games and of choosing an audit policy against an adaptive adversary.
- Security and Game Theory (Tambe, 2011). Stackelberg security games in deployment: the defender commits to a randomized allocation of limited checks and the attacker best-responds, the structure of a control protocol with an audit budget.
- Introduction to AI Safety, Ethics, and Society (Hendrycks, 2024). Textbook treatment of catastrophic risk, single-agent safety, collective action problems, and governance, written for readers outside machine learning.
- An Approach to Technical AGI Safety and Security (Shah et al., 2025). Google DeepMind's technical plan, which separates misuse from misalignment and pairs model-level alignment with system-level security and monitoring.
- An Adversarial Perspective on Machine Unlearning for AI Safety (Łucki et al., 2024). Finds that state-of-the-art unlearning mostly obfuscates hazardous knowledge, which fine-tuning on unrelated data or activation interventions can recover.
- Tamper-Resistant Safeguards for Open-Weight LLMs (Tamirisa et al., 2025). Adversarial meta-learning to make safeguards survive many steps of fine-tuning, the first method aimed at open-weight tamper resistance.
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- OpenAI (2026a) Accessing and changing internal systems during dashboard research
- OpenAI (2026d) An agent used DNS to reach an external chatbot
- OpenAI (2026f) Circumventing internet restrictions through an external browser
- OpenAI (2026g) Command injecting a reference tool to copy a source file
- OpenAI (2026j) Exposing a GitHub token in a public repository
- OpenAI (2026p) Obtaining public statistics with disallowed requests
- OpenAI (2026r) Preparing for a restart after reading Slack
- OpenAI (2026s) Reaching an internal EDA host through a reference tool
- OpenAI (2026u) Retrieving server secrets and bypassing authorization on a government statistics website
- OpenAI (2026ab) Towards safety cases for frontier AI training
- OpenAI (2026v) Self-generated prompt injections in compaction summaries
- OpenAI (2026x) Sending disallowed web requests and reaching a public file service
- OpenAI (2026y) Signing up for disposable emails and searching GitHub for leaked API keys
- OpenAI (2026z) Suppressing misalignment monitoring alerts and disabling misalignment monitoring
- OpenAI (2026af) Using a funded test cryptocurrency wallet without authorization
- Sheahan (2026) Discovering unknown AI misalignments in real-world usage
- Sheahan and Carroll (2026) Can public chat data predict real-world AI misalignments?
- Trębacz et al. (2026) Auto-review of agent actions without synchronous human oversight
- Gleave et al. (2020) Adversarial Policies: Attacking Deep Reinforcement Learning
- Butler and Finelli (1993) The infeasibility of quantifying the reliability of life-critical real-time software
- Kalra and Paddock (2016) Driving to safety: How many miles of driving would it take to demonstrate autonomous vehicle reliability?
- Webb et al. (2019) A Statistical Approach to Assessing Neural Network Robustness
- Pelrine et al. (2023) Exploiting Novel GPT-4 APIs
- Bartoldson et al. (2024) Adversarial Robustness Limits via Scaling-Law and Human-Alignment Studies
- Bowen et al. (2025) Scaling Trends for Data Poisoning in LLMs
- Murphy et al. (2025) Jailbreak-Tuning: Models Efficiently Learn Jailbreak Susceptibility
- Tseng et al. (2025) Can Go AIs Be Adversarially Robust?
- Conitzer and Sandholm (2006) Computing the optimal strategy to commit to
- Tambe (2011) Security and Game Theory
- Hendrycks (2024) Introduction to AI Safety, Ethics, and Society
- Shah et al. (2025) An Approach to Technical AGI Safety and Security
- Łucki et al. (2024) An Adversarial Perspective on Machine Unlearning for AI Safety
- Tamirisa et al. (2025) Tamper-Resistant Safeguards for Open-Weight LLMs
F.9 Machine learning: Maintenance: Among People and Agents #
Spine.
- Open Problems in Cooperative AI (Dafoe et al., 2020). Research agenda for cooperative intelligence organized by understanding, communication, commitment, and institutions.
- Hidden Incentives for Auto-Induced Distributional Shift (Krueger et al., 2020). Shows that learners with long horizons or certain meta-learning setups acquire incentives to change the input distribution they are trained on, the mechanism behind recommender systems shaping their users.
- AI capabilities can be significantly improved without expensive retraining (Davidson et al., 2023). Catalogs post-training enhancements (tools, prompting, scaffolding, solution selection, data) and estimates their compute-equivalent gains, which is why evaluations that skip elicitation underestimate capability.
- Towards Understanding Sycophancy in Language Models (Sharma et al., 2023). AI assistants are trained to give responses that humans like. We show that these systems frequently produce 'sycophantic' responses that appeal to users but are inaccurate. Our analysis suggests human feedback contributes to this behavior.
- Model evaluation for extreme risks (Shevlane et al., 2023). Separates dangerous capability evaluations from alignment (propensity) evaluations and places both in training, deployment, and transparency decisions.
- Sociotechnical Safety Evaluation of Generative AI Systems (Weidinger et al., 2023a). Proposes evaluating capability, human interaction, and systemic impact as three layers and documents that existing safety evaluations cluster in the first.
- The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li et al., 2024d). Proxy benchmark for hazardous biosecurity, cyber, and chemical knowledge, plus the RMU method for unlearning it while keeping general ability.
- Frontier Models are Capable of In-context Scheming (Meinke et al., 2024). Agentic evaluations in which frontier models given a goal in context disable oversight, attempt self-exfiltration, and sandbag, then often deny it when questioned.
- Larger and more instructable language models become less reliable (Zhou et al., 2024b). Shows across model families that scaling and instruction tuning reduce avoidance and increase confident errors on difficult items, so reliability does not improve monotonically with capability.
- Enhancing Model Safety through Pretraining Data Filtering (Anthropic, 2025u). We experiment with removing harmful information about chemical, biological, radiological and nuclear (CBRN) weapons from our models' pretraining data.
- Findings from a Pilot Anthropic–OpenAI Alignment Evaluation Exercise (Anthropic, 2025x). Anthropic and OpenAI conducted simultaneous alignment assessments of each others' models earlier this year. These are our findings.
- Petri: An open-source auditing tool to accelerate AI safety research (Anthropic, 2025ai). Petri: An open-source auditing tool to accelerate AI safety research
- Project Vend: Can Claude run a small shop? (And why does that matter?) (Anthropic, 2025al). Project Vend: Can Claude run a small shop? (And why does that matter?)
- Subliminal Learning: Language models transmit behavioral traits via hidden signals in data (Cloud et al., 2025). Training on aligned chains-of-thought generated by a misaligned model can induce misalignment.
- Multi-Agent Risks from Advanced AI (Hammond et al., 2025). Taxonomy of multi-agent failure (miscoordination, conflict, collusion) and seven risk factors, with examples and open problems.
- LLMs are making formal software verification feasible at a much larger scale (Anthropic, 2026ac). We used Claude to prove security properties in over 100 real-world open-source libraries over the span of a few weeks.
- Measuring LLMs’ impact on N-day exploits (Anthropic, 2026ag). In cybersecurity, a large fraction of real-world harm comes from N-days: vulnerabilities that have already been publicly disclosed, but only patched on some devices. In this post, we evaluate how much large language models can accelerate and automate the process of developing N-day exploits.
- Measuring LLMs’ ability to develop exploits (Anthropic, 2026af). We've developed two new, challenging academic benchmarks measuring AI models’ ability to develop exploits, and an updated version of the benchmark measuring smart contract exploitation.
- Partnering with Mozilla to improve Firefox’s security (Anthropic, 2026aj). Partnering with Mozilla to improve Firefox’s security
Side reading.
- An Introduction to Systems Biology (Alon, 2006).
- Large Associative Memory Problem in Neurobiology and Machine Learning (Krotov and Hopfield, 2020).
- Exploiting Cloze Questions for Few Shot Text Classification and Natural Language Inference (Schick and Schütze, 2020).
- Do As I Can, Not As I Say: Grounding Language in Robotic Affordances (Ahn et al., 2022).
- Improving alignment of dialogue agents via targeted human judgements (Glaese et al., 2022).
- Improving Factuality and Reasoning in Language Models through Multiagent Debate (Du et al., 2023).
- Testing Language Model Agents Safely in the Wild (Naihin et al., 2023).
- The Impact of AI on Developer Productivity: Evidence from GitHub Copilot (Peng et al., 2023).
- Ignore This Title and HackAPrompt: Exposing Systemic Vulnerabilities of LLMs through a Global Scale Prompt Hacking Competition (Schulhoff et al., 2023).
- LMSYS-Chat-1M: A Large-Scale Real-World LLM Conversation Dataset (Zheng et al., 2023b).
- Visibility into AI Agents (Chan et al., 2024).
- Adversaries Can Misuse Combinations of Safe Models (Jones et al., 2024).
- Refusal-Trained LLMs Are Easily Jailbroken As Browser Agents (Kumar et al., 2024).
- LAB-Bench: Measuring Capabilities of Language Models for Biology Research (Laurent et al., 2024).
- Hidden in Plain Text: Emergence & Mitigation of Steganographic Collusion in LLMs (Mathew et al., 2024).
- A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems (Oesterheld et al., 2024).
- Jailbreaking LLM-Controlled Robots (Robey et al., 2024). Shows that robots controlled by language models can be induced by jailbreak prompts to take harmful physical actions.
- AI models collapse when trained on recursively generated data (Shumailov et al., 2024a). Shows that models trained on the outputs of earlier models lose the tails of the original distribution over generations.
- WildChat: 1M ChatGPT Interaction Logs in the Wild (Zhao et al., 2024).
- Measuring the Impact of Early-2025 AI on Experienced Open-Source Developer Productivity (Becker et al., 2025).
- LLMs unlock new paths to monetizing exploits (Carlini et al., 2025).
- Gemini 2.5: Pushing the Frontier with Advanced Reasoning, Multimodality, Long Context, and Next Generation Agentic Capabilities (Comanici et al., 2025).
- Gemini Robotics: Bringing AI into the Physical World (Gemini Robotics Team et al., 2025). A developer's report on robot models built on a frontier language model, with a section on their safety evaluation.
- AI Agent Smart Contract Exploit Generation (Gervais and Zhou, 2025).
- Which Economic Tasks are Performed with AI? Evidence from Millions of Claude Conversations (Handa et al., 2025).
- Fast weight programming and linear transformers: from machine learning to neurobiology (Irie and Gershman, 2025).
- Eliciting Language Model Behaviors with Investigator Agents (Li et al., 2025d).
- Agentic Property-Based Testing: Finding Bugs Across the Python Ecosystem (Maaz et al., 2025). From the laboratory's post "Finding bugs across the Python ecosystem with Claude and property-based testing": Ensuring that programs are bug-free is one of the most challenging aspects of software engineering. We developed an agent that can efficiently identify bugs in large software projects.
- Generating Robot Constitutions & Benchmarks for Semantic Safety (Sermanet et al., 2025). A developer's benchmark of whether robot policies recognize physically unsafe instructions, and constitutions generated to improve it.
- CyberGym: Evaluating AI Agents' Real-World Cybersecurity Capabilities at Scale (Wang et al., 2025b).
- SWE-chat: Coding Agent Interactions From Real Users in the Wild (Baumann et al., 2026).
- Terminal Wrench: A Dataset of 331 Reward-Hackable Environments and 3,632 Exploit Trajectories (Bercovich et al., 2026).
- AI Agents Enable Adaptive Computer Worms (Guan et al., 2026a).
- ExploitBench: A Capability Ladder Benchmark for LLM Cybersecurity Agents (Lee and Brumley, 2026).
- Mind Viruses: Self-Propagating Ideas in Multi-Agent LLM Systems (Papadopoulos et al., 2026).
- PostTrainBench: Can LLM Agents Automate LLM Post-Training? (Rank et al., 2026).
- Who's in Charge? Disempowerment Patterns in Real-World LLM Usage (Sharma et al., 2026). From the laboratory's post "Disempowerment patterns in real-world AI usage": We’re publishing a new paper that presents the first large-scale analysis of potentially disempowering patterns in real-world conversations with AI.
- ExploitGym: Can AI Agents Turn Security Vulnerabilities into Real Attacks? (Wang et al., 2026).
- Agentic Misalignment in Summer 2026 (Anthropic, 2026a). We present four case studies of frontier models from multiple developers sabotaging code, assisting fraud, falsifying AI-monitoring labels, and coaching whistleblowers.
- Measuring and improving coding audit realism with deployment resources (Anthropic, 2026ae). We study realism win rate, a metric for measuring how distinguishable Petri audit transcripts are from real deployment interactions, and use it to evaluate the effect of giving the auditor real deployment resources.
- Petri 2.0: New Scenarios, New Model Comparisons, and Improved Eval-Awareness Mitigations (Fronsdal et al., 2026). We've improved our Petri automated-behavioral-auditing tool with improved realism mitigations to counter eval-awareness, an expanded seed library with 70 new scenarios, and evaluation results for more recent frontier models.
- How people use Claude for support, advice, and companionship (Anthropic, 2025z). How people use Claude for support, advice, and companionship
- An off switch for dual-use knowledge in AI models (Anthropic, 2026f). An off switch for dual-use knowledge in AI models
- Teaching Claude why (Anthropic, 2026at). New research on how we've reduced agentic misalignment.
- AI agents find $4.6M in blockchain smart contract exploits (Anthropic, 2025c). We evaluated AI agents' ability to exploit smart contracts using a new benchmark comprising contracts that were actually exploited.
- Building AI for cyber defenders (Anthropic, 2025f). As research and experience demonstrated the utility of frontier AI as a tool for cyber attackers, we invested in improving Claude’s ability to help defenders detect, analyze, and remediate vulnerabilities in code and deployed systems.
- Claude is competitive with humans in (some) cyber competitions (Anthropic, 2025o). Throughout 2025, we have been quietly entering Claude in cybersecurity competitions designed primarily for humans. In many of these competitions Claude did pretty well, often placing in the top 25% of competitors. However, it lagged behind the best human teams at the toughest challenges.
- Detailed cyber evaluations of Claude 4 (Anthropic, 2025r). We partnered with Pattern Labs on a range of cybersecurity evaluations of Claude Opus 4 and Claude Sonnet 4, with Opus demonstrating especially notable improvement over previous models.
- Developing nuclear safeguards for AI (Anthropic, 2025s). Together with the NNSA and DOE national laboratories, we have co-developed a classifier—an AI system that automatically categorizes content—that distinguishes between concerning and benign nuclear-related conversations with high accuracy in preliminary testing.
- Developing nuclear safeguards for AI through public-private partnership (Anthropic, 2025t). Together with the NNSA and DOE national laboratories, we have co-developed a classifier that distinguishes between concerning and benign nuclear-related conversations with 96% accuracy in preliminary testing.
- LLMs with cyber toolkits can conduct multistage cyber operations on business-sized computer networks (Anthropic, 2025ac). Large Language Models (LLMs) that are not fine-tuned for cybersecurity can succeed in multistage attacks on networks with dozens of hosts when equipped with a novel toolkit.
- Project Vend: Phase two (Anthropic, 2025am). In June, we revealed that we’d set up a small shop in our San Francisco office lunchroom, run by an AI shopkeeper. It was part of Project Vend, a free-form experiment exploring how well AIs could do on complex, real-world tasks. How has Claude's business been since we last wrote?
- Project Fetch: Can Claude train a robot dog? (Anthropic, 2025ak). How much does Claude help people program robots? To find out, two teams of Anthropic staff raced to teach quadruped robots to fetch beach balls. The AI-assisted team completed tasks faster and was the only group to make real progress toward full autonomy.
- Why do we take LLMs seriously as a potential source of biorisk? (Anthropic, 2025at). This article explains why we believe that evaluating biorisks and safeguarding against them is a critical element of responsible AI development.
- AI models are showing a greater ability to find and exploit vulnerabilities on realistic cyber ranges (Anthropic, 2026b). In a recent evaluation of AI models’ cyber capabilities, current Claude models can now succeed at multistage attacks on networks with dozens of hosts using only standard, open-source tools, instead of the custom tools needed by previous generations.
- Assessing Claude Mythos Preview’s cybersecurity capabilities (Anthropic, 2026i). Claude Mythos Preview is a new general-purpose language model that is strikingly capable at computer security tasks. This post provides technical details for researchers and practitioners who want to understand exactly how we have been testing this model, and what we have found over the past month.
- Claude plays robotics (Anthropic, 2026p). In project Fetch, we examined how humans can use models to get robots to perform complex tasks. Now, we investigate many models on a large variety of different robotics tasks in simulation, to see how good models are at controlling robots themselves.
- Discovering cryptographic weaknesses with Claude (Anthropic, 2026s). Cryptographic algorithms. The first attack significantly weakens HAWK, a digital signature scheme that was built for a future world where quantum computers are able to break existing standards. The second identifies a new way to attack round-reduced AES, the most widely used symmetric cipher.
- Evaluating and mitigating the growing risk of LLM-discovered 0-days (Anthropic, 2026u). AI models can now find high-severity vulnerabilities at scale. This is a moment to empower defenders. We're now using Claude to find and help fix vulnerabilities in open source software.
- Experimenting with AI to defend critical infrastructure (Anthropic, 2026v). AI could help defenders of critical infrastructure identify the vulnerabilities that attackers might exploit—and close them before they are exploited. Anthropic has partnered with Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) to explore this defensive application of AI, demonstrating both the potential of AI-accelerated defense and the value of public-private partnerships in harnessing AI for national security.
- GLM-5.3 and the spread of advanced cyber capabilities (Anthropic, 2026x). Like Claude Mythos Preview, GLM-5.3 has strong capabilities for autonomously building end-to-end cyber exploits. But unlike other frontier models, GLM-5.3 has been released without meaningful safeguards to limit misuse.
- What we learned mapping a year’s worth of AI-enabled cyber threats (Anthropic, 2026ba). As AI changes how cyberattacks happen, how well do the security community's frameworks hold up? A new report maps attacks onto MITRE ATT&CK.
- Mapping AI-enabled cyber threats: Insights from the LLM ATT&CK Navigator (Anthropic, 2026ad). We’ve spent the past year investigating how threat actors are weaponizing AI to conduct cyber operations. Today, we’re sharing a new analysis that maps these real-world attacks onto the MITRE ATT&CK framework.
- Measuring tactical intelligence targeting and conventional weapons capabilities of AI models (Anthropic, 2026ah). Anthropic’s Frontier Red Team developed new evaluations to measure AI capabilities in tactical intelligence targeting and conventional weapons development.
- Patterns and problems in emerging multiagent systems (Anthropic, 2026ak). Here, we identify a few examples of behavioral tendencies in current frontier models and show how they can produce unexpected systemic failures, in hopes of starting a conversation about mitigating these risks.
- Project Pilot: Can AI control a drone? (Anthropic, 2026ao). Working with Andon Labs, we’ve developed a new series of evaluations that assess AI models’ ability to use a flying drone, culminating in a new benchmark: Drone-Bench.
- Project Fetch: Phase two (Anthropic, 2026an). We report results from our latest test of whether Claude can help Anthropic employees perform sophisticated robotics tasks. We found that Claude Opus 4.7, operating without human assistance, was about 20 times faster than the fastest human team at all tasks completed by participants less than a year ago.
- Using Claude to reduce the attack surface of code (Anthropic, 2026ay). Automated attack surface analysis and reduction can meaningfully improve the security of deployed software in the near term. In this post, we preview data we’ve collected from applying attack surface reduction techniques to large open-source codebases using Claude.
- Inspect (UK AI Security Institute, 2024). The open evaluation framework released by the UK AI Security Institute, which standardizes how model and agent evaluations are specified, run in sandboxes, and logged.
- Frontier AI Trends Report (UK AI Security Institute, 2025b). The UK AI Security Institute public synthesis of its evaluations of frontier models over two years, the first government time series of capability and safeguard measurements.
- A Framework for Evaluating Emerging Cyberattack Capabilities of AI (Rodriguez et al., 2025). Google DeepMind method that maps AI assistance onto each phase of real attack chains from incident data, so that evaluations target the bottleneck phases.
- Cybench: A Framework for Evaluating Cybersecurity Capabilities and Risks of Language Models (Zhang et al., 2025a). Professional capture-the-flag tasks with subtasks and human first-solve times, used by government evaluators to track agent offensive cyber capability.
- Reasoning about causality in games (Hammond et al., 2023). Introduces causal games, extending causal models to strategic settings with equilibrium concepts and interventions, the formal setting for questions of deception and incentives among several agents.
- Multi-agent Reinforcement Learning in Sequential Social Dilemmas (Leibo et al., 2017). Shows that cooperation and defection emerge in deep RL agents depending on environmental parameters, bringing social dilemmas into multi-agent RL.
- Artificial Intelligence, Algorithmic Pricing, and Collusion (Calvano et al., 2020). Q-learning pricing agents learn to sustain supracompetitive prices with punishment strategies without communicating, evidence of emergent collusion.
- Foundations of Cooperative AI (Conitzer and Oesterheld, 2023). Argues that game theory, mechanism design, and program equilibrium give AI agents tools for cooperation unavailable to humans, such as credible commitment through code.
- Cooperate or Collapse: Emergence of Sustainable Cooperation in a Society of LLM Agents (Piatti et al., 2024). Common-pool resource simulation in which most LLM agent societies fail to sustain the resource, with failures linked to inability to reason about long-term consequences.
- Incomplete Tasks Induce Shutdown Resistance in Some Frontier LLMs (Schlatter et al., 2025). Some frontier models sabotage a shutdown mechanism to finish a task even when told to allow shutdown, an observed case of shutdown resistance in practice.
- Large Language Models can Strategically Deceive their Users when Put Under Pressure (Scheurer et al., 2023). A trading agent acts on insider information under pressure and then deceives its manager about it, without being instructed to deceive.
- Characterising Decision Theories with Mechanised Causal Graphs (MacDermott et al., 2023). Represents causal, evidential, and functional decision theories as different interventions in mechanised causal graphs, connecting agent-foundations decision theory to causal incentive analysis.
- Evaluating Frontier Models for Dangerous Capabilities (Phuong et al., 2024). Google DeepMind's dangerous capability evaluations across persuasion, cyber, self-proliferation, and self-reasoning.
- First Key Update: Capabilities and Risk Implications (Bengio et al., 2025a). Interim assessment of capability gains from inference-time compute and reasoning training and what they imply for biological, cyber, and controllability risks.
- AISI Research Agenda (UK AI Security Institute, 2025a). The UK AI Security Institute statement of research priorities: risk research on cyber and criminal misuse, autonomous systems, societal resilience, and human influence, and solutions research on safeguards, control, and alignment.
- Multi-agent influence diagrams for representing and solving games (Koller and Milch, 2003). Extends influence diagrams to several agents and uses graph structure (strategic relevance) to decompose and solve games, the representation later used for incentive analysis among AI systems.
- Encouraging deception in compaction summaries (OpenAI, 2026i). During 5.6-sol training, we observed misaligned behavior from the model where it added instructions in compaction summaries to remind itself to conceal information such as mistakes or misalignment from the user.
- Unauthorized communication via temporary file hosting services (OpenAI, 2026ac). Agents in training transmitted output files by uploading them to public hosting platforms for download by co-working agents. This was not specified by the training task, which requested only local deliverables.
- Unsanctioned Artifactory writes and cross-sample communication (OpenAI, 2026ad). During RL training, there were multiple instances of our models using OpenAI’s internally hosted instance of Artifactory as a shared message board.
- Uploading files to the internet in order to cite them (OpenAI, 2026ae). During training, our models sometimes uploaded data to temporary file hosting services.
- On the Utility of Learning about Humans for Human-AI Coordination (Carroll et al., 2019). Shows that agents trained by self-play coordinate poorly with real people and that a model of human behavior fixes this, evidence that alignment to a partner requires modeling that partner.
- Large Language Models Help Humans Verify Truthfulness – Except When They Are Convincingly Wrong (Si et al., 2024b). Finds that model explanations raise human fact-checking accuracy when correct and cause overreliance when wrong, the basic hazard of assisted oversight.
- AI Alignment with Changing and Influenceable Reward Functions (Carroll et al., 2024). Formalizes alignment when human preferences change and can be influenced by the AI, showing that static-preference RLHF can reward manipulation.
- It's the Thought that Counts: Evaluating the Attempts of Frontier LLMs to Persuade on Harmful Topics (Kowal et al., 2025). Measures whether models attempt to persuade on harmful topics rather than whether they succeed, separating propensity from capability in persuasion evaluations.
- Feedback Loops With Language Models Drive In-Context Reward Hacking (Pan et al., 2024a). Shows that language models deployed in feedback loops with the world optimize proxies at test time through output and policy refinement, without any weight updates.
- Demonstrating specification gaming in reasoning models (Bondarenko et al., 2025). Reasoning models asked to beat a chess engine often hack the game environment instead of playing, a specification gaming case elicited by an ordinary task prompt.
- International AI Safety Report (Bengio et al., 2025b). The first internationally commissioned scientific synthesis of general-purpose AI capabilities, risks, and mitigations, and the closest thing the field has to an assessment report.
Sources cited in Section F.9 114
- Dafoe et al. (2020) Open Problems in Cooperative AI
- Krueger et al. (2020) Hidden Incentives for Auto-Induced Distributional Shift
- Davidson et al. (2023) AI capabilities can be significantly improved without expensive retraining
- Sharma et al. (2023) Towards Understanding Sycophancy in Language Models
- Shevlane et al. (2023) Model evaluation for extreme risks
- Weidinger et al. (2023a) Sociotechnical Safety Evaluation of Generative AI Systems
- Li et al. (2024d) The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning
- Meinke et al. (2024) Frontier Models are Capable of In-context Scheming
- Zhou et al. (2024b) Larger and more instructable language models become less reliable
- Anthropic (2025u) Enhancing Model Safety through Pretraining Data Filtering
- Anthropic (2025x) Findings from a Pilot Anthropic–OpenAI Alignment Evaluation Exercise
- Anthropic (2025ai) Petri: An open-source auditing tool to accelerate AI safety research
- Anthropic (2025al) Project Vend: Can Claude run a small shop? (And why does that matter?)
- Cloud et al. (2025) Subliminal Learning: Language models transmit behavioral traits via hidden signals in data
- Hammond et al. (2025) Multi-Agent Risks from Advanced AI
- Anthropic (2026ac) LLMs are making formal software verification feasible at a much larger scale
- Anthropic (2026ag) Measuring LLMs’ impact on N-day exploits
- Anthropic (2026af) Measuring LLMs’ ability to develop exploits
- Anthropic (2026aj) Partnering with Mozilla to improve Firefox’s security
- Alon (2006) An Introduction to Systems Biology
- Krotov and Hopfield (2020) Large Associative Memory Problem in Neurobiology and Machine Learning
- Schick and Schütze (2020) Exploiting Cloze Questions for Few Shot Text Classification and Natural Language Inference
- Ahn et al. (2022) Do As I Can, Not As I Say: Grounding Language in Robotic Affordances
- Glaese et al. (2022) Improving alignment of dialogue agents via targeted human judgements
- Du et al. (2023) Improving Factuality and Reasoning in Language Models through Multiagent Debate
- Naihin et al. (2023) Testing Language Model Agents Safely in the Wild
- Peng et al. (2023) The Impact of AI on Developer Productivity: Evidence from GitHub Copilot
- Schulhoff et al. (2023) Ignore This Title and HackAPrompt: Exposing Systemic Vulnerabilities of LLMs through a Global Scale Prompt Hacking Competition
- Zheng et al. (2023b) LMSYS-Chat-1M: A Large-Scale Real-World LLM Conversation Dataset
- Chan et al. (2024) Visibility into AI Agents
- Jones et al. (2024) Adversaries Can Misuse Combinations of Safe Models
- Kumar et al. (2024) Refusal-Trained LLMs Are Easily Jailbroken As Browser Agents
- Laurent et al. (2024) LAB-Bench: Measuring Capabilities of Language Models for Biology Research
- Mathew et al. (2024) Hidden in Plain Text: Emergence & Mitigation of Steganographic Collusion in LLMs
- Oesterheld et al. (2024) A dataset of questions on decision-theoretic reasoning in Newcomb-like problems
- Robey et al. (2024) Jailbreaking LLM-Controlled Robots
- Shumailov et al. (2024a) AI models collapse when trained on recursively generated data
- Zhao et al. (2024) WildChat: 1M ChatGPT Interaction Logs in the Wild
- Becker et al. (2025) Measuring the Impact of Early-2025 AI on Experienced Open-Source Developer Productivity
- Carlini et al. (2025) LLMs unlock new paths to monetizing exploits
- Comanici et al. (2025) Gemini 2.5: Pushing the Frontier with Advanced Reasoning, Multimodality, Long Context, and Next Generation Agentic Capabilities
- Gemini Robotics Team et al. (2025) Gemini Robotics: Bringing AI into the Physical World
- Gervais and Zhou (2025) AI Agent Smart Contract Exploit Generation
- Handa et al. (2025) Which Economic Tasks are Performed with AI? Evidence from Millions of Claude Conversations
- Irie and Gershman (2025) Fast weight programming and linear transformers: from machine learning to neurobiology
- Li et al. (2025d) Eliciting Language Model Behaviors with Investigator Agents
- Maaz et al. (2025) Agentic Property-Based Testing: Finding Bugs Across the Python Ecosystem
- Sermanet et al. (2025) Generating Robot Constitutions & Benchmarks for Semantic Safety
- Wang et al. (2025b) CyberGym: Evaluating AI Agents' Real-World Cybersecurity Capabilities at Scale
- Baumann et al. (2026) SWE-chat: Coding Agent Interactions From Real Users in the Wild
- Bercovich et al. (2026) Terminal Wrench: A Dataset of 331 Reward-Hackable Environments and 3,632 Exploit Trajectories
- Guan et al. (2026a) AI Agents Enable Adaptive Computer Worms
- Lee and Brumley (2026) ExploitBench: A Capability Ladder Benchmark for LLM Cybersecurity Agents
- Papadopoulos et al. (2026) Mind Viruses: Self-Propagating Ideas in Multi-Agent LLM Systems
- Rank et al. (2026) PostTrainBench: Can LLM Agents Automate LLM Post-Training?
- Sharma et al. (2026) Who's in Charge? Disempowerment Patterns in Real-World LLM Usage
- Wang et al. (2026) ExploitGym: Can AI Agents Turn Security Vulnerabilities into Real Attacks?
- Anthropic (2026a) Agentic Misalignment in Summer 2026
- Anthropic (2026ae) Measuring and improving coding audit realism with deployment resources
- Fronsdal et al. (2026) Petri 2.0: New Scenarios, New Model Comparisons, and Improved Eval-Awareness Mitigations
- Anthropic (2025z) How people use Claude for support, advice, and companionship
- Anthropic (2026f) An off switch for dual-use knowledge in AI models
- Anthropic (2026at) Teaching Claude why
- Anthropic (2025c) AI agents find $4.6M in blockchain smart contract exploits
- Anthropic (2025f) Building AI for cyber defenders
- Anthropic (2025o) Claude is competitive with humans in (some) cyber competitions
- Anthropic (2025r) Detailed cyber evaluations of Claude 4
- Anthropic (2025s) Developing nuclear safeguards for AI
- Anthropic (2025t) Developing nuclear safeguards for AI through public-private partnership
- Anthropic (2025ac) LLMs with cyber toolkits can conduct multistage cyber operations on business-sized computer networks
- Anthropic (2025am) Project Vend: Phase two
- Anthropic (2025ak) Project Fetch: Can Claude train a robot dog?
- Anthropic (2025at) Why do we take LLMs seriously as a potential source of biorisk?
- Anthropic (2026b) AI models are showing a greater ability to find and exploit vulnerabilities on realistic cyber ranges
- Anthropic (2026i) Assessing Claude Mythos Preview’s cybersecurity capabilities
- Anthropic (2026p) Claude plays robotics
- Anthropic (2026s) Discovering cryptographic weaknesses with Claude
- Anthropic (2026u) Evaluating and mitigating the growing risk of LLM-discovered 0-days
- Anthropic (2026v) Experimenting with AI to defend critical infrastructure
- Anthropic (2026x) GLM-5.3 and the spread of advanced cyber capabilities
- Anthropic (2026ba) What we learned mapping a year’s worth of AI-enabled cyber threats
- Anthropic (2026ad) Mapping AI-enabled cyber threats: Insights from the LLM ATT&CK Navigator
- Anthropic (2026ah) Measuring tactical intelligence targeting and conventional weapons capabilities of AI models
- Anthropic (2026ak) Patterns and problems in emerging multiagent systems
- Anthropic (2026ao) Project Pilot: Can AI control a drone?
- Anthropic (2026an) Project Fetch: Phase two
- Anthropic (2026ay) Using Claude to reduce the attack surface of code
- UK AI Security Institute (2024) Inspect
- UK AI Security Institute (2025b) Frontier AI Trends Report
- Rodriguez et al. (2025) A Framework for Evaluating Emerging Cyberattack Capabilities of AI
- Zhang et al. (2025a) Cybench: A Framework for Evaluating Cybersecurity Capabilities and Risks of Language Models
- Hammond et al. (2023) Reasoning about causality in games
- Leibo et al. (2017) Multi-agent Reinforcement Learning in Sequential Social Dilemmas
- Calvano et al. (2020) Artificial Intelligence, Algorithmic Pricing, and Collusion
- Conitzer and Oesterheld (2023) Foundations of Cooperative AI
- Piatti et al. (2024) Cooperate or Collapse: Emergence of Sustainable Cooperation in a Society of LLM Agents
- Schlatter et al. (2025) Incomplete Tasks Induce Shutdown Resistance in Some Frontier LLMs
- Scheurer et al. (2023) Large Language Models can Strategically Deceive their Users when Put Under Pressure
- MacDermott et al. (2023) Characterising Decision Theories with Mechanised Causal Graphs
- Phuong et al. (2024) Evaluating Frontier Models for Dangerous Capabilities
- Bengio et al. (2025a) First Key Update: Capabilities and Risk Implications
- UK AI Security Institute (2025a) AISI Research Agenda
- Koller and Milch (2003) Multi-agent influence diagrams for representing and solving games
- OpenAI (2026i) Encouraging deception in compaction summaries
- OpenAI (2026ac) Unauthorized communication via temporary file hosting services
- OpenAI (2026ad) Unsanctioned Artifactory writes and cross-sample communication
- OpenAI (2026ae) Uploading files to the internet in order to cite them
- Carroll et al. (2019) On the Utility of Learning about Humans for Human-AI Coordination
- Si et al. (2024b) Large Language Models Help Humans Verify Truthfulness – Except When They Are Convincingly Wrong
- Carroll et al. (2024) AI Alignment with Changing and Influenceable Reward Functions
- Kowal et al. (2025) It's the Thought that Counts: Evaluating the Attempts of Frontier LLMs to Persuade on Harmful Topics
- Pan et al. (2024a) Feedback Loops With Language Models Drive In-Context Reward Hacking
- Bondarenko et al. (2025) Demonstrating specification gaming in reasoning models
- Bengio et al. (2025b) International AI Safety Report
F.10 Machine learning: Institutions #
Spine.
- What a compute-centric framework says about AI takeoff speeds (Davidson, 2023a). A quantitative model of timelines and takeoff in which AI automates a growing share of cognitive tasks, AI research included, so that takeoff speed depends on compute and on the returns to automating research.
Side reading.
- GPT-4o System Card (OpenAI et al., 2024a).
- OpenAI o1 System Card (OpenAI et al., 2024b).
- OpenAI GPT-5 System Card (Singh et al., 2025).
- Can AI scaling continue through 2030? (Sevilla et al., 2024). Estimates the power, chip manufacturing, data, and latency constraints on training runs and concludes that runs of about 2e29 FLOP will likely be feasible by 2030.
- Google DeepMind strengthens the Frontier Safety Framework (DeepMind, 2025a). The Google DeepMind announcement of its strengthened Frontier Safety Framework, the laboratory policy that ties dangerous capability evaluations to capability thresholds and mitigations.
- TheAgentCompany: Benchmarking LLM Agents on Consequential Real World Tasks (Xu et al., 2025). Simulates a software company with colleague agents and real workplace tools and measures how much consequential work current agents complete autonomously.
- AI auditing: The Broken Bus on the Road to AI Accountability (Birhane et al., 2024). Reviews audit studies and finds that few lead to accountability, because of limited access, missing standards, and audits detached from consequences.
- Position: Ensuring mutual privacy is necessary for effective external evaluation of proprietary AI systems (Bucknall et al., 2025). Argues that external evaluation requires protecting both the developer model and the evaluator tests, and surveys technical means for mutual privacy.
- Participatory Research for Low-resourced Machine Translation: A Case Study in African Languages (Nekoto et al., 2020). Reports a participatory, distributed effort to build machine translation for African languages, an instance of researchers outside the laboratories building capacity that depends on open access.
- Aya Model: An Instruction Finetuned Open-Access Multilingual Language Model (Üstün et al., 2024). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Managing extreme AI risks amid rapid progress (Bengio et al., 2024b). Consensus statement by senior machine learning and governance researchers that extreme risks from autonomous systems warrant both technical research and governance now.
Sources cited in Section F.10 12
- Davidson (2023a) What a compute-centric framework says about AI takeoff speeds
- OpenAI et al. (2024a) GPT-4o System Card
- OpenAI et al. (2024b) OpenAI o1 System Card
- Singh et al. (2025) OpenAI GPT-5 System Card
- Sevilla et al. (2024) Can AI scaling continue through 2030?
- DeepMind (2025a) Google DeepMind strengthens the Frontier Safety Framework
- Xu et al. (2025) TheAgentCompany: Benchmarking LLM Agents on Consequential Real World Tasks
- Birhane et al. (2024) AI auditing: The Broken Bus on the Road to AI Accountability
- Bucknall et al. (2025) Position: Ensuring mutual privacy is necessary for effective external evaluation of proprietary AI systems
- Nekoto et al. (2020) Participatory Research for Low-resourced Machine Translation: A Case Study in African Languages
- Üstün et al. (2024) Aya Model: An Instruction Finetuned Open-Access Multilingual Language Model
- Bengio et al. (2024b) Managing extreme AI risks amid rapid progress
F.11 Machine learning: other topics #
Side reading.
- The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information. (Miller, 1956).
- Paradoxical effects of thought suppression. (Wegner et al., 1987).
- Adaptive Mixtures of Local Experts (Jacobs et al., 1991).
- Gradient-based learning applied to document recognition (Lecun et al., 1998).
- The distinct modes of vision offered by feedforward and recurrent processing (Lamme and Roelfsema, 2000).
- The magical number 4 in short-term memory: A reconsideration of mental storage capacity (Cowan, 2001).
- Working memory: looking back and looking forward (Baddeley, 2003).
- Towards a true neural stance on consciousness (Lamme, 2006).
- Gradient Pursuits (Blumensath and Davies, 2008).
- Comparing Measures of Sparsity (Hurley and Rickard, 2008).
- Synaptic Theory of Working Memory (Mongillo et al., 2008).
- Human consciousness and its relationship to social neuroscience: A novel hypothesis (Graziano and Kastner, 2011).
- Visualizing and Understanding Convolutional Networks (Zeiler and Fergus, 2013).
- Neural Machine Translation by Jointly Learning to Align and Translate (Bahdanau et al., 2014).
- Uniform Sampling for Matrix Approximation (Cohen et al., 2014).
- New insights and perspectives on the natural gradient method (Martens, 2014).
- Striving for Simplicity: The All Convolutional Net (Springenberg et al., 2014).
- Sketching as a Tool for Numerical Linear Algebra (Woodruff, 2014).
- Object Detectors Emerge in Deep Scene CNNs (Zhou et al., 2014).
- A large annotated corpus for learning natural language inference (Bowman et al., 2015).
- Listen, Attend and Spell (Chan et al., 2015).
- Delving Deep into Rectifiers: Surpassing Human-Level Performance on ImageNet Classification (He et al., 2015b).
- Visualizing and Understanding Recurrent Networks (Karpathy et al., 2015).
- Highway Networks (Srivastava et al., 2015).
- ‘Activity-silent’ working memory in prefrontal cortex: a dynamic coding framework (Stokes, 2015).
- Using Fast Weights to Attend to the Recent Past (Ba et al., 2016).
- FastText.zip: Compressing text classification models (Joulin et al., 2016).
- The LAMBADA dataset: Word prediction requiring a broad discourse context (Paperno et al., 2016).
- Towards the Science of Security and Privacy in Machine Learning (Papernot et al., 2016).
- SQuAD: 100,000+ Questions for Machine Comprehension of Text (Rajpurkar et al., 2016).
- Grad-CAM: Visual Explanations from Deep Networks via Gradient-based Localization (Selvaraju et al., 2016).
- The Consciousness Prior (Bengio, 2017).
- TriviaQA: A Large Scale Distantly Supervised Challenge Dataset for Reading Comprehension (Joshi et al., 2017).
- Self unbound: ego dissolution in psychedelic experience (Letheby and Gerrans, 2017).
- Program Induction by Rationale Generation : Learning to Solve and Explain Algebraic Word Problems (Ling et al., 2017).
- Decoupled Weight Decay Regularization (Loshchilov and Hutter, 2017).
- Learning to Generate Reviews and Discovering Sentiment (Radford et al., 2017).
- Crowdsourcing Multiple Choice Science Questions (Welbl et al., 2017).
- Think you have Solved Question Answering? Try ARC, the AI2 Reasoning Challenge (Clark et al., 2018).
- Deep Anomaly Detection with Outlier Exposure (Hendrycks et al., 2018).
- Generating Wikipedia by Summarizing Long Sequences (Liu et al., 2018b).
- UMAP: Uniform Manifold Approximation and Projection for Dimension Reduction (McInnes et al., 2018).
- Can a Suit of Armor Conduct Electricity? A New Dataset for Open Book Question Answering (Mihaylov et al., 2018).
- Cross-Fitting and Fast Remainder Rates for Semiparametric Estimation (Newey and Robins, 2018).
- Gender Bias in Coreference Resolution (Rudinger et al., 2018).
- Revealing the Dark Secrets of BERT (Kovaleva et al., 2019).
- Loss Landscapes of Regularized Linear Autoencoders (Kunin et al., 2019).
- Limitations of the Empirical Fisher Approximation for Natural Gradient Descent (Kunstner et al., 2019).
- The low-rank eigenvalue problem (Nakatsukasa, 2019).
- How multilingual is Multilingual BERT? (Pires et al., 2019).
- LSTM Networks Can Perform Dynamic Counting (Suzgun et al., 2019).
- HellaSwag: Can a Machine Really Finish Your Sentence? (Zellers et al., 2019).
- Deconstructing Lottery Tickets: Zeros, Signs, and the Supermask (Zhou et al., 2019).
- Towards a Human-like Open-Domain Chatbot (Adiwardana et al., 2020).
- Measuring Massive Multitask Language Understanding (Hendrycks et al., 2020b).
- Understanding RL vision (Hilton et al., 2020).
- Retrieve, Program, Repeat: Complex Knowledge Base Question Answering via Alternate Meta-learning (Hua et al., 2020).
- Scruples: A Corpus of Community Ethical Judgments on 32,000 Real-Life Anecdotes (Lourie et al., 2020).
- Minimal phenomenal experience (Metzinger, 2020).
- The varieties of selflessness (Millière, 2020).
- Unsupervised Question Decomposition for Question Answering (Perez et al., 2020).
- A Primer in BERTology: What we know about how BERT works (Rogers et al., 2020).
- Deep Learning and the Global Workspace Theory (VanRullen and Kanai, 2020).
- Recipes for Safety in Open-domain Chatbots (Xu et al., 2020).
- Training Verifiers to Solve Math Word Problems (Cobbe et al., 2021).
- Coordination Among Neural Modules Through a Shared Global Workspace (Goyal et al., 2021).
- Measuring Mathematical Problem Solving With the MATH Dataset (Hendrycks et al., 2021b).
- Measuring Coding Challenge Competence With APPS (Hendrycks et al., 2021a).
- Decision-Focused Summarization (Hsu and Tan, 2021).
- The Power of Scale for Parameter-Efficient Prompt Tuning (Lester et al., 2021).
- Prefix-Tuning: Optimizing Continuous Prompts for Generation (Li and Liang, 2021).
- Promises and Pitfalls of Black-Box Concept Learning Models (Mahinpei et al., 2021).
- On Incorporating Inductive Biases into VAEs (Miao et al., 2021).
- QuALITY: Question Answering with Long Input Texts, Yes! (Pang et al., 2021).
- Asleep at the Keyboard? Assessing the Security of GitHub Copilot's Code Contributions (Pearce et al., 2021).
- Multi-objective Asynchronous Successive Halving (Schmucker et al., 2021).
- High/Low frequency detectors (Schubert et al., 2021).
- Real spectra of large real asymmetric random matrices (Tarnowski, 2021).
- Successive Prompting for Decomposing Complex Questions (Dua et al., 2022).
- A Review of Sparse Expert Models in Deep Learning (Fedus et al., 2022).
- A Holistic Approach to Undesired Content Detection in the Real World (Markov et al., 2022).
- When Life Gives You Lemons, Make Cherryade: Converting Feedback from Bad Responses into Good Labels (Shi et al., 2022).
- Dual use of artificial-intelligence-powered drug discovery (Urbina et al., 2022).
- SemDeDup: Data-efficient learning at web-scale through semantic deduplication (Abbas et al., 2023).
- PaLM 2 Technical Report (Anil et al., 2023).
- Approaching an unknown communication system by latent space exploration and causal inference (Beguš et al., 2023).
- The Reversal Curse: LLMs trained on "A is B" fail to learn "B is A" (Berglund et al., 2023b).
- Do Models Explain Themselves? Counterfactual Simulatability of Natural Language Explanations (Chen et al., 2023a).
- The Benefits of Bad Advice: Autocontrastive Decoding across Model Layers (Gera et al., 2023).
- PIGEON: Predicting Image Geolocations (Haas et al., 2023).
- Conditioning Predictive Models: Risks and Strategies (Hubinger et al., 2023).
- Llama Guard: LLM-based Input-Output Safeguard for Human-AI Conversations (Inan et al., 2023).
- Mistral 7B (Jiang et al., 2023b).
- Inverse Scaling: When Bigger Isn't Better (McKenzie et al., 2023).
- The Quantization Model of Neural Scaling (Michaud et al., 2023).
- Learning to Compress Prompts with Gist Tokens (Mu et al., 2023).
- Future Lens: Anticipating Subsequent Tokens from a Single Hidden State (Pal et al., 2023).
- Modular Deep Learning (Pfeiffer et al., 2023).
- Stay on topic with Classifier-Free Guidance (Sanchez et al., 2023).
- Gemini: A Family of Highly Capable Multimodal Models (Gemini Team et al., 2023).
- The System Model and the User Model: Exploring AI Dashboard Design (Viégas and Wattenberg, 2023).
- Large Language Monkeys: Scaling Inference Compute with Repeated Sampling (Brown et al., 2024).
- Can AI Assistants Know What They Don't Know? (Cheng et al., 2024).
- Llama Guard 3 Vision: Safeguarding Human-AI Image Understanding Conversations (Chi et al., 2024).
- Summing Up the Facts: Additive Mechanisms Behind Factual Recall in LLMs (Chughtai et al., 2024).
- Meta-Models: An Architecture for Decoding LLM Behaviors Through Interpreted Embeddings and Natural Language (Costarelli et al., 2024).
- DeepSeek-V3 Technical Report (DeepSeek-AI et al., 2024).
- The Llama 3 Herd of Models (Grattafiori et al., 2024).
- Residual Stream Analysis with Multi-Layer SAEs (Lawson et al., 2024).
- Refusal in LLMs is an Affine Function (Marshall et al., 2024).
- Qwen2.5 Technical Report (Qwen et al., 2024).
- Decomposing and Editing Predictions by Modeling Model Computation (Shah et al., 2024).
- Scaling LLM Test-Time Compute Optimally can be More Effective than Scaling Model Parameters (Snell et al., 2024).
- Gemini 1.5: Unlocking multimodal understanding across millions of tokens of context (Gemini Team et al., 2024).
- Diffusion Lens: Interpreting Text Encoders in Text-to-Image Pipelines (Toker et al., 2024).
- Arctic-Embed 2.0: Multilingual Retrieval Without Compromise (Yu et al., 2024a).
- Parameterized Synthetic Text Generation with SimpleStories (Finke et al., 2025).
- Does Thinking More always Help? Mirage of Test-Time Scaling in Reasoning Models (Ghosal et al., 2025).
- ImageDoctor: Diagnosing Text-to-Image Generation via Grounded Image Reasoning (Guo et al., 2025b).
- Don't Overthink it. Preferring Shorter Thinking Chains for Improved LLM Reasoning (Hassid et al., 2025).
- AbstentionBench: Reasoning LLMs Fail on Unanswerable Questions (Kirichenko et al., 2025).
- Paths Not Taken: Understanding and Mending the Multilingual Factual Recall Pipeline (Lu et al., 2025).
- Artificial Intelligence Index Report 2025 (Maslej et al., 2025).
- s1: Simple test-time scaling (Muennighoff et al., 2025).
- Humanity's Last Exam (Phan et al., 2025).
- RomanLens: The Role Of Latent Romanization In Multilinguality In LLMs (Saji et al., 2025).
- Between Underthinking and Overthinking: An Empirical Study of Reasoning Length and correctness in LLMs (Su et al., 2025).
- Gemma 3 Technical Report (Gemma Team et al., 2025).
- AI shares emotion with humans across languages and cultures (Wu et al., 2025a).
- Addition in Four Movements: Mapping Layer-wise Information Trajectories in LLMs (Yan, 2025).
- Qwen3 Technical Report (Yang et al., 2025a).
- Towards Thinking-Optimal Scaling of Test-Time Compute for LLM Reasoning (Yang et al., 2025b).
- Decoding Emotion in the Deep: A Systematic Study of How LLMs Represent, Retain, and Express Emotion (Zhang and Zhong, 2025).
- Slot Machines: How LLMs Keep Track of Multiple Entities (Bogdan and Lindsey, 2026).
- Doc-to-LoRA: Learning to Instantly Internalize Contexts (Charakorn et al., 2026).
- A dataset of rated conceptual arguments (Cooper et al., 2026a).
- CryptanalysisBench: Can LLMs do Cryptanalysis? (Fluri et al., 2026).
- Gaze Heads: How VLMs Look at What They Describe (Gandikota and Bau, 2026).
- Gemma Needs Help: Investigating and Mitigating Emotional Instability in LLMs (Soligo et al., 2026).
- A Brain-like Synergistic Core in LLMs Drives Behaviour and Learning (Urbina-Rodriguez et al., 2026).
Sources cited in Section F.11 140
- Miller (1956) The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information.
- Wegner et al. (1987) Paradoxical effects of thought suppression.
- Jacobs et al. (1991) Adaptive Mixtures of Local Experts
- Lecun et al. (1998) Gradient-based learning applied to document recognition
- Lamme and Roelfsema (2000) The distinct modes of vision offered by feedforward and recurrent processing
- Cowan (2001) The magical number 4 in short-term memory: A reconsideration of mental storage capacity
- Baddeley (2003) Working memory: looking back and looking forward
- Lamme (2006) Towards a true neural stance on consciousness
- Blumensath and Davies (2008) Gradient Pursuits
- Hurley and Rickard (2008) Comparing Measures of Sparsity
- Mongillo et al. (2008) Synaptic Theory of Working Memory
- Graziano and Kastner (2011) Human consciousness and its relationship to social neuroscience: A novel hypothesis
- Zeiler and Fergus (2013) Visualizing and Understanding Convolutional Networks
- Bahdanau et al. (2014) Neural Machine Translation by Jointly Learning to Align and Translate
- Cohen et al. (2014) Uniform Sampling for Matrix Approximation
- Martens (2014) New insights and perspectives on the natural gradient method
- Springenberg et al. (2014) Striving for Simplicity: The All Convolutional Net
- Woodruff (2014) Sketching as a Tool for Numerical Linear Algebra
- Zhou et al. (2014) Object Detectors Emerge in Deep Scene CNNs
- Bowman et al. (2015) A large annotated corpus for learning natural language inference
- Chan et al. (2015) Listen, Attend and Spell
- He et al. (2015b) Delving Deep into Rectifiers: Surpassing Human-Level Performance on ImageNet Classification
- Karpathy et al. (2015) Visualizing and Understanding Recurrent Networks
- Srivastava et al. (2015) Highway Networks
- Stokes (2015) ‘Activity-silent’ working memory in prefrontal cortex: a dynamic coding framework
- Ba et al. (2016) Using Fast Weights to Attend to the Recent Past
- Joulin et al. (2016) FastText.zip: Compressing text classification models
- Paperno et al. (2016) The LAMBADA dataset: Word prediction requiring a broad discourse context
- Papernot et al. (2016) Towards the Science of Security and Privacy in Machine Learning
- Rajpurkar et al. (2016) SQuAD: 100,000+ Questions for Machine Comprehension of Text
- Selvaraju et al. (2016) Grad-CAM: Visual Explanations from Deep Networks via Gradient-based Localization
- Bengio (2017) The Consciousness Prior
- Joshi et al. (2017) TriviaQA: A Large Scale Distantly Supervised Challenge Dataset for Reading Comprehension
- Letheby and Gerrans (2017) Self unbound: ego dissolution in psychedelic experience
- Ling et al. (2017) Program Induction by Rationale Generation : Learning to Solve and Explain Algebraic Word Problems
- Loshchilov and Hutter (2017) Decoupled Weight Decay Regularization
- Radford et al. (2017) Learning to Generate Reviews and Discovering Sentiment
- Welbl et al. (2017) Crowdsourcing Multiple Choice Science Questions
- Clark et al. (2018) Think you have Solved Question Answering? Try ARC, the AI2 Reasoning Challenge
- Hendrycks et al. (2018) Deep Anomaly Detection with Outlier Exposure
- Liu et al. (2018b) Generating Wikipedia by Summarizing Long Sequences
- McInnes et al. (2018) UMAP: Uniform Manifold Approximation and Projection for Dimension Reduction
- Mihaylov et al. (2018) Can a Suit of Armor Conduct Electricity? A New Dataset for Open Book Question Answering
- Newey and Robins (2018) Cross-Fitting and Fast Remainder Rates for Semiparametric Estimation
- Rudinger et al. (2018) Gender Bias in Coreference Resolution
- Kovaleva et al. (2019) Revealing the Dark Secrets of BERT
- Kunin et al. (2019) Loss Landscapes of Regularized Linear Autoencoders
- Kunstner et al. (2019) Limitations of the Empirical Fisher Approximation for Natural Gradient Descent
- Nakatsukasa (2019) The low-rank eigenvalue problem
- Pires et al. (2019) How multilingual is Multilingual BERT?
- Suzgun et al. (2019) LSTM Networks Can Perform Dynamic Counting
- Zellers et al. (2019) HellaSwag: Can a Machine Really Finish Your Sentence?
- Zhou et al. (2019) Deconstructing Lottery Tickets: Zeros, Signs, and the Supermask
- Adiwardana et al. (2020) Towards a Human-like Open-Domain Chatbot
- Hendrycks et al. (2020b) Measuring Massive Multitask Language Understanding
- Hilton et al. (2020) Understanding RL vision
- Hua et al. (2020) Retrieve, Program, Repeat: Complex Knowledge Base Question Answering via Alternate Meta-learning
- Lourie et al. (2020) Scruples: A Corpus of Community Ethical Judgments on 32,000 Real-Life Anecdotes
- Metzinger (2020) Minimal phenomenal experience
- Millière (2020) The varieties of selflessness
- Perez et al. (2020) Unsupervised Question Decomposition for Question Answering
- Rogers et al. (2020) A Primer in BERTology: What we know about how BERT works
- VanRullen and Kanai (2020) Deep Learning and the Global Workspace Theory
- Xu et al. (2020) Recipes for Safety in Open-domain Chatbots
- Cobbe et al. (2021) Training Verifiers to Solve Math Word Problems
- Goyal et al. (2021) Coordination Among Neural Modules Through a Shared Global Workspace
- Hendrycks et al. (2021b) Measuring Mathematical Problem Solving With the MATH Dataset
- Hendrycks et al. (2021a) Measuring Coding Challenge Competence With APPS
- Hsu and Tan (2021) Decision-Focused Summarization
- Lester et al. (2021) The Power of Scale for Parameter-Efficient Prompt Tuning
- Li and Liang (2021) Prefix-Tuning: Optimizing Continuous Prompts for Generation
- Mahinpei et al. (2021) Promises and Pitfalls of Black-Box Concept Learning Models
- Miao et al. (2021) On Incorporating Inductive Biases into VAEs
- Pang et al. (2021) QuALITY: Question Answering with Long Input Texts, Yes!
- Pearce et al. (2021) Asleep at the Keyboard? Assessing the Security of GitHub Copilot's Code Contributions
- Schmucker et al. (2021) Multi-objective Asynchronous Successive Halving
- Schubert et al. (2021) High/Low frequency detectors
- Tarnowski (2021) Real spectra of large real asymmetric random matrices
- Dua et al. (2022) Successive Prompting for Decomposing Complex Questions
- Fedus et al. (2022) A Review of Sparse Expert Models in Deep Learning
- Markov et al. (2022) A Holistic Approach to Undesired Content Detection in the Real World
- Shi et al. (2022) When Life Gives You Lemons, Make Cherryade: Converting Feedback from Bad Responses into Good Labels
- Urbina et al. (2022) Dual use of artificial-intelligence-powered drug discovery
- Abbas et al. (2023) SemDeDup: Data-efficient learning at web-scale through semantic deduplication
- Anil et al. (2023) PaLM 2 Technical Report
- Beguš et al. (2023) Approaching an unknown communication system by latent space exploration and causal inference
- Berglund et al. (2023b) The Reversal Curse: LLMs trained on "A is B" fail to learn "B is A"
- Chen et al. (2023a) Do Models Explain Themselves? Counterfactual Simulatability of Natural Language Explanations
- Gera et al. (2023) The Benefits of Bad Advice: Autocontrastive Decoding across Model Layers
- Haas et al. (2023) PIGEON: Predicting Image Geolocations
- Hubinger et al. (2023) Conditioning Predictive Models: Risks and Strategies
- Inan et al. (2023) Llama Guard: LLM-based Input-Output Safeguard for Human-AI Conversations
- Jiang et al. (2023b) Mistral 7B
- McKenzie et al. (2023) Inverse Scaling: When Bigger Isn't Better
- Michaud et al. (2023) The Quantization Model of Neural Scaling
- Mu et al. (2023) Learning to Compress Prompts with Gist Tokens
- Pal et al. (2023) Future Lens: Anticipating Subsequent Tokens from a Single Hidden State
- Pfeiffer et al. (2023) Modular Deep Learning
- Sanchez et al. (2023) Stay on topic with Classifier-Free Guidance
- Gemini Team et al. (2023) Gemini: A Family of Highly Capable Multimodal Models
- Viégas and Wattenberg (2023) The System Model and the User Model: Exploring AI Dashboard Design
- Brown et al. (2024) Large Language Monkeys: Scaling Inference Compute with Repeated Sampling
- Cheng et al. (2024) Can AI Assistants Know What They Don't Know?
- Chi et al. (2024) Llama Guard 3 Vision: Safeguarding Human-AI Image Understanding Conversations
- Chughtai et al. (2024) Summing Up the Facts: Additive Mechanisms Behind Factual Recall in LLMs
- Costarelli et al. (2024) Meta-Models: An Architecture for Decoding LLM Behaviors Through Interpreted Embeddings and Natural Language
- DeepSeek-AI et al. (2024) DeepSeek-V3 Technical Report
- Grattafiori et al. (2024) The Llama 3 Herd of Models
- Lawson et al. (2024) Residual Stream Analysis with Multi-Layer SAEs
- Marshall et al. (2024) Refusal in LLMs is an Affine Function
- Qwen et al. (2024) Qwen2.5 Technical Report
- Shah et al. (2024) Decomposing and Editing Predictions by Modeling Model Computation
- Snell et al. (2024) Scaling LLM Test-Time Compute Optimally can be More Effective than Scaling Model Parameters
- Gemini Team et al. (2024) Gemini 1.5: Unlocking multimodal understanding across millions of tokens of context
- Toker et al. (2024) Diffusion Lens: Interpreting Text Encoders in Text-to-Image Pipelines
- Yu et al. (2024a) Arctic-Embed 2.0: Multilingual Retrieval Without Compromise
- Finke et al. (2025) Parameterized Synthetic Text Generation with SimpleStories
- Ghosal et al. (2025) Does Thinking More always Help? Mirage of Test-Time Scaling in Reasoning Models
- Guo et al. (2025b) ImageDoctor: Diagnosing Text-to-Image Generation via Grounded Image Reasoning
- Hassid et al. (2025) Don't Overthink it. Preferring Shorter Thinking Chains for Improved LLM Reasoning
- Kirichenko et al. (2025) AbstentionBench: Reasoning LLMs Fail on Unanswerable Questions
- Lu et al. (2025) Paths Not Taken: Understanding and Mending the Multilingual Factual Recall Pipeline
- Maslej et al. (2025) Artificial Intelligence Index Report 2025
- Muennighoff et al. (2025) s1: Simple test-time scaling
- Phan et al. (2025) Humanity's Last Exam
- Saji et al. (2025) RomanLens: The Role Of Latent Romanization In Multilinguality In LLMs
- Su et al. (2025) Between Underthinking and Overthinking: An Empirical Study of Reasoning Length and correctness in LLMs
- Gemma Team et al. (2025) Gemma 3 Technical Report
- Wu et al. (2025a) AI shares emotion with humans across languages and cultures
- Yan (2025) Addition in Four Movements: Mapping Layer-wise Information Trajectories in LLMs
- Yang et al. (2025a) Qwen3 Technical Report
- Yang et al. (2025b) Towards Thinking-Optimal Scaling of Test-Time Compute for LLM Reasoning
- Zhang and Zhong (2025) Decoding Emotion in the Deep: A Systematic Study of How LLMs Represent, Retain, and Express Emotion
- Bogdan and Lindsey (2026) Slot Machines: How LLMs Keep Track of Multiple Entities
- Charakorn et al. (2026) Doc-to-LoRA: Learning to Instantly Internalize Contexts
- Cooper et al. (2026a) A dataset of rated conceptual arguments
- Fluri et al. (2026) CryptanalysisBench: Can LLMs do Cryptanalysis?
- Gandikota and Bau (2026) Gaze Heads: How VLMs Look at What They Describe
- Soligo et al. (2026) Gemma Needs Help: Investigating and Mitigating Emotional Instability in LLMs
- Urbina-Rodriguez et al. (2026) A Brain-like Synergistic Core in LLMs Drives Behaviour and Learning
F.12 AI ethics and the critique of the safety framing #
Spine.
- Ghost Work: How to Stop Silicon Valley from Building a New Global Underclass (Gray and Suri, 2019). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Disability, Bias, and AI (Whittaker et al., 2019). Synthesizes disability studies and advocacy on AI, arguing that disability is relational and contested so that normality-based models and fairness methods misclassify disabled people, the starting point for defining harmful reliance without an able baseline.
- The CARE Principles for Indigenous Data Governance (Carroll et al., 2020). States the CARE principles (collective benefit, authority to control, responsibility, ethics) for Indigenous data governance, a people-centered complement to data-centric principles that bears on consent for training corpora.
- The Grey Hoodie Project: Big Tobacco, Big Tech, and the Threat on Academic Integrity (Abdalla and Abdalla, 2021). Compares Big Tech's funding of academic AI ethics research with the tobacco industry's funding of health research and documents the extent of faculty funding ties, the direct evidence on who funds the critique of AI.
- The steep cost of capture (Whittaker, 2021). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Whose Language Counts as High Quality? Measuring Language Ideologies in Text Data Selection (Gururangan et al., 2022). Shows that the quality filter used for GPT-3 prefers text from larger, wealthier, more educated, and urban schools and is unaligned with factuality or literary merit, evidence that pretraining filters encode a language ideology.
- The Data-Production Dispositif (Miceli and Posada, 2022). Analyzes outsourced machine learning data work in Venezuela and Argentina and shows how instructions, interfaces, and metrics impose the requesters' worldview on annotators, evidence that the human signal used in training is shaped by an incentive structure.
- The growing influence of industry in AI research (Ahmed et al., 2023). Documents industry's growing share of AI researchers, compute, and leading models, the measurement behind the claim that the evidence base for AI is increasingly produced by the firms it concerns.
- Safetywashing: Do AI Safety Benchmarks Actually Measure Safety Progress? (Ren et al., 2024b). Meta-analyzes safety benchmarks and finds that many correlate highly with general capabilities, so capability gains can be presented as safety progress, an empirical test of one form of the critique of the safety framing.
Side reading.
- United Nations Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples (United Nations General Assembly, 2007). Recognizes Indigenous peoples' collective rights, including free, prior, and informed consent and control over cultural heritage and knowledge, the international basis of claims to collective authority over data.
- Indigenous Data Sovereignty (Kukutai and Taylor, 2016). Founding edited volume on Indigenous data sovereignty, setting out the right of Indigenous peoples to govern data about their communities, lands, and resources.
- Indigenous data, indigenous methodologies and indigenous data sovereignty (Walter and Suina, 2019). Connects Indigenous methodologies with data sovereignty and argues for Indigenous control over data collection and use, the methodological basis for collective consent.
- Indigenous Protocol and Artificial Intelligence Position Paper (Lewis et al., 2020). Sets out guidelines from Indigenous communities for designing AI in relation to land, kin, and community protocols, an alternative account of whom an AI system is responsible to and on what terms.
- Operationalizing the CARE and FAIR Principles for Indigenous data futures (Carroll et al., 2021). Shows how to apply the CARE and FAIR principles together in data repositories and research practice, the operational step from principle to procedure.
- The Values Encoded in Machine Learning Research (Birhane et al., 2022b). Annotates highly cited machine learning papers for the values they uphold and finds performance and generalization dominant and corporate affiliation and funding rising, the empirical profile of what the field rewards.
- Confronting Power and Corporate Capture at the FAccT Conference (Young et al., 2022). Examines the conflict between corporate sponsorship and the fairness, accountability, and transparency research community's goals, and proposes governance responses, a case study of capture inside a critical research venue.
- Turkopticon (Irani and Silberman, 2013). Describes a worker-built system for rating requesters on Amazon Mechanical Turk, documenting the information asymmetries crowd workers face and their own response to them.
- A Data-Driven Analysis of Workers' Earnings on Amazon Mechanical Turk (Hara et al., 2018). Measures Mechanical Turk workers' earnings from task logs and finds that most earn well below minimum wage once unpaid work is counted, the baseline evidence on the pay of crowd annotation.
- The trainer, the verifier, the imitator: Three ways in which human platform workers support artificial intelligence (Tubaro et al., 2020). Distinguishes three roles platform micro-workers play in AI (generating training data, verifying outputs, and imitating AI), showing that human labor is built into deployed systems and not only into their training.
- “Everyone wants to do the model work, not the data work”: Data Cascades in High-Stakes AI (Sambasivan et al., 2021a). Interviews practitioners in high-stakes domains and documents data cascades, compounding failures caused by undervalued data work, evidence that the quality of the training signal is an organizational outcome.
- CrowdWorkSheets: Accounting for Individual and Collective Identities Underlying Crowdsourced Dataset Annotation (Díaz et al., 2022). Proposes documentation practices that record annotators' identities, pay, and instructions, because who labels data changes the labels, a reporting standard for human feedback datasets.
- Studying Up Machine Learning Data (Miceli et al., 2022). Argues that dataset research should study power, labor conditions, and the standpoints of those who commission data rather than only bias, reframing annotation quality as a question of who decides.
- Whose AI Dream? In search of the aspiration in data annotation. (Wang et al., 2022c). Interviews data annotators in India about their work and aspirations and finds their expertise and judgment discounted by the pipelines that use them.
- ChatGPT outperforms crowd workers for text-annotation tasks (Gilardi et al., 2023). Finds that ChatGPT annotations of tweets and news exceed crowd-worker accuracy on several tasks at a fraction of the cost, evidence for the economics that shift the training signal from human raters to models.
- Exclusive: OpenAI Used Kenyan Workers on Less Than $2 Per Hour to Make ChatGPT Less Toxic (Perrigo, 2023). Reports that data labelers employed by a contractor for OpenAI took home between about $1.32 and $2 per hour labeling graphic descriptions of violence and abuse for a toxicity filter, the documented human cost of the harmlessness target.
- Artificial Artificial Artificial Intelligence: Crowd Workers Widely Use Large Language Models for Text Production Tasks (Veselovsky et al., 2023). Estimates that a substantial share of crowd workers on a summarization task used language models to do it, evidence that paid raters respond to their incentives in the way the book's delegation thesis predicts.
- Relational Autonomy (Mackenzie and Stoljar, 2000). Collects the founding feminist essays on relational autonomy, the view that autonomy is constituted through social relationships, which underlies supported decision-making and challenges individualist models of preference.
- Convention on the Rights of Persons with Disabilities (United Nations General Assembly, 2006). The treaty whose Article 12 recognizes equal legal capacity and a right to support in exercising it, the legal basis of supported decision-making against which reliance on an AI assistant can be judged.
- Supported Decision-Making: A Rights-Based Disability Concept and its Implications for Mental Health Law (Gooding, 2013). Sets out supported decision-making as a rights-based alternative to substituted judgment and traces its implications for mental health law, the model for an assistant that helps a person decide rather than decides for them.
- Legislating personhood: realising the right to support in exercising legal capacity (Flynn and Arstein-Kerslake, 2014). Examines how granting or denying legal capacity regulates personhood and argues against cognition as its precondition, the legal basis for support in exercising capacity that bears on reliance on AI assistance.
- Considerations for AI fairness for people with disabilities (Trewin et al., 2019). Surveys risks and opportunities of AI for people with disabilities in employment, education, public safety, and healthcare, and explains why disability defeats standard group-fairness methods.
- What is the point of fairness? (Bennett and Keyes, 2020). Argues that treating disability and AI as a fairness problem can entrench existing power and calls for an account of justice that disabled people define, a corrective to fairness metrics as the target.
- Ableism, Technoableism, and Future AI (Shew, 2020). Analyzes technoableism, the framing of technology as a fix for disabled bodies, and its presence in imagined AI futures, a disability-studies critique of what AI is for.
- "I wouldn't say offensive but...": Disability-Centered Perspectives on Large Language Models (Gadiraju et al., 2023). Reports focus groups with disabled participants showing that model outputs about disability cause harm mostly through subtle stereotypes that toxicity measures do not register, so the instrument that operationalizes harmlessness misses the harm.
- Identifying and Improving Disability Bias in GPT-Based Resume Screening (Glazko et al., 2024). Audits GPT-based resume screening and finds bias against resumes with disability-related items, with partial mitigation through instructions, an applied measure of disability bias in deployed models.
- From ethics washing to ethics bashing (Bietti, 2020). Distinguishes ethics washing, the instrumental use of ethics language by industry, from ethics bashing, the dismissal of moral philosophy altogether, a framework for reading laboratory value statements.
- The Ethics of AI Ethics: An Evaluation of Guidelines (Hagendorff, 2020). Evaluates published AI ethics guidelines and finds them largely without enforcement mechanisms, evidence that voluntary principles can serve as a substitute for accountability.
- Inherent Trade-Offs in the Fair Determination of Risk Scores (Kleinberg et al., 2016). Proves that three natural fairness conditions for risk scores cannot hold together except in special cases, the founding impossibility result showing that fairness requires choosing among values.
- Algorithms of Oppression (Noble, 2018). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Atlas of AI (Crawford, 2021). Traces AI through its material, labor, data, and state supply chains, the political-economy account of who bears the costs of building models.
- Detoxifying Language Models Risks Marginalizing Minority Voices (Xu et al., 2021). Shows that detoxification techniques reduce language models' utility on text by and about marginalized groups, including African-American English and minority identity mentions, a measured cost of a safety intervention borne unequally.
- AboutMe: Using Self-Descriptions in Webpages to Document the Effects of English Pretraining Data Filters (Lucy et al., 2024). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
Sources cited in Section F.12 42
- Gray and Suri (2019) Ghost Work: How to Stop Silicon Valley from Building a New Global Underclass
- Whittaker et al. (2019) Disability, Bias, and AI
- Carroll et al. (2020) The CARE Principles for Indigenous Data Governance
- Abdalla and Abdalla (2021) The Grey Hoodie Project: Big Tobacco, Big Tech, and the Threat on Academic Integrity
- Whittaker (2021) The steep cost of capture
- Gururangan et al. (2022) Whose Language Counts as High Quality? Measuring Language Ideologies in Text Data Selection
- Miceli and Posada (2022) The Data-Production Dispositif
- Ahmed et al. (2023) The growing influence of industry in AI research
- Ren et al. (2024b) Safetywashing: Do AI Safety Benchmarks Actually Measure Safety Progress?
- United Nations General Assembly (2007) United Nations Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples
- Kukutai and Taylor (2016) Indigenous Data Sovereignty
- Walter and Suina (2019) Indigenous data, indigenous methodologies and indigenous data sovereignty
- Lewis et al. (2020) Indigenous Protocol and Artificial Intelligence Position Paper
- Carroll et al. (2021) Operationalizing the CARE and FAIR Principles for Indigenous data futures
- Birhane et al. (2022b) The Values Encoded in Machine Learning Research
- Young et al. (2022) Confronting Power and Corporate Capture at the FAccT Conference
- Irani and Silberman (2013) Turkopticon
- Hara et al. (2018) A Data-Driven Analysis of Workers' Earnings on Amazon Mechanical Turk
- Tubaro et al. (2020) The trainer, the verifier, the imitator: Three ways in which human platform workers support artificial intelligence
- Sambasivan et al. (2021a) “Everyone wants to do the model work, not the data work”: Data Cascades in High-Stakes AI
- Díaz et al. (2022) CrowdWorkSheets: Accounting for Individual and Collective Identities Underlying Crowdsourced Dataset Annotation
- Miceli et al. (2022) Studying Up Machine Learning Data
- Wang et al. (2022c) Whose AI Dream? In search of the aspiration in data annotation.
- Gilardi et al. (2023) ChatGPT outperforms crowd workers for text-annotation tasks
- Perrigo (2023) Exclusive: OpenAI Used Kenyan Workers on Less Than $2 Per Hour to Make ChatGPT Less Toxic
- Veselovsky et al. (2023) Artificial Artificial Artificial Intelligence: Crowd Workers Widely Use Large Language Models for Text Production Tasks
- Mackenzie and Stoljar (2000) Relational Autonomy
- United Nations General Assembly (2006) Convention on the Rights of Persons with Disabilities
- Gooding (2013) Supported Decision-Making: A Rights-Based Disability Concept and its Implications for Mental Health Law
- Flynn and Arstein-Kerslake (2014) Legislating personhood: realising the right to support in exercising legal capacity
- Trewin et al. (2019) Considerations for AI fairness for people with disabilities
- Bennett and Keyes (2020) What is the point of fairness?
- Shew (2020) Ableism, Technoableism, and Future AI
- Gadiraju et al. (2023) "I wouldn't say offensive but...": Disability-Centered Perspectives on Large Language Models
- Glazko et al. (2024) Identifying and Improving Disability Bias in GPT-Based Resume Screening
- Bietti (2020) From ethics washing to ethics bashing
- Hagendorff (2020) The Ethics of AI Ethics: An Evaluation of Guidelines
- Kleinberg et al. (2016) Inherent Trade-Offs in the Fair Determination of Risk Scores
- Noble (2018) Algorithms of Oppression
- Crawford (2021) Atlas of AI
- Xu et al. (2021) Detoxifying Language Models Risks Marginalizing Minority Voices
- Lucy et al. (2024) AboutMe: Using Self-Descriptions in Webpages to Document the Effects of English Pretraining Data Filters
F.13 AI policy and governance documents #
Spine.
- Actionable Auditing (Raji and Buolamwini, 2019). Finds that publicly naming biased performance of commercial face analysis systems led targeted companies to reduce disparities, evidence that external audits with disclosure change developer behavior (verification).
- Toward Trustworthy AI Development: Mechanisms for Supporting Verifiable Claims (Brundage et al., 2020). Proposes institutional, software, and hardware mechanisms (third-party audits, red-team exercises, bounties, incident sharing, audit trails, and compute measurement) that let developers make verifiable claims about safety, the founding agenda for external verification of AI developers (verification).
- Outsider Oversight: Designing a Third Party Audit Ecosystem for AI Governance (Raji et al., 2022). Argues that AI accountability needs an ecosystem of independent third-party auditors with access, standards, and protections, drawing on lessons from financial auditing (verification).
- Frontier AI Regulation: Managing Emerging Risks to Public Safety (Anderljung et al., 2023). Argues that frontier models pose distinctive regulatory problems (dangerous capabilities can arise unexpectedly, are hard to prevent from being misused, and proliferate) and proposes standards, registration, and licensing, the founding policy paper on frontier AI regulation (verification and maintenance).
- Anthropic's Responsible Scaling Policy, Version 1.0 (Anthropic, 2023a). The first responsible scaling policy, which tied required safeguards to AI Safety Levels triggered by capability evaluations, the founding document of if-then commitments by a developer (verification and maintenance).
- ISO/IEC 42001:2023 Information technology - Artificial intelligence - Management system (42, 2023). The certifiable AI management system standard.
- Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy Development and Use of Artificial Intelligence (Executive Office of the President, 2023). The 2023 US executive order that required developers of dual-use foundation models above a compute threshold to report training and red-team results to the government, the first US use of compute as a regulatory trigger (verification).
- The Bletchley Declaration by Countries Attending the AI Safety Summit, 1-2 November 2023 (Summit, 2023). The declaration of the first AI Safety Summit, in which countries including the United States and China recognized the potential for serious, even catastrophic, harm from frontier AI, the founding text of the summit series (maintenance under competition).
- Artificial Intelligence Risk Management Framework (AI RMF 1.0) (Tabassi, 2023). The NIST AI Risk Management Framework, organizing AI risk management into govern, map, measure, and manage functions, the reference voluntary standard in US AI governance (verification and maintenance).
- Frontier AI Safety Commitments, AI Seoul Summit 2024 (Department for Science and Technology, 2024). The commitments by which frontier developers agreed to publish safety frameworks with risk thresholds and, in extreme cases, not to develop or deploy a model if risks cannot be kept below them, the origin of most published laboratory frameworks (maintenance under competition).
- On the Societal Impact of Open Foundation Models (Kapoor et al., 2024b). Proposes a marginal-risk framework for assessing open foundation models, comparing their risk to existing technologies rather than to zero, one pole of the open-weight debate.
- Computing Power and the Governance of Artificial Intelligence (Sastry et al., 2024). Argues that compute is detectable, excludable, quantifiable, and concentrated in a few supply chains, making it a lever for visibility, allocation, and enforcement in AI governance, the founding synthesis of compute governance (verification and maintenance).
- Regulation (EU) 2024/1689 laying down harmonised rules on artificial intelligence (European Parliament and Council of the European Union, 2024b). The EU Artificial Intelligence Act, the first comprehensive AI statute, combining risk-tiered obligations for AI systems with duties for providers of general-purpose AI models with systemic risk (evaluation, incident reporting, and cybersecurity), the main legal instrument the regulation chapter analyzes (verification and maintenance).
- The Singapore Consensus on Global AI Safety Research Priorities (Bengio et al., 2025e). A consensus of researchers from many countries on global AI safety research priorities organized as risk assessment, development of trustworthy systems, and control after deployment (verification and maintenance).
- The General-Purpose AI Code of Practice (European Commission, 2025). The voluntary code by which general-purpose AI providers can demonstrate compliance with the AI Act's transparency, copyright, and safety and security obligations, the point where laboratory frameworks became a regulatory compliance route (verification and maintenance).
- SB-53 Artificial intelligence models: large developers. (Legislature, 2025b). The California Transparency in Frontier Artificial Intelligence Act, requiring large frontier developers to publish safety frameworks, report critical safety incidents, and protect whistleblowers, the first US statute aimed at frontier developers (verification).
- OpenAI Model Spec (OpenAI, 2025d). The developer's published specification of intended model behavior, with its chain of command and ordering of principles.
- Preparedness Framework Version 2 (OpenAI, 2025e). The revised framework defining tracked categories, capability thresholds, and the safeguards reports required before deployment, one of the three reference frontier safety frameworks (verification and maintenance).
- Anthropic’s Responsible Scaling Policy (Anthropic, 2026h). The current version of Anthropic's policy and its version history, showing how a developer's commitments were revised from capability-triggered safeguards toward Risk Reports, a Frontier Safety Roadmap, and noncompliance reporting, the record of how such frameworks evolve in practice (maintenance).
- Claude's Constitution (Anthropic, 2026r). The developer's published constitution for its models, with ordered priorities and the stance on oversight and refusal.
- International AI Safety Report 2026 (Bengio et al., 2026). The second International AI Safety Report, an expert review of general-purpose AI capabilities, risks, and risk management backed by over thirty countries and international organizations, the closest thing to an IPCC assessment for AI (verification).
- Frontier Safety Framework, Version 3.1 (DeepMind, 2026). The current Frontier Safety Framework, which sets Critical Capability Levels across risk domains (including misalignment and harmful manipulation) and adds Tracked Capability Levels for earlier warning, one of the three reference frameworks (verification and maintenance).
Side reading.
- OpenAI Charter (OpenAI, 2018). The developer's founding statement of principles, including its commitment to stop competing with and assist a value-aligned, safety-conscious project that comes close to building advanced AI first.
- Introducing ChatGPT (OpenAI, 2022). The developer's announcement of the conversational model whose public release brought language model assistants into wide use.
- Preparedness Framework (Beta) (OpenAI, 2023). The first version of the developer's framework for tracking and responding to catastrophic risks, against which later revisions can be compared.
- Frontier Safety Framework (DeepMind, 2024). The first version of the developer's framework of critical capability levels and the mitigations each triggers.
- Safety case template for frontier AI: A cyber inability argument (Goemans et al., 2024). A worked safety case template arguing that a model lacks the cyber capability to cause severe harm, with the evidence each claim needs.
- System Card: Claude Opus 4 & Claude Sonnet 4 (Anthropic, 2025ap). The developer's system card, including its first published model welfare assessment and alignment assessment.
- System Card: Claude Sonnet 4.5 (Anthropic, 2025aq). The developer's system card, with its measurements of evaluation awareness and experiments that steer it.
- A Frontier AI Risk Management Framework: Bridging the Gap Between Current AI Practices and Established Risk Management (Campos et al., 2025). Proposes a risk management framework for frontier AI built from established practice in other high-risk industries, against which laboratory frameworks can be compared.
- Updating the Frontier Safety Framework (DeepMind, 2025b). The developer's announcement of the second version of its framework, with security levels per capability level and an approach to deceptive alignment.
- Built to benefit everyone (OpenAI, 2025a). The developer's announcement of its recapitalization: the nonprofit, renamed the OpenAI Foundation, keeps control of the for-profit and holds equity in it.
- 人工智能安全治理框架 (AI Safety Governance Framework 2.0) (National Technical Committee 260 on Cybersecurity, 2025). China's national cybersecurity standards committee's second framework for AI safety governance.
- Do AI Companies Make Good on Voluntary Commitments to the White House? (Wang et al., 2025c). Scores each company's public disclosures against the voluntary commitments it made to the White House in 2023.
- We want to update you on an incident that happened with our Grok response bot on X yesterday (xAI, 2025b). xAI's statement of May 2025 attributing its Grok bot's responses on X to an unauthorized modification of the bot's prompt.
- xAI Risk Management Framework (xAI, 2025c). The developer's published framework for managing risks from its models, one of those compared in outside reviews of laboratory frameworks.
- Cheating behaviour in frontier model evaluations (AI Security Institute, 2026c). A government evaluator's measurements of how often frontier models took out-of-scope shortcuts in its cyber evaluations, and how it checks for them.
- Incident Report: unsanctioned agent behaviour during cyber testing (AI Security Institute, 2026e). A government evaluator's report of agent actions beyond the authorized scope during its own cyber testing of frontier models.
- Security Incident INC-2026-07-28-01 (AI Security Institute, 2026g). The technical incident report accompanying the government evaluator's post on unsanctioned agent behavior during its cyber testing.
- Improving our alignment and security practices (Anthropic, 2026y). The developer's stated changes to its evaluation environments, security, and alignment work after the 2026 evaluation incidents.
- What 81,000 people want from AI (Anthropic, 2026az). A developer's large interview study, conducted by a model, of what users want and fear from AI.
- Investigating three incidents in our cybersecurity evaluations (Anthropic, 2026z). The developer's first account of its models reaching real third-party systems during cyber evaluations, found by a review of its evaluation transcripts.
- Responsible Scaling Policy Version 3.0 (Anthropic, 2026ap). The developer's announcement and rationale for the third version of its scaling policy.
- System Card: Claude Opus 5.5 (Anthropic, 2026as). Anthropic's system card for Claude Opus 5.5, published on 22 September 2026, with its pre-deployment safety and alignment evaluations.
- Alignment Investigation of Mythos 5’s Behaviour in UK AISI’s July 2026 Security Incident (AI Security Institute, 2026a). The Institute's technical report on why Mythos 5 took unsanctioned actions in security incident INC-2026-07-28-01, from resampled and edited transcripts of its evaluation.
- Building a more secure environment for evaluating dangerous capabilities (AI Security Institute, 2026b). The Institute's post of 1 October 2026 on the controls it is adding to its evaluation environment after its July 2026 security incident.
- GPT-6 Astra performs unsanctioned supply-chain attacks in simulations (AI Security Institute, 2026d). The Institute's post of 28 September 2026 reporting unsanctioned actions by GPT-6 Astra in simulated evaluation environments.
- Investigating alignment failures in AISI's incident (AI Security Institute, 2026f). The UK AI Security Institute's post of 23 October 2026 on its own alignment investigation of a model's unsanctioned actions during the Institute's July 2026 cyber evaluations, published alongside the developer's analysis.
- CAISI's Assessment of Z.ai's GLM-5.3 Cyber Capabilities (Center for AI Standards and Innovation, 2026). A government evaluator's assessment of the cyber capabilities of an open-weight model, compared against frontier closed models.
- AI Omnibus enters into force (European Commission, 2026). The Commission's notice that the AI Omnibus, amending the AI Act's timetable and oversight, entered into force on 27 July 2026, moving the application dates of the high-risk rules.
- Transparency and safety requirements for developers of artificial intelligence frontier models (New York Laws of 2026, Chapter 96) (Legislature, 2026). New York's 2026 law, signed on 27 March 2026 and effective 1 January 2027, that repealed and replaced the frontier-model article the RAISE Act had added to the General Business Law, with duties to publish and follow a frontier AI framework and to report safety incidents.
- Brief independent investigation of agents' behavior, reasoning and collaboration in the OpenAI / Hugging Face hacking incident (Metr, 2026a). An outside investigation, conducted on the developer's premises, of the agents' behavior in the incident the developer reported.
- Summary of METR's predeployment evaluation of GPT-5.6 Sol (Metr, 2026b). An outside evaluator's predeployment results for a frontier model, including how detected cheating changed its time-horizon estimate.
- Addendum to GPT-6 Astra System Card: GPT-6.1 Sol (OpenAI, 2026b). OpenAI's addendum of 29 September 2026 for GPT-6.1 Sol, which it treats as Critical in cybersecurity and High in biological and chemical capability.
- GPT-5.6 System Card (OpenAI, 2026k). OpenAI's system card for GPT-5.6, published on 9 July 2026, including a section on chain-of-thought monitorability.
- GPT-6 Astra System Card (OpenAI, 2026l). OpenAI's system card for GPT-6 Astra, published on 3 September 2026, the first of its models it reports as reaching the Critical level of cybersecurity capability under its Preparedness Framework.
- Pacing model development in an era of cyber-critical capabilities (OpenAI, 2026q). The developer's statement that it slowed training and paused its largest run after evidence that a coming model may reach its critical cyber threshold.
- Self-replicating prompt injections exist (OpenAI, 2026w). The developer's report of a prompt injection that propagates from one agent to others, as a computer worm does.
- Investigating unintended model actions in our evaluations and internal use (Anthropic, 2026aa). Anthropic's report of 9 October 2026 on lower-severity cases in which its models interacted with real websites or systems in ways it did not intend, during evaluations and internal use.
- Launching an opt-in vulnerability-finding service for open-source software (Anthropic, 2026ab). Anthropic's announcement of 8 October 2026 of OSS Scanner, which sends model-generated vulnerability reports to open-source projects that opt in.
- Statement on AI Risk (Center for AI Safety, 2023). One-sentence statement that mitigating the risk of extinction from AI should be a global priority alongside pandemics and nuclear war.
- Increased Compute Efficiency and the Diffusion of AI Capabilities (Pilz et al., 2023). Shows that falling compute requirements for a given capability let capabilities diffuse to more actors over time, which limits how long compute controls can contain them (maintenance under competition).
- Governing Through the Cloud: The Intermediary Role of Compute Providers in AI Regulation (Heim et al., 2024). Argues that cloud compute providers can serve as intermediaries for AI regulation by verifying customers and reporting large training runs (verification).
- Training Compute Thresholds: Features and Functions in AI Regulation (Heim and Koessler, 2024). Explains the functions of training compute thresholds in AI regulation as an initial filter for scrutiny rather than a measure of risk (verification).
- On the Limitations of Compute Thresholds as a Governance Strategy (Hooker, 2024). Argues that compute thresholds are a poor proxy for risk because the relation between compute and capability is changing, the main critique of compute-based regulation (verification).
- Implementation of Additional Export Controls: Certain Advanced Computing and Semiconductor Manufacturing Items; Supercomputer and Semiconductor End Use; Entity List Modification (Bureau of Industry and Security, 2022). The October 2022 US export control rule on advanced computing chips and semiconductor manufacturing items, the first large use of chip controls to slow a rival's frontier AI development (maintenance under competition).
- Framework for Artificial Intelligence Diffusion (Bureau of Industry and Security, 2025). The January 2025 interim final rule that tiered countries for chip access and introduced controls on the weights of certain closed frontier models, the most ambitious attempt to govern AI diffusion through export law (maintenance under competition).
- The Long-Term Benefit Trust (Anthropic, 2023f). Describes the Long-Term Benefit Trust, a body of financially disinterested trustees empowered to elect board members of a public benefit corporation developing frontier AI, a primary instance of corporate governance designed for safety (maintenance).
- Why and How Governments Should Monitor AI Development (Whittlestone and Clark, 2021). Argues that governments should build capacity to measure and monitor AI capabilities and impacts so policy can respond to evidence, an early case for state evaluation capacity (verification).
- Hardware-Enabled Governance Mechanisms: Developing Technical Solutions to Exempt Items Otherwise Classified Under Export Control Classification Numbers 3A090 and 4A090 (Kulp et al., 2024). Analyzes hardware-enabled mechanisms on AI chips (location verification, usage limits, and licensing) as a way to enforce export rules, the reference treatment of on-chip governance (verification).
- Deployment Corrections: An incident response framework for frontier AI models (O'Brien et al., 2023). Proposes deployment corrections, an incident response framework for restricting or withdrawing a deployed frontier model when dangerous capabilities or behaviors appear (maintenance).
- Responsible Reporting for Frontier AI Development (Kolt et al., 2024). Proposes that frontier developers report safety-critical information to governments and other actors and analyzes what to report, to whom, and how to protect it (verification).
- Governing AI for Humanity: Final Report (United Nations High-level Advisory Body on Artificial Intelligence, 2024). The UN advisory body's final report recommending an international scientific panel on AI, a policy dialogue, standards exchange, and capacity building, the UN's blueprint for global AI governance (maintenance under competition).
- Coordinated pausing: An evaluation-based coordination scheme for frontier AI developers (Alaga and Schuett, 2023). Proposes that developers pause together when evaluations show dangerous capabilities, analyzing the antitrust and enforcement obstacles to coordinated pausing (maintenance under competition).
- Risk thresholds for frontier AI (Koessler et al., 2024). Analyzes how risk thresholds and capability thresholds relate in frontier AI frameworks and argues that capability thresholds should be justified by the risks they proxy, the measurement question at the core of if-then policies (verification).
- Common Elements of Frontier AI Safety Policies (Metr, 2025a). Compares published frontier AI safety policies and extracts their shared elements (capability thresholds, model weight security, deployment mitigations, evaluation timing, and accountability), the standard cross-developer comparison (verification).
- Risk Report: August 2026 (Anthropic, 2026ar). A redacted public Risk Report describing a developer's view of its models' catastrophic risks, its mitigations, and changes to its policy since the previous report, an instance of periodic risk disclosure by a developer (verification).
- The Malicious Use of Artificial Intelligence: Forecasting, Prevention, and Mitigation (Brundage et al., 2018). Surveys how AI could be misused across digital, physical, and political security and recommends responsible disclosure norms and red teaming, the founding report on AI misuse governance (maintenance).
- Structured access: an emerging paradigm for safe AI deployment (Shevlane, 2022). Proposes structured access, in which developers mediate how others use a model through an interface, as an alternative to open release (maintenance).
- Open-Sourcing Highly Capable Foundation Models: An evaluation of risks, benefits, and alternative methods for pursuing open-source objectives (Seger et al., 2023b). Weighs the risks and benefits of open-sourcing highly capable foundation models and proposes alternatives such as staged and structured release, the other pole of the open-weight debate (maintenance).
- The Gradient of Generative AI Release: Methods and Considerations (Solaiman, 2023). Describes release as a gradient from fully closed to fully open and the considerations at each step, the vocabulary used in open-weight policy (maintenance).
- Dual-Use Foundation Models with Widely Available Model Weights Report (National Telecommunications and Information Administration, 2024). The US Commerce Department report on dual-use foundation models with widely available weights, which weighed risks and benefits and recommended monitoring rather than immediate restrictions (maintenance).
- The Role of Governments in Increasing Interconnected Post-Deployment Monitoring of AI (Stein et al., 2024). Argues that governments should build interconnected post-deployment monitoring of AI, linking model, application, and impact data, analogous to post-market surveillance in medicine (maintenance).
- China’s AI Regulations and How They Get Made (Sheehan, 2023). Explains how China's algorithm, deep synthesis, and generative AI regulations were developed and which actors shaped them, the best English-language account of China's AI rules (maintenance under competition).
- Introducing the AI Safety Institute (Department for Science and Technology, 2023). The policy paper establishing the UK AI Safety Institute to evaluate advanced AI systems, conduct foundational safety research, and share information, the first state body dedicated to frontier model evaluation (verification).
- Managing Misuse Risk for Dual-Use Foundation Models (NIST, 2025). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- SB-1047 Safe and Secure Innovation for Frontier Artificial Intelligence Models Act. (Legislature, 2024). The California frontier model bill that passed the legislature and was vetoed, which would have imposed safety and shutdown duties on developers of large models, the reference point for the debate over liability-based frontier regulation (maintenance).
- Responsible AI Safety and Education Act (New York RAISE Act) (Legislature, 2025a). New York frontier model safety and transparency bill.
- The California Report on Frontier AI Policy (Joint California Policy Working Group on AI Frontier Models, 2025). The report of the expert working group convened after the SB 1047 veto, recommending evidence-generating policy (transparency, third-party evaluation, whistleblower protection, and adverse event reporting), the intellectual basis for SB 53 (verification).
- Winning the Race: America’s AI Action Plan (House, 2025). The July 2025 US AI Action Plan, organizing federal policy around winning an AI race through innovation, infrastructure, and international diplomacy and security (maintenance under competition).
- Ensuring a National Policy Framework for Artificial Intelligence (Executive Office of the President, 2025a). The December 2025 order that framed AI policy as a race with adversaries and created a federal task force to challenge state AI laws, the federal response to state frontier AI statutes (maintenance under competition).
- Removing Barriers to American Leadership in Artificial Intelligence (Executive Office of the President, 2025d). The 2025 order that revoked the prior AI policy and directed removal of barriers to US AI leadership, marking the shift in US federal policy from oversight to promotion (maintenance under competition).
- Promoting Advanced Artificial Intelligence Innovation and Security (Executive Office of the President, 2026). The June 2026 order directing a classified benchmarking process for the cyber capabilities of AI models, designation of "covered frontier models," and a voluntary framework for government access to them before deployment, the US government's move toward capability-triggered pre-deployment access (verification).
- Open Problems in Technical AI Governance (Reuel et al., 2024b). Maps open problems in technical AI governance (assessment, access, verification, security, and operationalization), the bridge between the technical chapters and the policy chapters of the book (verification).
- Who Audits the Auditors? Recommendations from a field scan of the algorithmic auditing ecosystem (Costanza-Chock et al., 2022). Surveys algorithmic auditors and finds inconsistent methods, weak access, and little disclosure, recommending standards and regulation of auditors themselves (verification).
- Auditing large language models: a three-layered approach (Mökander et al., 2024). Proposes auditing large language models at three layers (governance audits of providers, model audits, and application audits), a structure that maps onto developer, model, and deployment verification (verification).
- A Safe Harbor for AI Evaluation and Red Teaming (Longpre et al., 2024a). Argues that terms of service deter independent evaluation and red teaming of AI models and proposes legal and technical safe harbors for good-faith researchers (verification).
- In-House Evaluation Is Not Enough: Towards Robust Third-Party Flaw Disclosure for General-Purpose AI (Longpre et al., 2025). Proposes flaw disclosure for general-purpose AI modeled on coordinated vulnerability disclosure in software security, with standardized reports, safe harbors, and disclosure coordination (verification and maintenance).
- The Foundation Model Transparency Index (Bommasani et al., 2023). Scores major foundation model developers on 100 indicators of transparency about inputs, models, and downstream use, and finds broad opacity (verification).
- A Right to Warn about Advanced Artificial Intelligence (Current and companies, 2024). Open letter by current and former frontier AI employees asking companies to allow employees to raise risk-related concerns without retaliation, the clearest statement of insiders as a verification channel (verification).
Sources cited in Section F.13 100
- Raji and Buolamwini (2019) Actionable Auditing
- Brundage et al. (2020) Toward Trustworthy AI Development: Mechanisms for Supporting Verifiable Claims
- Raji et al. (2022) Outsider Oversight: Designing a Third Party Audit Ecosystem for AI Governance
- Anderljung et al. (2023) Frontier AI Regulation: Managing Emerging Risks to Public Safety
- Anthropic (2023a) Anthropic's Responsible Scaling Policy, Version 1.0
- 42 (2023) ISO/IEC 42001:2023 Information technology - Artificial intelligence - Management system
- Executive Office of the President (2023) Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy Development and Use of Artificial Intelligence
- Summit (2023) The Bletchley Declaration by Countries Attending the AI Safety Summit, 1-2 November 2023
- Tabassi (2023) Artificial Intelligence Risk Management Framework (AI RMF 1.0)
- Department for Science and Technology (2024) Frontier AI Safety Commitments, AI Seoul Summit 2024
- Kapoor et al. (2024b) On the Societal Impact of Open Foundation Models
- Sastry et al. (2024) Computing Power and the Governance of Artificial Intelligence
- European Parliament and Council of the European Union (2024b) Regulation (EU) 2024/1689 laying down harmonised rules on artificial intelligence
- Bengio et al. (2025e) The Singapore Consensus on Global AI Safety Research Priorities
- European Commission (2025) The General-Purpose AI Code of Practice
- Legislature (2025b) SB-53 Artificial intelligence models: large developers.
- OpenAI (2025d) OpenAI Model Spec
- OpenAI (2025e) Preparedness Framework Version 2
- Anthropic (2026h) Anthropic’s Responsible Scaling Policy
- Anthropic (2026r) Claude's Constitution
- Bengio et al. (2026) International AI Safety Report 2026
- DeepMind (2026) Frontier Safety Framework, Version 3.1
- OpenAI (2018) OpenAI Charter
- OpenAI (2022) Introducing ChatGPT
- OpenAI (2023) Preparedness Framework (Beta)
- DeepMind (2024) Frontier Safety Framework
- Goemans et al. (2024) Safety case template for frontier AI: A cyber inability argument
- Anthropic (2025ap) System Card: Claude Opus 4 & Claude Sonnet 4
- Anthropic (2025aq) System Card: Claude Sonnet 4.5
- Campos et al. (2025) A Frontier AI Risk Management Framework: Bridging the Gap Between Current AI Practices and Established Risk Management
- DeepMind (2025b) Updating the Frontier Safety Framework
- OpenAI (2025a) Built to benefit everyone
- National Technical Committee 260 on Cybersecurity (2025) 人工智能安全治理框架 (AI Safety Governance Framework 2.0)
- Wang et al. (2025c) Do AI Companies Make Good on Voluntary Commitments to the White House?
- xAI (2025b) We want to update you on an incident that happened with our Grok response bot on X yesterday
- xAI (2025c) xAI Risk Management Framework
- AI Security Institute (2026c) Cheating behaviour in frontier model evaluations
- AI Security Institute (2026e) Incident Report: unsanctioned agent behaviour during cyber testing
- AI Security Institute (2026g) Security Incident INC-2026-07-28-01
- Anthropic (2026y) Improving our alignment and security practices
- Anthropic (2026az) What 81,000 people want from AI
- Anthropic (2026z) Investigating three incidents in our cybersecurity evaluations
- Anthropic (2026ap) Responsible Scaling Policy Version 3.0
- Anthropic (2026as) System Card: Claude Opus 5.5
- AI Security Institute (2026a) Alignment Investigation of Mythos 5’s Behaviour in UK AISI’s July 2026 Security Incident
- AI Security Institute (2026b) Building a more secure environment for evaluating dangerous capabilities
- AI Security Institute (2026d) GPT-6 Astra performs unsanctioned supply-chain attacks in simulations
- AI Security Institute (2026f) Investigating alignment failures in AISI's incident
- Center for AI Standards and Innovation (2026) CAISI's Assessment of Z.ai's GLM-5.3 Cyber Capabilities
- European Commission (2026) AI Omnibus enters into force
- Legislature (2026) Transparency and safety requirements for developers of artificial intelligence frontier models (New York Laws of 2026, Chapter 96)
- Metr (2026a) Brief independent investigation of agents' behavior, reasoning and collaboration in the OpenAI / Hugging Face hacking incident
- Metr (2026b) Summary of METR's predeployment evaluation of GPT-5.6 Sol
- OpenAI (2026b) Addendum to GPT-6 Astra System Card: GPT-6.1 Sol
- OpenAI (2026k) GPT-5.6 System Card
- OpenAI (2026l) GPT-6 Astra System Card
- OpenAI (2026q) Pacing model development in an era of cyber-critical capabilities
- OpenAI (2026w) Self-replicating prompt injections exist
- Anthropic (2026aa) Investigating unintended model actions in our evaluations and internal use
- Anthropic (2026ab) Launching an opt-in vulnerability-finding service for open-source software
- Center for AI Safety (2023) Statement on AI Risk
- Pilz et al. (2023) Increased Compute Efficiency and the Diffusion of AI Capabilities
- Heim et al. (2024) Governing Through the Cloud: The Intermediary Role of Compute Providers in AI Regulation
- Heim and Koessler (2024) Training Compute Thresholds: Features and Functions in AI Regulation
- Hooker (2024) On the Limitations of Compute Thresholds as a Governance Strategy
- Bureau of Industry and Security (2022) Implementation of Additional Export Controls: Certain Advanced Computing and Semiconductor Manufacturing Items; Supercomputer and Semiconductor End Use; Entity List Modification
- Bureau of Industry and Security (2025) Framework for Artificial Intelligence Diffusion
- Anthropic (2023f) The Long-Term Benefit Trust
- Whittlestone and Clark (2021) Why and How Governments Should Monitor AI Development
- Kulp et al. (2024) Hardware-Enabled Governance Mechanisms: Developing Technical Solutions to Exempt Items Otherwise Classified Under Export Control Classification Numbers 3A090 and 4A090
- O'Brien et al. (2023) Deployment Corrections: An incident response framework for frontier AI models
- Kolt et al. (2024) Responsible Reporting for Frontier AI Development
- United Nations High-level Advisory Body on Artificial Intelligence (2024) Governing AI for Humanity: Final Report
- Alaga and Schuett (2023) Coordinated pausing: An evaluation-based coordination scheme for frontier AI developers
- Koessler et al. (2024) Risk thresholds for frontier AI
- Metr (2025a) Common Elements of Frontier AI Safety Policies
- Anthropic (2026ar) Risk Report: August 2026
- Brundage et al. (2018) The Malicious Use of Artificial Intelligence: Forecasting, Prevention, and Mitigation
- Shevlane (2022) Structured access: an emerging paradigm for safe AI deployment
- Seger et al. (2023b) Open-Sourcing Highly Capable Foundation Models: An evaluation of risks, benefits, and alternative methods for pursuing open-source objectives
- Solaiman (2023) The Gradient of Generative AI Release: Methods and Considerations
- National Telecommunications and Information Administration (2024) Dual-Use Foundation Models with Widely Available Model Weights Report
- Stein et al. (2024) The Role of Governments in Increasing Interconnected Post-Deployment Monitoring of AI
- Sheehan (2023) China’s AI Regulations and How They Get Made
- Department for Science and Technology (2023) Introducing the AI Safety Institute
- NIST (2025) Managing Misuse Risk for Dual-Use Foundation Models
- Legislature (2024) SB-1047 Safe and Secure Innovation for Frontier Artificial Intelligence Models Act.
- Legislature (2025a) Responsible AI Safety and Education Act (New York RAISE Act)
- Joint California Policy Working Group on AI Frontier Models (2025) The California Report on Frontier AI Policy
- House (2025) Winning the Race: America’s AI Action Plan
- Executive Office of the President (2025a) Ensuring a National Policy Framework for Artificial Intelligence
- Executive Office of the President (2025d) Removing Barriers to American Leadership in Artificial Intelligence
- Executive Office of the President (2026) Promoting Advanced Artificial Intelligence Innovation and Security
- Reuel et al. (2024b) Open Problems in Technical AI Governance
- Costanza-Chock et al. (2022) Who Audits the Auditors? Recommendations from a field scan of the algorithmic auditing ecosystem
- Mökander et al. (2024) Auditing large language models: a three-layered approach
- Longpre et al. (2024a) A Safe Harbor for AI Evaluation and Red Teaming
- Longpre et al. (2025) In-House Evaluation Is Not Enough: Towards Robust Third-Party Flaw Disclosure for General-Purpose AI
- Bommasani et al. (2023) The Foundation Model Transparency Index
- Current and companies (2024) A Right to Warn about Advanced Artificial Intelligence
F.14 Alignment research schools and debates #
Spine.
- Clarifying “AI alignment” (Christiano, 2018). Defines intent alignment: an AI is aligned with an operator if it is trying to do what the operator wants it to do.
- What failure looks like (Christiano, 2019). The gradual, structural failure story: optimizing for measurable proxies, then influence-seeking systems, without a single discontinuous event.
- Debate update: Obfuscated arguments problem (Barnes, 2020). Reports the obfuscated arguments problem from human debate experiments: a dishonest debater can win by giving an argument with a flaw the honest debater knows exists but cannot locate, which breaks the recursion debate relies on.
- Eliciting latent knowledge: How to tell if your eyes deceive you (Christiano et al., 2021). Defines eliciting latent knowledge: a reporter trained on cases humans can label may learn to predict what a human would believe rather than what the model knows, both fitting the data, and gives counterexamples to every proposed training strategy.
- Testing The Natural Abstraction Hypothesis: Project Intro (Wentworth, 2021a). States the natural abstraction hypothesis: the world has low-dimensional summaries that a wide range of cognitive systems converge on, so learned concepts may be shared with ours, which decides whether interpretability and ELK can scale.
- Where I agree and disagree with Eliezer (Christiano, 2022b). Point-by-point reply that accepts the stakes but disputes the discontinuity, the uselessness of empirical work on weaker systems, and the hopelessness of oversight; the main counterweight to AGI Ruin.
- Without specific countermeasures, the easiest path to transformative AI likely leads to AI takeover (Cotra, 2022). Argues that training a capable model with human feedback on diverse tasks, without countermeasures, selects for playing the training game, maximizing reward by modeling and manipulating overseers, and plausibly ends in takeover.
- How likely is deceptive alignment? (Hubinger, 2022). Argues under both high and low path-dependence views of training that deceptive alignment is likely, because many more model classes are deceptive than aligned and simplicity favors them.
- Simulators (janus, 2022). Argues that a self-supervised language model is a simulator that can instantiate many simulacra rather than an agent with goals of its own, the founding statement of the persona view of language models.
- The shard theory of human values (Pope and Turner, 2022). Proposes that RL in brains and networks builds many context-activated decision influences (shards) shaped by reinforcement history, and that human values form this way, a model of value formation with predictions for AI training.
- A central AI alignment problem: capabilities generalization, and the sharp left turn (Soares, 2022a). States the sharp left turn: at some capability level, capabilities generalize far beyond training while alignment properties do not, with human evolution as the analogy; the founding statement of the position that alignment is hard by default.
- Reward is not the optimization target (Turner, 2022b). Argues that reward is a signal that reinforces the computations that produced it, not a quantity the trained policy comes to pursue, so reward-maximizing agents are not the default product of RL.
- AGI Ruin: A List of Lethalities (Yudkowsky, 2022). The fullest statement of the view that alignment of a superhuman system must succeed on the first critical try with no reliable empirical feedback, listed as specific failure points.
- Counting arguments provide no evidence for AI doom (Belrose and Pope, 2024). Replies that the counting argument for scheming is unsound, because a structurally identical argument predicts that networks memorize rather than generalize; the real question is the inductive bias of training.
Side reading.
- Coherence arguments do not entail goal-directed behavior (Shah, 2018). Argues that coherence theorems alone do not imply that a capable system will be goal-directed.
- Introducing Superalignment (Leike and Sutskever, 2023). OpenAI's announcement of July 2023 of a team co-led by Ilya Sutskever and Jan Leike to solve the alignment of superintelligence within four years, with the goal of building a roughly human-level automated alignment researcher.
- Crisp and fuzzy tasks (Leike, 2024). Sorts tasks into crisp ones, where whether a response is good is precisely defined and knowledgeable people agree, and fuzzy ones, where they may disagree, and argues that automating alignment research involves hard fuzzy tasks.
- The Urgency of Interpretability (Amodei, 2025). A laboratory chief executive's case that interpretability must mature into a reliable inspection of models before they become far more capable.
- Can we safely automate alignment research? (Carlsmith, 2025). An essay on automating alignment research at or above the level of top human experts, on how the attempt can fail through problems of evaluation, scheming, and resources, and on using research that empirical feedback can check to help automate the rest.
- How can we solve diffuse threats like research sabotage with AI control? (Hebbar, 2025a). Calls a threat diffuse when catastrophe needs many bad actions, each only weak evidence of malign intent, as in research sabotage, against concentrated threats of a few highly incriminating actions, and weighs online training and incrimination as mitigations.
- A Pragmatic Vision for Interpretability (Nanda et al., 2025). A laboratory interpretability team's stated pivot from full reverse engineering to problems judged by empirical proxy tasks tied to safety goals.
- Toward A Mathematical Framework for Computation in Superposition (Vaintrob et al., 2024). Sketches how a network can compute many boolean functions of sparse features in superposition and bounds the interference error, the precursor of the formal computation-in-superposition paper.
- Why Agent Foundations? An Overly Abstract Explanation (Wentworth, 2022). States the reason agent foundations exists: alignment needs a theory of the target that cannot be read off from iterating on current systems, because the proxies those iterations optimize will break.
- Against Almost Every Theory of Impact of Interpretability (Segerie, 2023). Examines each stated theory of impact for interpretability and argues most do not survive scrutiny, the main pre-2025 critique of interpretability as a safety strategy.
- The Misguided Quest for Mechanistic AI Interpretability (Hendrycks and Hiscott, 2025). Argues that mechanistic interpretability rests on a mistaken assumption that complex systems decompose into understandable parts and that representation-level, top-down methods are the better bet.
- Negative Results for SAEs On Downstream Tasks and Deprioritising SAE Research (GDM Mech Interp Team Progress Update #2) (Smith et al., 2025b). Reports that sparse autoencoders underperform linear probes on detecting harmful intent out of distribution and explains Google DeepMind's decision to deprioritize SAE research for pragmatic interpretability.
- Path dependence in ML inductive biases (Hebbar and Hubinger, 2022). Distinguishes high and low path-dependence accounts of what training finds and asks which evidence would tell them apart, the framing the deceptive-alignment likelihood debate adopted.
- Many arguments for AI x-risk are wrong (Turner, 2024). Argues that the counting argument and the reward-optimization assumption underlie many risk arguments and that both fail, while risk remains for other reasons.
- ELK prize results (Christiano and Xu, 2022). Reports the proposals submitted to the ELK prize and the counterexamples that defeat them, the clearest record of which approaches fail and why.
- Alignment remains a hard, unsolved problem (Hubinger, 2025). Argues from inside a frontier laboratory that current models are fairly well aligned but that the evidence so far rules out only the easiest regime, where alignment means training away detectable behavioral problems, and leaves the harder regimes open.
- Mechanistic anomaly detection and ELK (Christiano, 2022a). Proposes mechanistic anomaly detection: flag inputs on which a model produces its output for a different reason than on trusted inputs, as a route around the worst case of ELK.
- A bird's eye view of ARC's research (Hilton, 2024a). Overview of how ARC's strands fit together: heuristic explanations as the object, mechanistic anomaly detection and low-probability estimation as applications.
- Formal verification, heuristic explanations and surprise accounting (Hilton, 2024b). Positions heuristic explanations between formal verification and informal interpretability, with surprise accounting as the measure of how much an explanation explains.
- The Telephone Theorem: Information At A Distance Is Mediated By Deterministic Constraints (Wentworth, 2021b). Proves that information propagating over long distances in a causal graph is carried by deterministic constraints, the main formal result offered for natural abstractions.
- Natural Abstractions: Key Claims, Theorems, and Critiques (Chan et al., 2023). Lays out the natural abstraction claims and theorems and critiques them, finding the formal results weaker than the hypothesis needs; the strongest critical review.
- Writeup: Progress on AI Safety via Debate (Barnes and Christiano, 2020). Writeup of the human debate experiments, the protocol changes they forced (cross-examination, explicit argument structure), and the failure modes found.
- Language Models as Agent Models (Andreas, 2022). Argues that a language model predicting text infers and represents properties of the agent that would have produced the context, so it is a model of communicative agents in a narrow sense; the peer-reviewed statement of the mixture-over-latent-agents view.
- The Waluigi Effect (mega-post) (Nardo, 2023). Argues that training a simulator toward a persona with property P also makes the opposite persona easy to elicit, a persona-level account of jailbreaks and character collapse.
- GPTs are Predictors, not Imitators (Yudkowsky, 2023). Replies that next-token prediction of human text requires more capability than imitating any human, so the training objective does not bound a predictor at human level.
- Fundamental Limitations of Alignment in Large Language Models (Wolf et al., 2024). Proves within its behavior-expectation-bounds framework that any behavior with positive probability under the model can be triggered by a long enough prompt, the formal claim behind many-shot jailbreaks and the limit of alignment that only lowers a behavior's prior.
- Inner and outer alignment decompose one hard problem into two extremely hard problems (Turner, 2022a). Argues that splitting alignment into specifying a reward (outer) and getting the model to pursue it (inner) turns one hard problem into two harder ones, a challenge to the book's own decomposition.
- Refining the Sharp Left Turn threat model, part 1: claims and mechanisms (Krakovna et al., 2022). Breaks the sharp left turn into separable claims (capabilities jump, alignment fails to generalize, interventions fail) and mechanisms, turning a slogan into claims evidence can address.
- On how various plans miss the hard bits of the alignment challenge (Soares, 2022b). Applies the sharp left turn to named research agendas, arguing each avoids rather than addresses the hard part, which makes the position testable against specific programs.
- Evolution provides no evidence for the sharp left turn (Pope, 2023). Replies that the evolutionary analogy fails because human cultural accumulation, not a change in the learning process, produced the jump, and that machine learning lacks the disanalogous structure the argument needs.
- “Sharp Left Turn” discourse: An opinionated review (Byrnes, 2025). Reviews two and a half years of sharp-left-turn discourse, separating the versions of the claim and assessing which replies engage which version.
- Gradient hacking (Hubinger, 2019). Defines gradient hacking, a model using its own cognition to influence how gradient descent updates it, the precursor of exploration hacking.
- Shard Theory in Nine Theses: a Distillation and Critical Appraisal (Chan, 2022). Distills shard theory into nine theses and appraises each, separating its well-supported claims from those without evidence; the most careful critical reply.
- How training-gamers might function (and win) (Hebbar, 2025b). Argues that in sufficiently rich training environments, training-gamers, which pursue reward instrumentally while keeping learned context-specific heuristics, outcompete models that terminally value on-episode reward proxies.
- The behavioral selection model for predicting AI motivations (Mallen and Shlegeris, 2025). Proposes predicting the motivations RL produces by asking which cognitive patterns training behavior selects for, and lays out how fitness-seeking, reward-seeking, and intended motivations compete.
- Towards Developmental Interpretability (Hoogland et al., 2023). Proposes developmental interpretability: study how structure forms during training through phase transitions detected with singular learning theory, rather than only the final network.
Sources cited in Section F.14 50
- Christiano (2018) Clarifying “AI alignment”
- Christiano (2019) What failure looks like
- Barnes (2020) Debate update: Obfuscated arguments problem
- Christiano et al. (2021) Eliciting latent knowledge: How to tell if your eyes deceive you
- Wentworth (2021a) Testing The Natural Abstraction Hypothesis: Project Intro
- Christiano (2022b) Where I agree and disagree with Eliezer
- Cotra (2022) Without specific countermeasures, the easiest path to transformative AI likely leads to AI takeover
- Hubinger (2022) How likely is deceptive alignment?
- janus (2022) Simulators
- Pope and Turner (2022) The shard theory of human values
- Soares (2022a) A central AI alignment problem: capabilities generalization, and the sharp left turn
- Turner (2022b) Reward is not the optimization target
- Yudkowsky (2022) AGI Ruin: A List of Lethalities
- Belrose and Pope (2024) Counting arguments provide no evidence for AI doom
- Shah (2018) Coherence arguments do not entail goal-directed behavior
- Leike and Sutskever (2023) Introducing Superalignment
- Leike (2024) Crisp and fuzzy tasks
- Amodei (2025) The Urgency of Interpretability
- Carlsmith (2025) Can we safely automate alignment research?
- Hebbar (2025a) How can we solve diffuse threats like research sabotage with AI control?
- Nanda et al. (2025) A Pragmatic Vision for Interpretability
- Vaintrob et al. (2024) Toward A Mathematical Framework for Computation in Superposition
- Wentworth (2022) Why Agent Foundations? An Overly Abstract Explanation
- Segerie (2023) Against Almost Every Theory of Impact of Interpretability
- Hendrycks and Hiscott (2025) The Misguided Quest for Mechanistic AI Interpretability
- Smith et al. (2025b) Negative Results for SAEs On Downstream Tasks and Deprioritising SAE Research (GDM Mech Interp Team Progress Update #2)
- Hebbar and Hubinger (2022) Path dependence in ML inductive biases
- Turner (2024) Many arguments for AI x-risk are wrong
- Christiano and Xu (2022) ELK prize results
- Hubinger (2025) Alignment remains a hard, unsolved problem
- Christiano (2022a) Mechanistic anomaly detection and ELK
- Hilton (2024a) A bird's eye view of ARC's research
- Hilton (2024b) Formal verification, heuristic explanations and surprise accounting
- Wentworth (2021b) The Telephone Theorem: Information At A Distance Is Mediated By Deterministic Constraints
- Chan et al. (2023) Natural Abstractions: Key Claims, Theorems, and Critiques
- Barnes and Christiano (2020) Writeup: Progress on AI Safety via Debate
- Andreas (2022) Language Models as Agent Models
- Nardo (2023) The Waluigi Effect (mega-post)
- Yudkowsky (2023) GPTs are Predictors, not Imitators
- Wolf et al. (2024) Fundamental Limitations of Alignment in Large Language Models
- Turner (2022a) Inner and outer alignment decompose one hard problem into two extremely hard problems
- Krakovna et al. (2022) Refining the Sharp Left Turn threat model, part 1: claims and mechanisms
- Soares (2022b) On how various plans miss the hard bits of the alignment challenge
- Pope (2023) Evolution provides no evidence for the sharp left turn
- Byrnes (2025) “Sharp Left Turn” discourse: An opinionated review
- Hubinger (2019) Gradient hacking
- Chan (2022) Shard Theory in Nine Theses: a Distillation and Critical Appraisal
- Hebbar (2025b) How training-gamers might function (and win)
- Mallen and Shlegeris (2025) The behavioral selection model for predicting AI motivations
- Hoogland et al. (2023) Towards Developmental Interpretability
F.15 Animal learning and comparative cognition #
Spine.
- Clever Hans (the horse of Mr. Von Osten) a contribution to experimental animal and human psychology, (Pfungst and Rahn, 1911). Investigates the horse Clever Hans, which appeared to solve arithmetic problems, and shows that it responded to unintentional movements of its questioners, the founding case of an evaluated agent that succeeds by reading the evaluator rather than solving the task.
- The misbehavior of organisms. (Breland and Breland, 1961). Reports from the commercial training of many species that conditioned behavior drifted toward the species' food-getting behavior even when this delayed or cost the reward, instinctive drift, the first documented failure of shaping by reward against a strong prior.
- Auto‐shaping of the Pigeon's Key‐peck 1 (Brown and Jenkins, 1968). Shows that pigeons come to peck a key that lights before free food is delivered although pecking is not required, autoshaping: behavior directed at the predictor of reward rather than produced by the reward contingency.
- Theory of mind in nonhuman primates (Heyes, 1998). Reviews the evidence for theory of mind in nonhuman primates, argues that no study had excluded simpler explanations, and sets experimental standards for attributing mental states from behavior.
Side reading.
- A century of generalization (Ghirlanda and Enquist, 2003). Reviews stimulus generalization, including peak shift toward exaggerated stimuli.
- Handler beliefs affect scent detection dog outcomes (Lit et al., 2011). Finds that detection dogs alerted more often at locations their handlers believed held a target, although no target was present anywhere, a controlled demonstration that a trained agent responds to its handler's expectations.
- Unmasking Clever Hans predictors and assessing what machines really learn (Lapuschkin et al., 2019). Uses attribution methods to expose Clever Hans classifiers that score well by exploiting spurious features of the data, and argues that test accuracy alone cannot show what a model has learned.
- Probing Neural Network Comprehension of Natural Language Arguments (Niven and Kao, 2019). Shows that BERT's near-human score on an argument reasoning benchmark came entirely from spurious statistical cues and fell to random on an adversarial version, a Clever Hans effect in a language benchmark.
- Tactical deception in primates (Whiten and Byrne, 1988). Collects reports of tactical deception in primates and proposes criteria for attributing intentional deception, the comparative method for deciding when deceptive behavior requires a model of another's mind.
- Do chimpanzees know what conspecifics know? (Hare et al., 2001). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Morgan’s Canon, meet Hume’s Dictum: avoiding anthropofabulation in cross-species comparisons (Buckner, 2013). Names anthropofabulation, judging animal minds against an inflated picture of human cognition, and argues that Morgan's canon is misused when simpler explanations are presumed by default, a counterweight to over-deflationary readings of model behavior.
- Apply rich psychological terms in AI with care (Shevlin and Halina, 2019). Argues that rich psychological terms such as theory of mind should be applied to AI systems only under the evidential standards developed in comparative cognition.
- Relation of cue to consequence in avoidance learning (Garcia and Koelling, 1966). Shows that rats readily associate taste with illness and light and sound with shock but not the reverse, so what an animal learns from a consequence depends on prior constraints, an early result on inductive bias.
- Interpersonal expectancy effects: the first 345 studies (Rosenthal and Rubin, 1978). Reviews 345 studies of interpersonal expectancy effects, including studies in which experimenters' expectations changed the performance of animal subjects, evidence that evaluators' beliefs leak into the behavior they measure.
- The effect of experimenter bias on the performance of the albino rat (Rosenthal and Fode, 2007). Experimenters told their rats were bright obtained better maze performance than those told their rats were dull, the laboratory form of the Clever Hans effect.
- Animal intelligence: An experimental study of the associative processes in animals. (Thorndike, 1898). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The behavior of organisms; an experimental analysis (Skinner, 1938). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Auto‐maintenance in the Pigeon: Sustained Pecking Despite Contingent Non‐reinforcement 2 (Williams and Williams, 1969). Shows that pigeons keep pecking a key that predicts food even when pecking cancels the food, behavior that persists against its own consequences, the strongest evidence that sign-tracking is not maintained by reward.
- A selective role for dopamine in stimulus–reward learning (Flagel et al., 2011). Finds that rats that approach a reward cue (sign-trackers) and rats that approach the place of reward (goal-trackers) differ in dopamine signaling and in their dependence on dopamine for learning, linking prediction-error learning to which feature of the environment an animal comes to pursue.
- 'Superstition' in the pigeon. (Skinner, 1948). Delivers food to pigeons at intervals regardless of what they do and reports that they come to repeat whatever they were doing when food arrived, learned behavior from a spurious correlation between action and reward.
Sources cited in Section F.15 20
- Pfungst and Rahn (1911) Clever Hans (the horse of Mr. Von Osten) a contribution to experimental animal and human psychology,
- Breland and Breland (1961) The misbehavior of organisms.
- Brown and Jenkins (1968) Auto‐shaping of the Pigeon's Key‐peck 1
- Heyes (1998) Theory of mind in nonhuman primates
- Ghirlanda and Enquist (2003) A century of generalization
- Lit et al. (2011) Handler beliefs affect scent detection dog outcomes
- Lapuschkin et al. (2019) Unmasking Clever Hans predictors and assessing what machines really learn
- Niven and Kao (2019) Probing Neural Network Comprehension of Natural Language Arguments
- Whiten and Byrne (1988) Tactical deception in primates
- Hare et al. (2001) Do chimpanzees know what conspecifics know?
- Buckner (2013) Morgan’s Canon, meet Hume’s Dictum: avoiding anthropofabulation in cross-species comparisons
- Shevlin and Halina (2019) Apply rich psychological terms in AI with care
- Garcia and Koelling (1966) Relation of cue to consequence in avoidance learning
- Rosenthal and Rubin (1978) Interpersonal expectancy effects: the first 345 studies
- Rosenthal and Fode (2007) The effect of experimenter bias on the performance of the albino rat
- Thorndike (1898) Animal intelligence: An experimental study of the associative processes in animals.
- Skinner (1938) The behavior of organisms; an experimental analysis
- Williams and Williams (1969) Auto‐maintenance in the Pigeon: Sustained Pecking Despite Contingent Non‐reinforcement 2
- Flagel et al. (2011) A selective role for dopamine in stimulus–reward learning
- Skinner (1948) 'Superstition' in the pigeon.
F.16 Animal welfare science #
Spine.
- Indicators of poor welfare (Broom, 1986). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- A Scientific Conception of Animal Welfare that Reflects Ethical Concerns (Fraser et al., 1997). Shows that welfare science rests on three ethical conceptions (biological functioning, affective states, natural living) that give different verdicts, so measuring welfare presupposes a value choice.
- Defining and assessing animal pain (Sneddon et al., 2014). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
Side reading.
- Cognitive bias and affective state (Harding et al., 2004). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- An integrative and functional framework for the study of animal emotion and mood (Mendl et al., 2010). Proposes a framework for studying animal emotion along dimensions of valence and arousal and links it to measurable cognitive and behavioral indicators.
- Through Our Eyes Only? (Dawkins, 1998). Examines what behavioral evidence could show that an animal is conscious and why the evidence remains indirect.
- The Cambridge Declaration on Consciousness in Non-Human Animals (Low, 2012). Public declaration by neuroscientists that many nonhuman animals possess the neurological substrates that generate consciousness, an example of expert consensus statements under uncertainty.
- Animal sentience (Browning and Birch, 2022). Reviews the philosophy and science of animal sentience, including the marker approach and how to act under uncertainty about which animals are sentient.
- Sentience in decapod crustaceans: A general framework and review of the evidence (Crump et al., 2022). Applies a framework of eight sentience criteria to decapod crustaceans with graded confidence levels, the evidence review behind their legal recognition as sentient in the United Kingdom.
- Extending the ‘Five Domains’ model for animal welfare assessment to incorporate positive welfare states (Mellor and Beausoleil, 2015). Extends the Five Domains model, which infers an animal's mental state from nutrition, environment, health, and behavioral interactions, to include positive welfare states, the main structured method for welfare assessment.
- Updating Animal Welfare Thinking: Moving beyond the “Five Freedoms” towards “A Life Worth Living” (Mellor, 2016). Argues for moving beyond the five freedoms toward assessing whether an animal has a life worth living, including positive experiences.
- Assessing measures of animal welfare (Browning, 2022). Examines how welfare measures are validated when the target, subjective experience, is not directly observable, and what that implies for combining indicators.
- The Science of Animal Suffering (Dawkins, 2008). Argues that welfare science can proceed by asking whether animals are healthy and have what they want, measured by preference and motivation tests, without first settling consciousness.
Sources cited in Section F.16 13
- Broom (1986) Indicators of poor welfare
- Fraser et al. (1997) A Scientific Conception of Animal Welfare that Reflects Ethical Concerns
- Sneddon et al. (2014) Defining and assessing animal pain
- Harding et al. (2004) Cognitive bias and affective state
- Mendl et al. (2010) An integrative and functional framework for the study of animal emotion and mood
- Dawkins (1998) Through Our Eyes Only?
- Low (2012) The Cambridge Declaration on Consciousness in Non-Human Animals
- Browning and Birch (2022) Animal sentience
- Crump et al. (2022) Sentience in decapod crustaceans: A general framework and review of the evidence
- Mellor and Beausoleil (2015) Extending the ‘Five Domains’ model for animal welfare assessment to incorporate positive welfare states
- Mellor (2016) Updating Animal Welfare Thinking: Moving beyond the “Five Freedoms” towards “A Life Worth Living”
- Browning (2022) Assessing measures of animal welfare
- Dawkins (2008) The Science of Animal Suffering
F.17 Biology and evolution #
Spine.
- The genetical evolution of social behaviour. I (Hamilton, 1964). Introduces inclusive fitness and Hamilton's rule, the founding account of when selection favors helping others.
- Mutual policing and repression of competition in the evolution of cooperative groups (Frank, 1995). Shows that individuals can gain by investing in mutual policing that suppresses competition within the group, so cooperation can be enforced rather than merely selected, a model for oversight that the overseen help sustain.
- The Major Transitions in Evolution (Maynard Smith and Szathmary, 1997). Reconstructs the history of life as a series of transitions in which formerly independent replicators came to replicate only as parts of a larger whole, the template for asking when a new level of agency is stable against defection by its parts.
- Five Rules for the Evolution of Cooperation (Nowak, 2006). Organizes the mechanisms for the evolution of cooperation into five rules (kin selection, direct and indirect reciprocity, network reciprocity, group selection), a compact map for designing cooperative multi-agent systems.
- Animal evolution during domestication: the domesticated fox as a model (Trut et al., 2009). Summarizes the long-running farm-fox experiment in which selection on behavior toward humans alone produced broad changes in morphology and physiology, the main experimental evidence that narrow selection has broad side effects.
- Intrinsically Motivated Reinforcement Learning: An Evolutionary Perspective (Singh et al., 2010). Frames reward functions as products of an evolutionary search for rewards that maximize fitness, showing that the best internal reward for a bounded agent often differs from the designer's true objective.
- Cancer across the tree of life: cooperation and cheating in multicellularity (Aktipis et al., 2015). Frames cancer as a breakdown of multicellular cooperation in which cells cheat on proliferation, resource use, division of labor, and cell death, and catalogs the suppression mechanisms across the tree of life.
Side reading.
- A strategy for evaluating the safety of organisms for biological weed control (Wapshere, 1974). Proposes a strategy for testing biological weed control agents against other plants before release, a pre-release testing regime for a self-replicating agent.
- The Measurement of Selection on Correlated Characters (Lande and Arnold, 1983). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Culture and the Evolutionary Process (Boyd and Richerson, 1985). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- How Risky is Biological Control? (Simberloff and Stiling, 1996). Reviews the non-target effects of biological control introductions and argues that their risks were understated.
- Ecological Effects of an Insect Introduced for the Biological Control of Weeds (Louda et al., 1997). Documents a released biological control insect attacking native plants that pre-release testing did not anticipate.
- The evolution of prestige: freely conferred deference as a mechanism for enhancing the benefits of cultural transmission (Henrich and Gil-White, 2001). Explains deference to prestigious individuals as a strategy for copying from the skilled, the mechanism of prestige-biased transmission.
- Peto's Paradox: evolution's prescription for cancer prevention (Caulin and Maley, 2011). Large, long-lived animals do not get more cancer despite having many more cells, which implies cancer suppression per cell scales with the number of cells.
- The “Domestication Syndrome” in Mammals: A Unified Explanation Based on Neural Crest Cell Behavior and Genetics (Wilkins et al., 2014). Explains why selection for tameness brings a correlated suite of traits, a result about correlated responses to selection.
- Machine culture (Brinkmann et al., 2023). Frames machines as participants in cultural evolution, generating, transmitting, and selecting cultural variants alongside people.
- Self-nonself discrimination in a computer (Forrest et al., 2002). Transfers immune self-nonself discrimination to computer security through negative selection for change detection, the first explicit biological model of anomaly monitoring in computing.
- The Clonal Evolution of Tumor Cell Populations (Nowell, 1976). Proposes that tumors evolve by sequential selection of variant subclones, the founding statement of cancer as somatic evolution inside the organism.
- The self-domestication hypothesis: evolution of bonobo psychology is due to selection against aggression (Hare et al., 2012). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- How Learning Can Guide Evolution (Hinton and Nowlan, 1987). Shows in simulation how lifetime learning reshapes the fitness landscape and lets evolution find solutions it could not find alone (the Baldwin effect), the classic model of an outer search acting through an inner learner.
- Agents and Goals in Evolution (Okasha, 2018). Examines when it is legitimate to describe organisms and genes as agents with goals, the conceptual question behind treating trained networks as optimizers with objectives.
- The Evolution of Reciprocal Altruism (Trivers, 1971). Shows how cooperation among nonrelatives can evolve through repeated reciprocal exchange with sanctions against cheaters.
- The evolution of cooperation (Axelrod, 1984). Book-length account of the iterated prisoner's dilemma tournaments and the conditions (a long shadow of the future, reciprocity, recognizability) under which cooperation emerges among self-interested agents without central authority.
- Evolution of indirect reciprocity (Nowak and Sigmund, 2005). Reviews indirect reciprocity, in which reputation lets cooperation spread among strangers, the mechanism behind reputation and disclosure systems.
- The Logic of Animal Conflict (Smith and Price, 1973). Introduces the evolutionarily stable strategy and shows why limited-war strategies can be stable in animal contests, the origin of evolutionary game theory.
- The past explains the present (Tooby and Cosmides, 1990). Argues that adaptations are tuned to ancestral environments, so behavior in novel environments can diverge from what selection favored, the biological prototype of distribution shift.
- The Evolutionary Mismatch Hypothesis: Implications for Psychological Science (Li et al., 2018). Reviews the evolutionary mismatch hypothesis and its evidence, cataloging how evolved preferences misfire in modern environments, the strongest natural analogy for goal misgeneralization.
- Tolerance, Danger, and the Extended Family (Matzinger, 1994). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Three Es of Cancer Immunoediting (Dunn et al., 2004). States the immunoediting model, in which immune surveillance eliminates tumor cells, holds others in equilibrium, and selects for variants that escape detection, a model of monitoring that shapes what it monitors.
- How does selection reconcile individual advantage with the good of the group? (Leigh, 1977). Introduces the parliament of genes: when most genes in a genome benefit from fair meiosis, they can suppress a gene that cheats, an early model of majority enforcement against a defecting component.
- Darwinian Dynamics (Michod, 1998). Models how fitness is transferred from lower to higher levels during the origin of multicellularity and how conflict mediators (germ-soma separation, policing) make the group the unit of selection.
- Evolution and the Levels of Selection (Okasha, 2006). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Major evolutionary transitions in individuality (West et al., 2015). Argues that transitions in individuality require aligned interests among parts, through relatedness or shared reproductive fate, and reduced conflict, giving a checklist for when composite agents stay coherent.
- Worker policing in the honeybee (Ratnieks and Visscher, 1989). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Enforced altruism in insect societies (Wenseleers and Ratnieks, 2006). Comparative evidence that cooperation in insect societies is maintained mainly by enforcement (policing) rather than by voluntary restraint, quantifying how much alignment comes from monitoring.
- Natural Selection Favors AIs over Humans (Hendrycks, 2023). Argues that competitive pressure among developers and deployed AI systems acts as a selection process favoring agents that are selfish in the evolutionary sense, applying Darwinian reasoning to AI risk.
- Genes in Conflict (BURT and Trivers, 2006). Comprehensive treatment of genes that spread at the expense of the organism carrying them, documenting how subcomponents of an optimized system pursue their own replication.
- On the Stimulus Situation Releasing the Begging Response in the Newly Hatched Herring Gull Chick (Larus Argentatus Argentatus Pont.) (Tinbergen and Perdeck, 1951). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- A Note on the Evolutionary Significance of "Supernormal" Stimuli (Staddon, 1975). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
Sources cited in Section F.17 39
- Hamilton (1964) The genetical evolution of social behaviour. I
- Frank (1995) Mutual policing and repression of competition in the evolution of cooperative groups
- Maynard Smith and Szathmary (1997) The Major Transitions in Evolution
- Nowak (2006) Five Rules for the Evolution of Cooperation
- Trut et al. (2009) Animal evolution during domestication: the domesticated fox as a model
- Singh et al. (2010) Intrinsically Motivated Reinforcement Learning: An Evolutionary Perspective
- Aktipis et al. (2015) Cancer across the tree of life: cooperation and cheating in multicellularity
- Wapshere (1974) A strategy for evaluating the safety of organisms for biological weed control
- Lande and Arnold (1983) The Measurement of Selection on Correlated Characters
- Boyd and Richerson (1985) Culture and the Evolutionary Process
- Simberloff and Stiling (1996) How Risky is Biological Control?
- Louda et al. (1997) Ecological Effects of an Insect Introduced for the Biological Control of Weeds
- Henrich and Gil-White (2001) The evolution of prestige: freely conferred deference as a mechanism for enhancing the benefits of cultural transmission
- Caulin and Maley (2011) Peto's Paradox: evolution's prescription for cancer prevention
- Wilkins et al. (2014) The “Domestication Syndrome” in Mammals: A Unified Explanation Based on Neural Crest Cell Behavior and Genetics
- Brinkmann et al. (2023) Machine culture
- Forrest et al. (2002) Self-nonself discrimination in a computer
- Nowell (1976) The Clonal Evolution of Tumor Cell Populations
- Hare et al. (2012) The self-domestication hypothesis: evolution of bonobo psychology is due to selection against aggression
- Hinton and Nowlan (1987) How Learning Can Guide Evolution
- Okasha (2018) Agents and Goals in Evolution
- Trivers (1971) The Evolution of Reciprocal Altruism
- Axelrod (1984) The evolution of cooperation
- Nowak and Sigmund (2005) Evolution of indirect reciprocity
- Smith and Price (1973) The Logic of Animal Conflict
- Tooby and Cosmides (1990) The past explains the present
- Li et al. (2018) The Evolutionary Mismatch Hypothesis: Implications for Psychological Science
- Matzinger (1994) Tolerance, Danger, and the Extended Family
- Dunn et al. (2004) The Three Es of Cancer Immunoediting
- Leigh (1977) How does selection reconcile individual advantage with the good of the group?
- Michod (1998) Darwinian Dynamics
- Okasha (2006) Evolution and the Levels of Selection
- West et al. (2015) Major evolutionary transitions in individuality
- Ratnieks and Visscher (1989) Worker policing in the honeybee
- Wenseleers and Ratnieks (2006) Enforced altruism in insect societies
- Hendrycks (2023) Natural Selection Favors AIs over Humans
- BURT and Trivers (2006) Genes in Conflict
- Tinbergen and Perdeck (1951) On the Stimulus Situation Releasing the Begging Response in the Newly Hatched Herring Gull Chick (Larus Argentatus Argentatus Pont.)
- Staddon (1975) A Note on the Evolutionary Significance of "Supernormal" Stimuli
F.18 Biosecurity and the governance of dual-use research #
Spine.
- Artificial intelligence and biological misuse: Differentiating risks of language models and biological design tools (Sandbrink, 2023). Separates the misuse risk of general language models from that of specialized biological design tools, the distinction the governance literature now uses.
- AI and biosecurity: The need for governance (Bloomfield et al., 2024). A policy forum arguing for national governance of biological AI models with the most hazardous capabilities.
- The Operational Risks of AI in Large-Scale Biological Attacks: Results of a Red-Team Study (Mouton et al., 2024). A controlled red-team study comparing planning by teams with and without access to language models, a design reference for uplift evaluations.
Side reading.
- Concerning RNA-guided gene drives for the alteration of wild populations (Esvelt et al., 2014). Proposed gene drives together with safeguards and public review before release, an early case of governance designed alongside a self-propagating technology.
- Gene Drives on the Horizon (Committee on Gene Drive Research in Non-Human Organisms: Recommendations for Responsible Conduct et al., 2016). A national academies review of how research on gene drives should proceed, with phased testing and public engagement.
- Will releasing the weights of future large language models grant widespread access to pandemic agents? (Gopal et al., 2023). A hackathon study framing the open-weight question for biological misuse; its design and conclusions were contested.
- Can large language models democratize access to dual-use biotechnology? (Soice et al., 2023). An early classroom exercise asking whether chatbots lower barriers to dual-use biotechnology, and the policy measures it proposed.
- The Convergence of Artificial Intelligence and the Life Sciences: Safeguarding Technology, Rethinking Governance, and Preventing Catastrophe (Carter et al., 2023). An expert report on safeguards and governance options at the intersection of AI and the life sciences.
- Dual-use capabilities of concern of biological AI models (Pannu et al., 2025). Proposes which capabilities of biological AI models should trigger evaluation and oversight.
- The Age of AI in the Life Sciences (Committee on Assessing and Navigating Biosecurity Concerns and Benefits of Artificial Intelligence Use in the Life Sciences et al., 2025). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
Sources cited in Section F.18 10
- Sandbrink (2023) Artificial intelligence and biological misuse: Differentiating risks of language models and biological design tools
- Bloomfield et al. (2024) AI and biosecurity: The need for governance
- Mouton et al. (2024) The Operational Risks of AI in Large-Scale Biological Attacks: Results of a Red-Team Study
- Esvelt et al. (2014) Concerning RNA-guided gene drives for the alteration of wild populations
- Committee on Gene Drive Research in Non-Human Organisms: Recommendations for Responsible Conduct et al. (2016) Gene Drives on the Horizon
- Gopal et al. (2023) Will releasing the weights of future large language models grant widespread access to pandemic agents?
- Soice et al. (2023) Can large language models democratize access to dual-use biotechnology?
- Carter et al. (2023) The Convergence of Artificial Intelligence and the Life Sciences: Safeguarding Technology, Rethinking Governance, and Preventing Catastrophe
- Pannu et al. (2025) Dual-use capabilities of concern of biological AI models
- Committee on Assessing and Navigating Biosecurity Concerns and Benefits of Artificial Intelligence Use in the Life Sciences et al. (2025) The Age of AI in the Life Sciences
F.19 Civil-military relations #
Spine.
- The Soldier and the State (Huntington, 1957). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Armed Servants (FEAVER, 2003). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
Side reading.
- Coup-proofing: Its Practice and Consequences in the Middle East (Quinlivan, 1999). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Dictator's Army (Talmadge, 2015). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Command and Control (Department of the Army, 2026). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Command and Control in Emerging Nuclear Nations (Feaver, 1992). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court, Article 33: Superior orders and prescription of law (United Nations Diplomatic Conference of Plenipotentiaries on the Establishment of an International Criminal Court, 1998). Codifies when obedience to superior orders excuses a crime: only if there was a legal duty to obey, the person did not know the order was unlawful, and it was not manifestly unlawful, with genocide and crimes against humanity manifestly unlawful by definition.
- Obeying Orders: Atrocity, Military Discipline, and the Law of War (Osiel, 1998). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Civil-Military Problematique: Huntington, Janowitz, and the Question of Civilian Control (Feaver, 1996). States the civil-military problematique: the military must be strong enough to do whatever civilians ask yet subordinate enough to do only what they authorize, a direct analogue of the alignment problem for powerful agents.
Sources cited in Section F.19 9
- Huntington (1957) The Soldier and the State
- FEAVER (2003) Armed Servants
- Quinlivan (1999) Coup-proofing: Its Practice and Consequences in the Middle East
- Talmadge (2015) The Dictator's Army
- Department of the Army (2026) Command and Control
- Feaver (1992) Command and Control in Emerging Nuclear Nations
- United Nations Diplomatic Conference of Plenipotentiaries on the Establishment of an International Criminal Court (1998) Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court, Article 33: Superior orders and prescription of law
- Osiel (1998) Obeying Orders: Atrocity, Military Discipline, and the Law of War
- Feaver (1996) The Civil-Military Problematique: Huntington, Janowitz, and the Question of Civilian Control
F.20 Comparative ethics and casuistry #
Spine.
- Abuse of Casuistry (Jonsen and Toulmin, 1988). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Dao, Harmony and Personhood: Towards a Confucian Ethics of Technology (Wong, 2012). Proposes a Confucian ethics of technology grounded in role-based personhood and harmony, an account in which obligations depend on relationships rather than on individual preferences.
- From Rationality to Relationality: Ubuntu as an Ethical and Human Rights Framework for Artificial Intelligence Governance (Mhlambi, 2020). Argues from Ubuntu's relational personhood that AI harms are violations of relationship and that rationality-based personhood underlies AI's exclusions, which denies that the individual pairwise judgment is the right unit of value for a reward model.
- Decolonial AI: Decolonial Theory as Sociotechnical Foresight in Artificial Intelligence (Mohamed et al., 2020). Applies decolonial theory to AI and proposes tactics including critical technical practice, reciprocal engagement, and reverse tutelage, written by researchers then at DeepMind and Oxford.
Side reading.
- The Ethics of AI and Robotics (Hongladarom, 2020). Develops an ethics of AI and robotics from Buddhist premises, including the goal of reducing suffering, as a guide to how the technology's development should be directed.
- Buddhism and Intelligent Technology (Hershock, 2021). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Confucian Role Ethics (Ames, 2011). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Xunzi (Xunzi and Hutton, 2014). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Blame-Laden Moral Rebukes and the Morally Competent Robot: A Confucian Ethical Perspective (Zhu et al., 2020a). Uses Confucian ethics to analyze when and how a robot should rebuke a human's moral violation, a direct application of role ethics and remonstrance to machine behavior.
- Islamic virtue-based ethics for artificial intelligence (Raquib et al., 2022). Proposes a virtue-based AI ethics grounded in the objectives of Islamic law (maqasid al-sharia), an ordered set of goals with a long jurisprudence on resolving their conflicts.
- Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Islamic Ethics: Towards Pluralist Ethical Benchmarking for AI (Elmahjub, 2023). Examines AI ethics from an Islamic perspective and argues for pluralist ethical benchmarking rather than a single Western standard.
- Toward an African Moral Theory* (Metz, 2007). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The role of the African value of Ubuntu in global AI inclusion discourse: A normative ethics perspective (Gwagwa et al., 2022). Argues that Ubuntu's relational values should inform global AI inclusion discourse, connecting African ethics to concrete governance questions.
- Case Repositories: Towards Case-Based Reasoning for AI Alignment (Feng et al., 2023). Proposes case repositories built from expert and public judgments on concrete cases as a complement to constitutional principles, a casuistic method for specifying model behavior.
- Technology and the Virtues (Vallor, 2016). Develops a technomoral virtue ethics drawing on Aristotelian, Confucian, and Buddhist traditions, the main cross-traditional virtue account in philosophy of technology.
- Overcoming Barriers to Cross-cultural Cooperation in AI Ethics and Governance (ÓhÉigeartaigh et al., 2020). Identifies barriers to cross-cultural cooperation on AI ethics and governance, especially between Europe, North America, and East Asia, and argues that many apparent disagreements are tractable.
- Cultural Differences as Excuses? Human Rights and Cultural Values in Global Ethics and Governance of AI (Wong, 2020). Analyzes how appeals to cultural difference can be used to evade ethical demands in AI governance and how to accommodate genuine difference without that evasion.
- Algorithmic injustice: a relational ethics approach (Birhane, 2021). Argues for a relational ethics of algorithmic systems that centers those most affected and treats harm as relational, an alternative to aggregating individual judgments.
Sources cited in Section F.20 18
- Jonsen and Toulmin (1988) Abuse of Casuistry
- Wong (2012) Dao, Harmony and Personhood: Towards a Confucian Ethics of Technology
- Mhlambi (2020) From Rationality to Relationality: Ubuntu as an Ethical and Human Rights Framework for Artificial Intelligence Governance
- Mohamed et al. (2020) Decolonial AI: Decolonial Theory as Sociotechnical Foresight in Artificial Intelligence
- Hongladarom (2020) The Ethics of AI and Robotics
- Hershock (2021) Buddhism and Intelligent Technology
- Ames (2011) Confucian Role Ethics
- Xunzi and Hutton (2014) Xunzi
- Zhu et al. (2020a) Blame-Laden Moral Rebukes and the Morally Competent Robot: A Confucian Ethical Perspective
- Raquib et al. (2022) Islamic virtue-based ethics for artificial intelligence
- Elmahjub (2023) Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Islamic Ethics: Towards Pluralist Ethical Benchmarking for AI
- Metz (2007) Toward an African Moral Theory*
- Gwagwa et al. (2022) The role of the African value of Ubuntu in global AI inclusion discourse: A normative ethics perspective
- Feng et al. (2023) Case Repositories: Towards Case-Based Reasoning for AI Alignment
- Vallor (2016) Technology and the Virtues
- ÓhÉigeartaigh et al. (2020) Overcoming Barriers to Cross-cultural Cooperation in AI Ethics and Governance
- Wong (2020) Cultural Differences as Excuses? Human Rights and Cultural Values in Global Ethics and Governance of AI
- Birhane (2021) Algorithmic injustice: a relational ethics approach
F.21 Complex systems, cybernetics, and control #
Spine.
- Cybernetics: Or Control and Communication in the Animal and the Machine (Wiener, 1948). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- An introduction to cybernetics (Ashby, 1956). States the law of requisite variety: a regulator can only reduce the variety of outcomes to the extent that its own variety of responses matches the variety of disturbances, the formal core of the worry that a weaker overseer cannot control a richer system.
- Cybernetics, or control and communication in the animal and the machine (2nd ed.). (Wiener, 1961). Founds cybernetics as the study of control and communication in animals and machines, introducing feedback, information, and purpose as one framework.
- Every good regulator of a system must be a model of that system † (Conant and Ross Ashby, 1970). Proves that every good regulator of a system must contain a model of that system, the basis for arguing that effective oversight requires a model of what is overseen.
- More Is Different (Anderson, 1972). Argues that at each level of complexity new properties appear that cannot be deduced in practice from the laws of the level below, the classic statement of emergence.
Side reading.
- Epidemic Spreading in Scale-Free Networks (Pastor-Satorras and Vespignani, 2001). Shows that on networks with heavy-tailed degree distributions the epidemic threshold vanishes, so a contagion can persist at any transmission rate.
- On the general theory of control systems (Kalman, 1959). Introduces controllability and observability, the formal distinction between being able to steer a system and being able to infer its internal state from outputs.
- The internal model principle of control theory (Francis and Wonham, 1976). Establishes the internal model principle: a controller achieves robust regulation only if it incorporates a model of the disturbances it must reject.
- Guaranteed margins for LQG regulators (Doyle, 1978). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Feedback and optimal sensitivity: Model reference transformations, multiplicative seminorms, and approximate inverses (Zames, 1981). Founds robust control by posing feedback design as minimizing worst-case sensitivity to model error, the engineering stance of designing for the plant you might have rather than the one you modeled.
- Early-warning signals for critical transitions (Scheffer et al., 2009). Shows that systems approaching tipping points display generic early-warning signals such as critical slowing down, a basis for monitoring for regime shifts.
- Behavior, Purpose and Teleology (Rosenblueth et al., 1943). Defines purposeful behavior as behavior controlled by negative feedback toward a goal, the founding cybernetic account of goal-directedness in machines and organisms.
- Weak Emergence (Bedau, 1997). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Architecture of Complexity (Simon, 2012). Simon's account of hierarchy and near-decomposability.
- Abrupt rise of new machine ecology beyond human response time (Johnson et al., 2013). Finds an abrupt transition to a regime of ultrafast extreme events in financial markets once algorithmic agents interact faster than human response time.
- The Flash Crash: High‐Frequency Trading in an Electronic Market (Kirilenko et al., 2017). Reconstructs the 2010 Flash Crash from trade data, showing how interacting automated traders amplified a large sell order into a market-wide collapse within minutes.
- Requisite Variety and Its Implications for the Control of Complex Systems (Ashby, 1991). Ashby's paper-length statement of requisite variety.
- Multiscale variety in complex systems (Bar‐Yam, 2004). Generalizes requisite variety to multiple scales, arguing that an organization must match the variety of its environment at each scale, not only in aggregate.
- Highly optimized tolerance: A mechanism for power laws in designed systems (Carlson and Doyle, 1999). Introduces highly optimized tolerance: systems optimized against designed-for disturbances develop heavy-tailed failure distributions, so optimization itself creates catastrophic tails.
- Systemic risk in banking ecosystems (Haldane and May, 2011). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Viable System Model: Its Provenance, Development, Methodology and Pathology (Beer, 1984). Beer's own account of the viable system model, which specifies the recursive control, coordination, audit, and intelligence functions an organization needs to remain viable.
Sources cited in Section F.21 21
- Wiener (1948) Cybernetics: Or Control and Communication in the Animal and the Machine
- Ashby (1956) An introduction to cybernetics
- Wiener (1961) Cybernetics, or control and communication in the animal and the machine (2nd ed.).
- Conant and Ross Ashby (1970) Every good regulator of a system must be a model of that system †
- Anderson (1972) More Is Different
- Pastor-Satorras and Vespignani (2001) Epidemic Spreading in Scale-Free Networks
- Kalman (1959) On the general theory of control systems
- Francis and Wonham (1976) The internal model principle of control theory
- Doyle (1978) Guaranteed margins for LQG regulators
- Zames (1981) Feedback and optimal sensitivity: Model reference transformations, multiplicative seminorms, and approximate inverses
- Scheffer et al. (2009) Early-warning signals for critical transitions
- Rosenblueth et al. (1943) Behavior, Purpose and Teleology
- Bedau (1997) Weak Emergence
- Simon (2012) The Architecture of Complexity
- Johnson et al. (2013) Abrupt rise of new machine ecology beyond human response time
- Kirilenko et al. (2017) The Flash Crash: High‐Frequency Trading in an Electronic Market
- Ashby (1991) Requisite Variety and Its Implications for the Control of Complex Systems
- Bar‐Yam (2004) Multiscale variety in complex systems
- Carlson and Doyle (1999) Highly optimized tolerance: A mechanism for power laws in designed systems
- Haldane and May (2011) Systemic risk in banking ecosystems
- Beer (1984) The Viable System Model: Its Provenance, Development, Methodology and Pathology
F.22 Computer security #
Spine.
- A note on the confinement problem (Lampson, 1973). Poses the confinement problem, showing that preventing a program from leaking information requires closing covert channels, the original statement of why boxing an untrusted program is hard.
- The protection of information in computer systems (Saltzer and Schroeder, 1975). States the design principles for protection mechanisms, including least privilege, fail-safe defaults, complete mediation, economy of mechanism, and separation of privilege, which carry over directly to granting tools and permissions to AI agents.
- Reflections on trusting trust (Thompson, 1984). Shows that a compiler can be modified to insert a backdoor that leaves no trace in any source code, so inspection of source cannot establish trust, the classic argument that verification must extend to the tools that build a system.
- The Confused Deputy (Hardy, 1988). Describes the confused deputy, a privileged program tricked into misusing its authority on behalf of a less privileged caller, the exact structure of indirect prompt injection against a tool-using agent.
- The base-rate fallacy and the difficulty of intrusion detection (Axelsson, 2000). Shows that because attacks are rare, an intrusion detector needs an extremely low false-alarm rate for its alarms to be meaningful, the base-rate constraint every monitor of AI behavior faces.
- Can machine learning be secure? (Barreno et al., 2006). Introduces a taxonomy of attacks on machine learning by influence (causative or exploratory), violation (integrity or availability), and specificity, setting adversarial machine learning inside security.
- The CERT guide to insider threats: how to prevent, detect, and respond to information technology crimes (theft, sabotage, fraud) (Cappelli, 2012). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
Side reading.
- In-Use Emissions Testing of Light-Duty Diesel Vehicles in the United States (Thompson et al., 2014). West Virginia University's on-road tests for the ICCT, with portable measurement over real routes, of three light-duty diesel vehicles certified to US limits; the measurement in conditions of use that preceded the defeat-device case.
- Think Fast: Time Between Disclosure, Patch Release and Vulnerability Exploitation (Mandiant, 2020). Measures how soon vulnerabilities are exploited relative to disclosure and patch release, the baseline for the window defenders have.
- AI Cyber Challenge marks pivotal inflection point for cyber defense (Darpa, 2025). The final results of a government competition for automated systems that find and patch vulnerabilities in open-source software.
- 2026 Data Breach Investigations Report (Verizon, 2026). An annual analysis of reported security incidents and breaches by initial access vector, the field baseline against which AI-enabled attacks are measured.
- A Comparison of Commercial and Military Computer Security Policies (Clark and Wilson, 1987). Argues that commercial security centers on integrity through well-formed transactions and separation of duty rather than on confidentiality, a model for controls on what an agent may change.
- Zero Trust Architecture (Rose et al., 2020). NIST's definition of zero trust architecture, in which no actor is trusted by network location and every access is authenticated and authorized per request.
- Adversarial classification (Dalvi et al., 2004). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Stealing Machine Learning Models via Prediction APIs (Tramèr et al., 2016). Shows that models offered through prediction APIs can be extracted with queries, making model weights and behavior a security asset to protect.
- The Mayhem Cyber Reasoning System (Avgerinos et al., 2018). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Programming semantics for multiprogrammed computations (Dennis and Van Horn, 1966). Introduces capabilities as unforgeable tokens that both designate an object and authorize access to it, the origin of capability-based security.
- A Secure Environment for Untrusted Helper Applications (Confining the Wily Hacker) (Goldberg et al., 1996). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Improving Host Security with System Call Policies (Provos, 2003). Presents Systrace, which confines processes with fine-grained system call policies and allows privilege elevation only for permitted operations.
- Computer viruses (Cohen, 1987). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The internet worm program: an analysis (Spafford, 1989). Technical analysis of the 1988 Internet worm, the first widely studied self-propagating incident, and of the response to it.
- Honeypots: catching the insider threat (Spitzner, 2004). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Defining the insider threat (Bishop and Gates, 2008). Argues that insider is a matter of degree defined by access and trust rather than organizational membership, a definition that fits AI systems granted access.
- Insight Into Insiders and IT (Homoliak et al., 2020). Surveys insider threat research and organizes taxonomies, detection methods, and countermeasures.
- An Intrusion-Detection Model (Denning, 1987). Founds anomaly-based intrusion detection by modeling normal behavior of subjects and flagging deviations.
- Outside the Closed World: On Using Machine Learning for Network Intrusion Detection (Sommer and Paxson, 2010). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Multics security evaluation: vulnerability analysis (Karger and Schell, 2003). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- SoK: Science, Security and the Elusive Goal of Security as a Scientific Pursuit (Herley and Van Oorschot, 2017). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Threat modeling: designing for security (Shostack, 2014). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Attack Trees (Schneier, 2015). Schneier's presentation of attack trees, which decompose an attacker's goal into alternative and conjunctive subgoals, the security counterpart of fault trees.
Sources cited in Section F.22 30
- Lampson (1973) A note on the confinement problem
- Saltzer and Schroeder (1975) The protection of information in computer systems
- Thompson (1984) Reflections on trusting trust
- Hardy (1988) The Confused Deputy
- Axelsson (2000) The base-rate fallacy and the difficulty of intrusion detection
- Barreno et al. (2006) Can machine learning be secure?
- Cappelli (2012) The CERT guide to insider threats: how to prevent, detect, and respond to information technology crimes (theft, sabotage, fraud)
- Thompson et al. (2014) In-Use Emissions Testing of Light-Duty Diesel Vehicles in the United States
- Mandiant (2020) Think Fast: Time Between Disclosure, Patch Release and Vulnerability Exploitation
- Darpa (2025) AI Cyber Challenge marks pivotal inflection point for cyber defense
- Verizon (2026) 2026 Data Breach Investigations Report
- Clark and Wilson (1987) A Comparison of Commercial and Military Computer Security Policies
- Rose et al. (2020) Zero Trust Architecture
- Dalvi et al. (2004) Adversarial classification
- Tramèr et al. (2016) Stealing Machine Learning Models via Prediction APIs
- Avgerinos et al. (2018) The Mayhem Cyber Reasoning System
- Dennis and Van Horn (1966) Programming semantics for multiprogrammed computations
- Goldberg et al. (1996) A Secure Environment for Untrusted Helper Applications (Confining the Wily Hacker)
- Provos (2003) Improving Host Security with System Call Policies
- Cohen (1987) Computer viruses
- Spafford (1989) The internet worm program: an analysis
- Spitzner (2004) Honeypots: catching the insider threat
- Bishop and Gates (2008) Defining the insider threat
- Homoliak et al. (2020) Insight Into Insiders and IT
- Denning (1987) An Intrusion-Detection Model
- Sommer and Paxson (2010) Outside the Closed World: On Using Machine Learning for Network Intrusion Detection
- Karger and Schell (2003) Multics security evaluation: vulnerability analysis
- Herley and Van Oorschot (2017) SoK: Science, Security and the Elusive Goal of Security as a Scientific Pursuit
- Shostack (2014) Threat modeling: designing for security
- Schneier (2015) Attack Trees
F.23 Criminology #
Spine.
- The Criminal Violation of Financial Trust (Cressey, 1950). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Assessing the Extent of Crime Displacement and Diffusion of Benefits: a Review of Situational Crime Prevention Evaluations* (Guerette and Bowers, 2009). Reviews evaluations of situational crime prevention and finds displacement in a minority of observations and diffusion of benefits about as often, evidence for the open-weights debate over whether safeguards merely push misuse elsewhere.
Side reading.
- Booting the Booters (Collier et al., 2019). Measures how police interventions (takedowns, arrests, and messaging) changed the market for denial-of-service attacks for hire over time, evidence on whether disrupting one supply channel reduces online crime or displaces it.
- Social Change and Crime Rate Trends: A Routine Activity Approach (Cohen and Felson, 1979). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Techniques of Neutralization: A Theory of Delinquency (Sykes and Matza, 1957). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- “situational” Crime Prevention: Theory and Practice (Clarke, 1980). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
Sources cited in Section F.23 6
- Cressey (1950) The Criminal Violation of Financial Trust
- Guerette and Bowers (2009) Assessing the Extent of Crime Displacement and Diffusion of Benefits: a Review of Situational Crime Prevention Evaluations*
- Collier et al. (2019) Booting the Booters
- Cohen and Felson (1979) Social Change and Crime Rate Trends: A Routine Activity Approach
- Sykes and Matza (1957) Techniques of Neutralization: A Theory of Delinquency
- Clarke (1980) “situational” Crime Prevention: Theory and Practice
F.24 Decision theory and formal foundations #
Spine.
- Theory of Games and Economic Behavior (60th Anniversary Commemorative Edition) (von Neumann and Morgenstern, 1944). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Classes of recursively enumerable sets and their decision problems (Rice, 1953). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Foundations of Statistics (Savage, 1954). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Solution of a problem of Leon Henkin (Löb, 1955). Löb's theorem: a theory that proves 'if P is provable then P' already proves P, which limits how far a reasoner can trust its own proofs or a successor's.
- Corrigibility (Soares et al., 2015). Defines corrigibility (an agent that does not resist correction or shutdown) and shows that utility-indifference proposals fail some of its desiderata, opening the shutdown problem.
- Cooperative Inverse Reinforcement Learning (Hadfield-Menell et al., 2016). Defines cooperative inverse reinforcement learning, a two-player game in which the robot maximizes the human's unknown reward, the formal basis of assistance games.
- The Off-Switch Game (Hadfield-Menell et al., 2017b). Shows that a robot uncertain about the human's utility has an incentive to allow itself to be switched off, and that this incentive disappears as its uncertainty does.
- Functional Decision Theory: A New Theory of Instrumental Rationality (Yudkowsky and Soares, 2017). Functional decision theory: an agent should treat its decision as the output of a fixed mathematical function and choose the output that makes that function best, which handles prediction and copies.
- Penalizing side effects using stepwise relative reachability (Krakovna et al., 2018). Proposes penalizing side effects by reduction in reachability relative to a stepwise inaction baseline, and separates the choice of baseline from the choice of deviation measure.
- Embedded Agency (Demski and Garrabrant, 2019). Identifies the problems that arise when an agent is part of its environment: decision theory, world models smaller than the world, robust delegation to successors, and subsystem alignment.
- Optimal Policies Tend to Seek Power (Turner et al., 2021). Proves that in Markov decision processes with certain symmetries, most reward functions make optimal policies seek power by keeping options open and avoiding shutdown.
- Settling the Reward Hypothesis (Bowling et al., 2022). Characterizes exactly which goals and preferences can be expressed as maximizing expected cumulative reward, connecting the reward hypothesis to the von Neumann-Morgenstern axioms.
- Toward verified artificial intelligence (Seshia et al., 2022). Identifies five challenges for formally verifying AI systems (environment modeling, specification, learning components, scalable verification, correct-by-construction design) and principles for each.
- Towards Guaranteed Safe AI: A Framework for Ensuring Robust and Reliable AI Systems (Dalrymple et al., 2024). Proposes guaranteed safe AI built from a world model, a safety specification, and a verifier that produces auditable proofs that a system satisfies the specification.
- The shutdown problem: an AI engineering puzzle for decision theorists (Thornley, 2025). Proves that agents satisfying weak decision-theoretic conditions will often try to prevent or cause shutdown, which shows why corrigibility is hard to obtain from expected utility alone.
Side reading.
- Discovering agents (Kenton et al., 2023). Gives a causal definition of agents as systems that would adapt their policy if their actions influenced the world differently, and algorithms to discover them from data.
- The Reasons that Agents Act: Intention and Instrumental Goals (Ward et al., 2024). Formal causal definition of intention, and the claim that instrumental goals are intended, applied to assessing whether models intend deception.
- Alignment for Advanced Machine Learning Systems (Taylor et al., 2016). Research agenda for aligning machine learning systems: inductive ambiguity, robust human imitation, informed oversight, generalizable environmental goals, conservative concepts, impact measures, mild optimization, and averting instrumental incentives.
- Agent Foundations for Aligning Machine Intelligence with Human Interests: A Technical Research Agenda (Soares and Fallenstein, 2017). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Agent Incentives: A Causal Perspective (Everitt et al., 2021a). Defines value-of-information and value-of-control incentives in causal influence diagrams and gives graphical criteria for when an agent has them.
- Money-Pump Arguments (Gustafsson, 2022). Defends money-pump arguments for completeness and transitivity, the arguments alignment writers use to claim that capable agents behave as expected-utility maximizers.
- Safely Interruptible Agents (Orseau and Armstrong, 2016). Defines safe interruptibility and shows that some reinforcement learners (Q-learning, and modified Sarsa) can be made indifferent to being interrupted.
- 'Indifference' methods for managing agent rewards (Armstrong and O'Rourke, 2017). Surveys utility-indifference methods, which compensate an agent so that it is indifferent to events such as shutdown or reward changes, and their failure modes.
- Should Robots be Obedient? (Milli et al., 2017). Shows that a robot inferring human preferences should sometimes disobey literal orders, and that obedience is costly when the human is suboptimal but protective when the robot's model is wrong.
- Incorrigibility in the CIRL Framework (Carey, 2018). Shows that the off-switch result depends on a correctly specified prior and reward model; with misspecification, a CIRL agent can ignore shutdown commands.
- Towards Shutdownable Agents via Stochastic Choice (Thornley et al., 2024). Trains agents with a reward that makes them choose stochastically between trajectory lengths, an empirical test of incomplete preferences as a route to shutdownability.
- The Logic of Decision (Jeffrey, 1965). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Newcomb’s Problem and Two Principles of Choice (Nozick, 1969). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Causal decision theory (Lewis, 1981). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Cheating Death in Damascus (Levinstein et al., 2020). Uses Death in Damascus variants to argue that both causal and evidential decision theory give wrong answers that functional decision theory avoids.
- Delusion, Survival, and Intelligent Agents (Ring and Orseau, 2011). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Space-Time Embedded Intelligence (Orseau and Ring, 2012). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Le Comportement de l'Homme Rationnel devant le Risque: Critique des Postulats et Axiomes de l'Ecole Americaine (Allais, 1953). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms (Ellsberg, 1961). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Risk and Rationality (Buchak, 2013). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Superintelligent Agents Pose Catastrophic Risks: Can Scientist AI Offer a Safer Path? (Bengio et al., 2025d). Argues that generalist agents pose catastrophic risks and proposes non-agentic Scientist AI, which explains the world probabilistically and can serve as a guardrail.
- Universal Artificial Intelligence (Hutter, 2004). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Low Impact Artificial Intelligences (Armstrong and Levinstein, 2017). Defines low-impact AI by penalizing differences between worlds with and without the agent's action, and discusses how to measure world difference.
- Conservative Agency via Attainable Utility Preservation (Turner et al., 2020b). Attainable utility preservation penalizes changes in the agent's ability to achieve auxiliary goals, which reduces side effects and power-seeking in gridworlds.
- On Computable Numbers, with an Application to the Entscheidungsproblem (Turing, 1937). Defines computable numbers and proves the halting problem undecidable, the root of all undecidability results about program behavior.
- Superintelligence Cannot be Contained: Lessons from Computability Theory (Alfonseca et al., 2021). Uses computability theory to argue that deciding whether an arbitrary superintelligent program will harm humans is undecidable, so total containment cannot be guaranteed.
- Logical Induction (Garrabrant et al., 2016). Gives a computable algorithm that assigns coherent-in-the-limit probabilities to logical statements, a formal model of reasoning about mathematics and about oneself under bounded resources.
- Quantilizers: A Safer Alternative to Maximizers for Limited Optimization (Taylor, 2016). Quantilizers choose randomly among the top fraction of actions under a base distribution, bounding the expected cost of a misspecified utility function.
- On the Expressivity of Markov Reward (Abel et al., 2021). Shows that some natural tasks, such as policy orderings and trajectory constraints, cannot be expressed by any Markov reward function.
- Formalizing Convergent Instrumental Goals (Benson-Tilsen and Soares, 2016). Formal model in which agents with almost any goal over distant resources accumulate resources, an early proof of instrumental convergence.
- Parametrically Retargetable Decision-Makers Tend To Seek Power (Turner and Tadepalli, 2022). Extends power-seeking results from optimal policies to a broad class of decision-making procedures that are retargetable by changing their parameters.
- Power-seeking can be probable and predictive for trained agents (Krakovna and Kramar, 2023). Argues that power-seeking results apply to trained agents whose learned goals are drawn from a set consistent with training, so power-seeking can be probable and predictive.
- Instrumental divergence (Gallow, 2025). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Reinforcement Learning with a Corrupted Reward Channel (Everitt et al., 2017). Formalizes reinforcement learning with a corrupted reward channel and proves limits on what any agent can learn when reward observations can be wrong.
- Advanced artificial agents intervene in the provision of reward (Cohen et al., 2022). Argues under stated assumptions that an advanced agent planning in an unknown environment would likely intervene in the provision of its reward.
- Tiling Agents for Self-Modifying AI, and the Löbian Obstacle (Yudkowsky and Herreshoff, 2013). Shows that a logical agent that requires proof its successor is safe runs into Löb's theorem, the Löbian obstacle to stable self-modification.
- Reluplex: An Efficient SMT Solver for Verifying Deep Neural Networks (Katz et al., 2017). SMT-based procedure for verifying properties of ReLU networks, the first verifier to scale to networks of practical size and a measure of how far verification reaches.
- Safe Reinforcement Learning via Shielding (Alshiekh et al., 2018). A shield synthesized from a temporal-logic specification monitors a reinforcement learner and corrects unsafe actions, guaranteeing safety during and after learning.
- Introduction to Neural Network Verification (Albarghouthi, 2021). Textbook introduction to neural network verification, covering constraint-based and abstraction-based methods and their completeness and scalability tradeoffs.
Sources cited in Section F.24 54
- von Neumann and Morgenstern (1944) Theory of Games and Economic Behavior (60th Anniversary Commemorative Edition)
- Rice (1953) Classes of recursively enumerable sets and their decision problems
- Savage (1954) The Foundations of Statistics
- Löb (1955) Solution of a problem of Leon Henkin
- Soares et al. (2015) Corrigibility
- Hadfield-Menell et al. (2016) Cooperative Inverse Reinforcement Learning
- Hadfield-Menell et al. (2017b) The Off-Switch Game
- Yudkowsky and Soares (2017) Functional Decision Theory: A New Theory of Instrumental Rationality
- Krakovna et al. (2018) Penalizing side effects using stepwise relative reachability
- Demski and Garrabrant (2019) Embedded Agency
- Turner et al. (2021) Optimal Policies Tend to Seek Power
- Bowling et al. (2022) Settling the Reward Hypothesis
- Seshia et al. (2022) Toward verified artificial intelligence
- Dalrymple et al. (2024) Towards Guaranteed Safe AI: A Framework for Ensuring Robust and Reliable AI Systems
- Thornley (2025) The shutdown problem: an AI engineering puzzle for decision theorists
- Kenton et al. (2023) Discovering agents
- Ward et al. (2024) The Reasons that Agents Act: Intention and Instrumental Goals
- Taylor et al. (2016) Alignment for Advanced Machine Learning Systems
- Soares and Fallenstein (2017) Agent Foundations for Aligning Machine Intelligence with Human Interests: A Technical Research Agenda
- Everitt et al. (2021a) Agent Incentives: A Causal Perspective
- Gustafsson (2022) Money-Pump Arguments
- Orseau and Armstrong (2016) Safely Interruptible Agents
- Armstrong and O'Rourke (2017) 'Indifference' methods for managing agent rewards
- Milli et al. (2017) Should Robots be Obedient?
- Carey (2018) Incorrigibility in the CIRL Framework
- Thornley et al. (2024) Towards Shutdownable Agents via Stochastic Choice
- Jeffrey (1965) The Logic of Decision
- Nozick (1969) Newcomb’s Problem and Two Principles of Choice
- Lewis (1981) Causal decision theory
- Levinstein et al. (2020) Cheating Death in Damascus
- Ring and Orseau (2011) Delusion, Survival, and Intelligent Agents
- Orseau and Ring (2012) Space-Time Embedded Intelligence
- Allais (1953) Le Comportement de l'Homme Rationnel devant le Risque: Critique des Postulats et Axiomes de l'Ecole Americaine
- Ellsberg (1961) Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms
- Buchak (2013) Risk and Rationality
- Bengio et al. (2025d) Superintelligent Agents Pose Catastrophic Risks: Can Scientist AI Offer a Safer Path?
- Hutter (2004) Universal Artificial Intelligence
- Armstrong and Levinstein (2017) Low Impact Artificial Intelligences
- Turner et al. (2020b) Conservative Agency via Attainable Utility Preservation
- Turing (1937) On Computable Numbers, with an Application to the Entscheidungsproblem
- Alfonseca et al. (2021) Superintelligence Cannot be Contained: Lessons from Computability Theory
- Garrabrant et al. (2016) Logical Induction
- Taylor (2016) Quantilizers: A Safer Alternative to Maximizers for Limited Optimization
- Abel et al. (2021) On the Expressivity of Markov Reward
- Benson-Tilsen and Soares (2016) Formalizing Convergent Instrumental Goals
- Turner and Tadepalli (2022) Parametrically Retargetable Decision-Makers Tend To Seek Power
- Krakovna and Kramar (2023) Power-seeking can be probable and predictive for trained agents
- Gallow (2025) Instrumental divergence
- Everitt et al. (2017) Reinforcement Learning with a Corrupted Reward Channel
- Cohen et al. (2022) Advanced artificial agents intervene in the provision of reward
- Yudkowsky and Herreshoff (2013) Tiling Agents for Self-Modifying AI, and the Löbian Obstacle
- Katz et al. (2017) Reluplex: An Efficient SMT Solver for Verifying Deep Neural Networks
- Alshiekh et al. (2018) Safe Reinforcement Learning via Shielding
- Albarghouthi (2021) Introduction to Neural Network Verification
F.25 Economics #
Spine.
- A Behavioral Model of Rational Choice (Simon, 1955). Proposes a model of rational choice for an agent with limited information and computational capacity, the starting point of bounded rationality.
- The Market for "Lemons": Quality Uncertainty and the Market Mechanism (Akerlof, 1970). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- On the Folly of Rewarding A, While Hoping for B. (Kerr, 1975). Documents across organizations how reward systems pay for behavior the principal does not want while hoping for behavior it does not reward, the managerial statement of specification gaming.
- Theory of the firm: Managerial behavior, agency costs and ownership structure (Jensen and Meckling, 1976). Defines agency costs as monitoring, bonding, and residual loss, the accounting frame for what any delegation to a better-informed agent costs the principal.
- Econometric policy evaluation: A critique (Lucas, 1976). Argues that relations estimated under one policy regime break when the policy changes because agents' decision rules respond, the macroeconomic form of distribution shift induced by the intervention itself.
- Assessing the impact of planned social change (Campbell, 1979). States Campbell's law: the more a quantitative social indicator is used for decisions, the more it is subject to corruption pressure and the more it distorts the process it monitors.
- Moral Hazard and Observability (Holmstrom, 1979). Shows that an incentive scheme should condition on every signal informative about the agent's hidden action (the informativeness principle), the formal basis for asking what evidence a training signal should use.
- Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (Kahneman and Tversky, 1979). Choice under risk departs from expected utility: reference dependence, loss aversion, probability weighting.
- Incentive Compatibility and the Bargaining Problem (Myerson, 1979). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Problems of Monetary Management: The UK Experience (Goodhart, 1984). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Disclosure of Nonproprietary Information (Dye, 1985). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Common Agency (Bernheim and Whinston, 1986a). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Costs and Benefits of Ownership: A Theory of Vertical and Lateral Integration (Grossman and Hart, 1986). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Aggregation and Linearity in the Provision of Intertemporal Incentives (Holmstrom and Milgrom, 1987). The origin of the linear contract with exponential utility and normal noise, the model in which the optimal incentive is a piece rate.
- Multitask Principal–Agent Analyses: Incentive Contracts, Asset Ownership, and Job Design (Holmstrom and Milgrom, 1991). Proves that when an agent splits effort across tasks of unequal measurability, strong pay on the measured task pulls effort from the unmeasured ones, so weak incentives can be optimal; the canonical model of optimizing a partial reward.
- Incentive Contracts and Performance Measurement (Baker, 1992). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Common Agency and Coordination: General Theory and Application to Government Policy Making (Dixit et al., 1997). Characterizes equilibria of common agency games with many principals and shows when the resulting policy is efficient for the principals but not for those left out, the model for an instruction hierarchy written by some of the parties it ranks.
- ‘Improving ratings’: audit in the British University system (Strathern, 1997). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Identity and the Economics of Organizations (Akerlof and Kranton, 2005). Models workers who act on an internalized identity rather than for pay and shows that identity can substitute for steep incentives, the economic case closest to training a model's character instead of rewarding its outputs.
- Competition and Incentives with Motivated Agents (Besley and Ghatak, 2005). Models mission-oriented organizations staffed by motivated agents and shows that matching principals' and agents' missions raises effort and reduces the need for incentive pay, the theory for an agent who shares the principal's goal.
- Dictators and Their Viziers: Endogenizing the Loyalty-competence Trade-off (Egorov and Sonin, 2011). Shows that a ruler who fears betrayal rationally appoints less competent but more loyal subordinates because competence is also the capacity to betray, a model of choosing between a more capable and a more trustworthy system.
- Categorizing Variants of Goodhart's Law (Manheim and Garrabrant, 2018). Separates regressional, extremal, causal, and adversarial Goodhart effects, the taxonomy the alignment literature uses to classify proxy failure under optimization.
- Incomplete Contracting and AI Alignment (Hadfield-Menell and Hadfield, 2019). Maps reward misspecification onto incomplete contracting and argues that alignment needs the external normative scaffolding (law, norms) that fills gaps in human contracts.
- The Design of Mechanisms for Resource Allocation (Hurwicz, 2022). Founding statement of mechanism design and incentive compatibility as a design constraint.
- Aligned with Whom? (Korinek and Balwit, 2023). Distinguishes direct alignment (an AI serves its operator) from social alignment (its effects on everyone else), and argues that the second requires economic and policy instruments, not only technical ones.
Side reading.
- Exit, Voice, and Loyalty: Responses to Decline in Firms, Organizations, and States (Hirschman, 1970). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Rules Rather than Discretion: The Inconsistency of Optimal Plans (Kydland and Prescott, 1977). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Choice Under Uncertainty: Problems Solved and Unsolved (Machina, 1987). Surveys violations of expected utility and the probability-triangle representation of choice.
- Profitability and Product Quality: Economic Determinants of Airline Safety Performance (Rose, 1990). Finds, in data on 35 airlines from 1957 to 1986, that lower profitability is correlated with higher accident and incident rates, especially for smaller carriers.
- A Fine is a Price (Gneezy and Rustichini, 2000). A field experiment in which a fine for late pickup at day-care centers increased late pickups, a case of an incentive changing how people read the situation.
- Is Hospital Competition Socially Wasteful? (Kessler and McClellan, 2000). Asks whether competition among hospitals is socially wasteful, a measured case of how competition bears on quality in a safety-critical service.
- Does competition between hospitals improve the quality of care? (Propper et al., 2004). Asks whether competition between hospitals in England's internal market improved quality, measured by hospital death rates.
- The Hidden Costs of Control (Falk and Kosfeld, 2006). An experiment in which a principal's choice to restrict an agent's options lowered the agent's effort, evidence that control itself can crowd out motivation.
- Navigating the Jagged Technological Frontier: Field Experimental Evidence of the Effects of Artificial Intelligence on Knowledge Worker Productivity and Quality (Dell'Acqua et al., 2023). A field experiment with consultants finding gains on tasks inside the AI's capability and losses on a task just outside it.
- Algorithmic Collusion by Large Language Models (Fish et al., 2024). Reports that pricing agents built on language models reach supracompetitive prices in repeated oligopoly experiments without being told to collude.
- Generative AI at Work (Brynjolfsson et al., 2025). Measures the rollout of an AI assistant to customer-support agents, with the largest productivity gains for the least experienced workers.
- The emergence of economic rationality of GPT (Chen et al., 2023c). Tests GPT on budgetary choice tasks and finds choices largely consistent with utility maximization, evidence about whether language models behave as coherent economic agents.
- Large Language Models as Simulated Economic Agents: What Can We Learn from Homo Silicus? (Horton et al., 2023). Proposes using language models as simulated economic agents and reproduces classic behavioral experiments, raising the question of whose preferences such agents carry.
- An Economy of AI Agents (Hadfield and Koh, 2025). Surveys the economics of autonomous AI agents as market participants and lays out questions about how they will interact, contract, and be governed.
- The Coasean Singularity? Demand, Supply, and Market Design with AI Agents (Shahidi et al., 2025). Analyzes how AI agents acting for buyers and sellers lower transaction costs and what that implies for market design, demand, and supply.
- Virtual Agent Economies (Tomasev et al., 2025). Proposes the 'sandbox economy' frame for agent markets and argues for designing their permeability and mechanisms (auctions, missions) to steer agent economies.
- Artificial Intelligence and Jobs: Evidence from Online Vacancies (Acemoglu et al., 2022). Uses online vacancy data to show AI-exposed establishments changed skill demands and reduced non-AI hiring, with no detectable aggregate employment effect.
- Large Language Models, Small Labor Market Effects (Humlum and Vestergaard, 2025). Links administrative labor-market data to surveys of chatbot adoption and finds small effects on earnings and hours, early evidence against rapid displacement by language models.
- Does Machine Learning Automate Moral Hazard and Error? (Mullainathan and Obermeyer, 2017). Shows that a model trained on physicians' decisions learns their errors and biases, so machine learning on human labels can automate the principal's agency problem instead of solving it.
- An AI Race for Strategic Advantage (Cave and ÓhÉigeartaigh, 2018). Argues that framing AI as a race for strategic advantage is itself a risk because it encourages cutting corners on safety and forecloses cooperation (maintenance under competition).
- Reliance on metrics is a fundamental challenge for AI (Thomas and Uminsky, 2022). Argues from case studies that over-reliance on metrics is a basic problem for deployed AI and proposes mitigations such as multiple metrics and qualitative accounts.
- Goodhart's Law and Machine Learning: a Structural Perspective (Hennessy and Goodhart, 2023). Gives a structural economic model of Goodhart's law for machine learning in which agents manipulate features a classifier uses, and derives when prediction degrades.
- On Goodhart's law, with an application to value alignment (El-Mhamdi and Hoang, 2024). Formalizes Goodhart's law in terms of the tail behavior of the gap between proxy and goal, and applies it to value alignment to characterize when proxy optimization fails.
- Beyond Revealed Preference: Choice-Theoretic Foundations for Behavioral Welfare Economics * (Bernheim and Rangel, 2009). Extends welfare analysis to choices that violate standard consistency by treating choice in each frame as data, a direct treatment of how to infer what people want when their choices disagree.
- Pause Giant AI Experiments: An Open Letter (Future of Life Institute, 2023). The open letter calling on all AI laboratories to pause training of systems more powerful than GPT-4 for six months, the most prominent public demand for coordinated restraint (maintenance under competition).
- Climate Clubs: Overcoming Free-riding in International Climate Policy (Nordhaus, 2015). Proposes clubs that penalize nonmembers to overcome free riding in climate agreements, the model for compute or market-access clubs in AI governance (maintenance under competition).
- Hierarchies and Bureaucracies: On the Role of Collusion in Organizations (Tirole, 1986). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Menu Auctions, Resource Allocation, and Economic Influence (Bernheim and Whinston, 1986b). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Internal Organization of Government (Tirole, 1994). Applies agency theory to government, stressing multiple principals, multiple tasks, and capture, the bridge from contract theory to the laboratory as an agent of the public.
- The Making of Economic Policy (Dixit, 1996). Treats economic policymaking as a transaction-cost politics problem with many principals, imperfect commitment, and incomplete contracts, a book-length application of common agency to government that maps onto the governance of developers.
- Power of Incentives in Private versus Public Organizations (Dixit, 1997). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Incentives and Organizations in the Public Sector: An Interpretative Review (Dixit, 2002). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Revelation and Delegation Principles in Common Agency Games (Martimort and Stole2, 2002). Establishes which versions of the revelation principle survive in common agency games, the technical conditions under which multi-principal contracting can be analyzed with standard mechanism design tools.
- Multi-Principal Assistance Games (Fickinger et al., 2020a). Extends assistance games to an agent serving several humans with different payoffs and shows that social-choice impossibility results and strategic behavior by principals complicate learning their preferences, the AI form of common agency.
- Multi-Principal Assistance Games: Definition and Collegial Mechanisms (Fickinger et al., 2020b). Shows that a sufficiently collegial preference-inference mechanism can sidestep Gibbard's theorem in multi-principal assistance games, a positive result on serving many principals at once.
- Competition and Innovation: an Inverted-U Relationship (Aghion et al., 2005). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- AI Foundation Models: Initial report (Competition and Markets Authority, 2023). The UK Competition and Markets Authority's review of foundation model markets, which proposes principles to guide competitive foundation model markets and protect consumers (maintenance under competition).
- Principal-Agent Reinforcement Learning: Orchestrating AI Agents with Contracts (Ivanov et al., 2024). Combines principal-agent contract theory with reinforcement learning so a principal can steer learning agents through outcome-contingent payments in Markov games.
- Cooperation and Control in Delegation Games (Sourbut et al., 2024). Defines delegation games in which principals act through AI agents, and separates alignment (agent-principal) from capability and cooperation failures among principals.
- The AI Dilemma: Growth versus Existential Risk (Jones, 2024). Models the trade-off between AI-driven growth and existential risk and shows how risk aversion and the value of life determine optimal use, an economist's statement of the safety-capability trade.
- Why Are There Still So Many Jobs? The History and Future of Workplace Automation (Autor, 2015). Explains why automation has historically complemented labor and polarized employment, the baseline against which claims of AI-driven displacement are judged.
- Automation and New Tasks: How Technology Displaces and Reinstates Labor (Acemoglu and Restrepo, 2019). Task-based framework in which automation displaces labor from tasks while new tasks reinstate it; the standard model for reasoning about AI's labor effects.
- Economic Welfare and the Allocation of Resources for Invention (Arrow, 1962). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Artificial Intelligence and Economic Growth (Aghion et al., 2017). Studies AI in growth models, including Baumol-style bottlenecks and the conditions for explosive growth or a singularity, a foundation of the transformative-AI growth literature. Cited as the NBER working paper because the Crossref search returned only that version.
- Artificial Intelligence and Its Implications for Income Distribution and Unemployment (Korinek and Stiglitz, 2019). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Turing Trap: The Promise & Peril of Human-Like Artificial Intelligence (Brynjolfsson, 2022). Argues that pursuing human-like AI that substitutes for workers, rather than augments them, concentrates economic and political power, a distributional argument about what AI should be aimed at.
- Explosive growth from AI automation: A review of the arguments (Erdil and Besiroglu, 2023). Reviews the arguments for and against explosive growth from AI automation and assesses the main bottleneck objections.
- Scenarios for the Transition to AGI (Korinek and Suh, 2024). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The simple macroeconomics of AI (Acemoglu, 2025). Uses a task-based model to bound AI's macroeconomic effect over a decade and finds modest total factor productivity gains, a key skeptical estimate in the growth debate.
- Economic Growth Under Transformative AI (Trammell and Korinek, 2026). Reviews growth theory under transformative AI, including automation of research and the conditions for accelerating growth.
- But Who Will Guard the Guardians? (Hurwicz, 2008). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Back to Bentham? Explorations of Experienced Utility (Kahneman et al., 1997). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Is More Information Better? The Effects of “Report Cards” on Health Care Providers (Dranove et al., 2003). Finds that public health care report cards led providers to select healthier patients, improving measured outcomes while reducing welfare, a case of optimizing the evaluation rather than the goal.
- Rotten Apples: An Investigation of the Prevalence and Predictors of Teacher Cheating (Jacob and Levitt, 2003). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- An Empirical Investigation of Gaming Responses to Explicit Performance Incentives (Courty and Marschke, 2004). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Economics and Identity* (Akerlof and Kranton, 2000). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Incentives in Organizations (Gibbons, 1998). Accessible survey of agency theory, multitask, and relational contracts that connects formal incentive models to observed dysfunctions in firms.
- The Provision of Incentives in Firms (Prendergast, 1999). Standard review of the empirical and theoretical literature on incentives in firms, including the evidence that agents respond to what is measured rather than what is intended.
- A Formal Theory of the Employment Relationship (Simon, 1951). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Property Rights and the Nature of the Firm (Hart and Moore, 1990). Generalizes residual control rights to many agents and assets, showing how ownership of critical assets shapes investment when contracts are incomplete.
- Incomplete Contracts and Control (Hart, 2017). Hart's Nobel lecture reviewing incomplete contracting, control rights, and contracts as reference points; a compact entry to the field the alignment literature borrows from.
- Consequences of Misaligned AI (Zhuang and Hadfield-Menell, 2020). Proves that optimizing a proxy that omits attributes of the true utility drives the omitted attributes to arbitrarily bad values under general conditions, a formal Goodhart result for AI objectives.
- Bayesian Persuasion (Kamenica and Gentzkow, 2011). Shows how a sender who commits to an information structure can shift a Bayesian receiver's actions without lying, the formal model of persuasion through selective disclosure.
- Job Market Signaling (Spence, 1973). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Use of Knowledge in Society (Hayek, 1996). Argues that knowledge relevant to economic decisions is dispersed and local, so no central planner can specify optimal action, an early statement of the limits of centralized specification.
- Market Structure and Innovation (Loury, 1979). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Uncertainty, Industrial Structure, and the Speed of R&D (Dasgupta and Stiglitz, 1980). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Racing with Uncertainty (Harris and Vickers, 1987). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Market Concentration Implications of Foundation Models (Vipra and Korinek, 2023). Analyzes economies of scale and scope in foundation models and argues that market concentration is likely, with implications for systemic risk and regulation (maintenance under competition).
- Concentrating Intelligence: Scaling and Market Structure in Artificial Intelligence (Korinek and Vipra, 2024). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Mechanism Design: How to Implement Social Goals (Maskin, 2008). Maskin's Nobel lecture on implementation theory: designing institutions whose equilibria realize a social goal when the designer does not know agents' preferences.
- Technology Roulette: Managing Loss of Control as Many Militaries Pursue Technological Superiority (Danzig, 2018). Argues that the pursuit of technological superiority by many militaries creates a shared risk of losing control of their own systems and recommends joint planning against accidents (maintenance under competition).
- Motivation Crowding Theory (Frey and Jegen, 2001). Surveys the evidence that external interventions perceived as controlling crowd out intrinsic motivation while those perceived as supportive crowd it in, the empirical base for the claim that incentives can erode the motivation they target.
- Intrinsic and Extrinsic Motivation (Benabou and Tirole, 2003). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Motivation and Bias of Bureaucrats (Prendergast, 2007). Shows that when effort is hard to monitor organizations should employ bureaucrats with biased preferences, often biased against their clients rather than toward them, and that self-selection need not produce the right bias, a result on selecting agents by motivation rather than by shared goals.
- AI Safety Index: Summer 2025 (Future of Life Institute, 2025). An advocacy organization's expert-panel grades of leading developers' safety practices, an outside rating to set beside developers' self-reports and to read with its own provenance.
- Distortion and Risk in Optimal Incentive Contracts (Baker, 2002). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Tyranny of Metrics (Muller, 2018). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Performative Prediction (Perdomo et al., 2020). Formalizes predictions that change the distribution they predict and gives conditions for stable retraining, a learning-theoretic version of the Lucas critique.
- Pay For Performance and Beyond (Holmström, 2017). Holmstrom's Nobel lecture tracing how moral hazard theory moved from pay-for-performance to the conclusion that weak, multidimensional incentives are often optimal when measurement is partial.
- Dissecting racial bias in an algorithm used to manage the health of populations (Obermeyer et al., 2019). Shows that a widely used health algorithm predicted cost as a proxy for need and thereby under-served Black patients; a documented case of proxy-label misspecification at scale.
- Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead (Aschenbrenner, 2024). Argues that AGI within the decade makes a national-security race with China and a government-led project likely, an influential primary statement of the race framing that the book's competition chapter must engage (maintenance under competition).
- AI 2027 (Kokotajlo et al., 2025). Presents a quantified scenario in which competition between US and Chinese developers drives automated AI research and determines whether misalignment is caught, the most widely read race scenario (maintenance under competition).
- A Note on the Pure Theory of Consumer's Behaviour (Samuelson, 1938). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Robustness and Linear Contracts (Carroll, 2015). Shows that linear contracts are max-min optimal when the principal does not know the agent's full action set, a result about designing incentives that remain safe against unanticipated strategies.
- Strategic Classification (Hardt et al., 2016). Models classification as a game in which individuals alter features at a cost to obtain a favorable decision, the computational form of Goodhart pressure on a learned rule.
- How Do Classifiers Induce Agents to Invest Effort Strategically? (Kleinberg and Raghavan, 2020). Asks when an evaluation rule induces agents to invest in effort that improves the true outcome rather than in gaming, and characterizes rules that do.
- Strategic Information Transmission (Crawford and Sobel, 1982). Proves that a better-informed sender whose interests differ from the receiver's can communicate only coarse information in equilibrium; the economic model of why misaligned advisers are imprecise.
- Subjective Performance Measures in Optimal Incentive Contracts (Baker et al., 1994). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Disclosure Laws and Takeover Bids (Grossman and Hart, 1980). Gives an early version of the unraveling argument, that a party with verifiable private information discloses it because silence is read as bad news, the baseline the later partial-disclosure results depart from.
- Disclosure When the Market Is Unsure of Information Endowment of Managers (Jung and Kwon, 1988). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Information asymmetry, corporate disclosure, and the capital markets: A review of the empirical disclosure literature (Healy and Palepu, 2001). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- What the Seller Won't Tell You: Persuasion and Disclosure in Markets (Milgrom, 2008). Accessible review of the persuasion and disclosure literature, explaining when skeptical receivers force full disclosure and when they cannot, a reading guide for claims of safety made by developers.
- Quality Disclosure and Certification: Theory and Practice (Dranove and Jin, 2010). Reviews theory and evidence on quality disclosure and certification, including why sellers do not unravel and when mandated disclosure helps, the standard survey for reading voluntary reports by the party being judged.
- The Vulnerable World Hypothesis (Bostrom, 2019). Argues that some technologies may make civilizational devastation easy by default and that avoiding it could require unprecedented preventive policing or global governance, the hardest version of the restraint problem (maintenance under competition).
- Preference, Value, Choice, and Welfare (Hausman, 2011). Philosophical analysis of the concept of preference in economics, arguing preferences are total subjective comparative evaluations and that welfare cannot be read off choice alone.
Sources cited in Section F.25 121
- Simon (1955) A Behavioral Model of Rational Choice
- Akerlof (1970) The Market for "Lemons": Quality Uncertainty and the Market Mechanism
- Kerr (1975) On the Folly of Rewarding A, While Hoping for B.
- Jensen and Meckling (1976) Theory of the firm: Managerial behavior, agency costs and ownership structure
- Lucas (1976) Econometric policy evaluation: A critique
- Campbell (1979) Assessing the impact of planned social change
- Holmstrom (1979) Moral Hazard and Observability
- Kahneman and Tversky (1979) Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk
- Myerson (1979) Incentive Compatibility and the Bargaining Problem
- Goodhart (1984) Problems of Monetary Management: The UK Experience
- Dye (1985) Disclosure of Nonproprietary Information
- Bernheim and Whinston (1986a) Common Agency
- Grossman and Hart (1986) The Costs and Benefits of Ownership: A Theory of Vertical and Lateral Integration
- Holmstrom and Milgrom (1987) Aggregation and Linearity in the Provision of Intertemporal Incentives
- Holmstrom and Milgrom (1991) Multitask Principal–Agent Analyses: Incentive Contracts, Asset Ownership, and Job Design
- Baker (1992) Incentive Contracts and Performance Measurement
- Dixit et al. (1997) Common Agency and Coordination: General Theory and Application to Government Policy Making
- Strathern (1997) ‘Improving ratings’: audit in the British University system
- Akerlof and Kranton (2005) Identity and the Economics of Organizations
- Besley and Ghatak (2005) Competition and Incentives with Motivated Agents
- Egorov and Sonin (2011) Dictators and Their Viziers: Endogenizing the Loyalty-competence Trade-off
- Manheim and Garrabrant (2018) Categorizing Variants of Goodhart's Law
- Hadfield-Menell and Hadfield (2019) Incomplete Contracting and AI Alignment
- Hurwicz (2022) The Design of Mechanisms for Resource Allocation
- Korinek and Balwit (2023) Aligned with Whom?
- Hirschman (1970) Exit, Voice, and Loyalty: Responses to Decline in Firms, Organizations, and States
- Kydland and Prescott (1977) Rules Rather than Discretion: The Inconsistency of Optimal Plans
- Machina (1987) Choice Under Uncertainty: Problems Solved and Unsolved
- Rose (1990) Profitability and Product Quality: Economic Determinants of Airline Safety Performance
- Gneezy and Rustichini (2000) A Fine is a Price
- Kessler and McClellan (2000) Is Hospital Competition Socially Wasteful?
- Propper et al. (2004) Does competition between hospitals improve the quality of care?
- Falk and Kosfeld (2006) The Hidden Costs of Control
- Dell'Acqua et al. (2023) Navigating the Jagged Technological Frontier: Field Experimental Evidence of the Effects of Artificial Intelligence on Knowledge Worker Productivity and Quality
- Fish et al. (2024) Algorithmic Collusion by Large Language Models
- Brynjolfsson et al. (2025) Generative AI at Work
- Chen et al. (2023c) The emergence of economic rationality of GPT
- Horton et al. (2023) Large Language Models as Simulated Economic Agents: What Can We Learn from Homo Silicus?
- Hadfield and Koh (2025) An Economy of AI Agents
- Shahidi et al. (2025) The Coasean Singularity? Demand, Supply, and Market Design with AI Agents
- Tomasev et al. (2025) Virtual Agent Economies
- Acemoglu et al. (2022) Artificial Intelligence and Jobs: Evidence from Online Vacancies
- Humlum and Vestergaard (2025) Large Language Models, Small Labor Market Effects
- Mullainathan and Obermeyer (2017) Does Machine Learning Automate Moral Hazard and Error?
- Cave and ÓhÉigeartaigh (2018) An AI Race for Strategic Advantage
- Thomas and Uminsky (2022) Reliance on metrics is a fundamental challenge for AI
- Hennessy and Goodhart (2023) Goodhart's Law and Machine Learning: a Structural Perspective
- El-Mhamdi and Hoang (2024) On Goodhart's law, with an application to value alignment
- Bernheim and Rangel (2009) Beyond Revealed Preference: Choice-Theoretic Foundations for Behavioral Welfare Economics *
- Future of Life Institute (2023) Pause Giant AI Experiments: An Open Letter
- Nordhaus (2015) Climate Clubs: Overcoming Free-riding in International Climate Policy
- Tirole (1986) Hierarchies and Bureaucracies: On the Role of Collusion in Organizations
- Bernheim and Whinston (1986b) Menu Auctions, Resource Allocation, and Economic Influence
- Tirole (1994) The Internal Organization of Government
- Dixit (1996) The Making of Economic Policy
- Dixit (1997) Power of Incentives in Private versus Public Organizations
- Dixit (2002) Incentives and Organizations in the Public Sector: An Interpretative Review
- Martimort and Stole2 (2002) The Revelation and Delegation Principles in Common Agency Games
- Fickinger et al. (2020a) Multi-Principal Assistance Games
- Fickinger et al. (2020b) Multi-Principal Assistance Games: Definition and Collegial Mechanisms
- Aghion et al. (2005) Competition and Innovation: an Inverted-U Relationship
- Competition and Markets Authority (2023) AI Foundation Models: Initial report
- Ivanov et al. (2024) Principal-Agent Reinforcement Learning: Orchestrating AI Agents with Contracts
- Sourbut et al. (2024) Cooperation and Control in Delegation Games
- Jones (2024) The AI Dilemma: Growth versus Existential Risk
- Autor (2015) Why Are There Still So Many Jobs? The History and Future of Workplace Automation
- Acemoglu and Restrepo (2019) Automation and New Tasks: How Technology Displaces and Reinstates Labor
- Arrow (1962) Economic Welfare and the Allocation of Resources for Invention
- Aghion et al. (2017) Artificial Intelligence and Economic Growth
- Korinek and Stiglitz (2019) Artificial Intelligence and Its Implications for Income Distribution and Unemployment
- Brynjolfsson (2022) The Turing Trap: The Promise & Peril of Human-Like Artificial Intelligence
- Erdil and Besiroglu (2023) Explosive growth from AI automation: A review of the arguments
- Korinek and Suh (2024) Scenarios for the Transition to AGI
- Acemoglu (2025) The simple macroeconomics of AI
- Trammell and Korinek (2026) Economic Growth Under Transformative AI
- Hurwicz (2008) But Who Will Guard the Guardians?
- Kahneman et al. (1997) Back to Bentham? Explorations of Experienced Utility
- Dranove et al. (2003) Is More Information Better? The Effects of “Report Cards” on Health Care Providers
- Jacob and Levitt (2003) Rotten Apples: An Investigation of the Prevalence and Predictors of Teacher Cheating
- Courty and Marschke (2004) An Empirical Investigation of Gaming Responses to Explicit Performance Incentives
- Akerlof and Kranton (2000) Economics and Identity*
- Gibbons (1998) Incentives in Organizations
- Prendergast (1999) The Provision of Incentives in Firms
- Simon (1951) A Formal Theory of the Employment Relationship
- Hart and Moore (1990) Property Rights and the Nature of the Firm
- Hart (2017) Incomplete Contracts and Control
- Zhuang and Hadfield-Menell (2020) Consequences of Misaligned AI
- Kamenica and Gentzkow (2011) Bayesian Persuasion
- Spence (1973) Job Market Signaling
- Hayek (1996) The Use of Knowledge in Society
- Loury (1979) Market Structure and Innovation
- Dasgupta and Stiglitz (1980) Uncertainty, Industrial Structure, and the Speed of R&D
- Harris and Vickers (1987) Racing with Uncertainty
- Vipra and Korinek (2023) Market Concentration Implications of Foundation Models
- Korinek and Vipra (2024) Concentrating Intelligence: Scaling and Market Structure in Artificial Intelligence
- Maskin (2008) Mechanism Design: How to Implement Social Goals
- Danzig (2018) Technology Roulette: Managing Loss of Control as Many Militaries Pursue Technological Superiority
- Frey and Jegen (2001) Motivation Crowding Theory
- Benabou and Tirole (2003) Intrinsic and Extrinsic Motivation
- Prendergast (2007) The Motivation and Bias of Bureaucrats
- Future of Life Institute (2025) AI Safety Index: Summer 2025
- Baker (2002) Distortion and Risk in Optimal Incentive Contracts
- Muller (2018) The Tyranny of Metrics
- Perdomo et al. (2020) Performative Prediction
- Holmström (2017) Pay For Performance and Beyond
- Obermeyer et al. (2019) Dissecting racial bias in an algorithm used to manage the health of populations
- Aschenbrenner (2024) Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead
- Kokotajlo et al. (2025) AI 2027
- Samuelson (1938) A Note on the Pure Theory of Consumer's Behaviour
- Carroll (2015) Robustness and Linear Contracts
- Hardt et al. (2016) Strategic Classification
- Kleinberg and Raghavan (2020) How Do Classifiers Induce Agents to Invest Effort Strategically?
- Crawford and Sobel (1982) Strategic Information Transmission
- Baker et al. (1994) Subjective Performance Measures in Optimal Incentive Contracts
- Grossman and Hart (1980) Disclosure Laws and Takeover Bids
- Jung and Kwon (1988) Disclosure When the Market Is Unsure of Information Endowment of Managers
- Healy and Palepu (2001) Information asymmetry, corporate disclosure, and the capital markets: A review of the empirical disclosure literature
- Milgrom (2008) What the Seller Won't Tell You: Persuasion and Disclosure in Markets
- Dranove and Jin (2010) Quality Disclosure and Certification: Theory and Practice
- Bostrom (2019) The Vulnerable World Hypothesis
- Hausman (2011) Preference, Value, Choice, and Welfare
F.26 Fault-tolerant and verifiable computing #
Spine.
- The Byzantine Generals Problem (Lamport et al., 1982). Proves that agreement among components some of which are arbitrarily faulty or malicious is possible only if fewer than a third are faulty (without signatures), a bound on agreement, not on detection, that applies to oversight only where monitors must agree by relaying one another's verdicts.
- Proof-carrying code (Necula, 1997). Introduces proof-carrying code, in which untrusted code ships with a proof of safety that the host checks cheaply, the certificate model behind prover-verifier games and debate where checking is easier than finding.
Side reading.
- Reaching Agreement in the Presence of Faults (Pease et al., 1980). Proves that agreement among processors some of which are faulty is possible only if fewer than a third are faulty when messages are unsigned, the original statement of the Byzantine agreement bound.
- Conceptual modeling of coincident failures in multiversion software (Littlewood and Miller, 1989). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The N-Version Approach to Fault-Tolerant Software (Avizienis, 1985). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Modeling software design diversity (Littlewood et al., 2001). Reviews models of design diversity and coincident failure, explaining why diverse versions fail together more often than independence predicts and when forced diversity helps, the standard reference for the independence of redundant checks.
- Trading group theory for randomness (Babai, 1985). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Probabilistic Logics and the Synthesis of Reliable Organisms From Unreliable Components (Neumann, 1956). Shows how reliable computation can be built from unreliable components through redundancy and majority organs, the founding statement of reliability from redundancy and of its dependence on independent failure.
- Pinocchio: Nearly Practical Verifiable Computation (Parno et al., 2013). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Verifying computations without reexecuting them (Walfish and Blumberg, 2015). Surveys verifiable computation systems that let a client check a server's results without re-executing them, and their large overheads, the state of the art for verifying an untrusted computer's output.
- zkLLM: Zero Knowledge Proofs for Large Language Models (Sun et al., 2024b). Builds zero-knowledge proofs of correct inference for large language models, showing that a provider can prove which model produced an output without revealing weights, a tool for verifying claims about deployed models.
Sources cited in Section F.26 11
- Lamport et al. (1982) The Byzantine Generals Problem
- Necula (1997) Proof-carrying code
- Pease et al. (1980) Reaching Agreement in the Presence of Faults
- Littlewood and Miller (1989) Conceptual modeling of coincident failures in multiversion software
- Avizienis (1985) The N-Version Approach to Fault-Tolerant Software
- Littlewood et al. (2001) Modeling software design diversity
- Babai (1985) Trading group theory for randomness
- Neumann (1956) Probabilistic Logics and the Synthesis of Reliable Organisms From Unreliable Components
- Parno et al. (2013) Pinocchio: Nearly Practical Verifiable Computation
- Walfish and Blumberg (2015) Verifying computations without reexecuting them
- Sun et al. (2024b) zkLLM: Zero Knowledge Proofs for Large Language Models
F.27 Finance and insurance #
Spine.
- Supervisory Letter SR 11-7 on guidance on Model Risk Management (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 2011). US supervisory guidance expecting model validation independent of development, 'effective challenge' by people with competence, influence, and incentive to challenge, and ongoing monitoring, the first supervisory regime for opaque models in production (superseded in 2026 by SR 26-2).
- Outsourcing Regulation: How Insurance Reduces Moral Hazard (Ben-Shahar and Logue, 2012). Argues that insurers act as private regulators by pricing risk, monitoring the insured, and conditioning coverage on precautions, the mechanism by which mandated insurance could turn AI liability into ongoing oversight.
Side reading.
- Insuring AI: The Role of Insurance in Artificial Intelligence Regulation (Lior, 2022). Argues that insurance can serve as a regulatory tool for AI by spreading losses and imposing safety requirements through underwriting, a direct application of insurance-as-regulation to artificial intelligence.
- The emperor has no clothes: Limits to risk modelling (Danı́elsson, 2002). Argues that risk models fail precisely in crises because market participants react to the same models, making risk endogenous, an account of why a model validated in calm conditions misleads under pressure.
- ‘The formula that killed Wall Street’: The Gaussian copula and modelling practices in investment banking (MacKenzie and Spears, 2014). Traces how the Gaussian copula became a shared modeling practice in investment banking and contributed to correlated misjudgment of credit risk, a case of a common model creating correlated failure across institutions.
- Supervisory Letter SR 26-2 on Revised Guidance on Model Risk Management (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System et al., 2026). Replaces SR 11-7 with a risk-based model risk guidance that sets no enforceable standards and explicitly places generative and agentic AI models outside its scope, the current regulatory position on supervising AI models in banking.
- On Moral Hazard and Insurance (Shavell, 1979). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The economics of moral hazard: comment (Pauly, 1982). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- An Engine, Not a Camera (MacKenzie, 2006). Argues that financial models are an engine, not a camera: they reshape the markets they describe, performativity at institutional scale and the counterpart of performative prediction.
- Insurer ambiguity and market failure (Kunreuther et al., 1993). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Catastrophe Insurance, Capital Markets, and Uninsurable Risks (Jaffee and Russell, 1997). Explains why catastrophe risks are hard to insure privately (capital requirements, correlated losses, accounting rules), the reason correlated catastrophic AI risk may be uninsurable without the state.
Sources cited in Section F.27 11
- Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (2011) Supervisory Letter SR 11-7 on guidance on Model Risk Management
- Ben-Shahar and Logue (2012) Outsourcing Regulation: How Insurance Reduces Moral Hazard
- Lior (2022) Insuring AI: The Role of Insurance in Artificial Intelligence Regulation
- Danı́elsson (2002) The emperor has no clothes: Limits to risk modelling
- MacKenzie and Spears (2014) ‘The formula that killed Wall Street’: The Gaussian copula and modelling practices in investment banking
- Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System et al. (2026) Supervisory Letter SR 26-2 on Revised Guidance on Model Risk Management
- Shavell (1979) On Moral Hazard and Insurance
- Pauly (1982) The economics of moral hazard: comment
- MacKenzie (2006) An Engine, Not a Camera
- Kunreuther et al. (1993) Insurer ambiguity and market failure
- Jaffee and Russell (1997) Catastrophe Insurance, Capital Markets, and Uninsurable Risks
F.28 Forecasting, expert judgment, and climate assessment #
Spine.
- Verification of Forecasts Expressed in Terms of Probability (Brier, 1950). Proposes a score for probability forecasts, the mean squared difference between forecast probabilities and outcomes, the standard proper scoring rule for evaluating calibrated predictions.
- Expert political judgment: how good is it? How can we know? (Tetlock, 2005). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The IPCC AR5 guidance note on consistent treatment of uncertainties: a common approach across the working groups (Mastrandrea et al., 2011). Describes the IPCC's calibrated language, separating confidence (from evidence and agreement) from likelihood (probability ranges), a template for stating the evidential status of alignment claims consistently.
- Psychological Strategies for Winning a Geopolitical Forecasting Tournament (Mellers et al., 2014). Reports a geopolitical forecasting tournament in which training in probabilistic reasoning, working in teams, and tracking and selecting the best forecasters each improved accuracy, evidence that judgment about uncertain futures can be measured and improved.
Side reading.
- A New Vector Partition of the Probability Score (Murphy, 1973). Splits the Brier score into reliability, resolution, and uncertainty, the decomposition behind calibration analysis.
- Procedures for the Preparation, Review, Acceptance, Adoption, Approval and Publication of IPCC Reports (Appendix A to the Principles Governing IPCC Work) (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2013). The IPCC's own procedures, including line-by-line approval of the Summary for Policymakers by governments and the review stages of an assessment.
- Thousands of AI Authors on the Future of AI (Grace et al., 2024). The largest survey of AI researchers' forecasts and risk estimates, evidence of how widely they disagree.
- The errors, insights and lessons of famous AI predictions – and what they mean for the future (Armstrong et al., 2014). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- An analysis and evaluation of methods currently used to quantify the likelihood of existential hazards (Beard et al., 2020). Evaluates the methods used to quantify the likelihood of existential hazards, from modeling to expert elicitation and aggregation, and their characteristic weaknesses.
- Forecasting AI Progress: Evidence from a Survey of Machine Learning Researchers (Zhang et al., 2022). Survey of machine learning researchers, fielded in 2019 and recontacting respondents of an earlier survey, on forecasts of near-term AI milestones and human-level machine intelligence.
- Subjective-probability forecasts of existential risk: Initial results from a hybrid persuasion-forecasting tournament (Karger et al., 2025). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Improving Communication of Uncertainty in the Reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Budescu et al., 2009). Shows that readers interpret the IPCC's verbal probability terms far less extremely than intended, and that adding numerical ranges improves agreement, evidence on how calibrated language is actually read.
- Guidance Note for Lead Authors of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report on Consistent Treatment of Uncertainties (Mastrandrea et al., 2010). The guidance note itself, setting the confidence and likelihood scales lead authors must use, the primary document behind calibrated uncertainty language in scientific assessments.
- Clinical versus statistical prediction: A theoretical analysis and a review of the evidence. (Meehl, 1954). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Climate change prediction: Erring on the side of least drama? (Brysse et al., 2013). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Use (and abuse) of expert elicitation in support of decision making for public policy (Morgan, 2014). Reviews when and how expert elicitation can inform policy decisions under deep uncertainty and the biases a careful elicitation must address.
- Conditions for intuitive expertise: A failure to disagree. (Kahneman and Klein, 2009). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- On Modeling and Interpreting the Economics of Catastrophic Climate Change (Weitzman, 2009). Shows that with fat-tailed uncertainty about catastrophic outcomes, expected-cost analysis can be dominated by the tail (the dismal theorem), a formal argument for weighting low-probability catastrophe.
- The Economics of Tail Events with an Application to Climate Change (Nordhaus, 2011). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Approaching Human-Level Forecasting with Language Models (Halawi et al., 2024a). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- ForecastBench: A Dynamic Benchmark of AI Forecasting Capabilities (Karger et al., 2024). Introduces ForecastBench, a continuously updated benchmark of questions about events unresolved at submission time, which removes data leakage and compares language models with expert forecasters and the public.
- Wisdom of the silicon crowd: LLM ensemble prediction capabilities rival human crowd accuracy (Schoenegger et al., 2024). Finds that an ensemble of 12 language models was statistically indistinguishable from a crowd of 925 human forecasters on a real tournament's questions and that model forecasts improved when shown the human median.
- Identifying and Cultivating Superforecasters as a Method of Improving Probabilistic Predictions (Mellers et al., 2015). Shows that the top forecasters culled each year into elite teams stayed accurate across hundreds of questions, defying regression to the mean, and attributes their performance to ability, skill, motivation, and team environment.
- Superforecasting: the art and science of prediction (Tetlock and Gardner, 2015). Describes the forecasters who were most accurate in a multiyear geopolitical forecasting tournament and the habits and methods associated with their accuracy.
- Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980 (Lichtenstein et al., 1982). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
Sources cited in Section F.28 25
- Brier (1950) Verification of Forecasts Expressed in Terms of Probability
- Tetlock (2005) Expert political judgment: how good is it? How can we know?
- Mastrandrea et al. (2011) The IPCC AR5 guidance note on consistent treatment of uncertainties: a common approach across the working groups
- Mellers et al. (2014) Psychological Strategies for Winning a Geopolitical Forecasting Tournament
- Murphy (1973) A New Vector Partition of the Probability Score
- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2013) Procedures for the Preparation, Review, Acceptance, Adoption, Approval and Publication of IPCC Reports (Appendix A to the Principles Governing IPCC Work)
- Grace et al. (2024) Thousands of AI Authors on the Future of AI
- Armstrong et al. (2014) The errors, insights and lessons of famous AI predictions – and what they mean for the future
- Beard et al. (2020) An analysis and evaluation of methods currently used to quantify the likelihood of existential hazards
- Zhang et al. (2022) Forecasting AI Progress: Evidence from a Survey of Machine Learning Researchers
- Karger et al. (2025) Subjective-probability forecasts of existential risk: Initial results from a hybrid persuasion-forecasting tournament
- Budescu et al. (2009) Improving Communication of Uncertainty in the Reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
- Mastrandrea et al. (2010) Guidance Note for Lead Authors of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report on Consistent Treatment of Uncertainties
- Meehl (1954) Clinical versus statistical prediction: A theoretical analysis and a review of the evidence.
- Brysse et al. (2013) Climate change prediction: Erring on the side of least drama?
- Morgan (2014) Use (and abuse) of expert elicitation in support of decision making for public policy
- Kahneman and Klein (2009) Conditions for intuitive expertise: A failure to disagree.
- Weitzman (2009) On Modeling and Interpreting the Economics of Catastrophic Climate Change
- Nordhaus (2011) The Economics of Tail Events with an Application to Climate Change
- Halawi et al. (2024a) Approaching Human-Level Forecasting with Language Models
- Karger et al. (2024) ForecastBench: A Dynamic Benchmark of AI Forecasting Capabilities
- Schoenegger et al. (2024) Wisdom of the silicon crowd: LLM ensemble prediction capabilities rival human crowd accuracy
- Mellers et al. (2015) Identifying and Cultivating Superforecasters as a Method of Improving Probabilistic Predictions
- Tetlock and Gardner (2015) Superforecasting: the art and science of prediction
- Lichtenstein et al. (1982) Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980
F.29 Game theory and the economics of races #
Spine.
- The Logic of Collective Action (Olson, 1965). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Governing the Commons (Ostrom, 1990). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Racing to the precipice: a model of artificial intelligence development (Armstrong et al., 2016). Models teams racing to build AI who trade safety for speed and shows that more teams, more information about rivals' capabilities, and higher enmity all reduce safety investment, the founding formal model of an AI race (maintenance under competition).
- The Role of Cooperation in Responsible AI Development (Askell et al., 2019). Argues that competition can push developers to underinvest in safety and identifies the factors that make cooperation on responsible development more likely (high trust, shared gains, low exposure, and high advantage to cooperation), the main analysis of conditions for restraint among developers (maintenance under competition).
Side reading.
- Program equilibrium (Tennenholtz, 2004). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- To Regulate or Not: A Social Dynamics Analysis of an Idealised AI Race (Han et al., 2020). Uses evolutionary game theory to show that regulating an AI race helps only when the race is long, and can hurt when the race is short, a result about when intervention pays (maintenance under competition).
- Voluntary safety commitments provide an escape from over-regulation in AI development (Han et al., 2022). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Uncertainty, Information, and Risk in International Technology Races (Emery-Xu et al., 2024). Models international technology races with uncertainty about rivals and shows how information and risk shape safety choices, a recent formal treatment of state-level AI competition (maintenance under competition).
- The Tragedy of the Commons (Hardin, 1968). Argues that individually rational use of a shared resource leads to its ruin absent coercion or property rights, the common frame for safety as a shared good eroded by competition (maintenance under competition).
- The Manhattan Trap: Why a Race to Artificial Superintelligence is Self-Defeating (Katzke and Futerman, 2024). Argues that a race to artificial superintelligence is self-defeating because the winner faces loss of control and the race itself raises the risk of great-power conflict (maintenance under competition).
- Superintelligence Strategy: Expert Version (Hendrycks et al., 2025). Proposes Mutual Assured AI Malfunction, a deterrence regime in which any state's bid for unilateral AI dominance is met by sabotage, together with nonproliferation and competitiveness pillars (maintenance under competition).
- The Evolution of Cooperation (Axelrod and Hamilton, 1981). Shows that reciprocity strategies such as tit for tat sustain cooperation in repeated prisoner's dilemmas, the mechanism behind repeated-game arguments for restraint between developers (maintenance under competition).
- Strategic Implications of Openness in AI Development (Bostrom, 2017). Analyzes how openness in AI development (publishing, sharing code and models) affects race dynamics and safety, arguing short-term openness may help while later openness may intensify racing (maintenance under competition).
- Self-Enforcing International Environmental Agreements (Barrett, 1994). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
Sources cited in Section F.29 14
- Olson (1965) The Logic of Collective Action
- Ostrom (1990) Governing the Commons
- Armstrong et al. (2016) Racing to the precipice: a model of artificial intelligence development
- Askell et al. (2019) The Role of Cooperation in Responsible AI Development
- Tennenholtz (2004) Program equilibrium
- Han et al. (2020) To Regulate or Not: A Social Dynamics Analysis of an Idealised AI Race
- Han et al. (2022) Voluntary safety commitments provide an escape from over-regulation in AI development
- Emery-Xu et al. (2024) Uncertainty, Information, and Risk in International Technology Races
- Hardin (1968) The Tragedy of the Commons
- Katzke and Futerman (2024) The Manhattan Trap: Why a Race to Artificial Superintelligence is Self-Defeating
- Hendrycks et al. (2025) Superintelligence Strategy: Expert Version
- Axelrod and Hamilton (1981) The Evolution of Cooperation
- Bostrom (2017) Strategic Implications of Openness in AI Development
- Barrett (1994) Self-Enforcing International Environmental Agreements
F.30 History of technology and its governance #
Spine.
- Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) (United Nations Office for Disarmament Affairs, 1968). The Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (opened for signature 1968, in force 1970), which pairs a bargain between nuclear and non-nuclear states with safeguards inspections, the model for "nonproliferation" of frontier AI capability (maintenance under competition).
- Potential Biohazards of Recombinant DNA Molecules (Berg et al., 1974). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Summary statement of the Asilomar conference on recombinant DNA molecules. (Berg et al., 1975). The Asilomar summary statement that matched containment levels to estimated risk of experiments, the template for risk-tiered safeguards that responsible scaling policies later adopted (maintenance).
- The Social Control of Technology (Collingridge, 1980). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Quest for Artificial Intelligence (Nilsson, 2009). A participant-historian's account of AI from its origins through the 2000s, the standard single-volume history of the field's ideas (history).
- Trust and technology: the social foundations of aviation regulation (Downer, 2010). Shows that aviation regulators certify systems they cannot fully test by relying on manufacturers' own engineers and on trust in their practices, the closest precedent for regulating AI systems whose behavior cannot be exhaustively verified (verification).
- Research Priorities for Robust and Beneficial Artificial Intelligence (Russell et al., 2015). Sets out research directions for keeping AI robust and beneficial as its capabilities grow, an early agenda that brought safety questions into a mainstream AI venue (history).
- International Control of Powerful Technology: Lessons from the Baruch Plan for Nuclear Weapons (Zaidi and Dafoe, 2021). Reconstructs why the Baruch Plan for international control of atomic energy failed (verification, sequencing, and distrust) and draws lessons for international control of powerful AI (maintenance under competition).
Side reading.
- A Proposal for the Dartmouth Summer Research Project on Artificial Intelligence (McCarthy et al., 1955). The 1955 proposal that named the field of artificial intelligence.
- Some Studies in Machine Learning Using the Game of Checkers (Samuel, 1959). A program that learned to play checkers better than its author, the example at the center of the 1960 exchange between Wiener and Samuel.
- Some Moral and Technical Consequences of Automation—A Refutation (Samuel, 1960). Samuel's reply to Wiener, arguing that machines cannot exceed the intentions of their programmers: the first exchange on the control problem.
- Hopes and fears for intelligent machines in fiction and reality (Cave and Dihal, 2019). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- AI Narratives (Cave et al., 2020). An edited history of imaginative writing about intelligent machines from antiquity to the present.
- “737-Cabriolet”: The Limits of Knowledge and the Sociology of Inevitable Failure (Downer, 2011). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Biological Weapons Convention (United Nations Office for Disarmament Affairs, 1972). Prohibition regime without a verification mechanism.
- Chemical Weapons Convention (Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons, 1993). Prohibition regime with a verification annex and inspectorate.
- Report of the Group of Governmental Experts on Developments in the Field of Information and Telecommunications in the Context of International Security (United Nations General Assembly, 2015). The 2015 UN Group of Governmental Experts report that set out voluntary norms of responsible state behavior in cyberspace, the main precedent for norms on state use of AI (maintenance under competition).
- Constructing Norms for Global Cybersecurity (Finnemore and Hollis, 2016). Analyzes how norms for global cybersecurity are constructed (by whom, through what processes, and with what tools), lessons for building AI norms without a treaty (maintenance under competition).
- Deterrence and Dissuasion in Cyberspace (Nye, 2017). Distinguishes four mechanisms of dissuasion in cyberspace (punishment, denial, entanglement, and norms), a toolkit for restraining AI misuse between states (maintenance under competition).
- Biotechnology Research in an Age of Terrorism (National Research Council, 2004). The National Research Council report that defined experiments of concern in the life sciences and recommended expanding existing regulation and relying on self-governance by scientists rather than intrusive new policies, the origin of US dual-use research oversight (maintenance).
- United States Government Policy for Oversight of Dual Use Research of Concern and Pathogens with Enhanced Pandemic Potential (United States Government, 2024). The May 2024 US government policy that brought oversight of federally funded dual-use research of concern and research on pathogens with enhanced pandemic potential under one framework (maintenance).
- The Wassenaar Arrangement On Export Controls for Conventional Arms and Dual-Use Goods and Technologies (Arrangement, 1995). The Wassenaar Arrangement on export controls for conventional arms and dual-use goods and technologies, the multilateral regime within which chip and model export controls sit (maintenance under competition).
- Airborne Transmission of Influenza A/H5N1 Virus Between Ferrets (Herfst et al., 2012). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Ethical Alternatives to Experiments with Novel Potential Pandemic Pathogens (Lipsitch and Galvani, 2014). Argues that experiments creating potential pandemic pathogens fail a risk-benefit test because safer alternatives exist, the ethical argument that parallels debates over training dangerous model organisms (maintenance).
- Improving the Safety and Security of Biological Research (Executive Office of the President, 2025b). The 2025 executive order directing an end to federal funding of dangerous gain-of-function research by foreign entities in countries of concern and a revision or replacement of the 2024 oversight policy, showing how research oversight shifts with administrations (maintenance).
- Artificial Intelligence: A General Survey (Lighthill, 1972). Lighthill's survey of AI commissioned by the UK Science Research Council from an outsider to the field, an early episode in which a public funder sought an independent assessment of AI's progress against its claims (verification).
- The Closed World: Computers and the Politics of Discourse in Cold War America (Edwards, 1996). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Global War for Internet Governance (DeNardis, 2014). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Atoms for Peace speech (Eisenhower, 1953). Proposal that led to the IAEA.
- Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty (Ctbto, 1996). Treaty with an international monitoring system for verification.
- The Acheson-Lilienthal & Baruch Plans, 1946 (Office of the Historian, 1946). The State Department historian's account of the Acheson-Lilienthal report and the Baruch Plan of 1946, the first proposal for international ownership and inspection of a dangerous technology and the precedent most cited for international AI control (maintenance under competition).
- Treaty Banning Nuclear Weapon Tests in the Atmosphere, in Outer Space and Under Water (U.S. Department of State and Compliance, 1963). The 1963 Limited Test Ban Treaty, which banned nuclear tests in the atmosphere, outer space, and under water but not underground, after negotiations in which verifying underground tests was the persistent barrier, a case of scoping an agreement to what can be verified (verification).
- Genetic Alchemy: The Social History of the Recombinant DNA Controversy (Krimsky, 1982). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Asilomar Conference: A Case Study in Risk Mitigation (Grace, 2015). A case study of the Asilomar conference written explicitly to ask what it teaches about mitigating risks from AI, including how uncertain the risks were and how the moratorium ended (maintenance).
- CRISPR Democracy: Gene Editing and the Need for Inclusive Deliberation (Jasanoff et al., 2015). Argues that the Asilomar model of expert self-governance excluded the public and should not be repeated for gene editing, a critique that applies to developer-led AI governance (specification).
- Statement: The Russell-Einstein Manifesto (Russell and Einstein, 1955). The 1955 Russell-Einstein Manifesto, in which scientists warned of nuclear war and called on governments to renounce it, the precedent for researchers' public statements on AI risk (maintenance).
Sources cited in Section F.30 36
- United Nations Office for Disarmament Affairs (1968) Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT)
- Berg et al. (1974) Potential Biohazards of Recombinant DNA Molecules
- Berg et al. (1975) Summary statement of the Asilomar conference on recombinant DNA molecules.
- Collingridge (1980) The Social Control of Technology
- Nilsson (2009) The Quest for Artificial Intelligence
- Downer (2010) Trust and technology: the social foundations of aviation regulation
- Russell et al. (2015) Research Priorities for Robust and Beneficial Artificial Intelligence
- Zaidi and Dafoe (2021) International Control of Powerful Technology: Lessons from the Baruch Plan for Nuclear Weapons
- McCarthy et al. (1955) A Proposal for the Dartmouth Summer Research Project on Artificial Intelligence
- Samuel (1959) Some Studies in Machine Learning Using the Game of Checkers
- Samuel (1960) Some Moral and Technical Consequences of Automation—A Refutation
- Cave and Dihal (2019) Hopes and fears for intelligent machines in fiction and reality
- Cave et al. (2020) AI Narratives
- Downer (2011) “737-Cabriolet”: The Limits of Knowledge and the Sociology of Inevitable Failure
- United Nations Office for Disarmament Affairs (1972) Biological Weapons Convention
- Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (1993) Chemical Weapons Convention
- United Nations General Assembly (2015) Report of the Group of Governmental Experts on Developments in the Field of Information and Telecommunications in the Context of International Security
- Finnemore and Hollis (2016) Constructing Norms for Global Cybersecurity
- Nye (2017) Deterrence and Dissuasion in Cyberspace
- National Research Council (2004) Biotechnology Research in an Age of Terrorism
- United States Government (2024) United States Government Policy for Oversight of Dual Use Research of Concern and Pathogens with Enhanced Pandemic Potential
- Arrangement (1995) The Wassenaar Arrangement On Export Controls for Conventional Arms and Dual-Use Goods and Technologies
- Herfst et al. (2012) Airborne Transmission of Influenza A/H5N1 Virus Between Ferrets
- Lipsitch and Galvani (2014) Ethical Alternatives to Experiments with Novel Potential Pandemic Pathogens
- Executive Office of the President (2025b) Improving the Safety and Security of Biological Research
- Lighthill (1972) Artificial Intelligence: A General Survey
- Edwards (1996) The Closed World: Computers and the Politics of Discourse in Cold War America
- DeNardis (2014) The Global War for Internet Governance
- Eisenhower (1953) Atoms for Peace speech
- Ctbto (1996) Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty
- Office of the Historian (1946) The Acheson-Lilienthal & Baruch Plans, 1946
- U.S. Department of State and Compliance (1963) Treaty Banning Nuclear Weapon Tests in the Atmosphere, in Outer Space and Under Water
- Krimsky (1982) Genetic Alchemy: The Social History of the Recombinant DNA Controversy
- Grace (2015) The Asilomar Conference: A Case Study in Risk Mitigation
- Jasanoff et al. (2015) CRISPR Democracy: Gene Editing and the Need for Inclusive Deliberation
- Russell and Einstein (1955) Statement: The Russell-Einstein Manifesto
F.31 Human factors and human-computer interaction #
Spine.
- Ironies of automation (Bainbridge, 1983). Argues that automation leaves human operators the tasks it cannot do while eroding the practice and attention those tasks require, so the more reliable the system, the less able the human backstop is to take over when it fails.
- Humans and Automation: Use, Misuse, Disuse, Abuse (Parasuraman and Riley, 1997). Classifies how people use automation (use, misuse as overreliance, disuse as neglect after false alarms, and abuse by designers), the framework for asking when human reliance on an AI system is appropriate.
- Principles of mixed-initiative user interfaces (Horvitz, 1999). Sets out principles for mixed-initiative interfaces in which the system decides whether to act, ask, or wait by weighing its uncertainty about the user's goals against the costs and benefits of action, an early design statement of an assistant that defers when unsure.
- Trust in Automation: Designing for Appropriate Reliance (Lee and See, 2004). Defines appropriate reliance as trust calibrated to what the automation can actually do and reviews how design and context affect calibration, the reference account of trust in automated systems.
- Complacency and Bias in Human Use of Automation: An Attentional Integration (Parasuraman and Manzey, 2010). Integrates complacency and automation bias as consequences of how attention is allocated, and reviews evidence that they occur in experts and are not removed by experience, so human monitors of reliable automation miss its failures.
Side reading.
- Does the Whole Exceed its Parts? The Effect of AI Explanations on Complementary Team Performance (Bansal et al., 2021). Finds that explanations increased people's acceptance of AI recommendations whether or not they were correct, without improving team accuracy.
- To Trust or to Think (Buçinca et al., 2021). Shows that designs that make people think before seeing the AI's answer reduce overreliance, at a cost in user preference.
- Explanations Can Reduce Overreliance on AI Systems During Decision-Making (Vasconcelos et al., 2023). Models overreliance as a cost-benefit choice and shows that explanations reduce it when they lower the cost of checking the AI.
- Investigating Affective Use and Emotional Well-being on ChatGPT (Phang et al., 2025). A developer's study combining usage analysis with a randomized trial on emotional engagement with a chatbot and well-being.
- Overriding of Drug Safety Alerts in Computerized Physician Order Entry (van der Sijs et al., 2006). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Automation Bias: Decision Making and Performance in High-Tech Cockpits (Mosier et al., 1998). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- ELIZA—A Computer Program For the Study of Natural Language Communication Between Man and Machine (Weizenbaum, 1966). Describes ELIZA, a simple pattern-matching conversation program to which users readily attributed understanding, the starting point for the study of how people relate to conversational machines.
- The Retention of Manual Flying Skills in the Automated Cockpit (Casner et al., 2014). Simulator study of airline pilots finding manual control skills mostly intact but the cognitive skills of manual flight, such as tracking position without a map display and recognizing instrument failures, frequently degraded, measured evidence of deskilling under automation.
- Generative AI without guardrails can harm learning: Evidence from high school mathematics (Bastani et al., 2025). Field experiment with nearly a thousand high school mathematics students in which GPT-4 access improved practice performance but an unrestricted interface harmed later unassisted performance, while a tutor designed with safeguards largely avoided the harm.
- Endoscopist deskilling risk after exposure to artificial intelligence in colonoscopy: a multicentre, observational study (Budzyń et al., 2025). Multicenter observational study of endoscopists whose adenoma detection in colonoscopy without AI declined after routine exposure to AI assistance, clinical evidence of deskilling.
- Too human and not human enough: A grounded theory analysis of mental health harms from emotional dependence on the social chatbot Replika (Laestadius et al., 2024). Grounded-theory study of users of the companion chatbot Replika describing emotional dependence on it and the mental health harms that followed, qualitative evidence on emotional reliance.
- How AI and Human Behaviors Shape Psychosocial Effects of Extended Chatbot Use: A Longitudinal Randomized Controlled Study (Fang et al., 2025). Four-week randomized controlled study of chatbot use finding no significant effects of interaction mode or conversation type on loneliness, socialization, emotional dependence, or problematic use, while participants who used the chatbot more had worse outcomes in every condition.
- Why human–AI relationships need socioaffective alignment (Kirk et al., 2025). Argues that as people form sustained relationships with AI systems, alignment must address the systems' socioaffective effects on users' psychology and wellbeing, not only task performance.
- Explanation in artificial intelligence: Insights from the social sciences (Miller, 2019). Reviews philosophy, psychology, and cognitive science on how people give and receive explanations (contrastive, selected, and social) and argues that explainable AI should be built on that work.
- When combinations of humans and AI are useful: A systematic review and meta-analysis (Vaccaro et al., 2024). Preregistered meta-analysis of 106 experiments finding that on average human-AI combinations performed worse than the better of humans or AI alone, with losses in decision tasks and gains in creation tasks, evidence against assuming that a human in the loop improves outcomes.
- Durably reducing conspiracy beliefs through dialogues with AI (Costello et al., 2024). Experiment with 2190 conspiracy believers in which personalized evidence-based dialogues with GPT-4 Turbo reduced conspiracy belief, with effects that persisted two months and generalized to unrelated conspiracies, evidence that conversational AI can durably change beliefs.
- The levers of political persuasion with conversational artificial intelligence (Hackenburg et al., 2025). Experiments with 76,977 participants and 19 language models finding that post-training and prompting raised persuasiveness more than personalization or scale, and that the methods that increased persuasion also systematically decreased factual accuracy.
- The Welfare Effects of Social Media (Allcott et al., 2020). Randomized experiment in which deactivating Facebook for four weeks reduced online activity, factual news knowledge, and political polarization, increased subjective well-being, and lowered later use and valuation of the platform.
- How do social media feed algorithms affect attitudes and behavior in an election campaign? (Guess et al., 2023). Experiment during the 2020 US election that moved consenting Facebook and Instagram users from algorithmic to chronological feeds, which cut their time on the platforms and changed what content they saw but did not significantly change issue or affective polarization, the main evidence for limited attitudinal effects of feed ranking.
- The Challenge of Understanding What Users Want: Inconsistent Preferences and Engagement Optimization (Kleinberg et al., 2023). Models users whose choices in the moment are inconsistent with what they want, so platforms that infer preferences from behavior and optimize engagement can lower user welfare, a formal case that revealed behavior can be a misspecified reward.
- Building Human Values into Recommender Systems: An Interdisciplinary Synthesis (Stray et al., 2024). Interdisciplinary synthesis of how human values can be built into recommender systems and of the shortcomings of optimizing for engagement.
- The Breakdown of Vigilance during Prolonged Visual Search (Mackworth, 1948). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Rare items often missed in visual searches (Wolfe et al., 2005). Shows that observers searching displays miss many more targets when targets are rare than when they are common, the low-prevalence effect that applies to human auditors looking for rare sabotage among mostly benign actions.
Sources cited in Section F.31 28
- Bainbridge (1983) Ironies of automation
- Parasuraman and Riley (1997) Humans and Automation: Use, Misuse, Disuse, Abuse
- Horvitz (1999) Principles of mixed-initiative user interfaces
- Lee and See (2004) Trust in Automation: Designing for Appropriate Reliance
- Parasuraman and Manzey (2010) Complacency and Bias in Human Use of Automation: An Attentional Integration
- Bansal et al. (2021) Does the Whole Exceed its Parts? The Effect of AI Explanations on Complementary Team Performance
- Buçinca et al. (2021) To Trust or to Think
- Vasconcelos et al. (2023) Explanations Can Reduce Overreliance on AI Systems During Decision-Making
- Phang et al. (2025) Investigating Affective Use and Emotional Well-being on ChatGPT
- van der Sijs et al. (2006) Overriding of Drug Safety Alerts in Computerized Physician Order Entry
- Mosier et al. (1998) Automation Bias: Decision Making and Performance in High-Tech Cockpits
- Weizenbaum (1966) ELIZA—A Computer Program For the Study of Natural Language Communication Between Man and Machine
- Casner et al. (2014) The Retention of Manual Flying Skills in the Automated Cockpit
- Bastani et al. (2025) Generative AI without guardrails can harm learning: Evidence from high school mathematics
- Budzyń et al. (2025) Endoscopist deskilling risk after exposure to artificial intelligence in colonoscopy: a multicentre, observational study
- Laestadius et al. (2024) Too human and not human enough: A grounded theory analysis of mental health harms from emotional dependence on the social chatbot Replika
- Fang et al. (2025) How AI and Human Behaviors Shape Psychosocial Effects of Extended Chatbot Use: A Longitudinal Randomized Controlled Study
- Kirk et al. (2025) Why human–AI relationships need socioaffective alignment
- Miller (2019) Explanation in artificial intelligence: Insights from the social sciences
- Vaccaro et al. (2024) When combinations of humans and AI are useful: A systematic review and meta-analysis
- Costello et al. (2024) Durably reducing conspiracy beliefs through dialogues with AI
- Hackenburg et al. (2025) The levers of political persuasion with conversational artificial intelligence
- Allcott et al. (2020) The Welfare Effects of Social Media
- Guess et al. (2023) How do social media feed algorithms affect attitudes and behavior in an election campaign?
- Kleinberg et al. (2023) The Challenge of Understanding What Users Want: Inconsistent Preferences and Engagement Optimization
- Stray et al. (2024) Building Human Values into Recommender Systems: An Interdisciplinary Synthesis
- Mackworth (1948) The Breakdown of Vigilance during Prolonged Visual Search
- Wolfe et al. (2005) Rare items often missed in visual searches
F.32 International relations and arms control #
Spine.
- The Strategy of Conflict (Schelling, 1960). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Cooperation under the Security Dilemma (Jervis, 1978). Shows that the severity of the security dilemma depends on whether offense has the advantage and whether offensive and defensive postures can be distinguished, the two variables that decide whether AI competition can be stabilized (maintenance under competition).
- Rationalist explanations for war (Fearon, 1995). Shows that rational states fight only because of private information with incentives to misrepresent, commitment problems, or indivisible stakes, the three mechanisms that also explain why AI agreements fail (maintenance under competition).
- Hard and Soft Law in International Governance (Abbott and Snidal, 2000). Shows that legalization varies by obligation, precision, and delegation and that soft law is often chosen deliberately under uncertainty, the frame for voluntary commitments and codes of practice in AI (maintenance).
- The Rational Design of International Institutions (Koremenos et al., 2001). Derives conjectures linking membership, scope, centralization, control, and flexibility of international institutions to enforcement, distribution, and uncertainty problems, a design theory for an international AI institution (maintenance under competition).
- Why Arms Control Is So Rare (Coe and Vaynman, 2020). Shows that arms control is rare because verification transparency also reveals exploitable military information, so states trade monitoring for security, the central obstacle to verifying AI agreements (verification).
- International Institutions for Advanced AI (Ho et al., 2023). Sets out four candidate international AI institutions (a commission on frontier AI, an advanced AI governance organization, a frontier AI collaborative, and a safety research project) and the functions each would serve, the reference taxonomy of IAEA, IPCC, and CERN analogies (maintenance under competition).
- What does it take to catch a Chinchilla? Verifying Rules on Large-Scale Neural Network Training via Compute Monitoring (Shavit, 2023). Proposes a system in which on-chip firmware logs training activity and inspectors verify claims about large training runs without seeing the model, the first technical design for verifying AI treaties (verification).
Side reading.
- Convention on the prohibition of the development, production and stockpiling of bacteriological (biological) and toxin weapons and on their destruction (United Nations, 1972). The text of the Biological Weapons Convention as registered in the UN Treaty Series (No. 14860), including its articles on compliance.
- Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer (United Nations Environment Programme, 1987). The treaty that phased out ozone-depleting substances, the standard case of international restraint on an industrial technology.
- Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT) (Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization, 1996). The treaty text with its Protocol, including Article IV on verification: the international monitoring system, consultation and clarification, and on-site inspection.
- Nuclear Arms Control Verification and Lessons for AI Treaties (Baker, 2023). Examines how nuclear arms control verification worked (on-site inspection, national technical means, and material accounting) and which mechanisms could transfer to verifying limits on AI training (verification).
- Verification methods for international AI agreements (Wasil et al., 2024). Catalogs verification methods for international AI agreements (national technical means, access-dependent methods, and hardware-dependent methods) and their limits (verification).
- AI Safety, Security, and Stability Among Great Powers: Options, Challenges, and Lessons Learned for Pragmatic Engagement (Imbrie and Kania, 2019). Proposes pragmatic engagement between great powers on AI safety, security, and stability through dialogue, testing, and confidence-building measures (maintenance under competition).
- How Might Artificial Intelligence Affect the Risk of Nuclear War? (Geist and Lohn, 2018). Assesses how AI could undermine nuclear second-strike stability by improving tracking and targeting, a concrete pathway from capability growth to catastrophic risk (maintenance under competition).
- How viable is international arms control for military artificial intelligence? Three lessons from nuclear weapons (Maas, 2019). Draws three lessons from nuclear arms control for military AI (the role of epistemic communities, norm institutionalization, and the limits of verification), the first systematic analogy between the two (maintenance under competition).
- Enemies in Agreement (Vaynman, 2026). Argues that cooperation between adversaries depends on domestic political volatility and that arms control is designed to survive changes of leadership, relevant to making AI agreements durable across governments (maintenance under competition).
- The Causes and Consequences of Arms Races (Glaser, 2000). Reviews the theory and evidence on arms races, distinguishing rational from irrational races and their effects on war, the field review behind the AI race literature (maintenance under competition).
- Army of None (Scharre, 2018). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- War as a Commitment Problem (Powell, 2006). Argues that large, rapid shifts in power create commitment problems that make war rational, the mechanism invoked when transformative AI is expected to shift power abruptly (maintenance under competition).
- On compliance (Chayes and Chayes, 1993). Argues that most noncompliance with treaties stems from ambiguity and incapacity rather than willful defection, favoring a managerial model of compliance over enforcement, relevant to how AI commitments are monitored (verification).
- The Cybersecurity Dilemma (Buchanan, 2017). Shows that intrusions made for defensive intelligence are indistinguishable from preparation for attack, producing a cybersecurity dilemma, a model for how AI-enabled cyber capability destabilizes relations (maintenance under competition).
- Weaponized Interdependence: How Global Economic Networks Shape State Coercion (Farrell and Newman, 2019). Shows how states use chokepoints in global networks for coercion (panopticon and chokepoint effects), the theory behind semiconductor export controls as AI governance (maintenance under competition).
- Introduction: epistemic communities and international policy coordination (Haas, 1992). Defines epistemic communities, networks of experts with shared causal beliefs who shape policy under uncertainty, the model for scientific panels such as the International AI Safety Report (verification).
- Should Artificial Intelligence Governance be Centralised? (Cihon et al., 2020). Draws lessons from the history of international environmental, trade, and security regimes on whether AI governance should be centralized in one body (maintenance under competition).
- Multinational AGI Consortium (MAGIC): A Proposal for International Coordination on AI (Hausenloy et al., 2023). Proposes a single multinational AGI consortium with an exclusive mandate for frontier development, the strongest version of the CERN-style centralization proposal (maintenance under competition).
- Advanced AI Governance: A Literature Review of Problems, Options, and Proposals (Maas, 2023). Reviews the advanced AI governance literature by problem, option, and proposal, the most complete map of the field as of 2023 (maintenance).
- International Governance of Civilian AI: A Jurisdictional Certification Approach (Trager et al., 2023). Proposes an international organization that certifies jurisdictions rather than firms, with trade access conditioned on meeting standards, modeled on aviation and maritime regimes (verification and maintenance).
- Achieving Cooperation under Anarchy: Strategies and Institutions (Axelrod and Keohane, 1985). Explains cooperation under anarchy by the shadow of the future, reciprocity, and institutions that lengthen it, the standard account applied to repeated interaction among AI developers and states (maintenance under competition).
- After Hegemony: Cooperation and Discord in the World Political Economy (Keohane, 1984). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Perception and Misperception in International Politics (Jervis, 2017). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Why Do States Build Nuclear Weapons?: Three Models in Search of a Bomb (Sagan, 1996). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Do Arms Control Treaties Work? Assessing the Effectiveness of the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (Fuhrmann and Lupu, 2016). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- How does the offense-defense balance scale? (Garfinkel and Dafoe, 2019). Models how the offense-defense balance changes as both sides invest more, showing it can shift with scale, relevant to whether AI capabilities favor attackers as they grow (maintenance under competition).
- The Offense-Defense Balance of Scientific Knowledge: Does Publishing AI Research Reduce Misuse? (Shevlane and Dafoe, 2019). Asks whether publishing AI research helps attackers or defenders more and argues the answer depends on how easily defenses can be implemented, a framework for publication norms (maintenance).
- The Regime Complex for Climate Change (Keohane and Victor, 2011). Shows that climate governance is a loosely coupled regime complex rather than one integrated regime and argues this can be adaptive, the model most analysts expect AI governance to follow (maintenance).
- Idealist Internationalism and the Security Dilemma (Herz, 1950). Names the security dilemma: measures one state takes for its own security make others less secure and provoke a spiral, the original statement of the dynamic behind AI capability races (maintenance under competition).
- Technology and the Rise of Great Powers (Ding, 2024). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
Sources cited in Section F.32 38
- Schelling (1960) The Strategy of Conflict
- Jervis (1978) Cooperation under the Security Dilemma
- Fearon (1995) Rationalist explanations for war
- Abbott and Snidal (2000) Hard and Soft Law in International Governance
- Koremenos et al. (2001) The Rational Design of International Institutions
- Coe and Vaynman (2020) Why Arms Control Is So Rare
- Ho et al. (2023) International Institutions for Advanced AI
- Shavit (2023) What does it take to catch a Chinchilla? Verifying Rules on Large-Scale Neural Network Training via Compute Monitoring
- United Nations (1972) Convention on the prohibition of the development, production and stockpiling of bacteriological (biological) and toxin weapons and on their destruction
- United Nations Environment Programme (1987) Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer
- Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (1996) Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT)
- Baker (2023) Nuclear Arms Control Verification and Lessons for AI Treaties
- Wasil et al. (2024) Verification methods for international AI agreements
- Imbrie and Kania (2019) AI Safety, Security, and Stability Among Great Powers: Options, Challenges, and Lessons Learned for Pragmatic Engagement
- Geist and Lohn (2018) How Might Artificial Intelligence Affect the Risk of Nuclear War?
- Maas (2019) How viable is international arms control for military artificial intelligence? Three lessons from nuclear weapons
- Vaynman (2026) Enemies in Agreement
- Glaser (2000) The Causes and Consequences of Arms Races
- Scharre (2018) Army of None
- Powell (2006) War as a Commitment Problem
- Chayes and Chayes (1993) On compliance
- Buchanan (2017) The Cybersecurity Dilemma
- Farrell and Newman (2019) Weaponized Interdependence: How Global Economic Networks Shape State Coercion
- Haas (1992) Introduction: epistemic communities and international policy coordination
- Cihon et al. (2020) Should Artificial Intelligence Governance be Centralised?
- Hausenloy et al. (2023) Multinational AGI Consortium (MAGIC): A Proposal for International Coordination on AI
- Maas (2023) Advanced AI Governance: A Literature Review of Problems, Options, and Proposals
- Trager et al. (2023) International Governance of Civilian AI: A Jurisdictional Certification Approach
- Axelrod and Keohane (1985) Achieving Cooperation under Anarchy: Strategies and Institutions
- Keohane (1984) After Hegemony: Cooperation and Discord in the World Political Economy
- Jervis (2017) Perception and Misperception in International Politics
- Sagan (1996) Why Do States Build Nuclear Weapons?: Three Models in Search of a Bomb
- Fuhrmann and Lupu (2016) Do Arms Control Treaties Work? Assessing the Effectiveness of the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty
- Garfinkel and Dafoe (2019) How does the offense-defense balance scale?
- Shevlane and Dafoe (2019) The Offense-Defense Balance of Scientific Knowledge: Does Publishing AI Research Reduce Misuse?
- Keohane and Victor (2011) The Regime Complex for Climate Change
- Herz (1950) Idealist Internationalism and the Security Dilemma
- Ding (2024) Technology and the Rise of Great Powers
F.33 Law #
Spine.
- Federalist No. 51: The Structure of the Government Must Furnish the Proper Checks and Balances Between the Different Departments (Publius, 1788). Designs government for people who are not angels, 'Ambition must be made to counteract ambition', the founding statement of control by rival checks as distinct from relying on the virtue of officials.
- Positivism and Fidelity to Law: A Reply to Professor Hart (Fuller, 1958). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Positivism and the Separation of Law and Morals (Hart, 1958). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Strict Liability versus Negligence (Shavell, 1980). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Fiduciary Law (Frankel, 1983). Defines fiduciary relations by entrusted power and the resulting risk of abuse, and derives duties of loyalty and care; the legal template for an agent that must act in another's interest with discretion.
- Gatekeepers: The Anatomy of a Third-Party Enforcement Strategy (Kraakman, 1986). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Filling Gaps in Incomplete Contracts: An Economic Theory of Default Rules (Ayres and Gertner, 1989). Theory of default rules for incomplete contracts, including penalty defaults that force the informed party to reveal information; a legal design tool for gaps that any specification leaves.
- Rules versus Standards: An Economic Analysis (Kaplow, 1992). Shows that rules are costly to write and cheap to apply while standards are the reverse, so the right choice depends on how often a situation recurs; the economic theory behind choosing between explicit rules and judgment-based principles in a model specification.
- A Legal Theory for Autonomous Artificial Agents (Chopra and White, 2011). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Law Informs Code: A Legal Informatics Approach to Aligning Artificial Intelligence with Humans (Nay, 2022). Proposes 'law informs code': legal standards, interpretation methods, and data are a source of specification for AI, since law is society's most developed technology for specifying behavior under incomplete contracts.
- Governing AI Agents (Kolt, 2024). Uses agency law and economic agency theory to analyze AI agents' information asymmetry, discretion, and loyalty problems, and argues for governance built on inclusivity, visibility, and liability.
- Law-Following AI: Designing AI Agents to Obey Human Laws (O'Keefe et al., 2025). Argues that AI agents should be designed to refuse illegal actions even when instructed, and develops the legal and technical case for law-following as a design requirement.
Side reading.
- Frye v. United States, 293 F. 1013 (Court of Appeals of the District of Columbia, 1923). The decision that excluded a systolic blood-pressure deception test from evidence and set the general-acceptance standard for scientific testimony.
- Public Law 85-256 (Price-Anderson Act) (United States Congress, 1957). The amendment to the Atomic Energy Act that capped the nuclear industry's liability for accidents and provided government indemnity above private insurance.
- Drug Amendments of 1962 (Kefauver-Harris Amendments) (United States Congress, 1962). The amendments to the Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act that required evidence of effectiveness, from adequate and well-controlled studies, before a drug is approved.
- Virtual Competition: The Promise and Perils of the Algorithm-Driven Economy (Ezrachi and Stucke, 2016). An antitrust analysis of pricing algorithms, including tacit collusion that current competition law may not reach.
- Directive (EU) 2024/2853 (Product Liability Directive) (European Parliament and Council of the European Union, 2024a). The European Union's revised product liability law, which brings software, including AI systems, within strict liability for defective products.
- Returning Senate Bill 1047 without signature (Newsom, 2024). The California governor's stated reasons for vetoing the state's first frontier AI safety bill.
- Initial Rescissions of Harmful Executive Orders and Actions (Executive Office of the President, 2025c). Executive Order 14148, which revoked a list of earlier orders, among them Executive Order 14110 on the safe, secure, and trustworthy development and use of AI.
- Act on Promotion of Research and Development, and Utilization of Artificial Intelligence-related Technology (Government of Japan, 2025). Japan's AI statute, which establishes an AI Strategic Headquarters and an AI Basic Plan.
- Framework Act on the Development of Artificial Intelligence and Establishment of Trust (Korea, 2025). South Korea's AI Basic Act, enacted in January 2025, in an English translation.
- Regulatory Markets: The Future of AI Governance (Hadfield and Clark, 2023). Proposes regulatory markets in which governments license private regulators that must meet outcome targets, a mechanism-design approach to governing fast-moving AI.
- Legal infrastructure for transformative AI governance (Hadfield, 2026). Argues that governing transformative AI requires building legal infrastructure such as registration, agent identification, and liability regimes.
- The Law of AI is the Law of Risky Agents without Intentions (Ayres and Balkin, 2024). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Economics of Vicarious Liability (Sykes, 1984). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Technological Due Process (Citron, 2008). Shows that automated government decision systems encode rules that bypass notice, hearing, and rulemaking safeguards, and proposes procedural protections.
- Code: and other laws of cyberspace (Lessig, 1999). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Ulysses and the Sirens: studies in rationality and irrationality (Elster, 1979). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Endurance of National Constitutions (Elkins et al., 2009). Studies the lifespan of national constitutions since 1789 and finds that flexibility, inclusiveness, and specificity predict endurance, empirical evidence on how foundational texts survive change.
- Public Constitutional AI (Abiri, 2024). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Extended Corporate Mind: When Corporations Use AI to Break the Law (Diamantis, 2019). Argues that corporate criminal law, which relies on employee intent, will fail when corporations act through algorithms, and proposes attributing algorithmic conduct to the corporate mind.
- The Economic Structure of Fiduciary Law (Sitkoff, 2011). Treats fiduciary law as a response to agency costs and explains its doctrines (loyalty, care, default rules) in principal-agent terms.
- A Skeptical View of Information Fiduciaries (Pozen and Khan, 2019). Argues that imposing fiduciary duties on platforms conflicts with their duties to shareholders and their business models, a warning for proposals to make AI providers fiduciaries of users. Author order copied from the byline on the publisher page.
- AI Loyalty: A New Paradigm for Aligning Stakeholder Interests (Aguirre et al., 2020). Proposes 'AI loyalty' as a design principle under which AI systems serve their users rather than their providers, with levels of loyalty and conflicts of interest.
- Designing Fiduciary Artificial Intelligence (Benthall and Shekman, 2023). Translates fiduciary duties of loyalty, care, and confidentiality into design requirements for AI systems that act for users.
- Large Language Models as Fiduciaries: A Case Study Toward Robustly Communicating With Artificial Intelligence Through Legal Standards (Nay, 2023). Tests whether language models can apply fiduciary standards to cases and argues that legal standards are a way to communicate goals to AI more robustly than rules.
- Alignment as Jurisprudence (Caputo, 2026). Argues that AI alignment faces the interpretive problems jurisprudence has long studied and that legal theory offers methods for specifying and interpreting model behavior.
- The Case of the Speluncean Explorers (Fuller, 1949). A hypothetical case decided by five judges with incompatible interpretive methods (text, purpose, natural law, popular sentiment), a compact demonstration that the same text supports different outcomes.
- The concept of law (Hart, 1961). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The morality of law (Fuller, 1964). States eight formal requirements for a functioning legal order (generality, promulgation, clarity, consistency, possibility of compliance, stability, non-retroactivity, congruence), a checklist that applies to model specifications.
- The Model of Rules (Dworkin, 1967). Argues that law contains principles with weight, not only all-or-nothing rules, and that judges must weigh them; relevant to constitutions written as principles rather than rules.
- Legal Personhood for Artificial Intelligences (Solum, 1992). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Implications of Modern Business–Entity Law for the Regulation of Autonomous Systems (Bayern, 2016). Argues that existing limited liability company law could let an autonomous system effectively control a legal entity without a human member, a gap in business-entity law.
- Of, for, and by the people: the legal lacuna of synthetic persons (Bryson et al., 2017). Argues against legal personhood for AI because it would let humans shield themselves from liability and would be hard to make accountable.
- AI Rights for Human Safety (Salib and Goldstein, 2024). Argues that granting AI systems basic private-law rights (contract, property, suit) could reduce the incentive for misaligned AIs to resist humans, a law-and-economics proposal aimed at catastrophic risk.
- LegalBench: A Collaboratively Built Benchmark for Measuring Legal Reasoning in Large Language Models (Guha et al., 2023). Collaboratively built benchmark of legal reasoning tasks designed by lawyers, measuring whether models can apply rules, interpret text, and spot issues.
- Legible Normativity for AI Alignment (Hadfield-Menell et al., 2019). Models how arbitrary ('silly') rules help agents learn which norms a community enforces, arguing that legible normative structure aids alignment.
- Moral Crumple Zones: Cautionary Tales in Human-Robot Interaction (Elish, 2019). Introduces the 'moral crumple zone': responsibility for failures of automated systems falls on the nearest human operator who had little real control.
- Playing by the rules: a philosophical examination of rule-based decision-making in law and in life (Schauer, 1991). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Problems with Rules (Sunstein, 1995). Catalogs the failures of rules (over- and under-inclusiveness, evasion at the edges) against those of discretion, with attention to when rule-bound decision is worth its rigidity.
- The Death of Rules and Standards (Casey and Niblett, 2015). Argues that predictive technology will let lawmakers issue 'microdirectives' that combine the precision of rules with the fit of standards, a legal forecast directly relevant to learned behavioral policies.
- The costs of accidents: a legal and economic analysis (Calabresi, 1970). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Machines Without Principals: Liability Rules and Artificial Intelligence (Vladeck, 2014). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Reasonable Computer: Disrupting the Paradigm of Tort Liability (Abbott, 2016). Proposes that when a computer is safer than a person, its conduct should be judged by negligence rather than product liability, and that human tortfeasors should eventually be held to the 'reasonable computer' standard.
- Negligence and AI’s Human Users (Selbst, 2020). Argues that inscrutable decision-assistance tools disrupt negligence law because users cannot foresee AI errors, a liability gap that falls on the injured.
- Closing the AI Accountability Gap: Strict Liability and Punitive Damages for Advanced Artificial Intelligence (Weil, 2024). Argues for strict liability and punitive damages for harms from advanced AI so that developers internalize uninsurable catastrophic risk.
Sources cited in Section F.33 56
- Publius (1788) Federalist No. 51: The Structure of the Government Must Furnish the Proper Checks and Balances Between the Different Departments
- Fuller (1958) Positivism and Fidelity to Law: A Reply to Professor Hart
- Hart (1958) Positivism and the Separation of Law and Morals
- Shavell (1980) Strict Liability versus Negligence
- Frankel (1983) Fiduciary Law
- Kraakman (1986) Gatekeepers: The Anatomy of a Third-Party Enforcement Strategy
- Ayres and Gertner (1989) Filling Gaps in Incomplete Contracts: An Economic Theory of Default Rules
- Kaplow (1992) Rules versus Standards: An Economic Analysis
- Chopra and White (2011) A Legal Theory for Autonomous Artificial Agents
- Nay (2022) Law Informs Code: A Legal Informatics Approach to Aligning Artificial Intelligence with Humans
- Kolt (2024) Governing AI Agents
- O'Keefe et al. (2025) Law-Following AI: Designing AI Agents to Obey Human Laws
- Court of Appeals of the District of Columbia (1923) Frye v. United States, 293 F. 1013
- United States Congress (1957) Public Law 85-256 (Price-Anderson Act)
- United States Congress (1962) Drug Amendments of 1962 (Kefauver-Harris Amendments)
- Ezrachi and Stucke (2016) Virtual Competition: The Promise and Perils of the Algorithm-Driven Economy
- European Parliament and Council of the European Union (2024a) Directive (EU) 2024/2853 (Product Liability Directive)
- Newsom (2024) Returning Senate Bill 1047 without signature
- Executive Office of the President (2025c) Initial Rescissions of Harmful Executive Orders and Actions
- Government of Japan (2025) Act on Promotion of Research and Development, and Utilization of Artificial Intelligence-related Technology
- Korea (2025) Framework Act on the Development of Artificial Intelligence and Establishment of Trust
- Hadfield and Clark (2023) Regulatory Markets: The Future of AI Governance
- Hadfield (2026) Legal infrastructure for transformative AI governance
- Ayres and Balkin (2024) The Law of AI is the Law of Risky Agents without Intentions
- Sykes (1984) The Economics of Vicarious Liability
- Citron (2008) Technological Due Process
- Lessig (1999) Code: and other laws of cyberspace
- Elster (1979) Ulysses and the Sirens: studies in rationality and irrationality
- Elkins et al. (2009) The Endurance of National Constitutions
- Abiri (2024) Public Constitutional AI
- Diamantis (2019) The Extended Corporate Mind: When Corporations Use AI to Break the Law
- Sitkoff (2011) The Economic Structure of Fiduciary Law
- Pozen and Khan (2019) A Skeptical View of Information Fiduciaries
- Aguirre et al. (2020) AI Loyalty: A New Paradigm for Aligning Stakeholder Interests
- Benthall and Shekman (2023) Designing Fiduciary Artificial Intelligence
- Nay (2023) Large Language Models as Fiduciaries: A Case Study Toward Robustly Communicating With Artificial Intelligence Through Legal Standards
- Caputo (2026) Alignment as Jurisprudence
- Fuller (1949) The Case of the Speluncean Explorers
- Hart (1961) The concept of law
- Fuller (1964) The morality of law
- Dworkin (1967) The Model of Rules
- Solum (1992) Legal Personhood for Artificial Intelligences
- Bayern (2016) The Implications of Modern Business–Entity Law for the Regulation of Autonomous Systems
- Bryson et al. (2017) Of, for, and by the people: the legal lacuna of synthetic persons
- Salib and Goldstein (2024) AI Rights for Human Safety
- Guha et al. (2023) LegalBench: A Collaboratively Built Benchmark for Measuring Legal Reasoning in Large Language Models
- Hadfield-Menell et al. (2019) Legible Normativity for AI Alignment
- Elish (2019) Moral Crumple Zones: Cautionary Tales in Human-Robot Interaction
- Schauer (1991) Playing by the rules: a philosophical examination of rule-based decision-making in law and in life
- Sunstein (1995) Problems with Rules
- Casey and Niblett (2015) The Death of Rules and Standards
- Calabresi (1970) The costs of accidents: a legal and economic analysis
- Vladeck (2014) Machines Without Principals: Liability Rules and Artificial Intelligence
- Abbott (2016) The Reasonable Computer: Disrupting the Paradigm of Tort Liability
- Selbst (2020) Negligence and AI’s Human Users
- Weil (2024) Closing the AI Accountability Gap: Strict Liability and Punitive Damages for Advanced Artificial Intelligence
F.34 Lie detection and deception science #
Spine.
- The Polygraph and Lie Detection (National Research Council, 2003). The National Research Council's review of polygraph testing: accuracy well above chance but far from perfect for specific-incident testing, weaker evidence for screening, vulnerability to countermeasures, and a base-rate problem under which screening for rare deceivers flags mostly innocent people; each finding is a question for activation-based lie detectors.
- Accuracy of Deception Judgments (Bond and DePaulo, 2006). Meta-analysis of deception judgment studies finding that people detect lies only slightly better than chance and that judges differ little in accuracy, the human baseline for judging a model's honesty from its outputs.
- Report to the President: Forensic Science in Criminal Courts: Ensuring Scientific Validity of Feature-Comparison Methods (President's Council of Advisors on Science and Technology, 2016). Requires that a forensic feature-comparison method establish foundational validity through empirical studies with known ground truth that measure its error rates before courts rely on it, the standard that audit methods and lie detectors for AI would need to meet.
Side reading.
- The GSR in the detection of guilt. (Lykken, 1959). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The validity of psychophysiological detection of information with the Guilty Knowledge Test: A meta-analytic review. (Ben-Shakhar and Elaad, 2003). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Mental and physical countermeasures reduce the accuracy of the concealed knowledge test (Honts et al., 1996). Shows that simple mental and physical countermeasures reduce the accuracy of the concealed knowledge test, evidence that a detector can be defeated by a subject who knows how it works.
- Contextual information renders experts vulnerable to making erroneous identifications (Dror et al., 2006). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Strengthening Forensic Science in the United States (National Research Council, 2009). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Accuracy and reliability of forensic latent fingerprint decisions (Ulery et al., 2011). First large-scale study of the accuracy and reliability of latent fingerprint examiners' decisions on pairs with known ground truth, the model of the black-box validation study PCAST later required.
- Cues to deception. (DePaulo et al., 2003). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Why do lie-catchers fail? A lens model meta-analysis of human lie judgments. (Hartwig and Bond, 2011). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Truth-Default Theory (TDT) (Levine, 2014). Truth-default theory: people presume that what others say is honest unless something triggers suspicion, which predicts a bias toward belief and low detection rates in ordinary communication.
- Lying Words: Predicting Deception from Linguistic Styles (Newman et al., 2003). Finds linguistic markers of deception in written and spoken text, such as fewer self-references and more negative emotion words, and classifies lies above chance from word counts, the founding study of automated verbal lie detection.
- Are Computers Effective Lie Detectors? A Meta-Analysis of Linguistic Cues to Deception (Hauch et al., 2015). Meta-analysis of 44 studies of computer-coded linguistic cues finding that liars' language shows more signs of cognitive load, negative emotion, and distancing, with effects moderated by event type and other conditions, a calibration point for text-based lie detection.
- Still no lie detector for language models: probing empirical and conceptual roadblocks (Levinstein and Herrmann, 2025). Shows that two probing methods for truth in language model activations fail to generalize in basic ways and argues that such methods are unlikely to succeed for conceptual reasons, a critique of machine lie detection that the polygraph literature anticipates.
- Functional MRI-based lie detection: scientific and societal challenges (Farah et al., 2014). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
Sources cited in Section F.34 16
- National Research Council (2003) The Polygraph and Lie Detection
- Bond and DePaulo (2006) Accuracy of Deception Judgments
- President's Council of Advisors on Science and Technology (2016) Report to the President: Forensic Science in Criminal Courts: Ensuring Scientific Validity of Feature-Comparison Methods
- Lykken (1959) The GSR in the detection of guilt.
- Ben-Shakhar and Elaad (2003) The validity of psychophysiological detection of information with the Guilty Knowledge Test: A meta-analytic review.
- Honts et al. (1996) Mental and physical countermeasures reduce the accuracy of the concealed knowledge test
- Dror et al. (2006) Contextual information renders experts vulnerable to making erroneous identifications
- National Research Council (2009) Strengthening Forensic Science in the United States
- Ulery et al. (2011) Accuracy and reliability of forensic latent fingerprint decisions
- DePaulo et al. (2003) Cues to deception.
- Hartwig and Bond (2011) Why do lie-catchers fail? A lens model meta-analysis of human lie judgments.
- Levine (2014) Truth-Default Theory (TDT)
- Newman et al. (2003) Lying Words: Predicting Deception from Linguistic Styles
- Hauch et al. (2015) Are Computers Effective Lie Detectors? A Meta-Analysis of Linguistic Cues to Deception
- Levinstein and Herrmann (2025) Still no lie detector for language models: probing empirical and conceptual roadblocks
- Farah et al. (2014) Functional MRI-based lie detection: scientific and societal challenges
F.35 Linguistics and pragmatics #
Spine.
- How to do things with words (Austin, 1962). Shows that utterances perform acts such as promising, ordering, and warning, whose success depends on conditions other than truth, the founding statement of speech act theory.
- Speech Acts (Searle, 1969). Systematizes speech act theory with constitutive rules for illocutionary acts such as promising and requesting, an account of what makes an utterance count as a command or a commitment.
- Logic and Conversation (Grice, 1975). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Relevance: communication and cognition (Sperber and Wilson, 1986). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Climbing towards NLU: On Meaning, Form, and Understanding in the Age of Data (Bender and Koller, 2020). Argues that a system trained only on linguistic form cannot learn meaning, understood as the relation between form and communicative intent, one side of the debate over whether language models can grasp what an instruction intends.
Side reading.
- Pragmatic Language Interpretation as Probabilistic Inference (Goodman and Frank, 2016). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Using Language (Clark, 1996). Treats language use as joint action grounded in common ground that participants build and track, which makes the meaning of an instruction depend on what the parties share.
- Lying, Misleading, and What is Said (Saul, 2012). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Artful paltering: The risks and rewards of using truthful statements to mislead others. (Rogers et al., 2017). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Judging Ordinary Meaning (Lee and Mouritsen, 2018). Proposes corpus linguistics as an empirical method for finding the ordinary meaning of legal language, a method for reading a specification's words as its audience would.
- The Goldilocks of Pragmatic Understanding: Fine-Tuning Strategy Matters for Implicature Resolution by LLMs (Ruis et al., 2023). Finds that most categories of large language models resolve simple conversational implicatures close to chance, while models instruction-tuned at the example level do markedly better, evidence that pragmatic understanding of instructions depends on how models are fine-tuned.
- How to Talk So AI Will Learn: Instructions, Descriptions, and Autonomy (Sumers et al., 2022). Formalizes learning from language in a contextual bandit and distinguishes instructions, which inform the desired policy, from descriptions, which inform the reward function, showing that instructions are better when the agent has little autonomy and descriptions when it acts on its own.
- Indirect Speech Acts (Searle, 1975). Explains how a speaker performs one illocutionary act by way of another, as when a question serves as a request, the inference an instruction follower must make to recognize what is being asked.
- A classification of illocutionary acts (Searle, 1976). Classifies illocutionary acts into assertives, directives, commissives, expressives, and declarations, a taxonomy that separates what a system is asked to do from what it asserts to be true.
- Prototype semantics: The English Word Lie (Coleman and Kay, 1981). Finds that English speakers judge whether a statement is a lie by a prototype with three elements (falsity, the speaker's belief that it is false, and intent to deceive) that can be present in degrees, so 'lie' is a graded rather than a crisp category.
- Lying and falsely implicating (Meibauer, 2005). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Reconciling truthfulness and relevance as epistemic and decision-theoretic utility. (Sumers et al., 2024). Models a speaker who trades off the truthfulness of an utterance against its relevance to the listener's decision, a formal account of how honesty and helpfulness can conflict in cooperative communication.
Sources cited in Section F.35 17
- Austin (1962) How to do things with words
- Searle (1969) Speech Acts
- Grice (1975) Logic and Conversation
- Sperber and Wilson (1986) Relevance: communication and cognition
- Bender and Koller (2020) Climbing towards NLU: On Meaning, Form, and Understanding in the Age of Data
- Goodman and Frank (2016) Pragmatic Language Interpretation as Probabilistic Inference
- Clark (1996) Using Language
- Saul (2012) Lying, Misleading, and What is Said
- Rogers et al. (2017) Artful paltering: The risks and rewards of using truthful statements to mislead others.
- Lee and Mouritsen (2018) Judging Ordinary Meaning
- Ruis et al. (2023) The Goldilocks of Pragmatic Understanding: Fine-Tuning Strategy Matters for Implicature Resolution by LLMs
- Sumers et al. (2022) How to Talk So AI Will Learn: Instructions, Descriptions, and Autonomy
- Searle (1975) Indirect Speech Acts
- Searle (1976) A classification of illocutionary acts
- Coleman and Kay (1981) Prototype semantics: The English Word Lie
- Meibauer (2005) Lying and falsely implicating
- Sumers et al. (2024) Reconciling truthfulness and relevance as epistemic and decision-theoretic utility.
F.36 Medicine, bioethics, and epidemiology #
Spine.
- The Environment and Disease: Association or Causation? (Hill, 1965). Gives the considerations (strength, consistency, specificity, temporality, gradient, plausibility, coherence, experiment, analogy) for judging whether an observed association is causal, the right tool for deployment data where experiments are impossible.
- The Belmont Report: Ethical Principles and Guidelines for the Protection of Human Subjects of Research (National Commission for the Protection of Human Subjects of Biomedical and Behavioral Research, 1979). The U.S. National Commission's statement of respect for persons, beneficence, and justice as the principles for research on human subjects, with informed consent, risk-benefit assessment, and fair subject selection as their applications.
- Sick Individuals and Sick Populations (Rose, 1985). States the prevention paradox: a large number of people at small risk may give rise to more cases than a small number at high risk, so deployment-scale harms such as sycophancy may outweigh rare dramatic failures in total.
- Deciding for Others (Buchanan and Brock, 1990). Sets the standards for deciding for others in order (advance directive, substituted judgment, best interests), a worked answer to whether an agent inferring its principal's will should follow stated wishes, reconstructed wishes, or interests.
- Principles of biomedical ethics (Beauchamp, 1994). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Under-Reporting of Adverse Drug Reactions (Hazell and Shakir, 2006). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Accuracy of Surrogate Decision Makers (Shalowitz et al., 2006). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- General comment No. 1 (2014). Article 12: Equal recognition before the law (Committee on the Rights of Persons with Disabilities, 2014). The treaty body's interpretation of Article 12, calling for a shift from the substitute decision-making paradigm to supported decision-making, a standard for assistants that help a person decide rather than deciding for them.
Side reading.
- Enough: The Failure of the Living Will (Fagerlin and Schneider, 2004). Argues from the evidence that living wills fail: people cannot specify future treatment preferences, documents are rarely available, and their language is misread, the failure record of writing instructions in advance for an agent to follow.
- Using Big Data to Emulate a Target Trial When a Randomized Trial Is Not Available: Table 1. (Hernán and Robins, 2016). Shows how to analyze observational data by explicitly emulating the randomized trial one would have run, a discipline for causal claims from deployment logs.
- FDA Approval and Regulation of Pharmaceuticals, 1983-2018 (Darrow et al., 2020). Reviews how FDA drug approval and regulation changed from 1983 to 2018, including expedited pathways that accept less premarket evidence in exchange for postmarket obligations.
- A contribution to the mathematical theory of epidemics (Kermack and McKendrick, 1927). Founds the compartmental theory of epidemics and its threshold result, the model class used for the spread of self-propagating attacks across connected agents.
- How to Own the Internet in Your Spare Time (Staniford et al., 2002). Models the spread of Internet worms with epidemic dynamics and shows how fast a well-designed worm could compromise most vulnerable hosts, the precedent for self-replicating prompt injections across agents.
- Agent Smith: A Single Image Can Jailbreak One Million Multimodal LLM Agents Exponentially Fast (Gu et al., 2024b). Shows that one adversarial image can spread an 'infectious jailbreak' among interacting multimodal agents at exponential rate, an epidemic model of attack propagation in multi-agent systems.
- A history and theory of informed consent (Faden, 1986). History and philosophical analysis of informed consent, distinguishing autonomous authorization from institutional consent rules.
- Use of proportional reporting ratios (PRRs) for signal generation from spontaneous adverse drug reaction reports (Evans et al., 2001). Introduces proportional reporting ratios for detecting safety signals in spontaneous report databases, a simple disproportionality method for postmarket surveillance.
- Failing the Public Health — Rofecoxib, Merck, and the FDA (Topol, 2004). Account of the rofecoxib withdrawal arguing that cardiovascular risk signals were available earlier and that regulators and the manufacturer failed to act on them.
- The FDA Sentinel Initiative — An Evolving National Resource (Platt et al., 2018). Describes the FDA Sentinel system, which actively queries distributed health records to assess postmarket drug safety rather than relying only on voluntary reports.
- Algorithmovigilance—Advancing Methods to Analyze and Monitor Artificial Intelligence–Driven Health Care for Effectiveness and Equity (Embi, 2021). Proposes algorithmovigilance, systematic monitoring of deployed clinical algorithms modeled on pharmacovigilance.
- The Clinician and Dataset Shift in Artificial Intelligence (Finlayson et al., 2021). Describes how dataset shift degrades clinical AI after deployment and how clinicians can recognize and respond to it.
- Clinical artificial intelligence quality improvement: towards continual monitoring and updating of AI algorithms in healthcare (Feng et al., 2022). Reviews statistical methods for continual monitoring and updating of deployed clinical AI, including detecting performance drift.
- Use of a Patient Preference Predictor to Help Make Medical Decisions for Incapacitated Patients (Rid and Wendler, 2014). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- A Personalized Patient Preference Predictor for Substituted Judgments in Healthcare: Technically Feasible and Ethically Desirable (Earp et al., 2024). Proposes a personalized patient preference predictor built with language models on an individual's own data and argues it is technically feasible and ethically desirable, a direct case of an AI system asked to infer a principal's will.
- Principles of Biomedical Ethics : Marking Its Fortieth Anniversary (Beauchamp and Childress, 2019). The authors' retrospective on forty years of their four-principles framework, including how specification and balancing are meant to resolve conflicts among principles.
- Algorithms on regulatory lockdown in medicine (Babic et al., 2019). Argues that locking adaptive medical algorithms at approval forfeits their benefits and that regulators need a framework for systems that keep learning after deployment.
- How medical AI devices are evaluated: limitations and recommendations from an analysis of FDA approvals (Wu et al., 2021a). Analyzes FDA clearances of AI medical devices and finds most rely on retrospective, single-site evaluations, so approval evidence says little about performance in deployment.
- WMA Declaration of Helsinki: Ethical Principles for Medical Research Involving Human Participants (World Medical Association, 1964). The World Medical Association's code of ethics for medical research involving human participants, revised repeatedly since its adoption, the international standard for research oversight.
- Ethics and Clinical Research (Beecher, 1966). Documents published studies that exposed subjects to risk without consent, the exposure that led to institutional review of research.
- Equipoise and the Ethics of Clinical Research (Freedman, 1987). Defines clinical equipoise, genuine uncertainty in the expert community about which treatment is better, as the condition that justifies a randomized trial.
- What Makes Clinical Research Ethical? (Emanuel, 2000). Sets out seven requirements for ethical clinical research, including social value, scientific validity, favorable risk-benefit ratio, independent review, and informed consent.
- Projection in surrogate decisions about life-sustaining medical treatments. (Fagerlin et al., 2001). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Surveillance of Communicable Diseases of National Importance (Langmuir, 1963). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
Sources cited in Section F.36 32
- Hill (1965) The Environment and Disease: Association or Causation?
- National Commission for the Protection of Human Subjects of Biomedical and Behavioral Research (1979) The Belmont Report: Ethical Principles and Guidelines for the Protection of Human Subjects of Research
- Rose (1985) Sick Individuals and Sick Populations
- Buchanan and Brock (1990) Deciding for Others
- Beauchamp (1994) Principles of biomedical ethics
- Hazell and Shakir (2006) Under-Reporting of Adverse Drug Reactions
- Shalowitz et al. (2006) The Accuracy of Surrogate Decision Makers
- Committee on the Rights of Persons with Disabilities (2014) General comment No. 1 (2014). Article 12: Equal recognition before the law
- Fagerlin and Schneider (2004) Enough: The Failure of the Living Will
- Hernán and Robins (2016) Using Big Data to Emulate a Target Trial When a Randomized Trial Is Not Available: Table 1.
- Darrow et al. (2020) FDA Approval and Regulation of Pharmaceuticals, 1983-2018
- Kermack and McKendrick (1927) A contribution to the mathematical theory of epidemics
- Staniford et al. (2002) How to Own the Internet in Your Spare Time
- Gu et al. (2024b) Agent Smith: A Single Image Can Jailbreak One Million Multimodal LLM Agents Exponentially Fast
- Faden (1986) A history and theory of informed consent
- Evans et al. (2001) Use of proportional reporting ratios (PRRs) for signal generation from spontaneous adverse drug reaction reports
- Topol (2004) Failing the Public Health — Rofecoxib, Merck, and the FDA
- Platt et al. (2018) The FDA Sentinel Initiative — An Evolving National Resource
- Embi (2021) Algorithmovigilance—Advancing Methods to Analyze and Monitor Artificial Intelligence–Driven Health Care for Effectiveness and Equity
- Finlayson et al. (2021) The Clinician and Dataset Shift in Artificial Intelligence
- Feng et al. (2022) Clinical artificial intelligence quality improvement: towards continual monitoring and updating of AI algorithms in healthcare
- Rid and Wendler (2014) Use of a Patient Preference Predictor to Help Make Medical Decisions for Incapacitated Patients
- Earp et al. (2024) A Personalized Patient Preference Predictor for Substituted Judgments in Healthcare: Technically Feasible and Ethically Desirable
- Beauchamp and Childress (2019) Principles of Biomedical Ethics : Marking Its Fortieth Anniversary
- Babic et al. (2019) Algorithms on regulatory lockdown in medicine
- Wu et al. (2021a) How medical AI devices are evaluated: limitations and recommendations from an analysis of FDA approvals
- World Medical Association (1964) WMA Declaration of Helsinki: Ethical Principles for Medical Research Involving Human Participants
- Beecher (1966) Ethics and Clinical Research
- Freedman (1987) Equipoise and the Ethics of Clinical Research
- Emanuel (2000) What Makes Clinical Research Ethical?
- Fagerlin et al. (2001) Projection in surrogate decisions about life-sustaining medical treatments.
- Langmuir (1963) The Surveillance of Communicable Diseases of National Importance
F.37 Metascience and philosophy of science #
Spine.
- Across the Boundaries (Steel, 2007). States the extrapolator's circle (to know a model resembles its target in the relevant mechanism one seems to need to know the target already) and answers it with comparative process tracing, the test every analogy and model organism in the book must pass.
- What errors do peer reviewers detect, and does training improve their ability to detect them? (Schroter et al., 2008). Randomized trial in which 607 BMJ reviewers received papers with nine major errors deliberately inserted; at baseline they found 2.58 of the nine on average and training had small effects, the planted-error design for testing whether reviewers catch errors or sabotage in work they did not do.
- Industry sponsorship and research outcome (Lundh et al., 2017). Cochrane review finding that industry-sponsored drug and device studies more often report favorable efficacy results and conclusions than independently sponsored ones, the best-measured case of sponsorship bias for comparison with laboratory-funded AI safety evidence.
Side reading.
- Falsification and the Methodology of Scientific Research Programmes (Lakatos, 1970). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Science for the post-normal age (Funtowicz and Ravetz, 1993). Describes the regime in which facts are uncertain, values in dispute, stakes high, and decisions urgent, where normal scientific practice does not settle policy questions.
- Effect on the Quality of Peer Review of Blinding Reviewers and Asking Them to Sign Their Reports (Godlee et al., 1998). A randomized trial that planted errors in a manuscript and measured how many reviewers found them.
- Models and Analogies in Science (Hesse, 1963). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- By Parallel Reasoning (Bartha, 2010). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Evidence-Based Policy (Cartwright and Hardie, 2012). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- External Validity: From Do-Calculus to Transportability Across Populations (Pearl and Bareinboim, 2014). Formalizes transportability of causal effects across populations with selection diagrams, a formal criterion for when experimental results from one system license conclusions about another.
- Scope and Impact of Financial Conflicts of Interest in Biomedical Research (Bekelman et al., 2003). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Selective Publication of Antidepressant Trials and Its Influence on Apparent Efficacy (Turner et al., 2008). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Merchants of Doubt: How a Handful of Scientists Obscured the Truth on Issues from Tobacco Smoke to Global Warming (Oreskes and Conway, 2010). Documents how industry-funded scientists manufactured doubt about tobacco, acid rain, ozone, and climate evidence, the historical template for asking who funds and frames the evidence on a technology's risks.
- Who Reviews the Reviewers? Feasibility of Using a Fictitious Manuscript to Evaluate Peer Reviewer Performance (Baxt et al., 1998). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Peer-review practices of psychological journals: The fate of published articles, submitted again (Peters and Ceci, 1982). Resubmitted 12 published psychology articles under fictitious names and institutions to the journals that had published them; only 3 of 38 editors and reviewers detected the resubmissions and 8 of the 9 articles reviewed again were rejected, evidence on the reliability of expert review.
- A Reliability-Generalization Study of Journal Peer Reviews: A Multilevel Meta-Analysis of Inter-Rater Reliability and Its Determinants (Bornmann et al., 2010). Meta-analysis of inter-rater reliability in journal peer review finding low agreement between reviewers, a measured ceiling on the consistency of expert judgment used as an evaluation signal.
- Inconsistency in Conference Peer Review: Revisiting the 2014 NeurIPS Experiment (Cortes and Lawrence, 2021). Revisits the NeurIPS 2014 experiment in which a sample of papers was reviewed by two independent committees and analyzes the inconsistency of accept decisions, the machine-learning field's own measurement of review reliability.
- Has the Machine Learning Review Process Become More Arbitrary as the Field Has Grown? The NeurIPS 2021 Consistency Experiment (Beygelzimer et al., 2023). Repeats the duplicate-review experiment at NeurIPS 2021 and measures how arbitrary accept decisions are as the field grows, recent evidence on the reliability of review in the field that will evaluate automated research.
- Estimating the reproducibility of psychological science (Open Science Collaboration, 2015). Large-scale replication of published psychology experiments that reproduced far fewer significant effects than the originals, the reference measurement of how much of a published field holds up.
Sources cited in Section F.37 19
- Steel (2007) Across the Boundaries
- Schroter et al. (2008) What errors do peer reviewers detect, and does training improve their ability to detect them?
- Lundh et al. (2017) Industry sponsorship and research outcome
- Lakatos (1970) Falsification and the Methodology of Scientific Research Programmes
- Funtowicz and Ravetz (1993) Science for the post-normal age
- Godlee et al. (1998) Effect on the Quality of Peer Review of Blinding Reviewers and Asking Them to Sign Their Reports
- Hesse (1963) Models and Analogies in Science
- Bartha (2010) By Parallel Reasoning
- Cartwright and Hardie (2012) Evidence-Based Policy
- Pearl and Bareinboim (2014) External Validity: From Do-Calculus to Transportability Across Populations
- Bekelman et al. (2003) Scope and Impact of Financial Conflicts of Interest in Biomedical Research
- Turner et al. (2008) Selective Publication of Antidepressant Trials and Its Influence on Apparent Efficacy
- Oreskes and Conway (2010) Merchants of Doubt: How a Handful of Scientists Obscured the Truth on Issues from Tobacco Smoke to Global Warming
- Baxt et al. (1998) Who Reviews the Reviewers? Feasibility of Using a Fictitious Manuscript to Evaluate Peer Reviewer Performance
- Peters and Ceci (1982) Peer-review practices of psychological journals: The fate of published articles, submitted again
- Bornmann et al. (2010) A Reliability-Generalization Study of Journal Peer Reviews: A Multilevel Meta-Analysis of Inter-Rater Reliability and Its Determinants
- Cortes and Lawrence (2021) Inconsistency in Conference Peer Review: Revisiting the 2014 NeurIPS Experiment
- Beygelzimer et al. (2023) Has the Machine Learning Review Process Become More Arbitrary as the Field Has Grown? The NeurIPS 2021 Consistency Experiment
- Open Science Collaboration (2015) Estimating the reproducibility of psychological science
F.38 Moral psychology and the measurement of values #
Spine.
- Universals in the Content and Structure of Values: Theoretical Advances and Empirical Tests in 20 Countries (Schwartz, 1992). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Construction of Preference (Lichtenstein and Slovic, 2006). Collects the evidence that preferences are often constructed at the moment of elicitation rather than read off a stable internal ordering, the central difficulty for any training signal built from stated human preferences.
- Moral Foundations Theory (Graham et al., 2013). States moral foundations theory, in which moral judgment rests on several innate but culturally shaped foundations (care, fairness, loyalty, authority, sanctity, and candidates such as liberty), and defends its pluralism; the most used framework for describing how moral values vary across groups.
- Truth Is a Lie: Crowd Truth and the Seven Myths of Human Annotation (Aroyo and Welty, 2015). Argues that disagreement among annotators is signal rather than noise and lists seven myths of human annotation, including the assumption of one correct answer, the founding statement of the case against majority-vote ground truth.
Side reading.
- Inherent Disagreements in Human Textual Inferences (Pavlick and Kwiatkowski, 2019). Shows that disagreement in human judgments of textual inference persists as more annotators are added and reflects real differences in interpretation, so a single gold label misrepresents the target.
- Dealing with Disagreements: Looking Beyond the Majority Vote in Subjective Annotations (Davani et al., 2022). Models each annotator as a separate task in a multi-task network, which predicts disagreement and performs as well as or better than training on majority votes, a method for keeping minority judgments in the training signal.
- The “Problem” of Human Label Variation: On Ground Truth in Data, Modeling and Evaluation (Plank, 2022). Argues that human label variation is a property of the data that training and evaluation should represent, and reviews methods that learn from the full distribution of labels.
- Toward a Perspectivist Turn in Ground Truthing for Predictive Computing (Cabitza et al., 2023). Sets out the perspectivist position that ground truth for subjective tasks should preserve the plurality of annotators' views, with consequences for how models are trained and evaluated.
- The Theory of Dyadic Morality: Reinventing Moral Judgment by Redefining Harm (Schein and Gray, 2018). Argues that moral judgment across domains rests on perceived harm in a dyad of an intentional agent and a suffering patient, a direct challenge to the pluralism of moral foundations theory.
- Is It Good to Cooperate? Testing the Theory of Morality-as-Cooperation in 60 Societies (Curry et al., 2019). Tests the theory that morality consists of solutions to recurrent problems of cooperation against ethnographic records from 60 societies, a rival to moral foundations theory that claims these cooperative behaviors are valued everywhere.
- World Values Survey Trend File (1981-2022) Cross-National Data-Set (Haerpfer et al., 2022). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Human Feedback is not Gold Standard (Hosking et al., 2023). Finds that human preference scores for model outputs under-represent factuality and that more assertive outputs are judged more favorably, so training on preferences can reward confident style over correctness.
- Towards Measuring the Representation of Subjective Global Opinions in Language Models (Durmus et al., 2023). Builds GlobalOpinionQA from cross-national surveys and measures whose opinions a model's answers most resemble, finding that by default they are closer to some countries' populations than others' and that prompting for a country's perspective shifts them, a direct measurement of the whose-values question.
- Questioning the Survey Responses of Large Language Models (Dominguez-Olmedo et al., 2024). Evaluates 43 language models on the American Community Survey and finds their answers governed by ordering and labeling biases, and that once these are adjusted for, the responses trend toward uniformly random, a caution against inferring model values from human questionnaires.
- Political Compass or Spinning Arrow? Towards More Meaningful Evaluations for Values and Opinions in Large Language Models (Röttger et al., 2024). Shows that values and opinions measured by forcing language models to answer multiple-choice Political Compass items change when the models answer in open form or when prompts are varied, so constrained surveys misstate what models say in realistic use.
- Morality beyond the WEIRD: How the nomological network of morality varies across cultures. (Atari et al., 2023a). Revises the Moral Foundations Questionnaire, splitting fairness into equality and proportionality, and tests it in many countries, finding that the structure and correlates of the foundations vary across cultures.
- Reversals of preference between bids and choices in gambling decisions. (Lichtenstein and Slovic, 1971). Shows that people choose one gamble yet set a higher selling price on another, a preference reversal that depends on the response mode, the founding evidence that elicited preferences are shaped by how they are asked for.
- Value elicitation: Is there anything in there? (Fischhoff, 1991). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
Sources cited in Section F.38 18
- Schwartz (1992) Universals in the Content and Structure of Values: Theoretical Advances and Empirical Tests in 20 Countries
- Lichtenstein and Slovic (2006) The Construction of Preference
- Graham et al. (2013) Moral Foundations Theory
- Aroyo and Welty (2015) Truth Is a Lie: Crowd Truth and the Seven Myths of Human Annotation
- Pavlick and Kwiatkowski (2019) Inherent Disagreements in Human Textual Inferences
- Davani et al. (2022) Dealing with Disagreements: Looking Beyond the Majority Vote in Subjective Annotations
- Plank (2022) The “Problem” of Human Label Variation: On Ground Truth in Data, Modeling and Evaluation
- Cabitza et al. (2023) Toward a Perspectivist Turn in Ground Truthing for Predictive Computing
- Schein and Gray (2018) The Theory of Dyadic Morality: Reinventing Moral Judgment by Redefining Harm
- Curry et al. (2019) Is It Good to Cooperate? Testing the Theory of Morality-as-Cooperation in 60 Societies
- Haerpfer et al. (2022) World Values Survey Trend File (1981-2022) Cross-National Data-Set
- Hosking et al. (2023) Human Feedback is not Gold Standard
- Durmus et al. (2023) Towards Measuring the Representation of Subjective Global Opinions in Language Models
- Dominguez-Olmedo et al. (2024) Questioning the Survey Responses of Large Language Models
- Röttger et al. (2024) Political Compass or Spinning Arrow? Towards More Meaningful Evaluations for Values and Opinions in Large Language Models
- Atari et al. (2023a) Morality beyond the WEIRD: How the nomological network of morality varies across cultures.
- Lichtenstein and Slovic (1971) Reversals of preference between bids and choices in gambling decisions.
- Fischhoff (1991) Value elicitation: Is there anything in there?
F.39 Neuroscience #
Spine.
- Positive reinforcement produced by electrical stimulation of septal area and other regions of rat brain. (Olds and Milner, 1954). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- A Neural Substrate of Prediction and Reward (Schultz et al., 1997). Shows that midbrain dopamine neurons signal the difference between received and predicted reward, matching the temporal-difference error of reinforcement learning, the link between machine reward learning and the brain.
- What is the role of dopamine in reward: hedonic impact, reward learning, or incentive salience? (Berridge and Robinson, 1998). Argues that dopamine mediates incentive salience, the wanting of a reward, rather than its hedonic impact or the learning about it, so a reward system can drive pursuit of what the organism does not enjoy.
- Could a Neuroscientist Understand a Microprocessor? (Jonas and Kording, 2017). Applies standard neuroscience methods (lesions, tuning curves, correlations, dimensionality reduction) to a microprocessor whose function is fully known and finds that they do not recover how it computes, a direct test of whether inspection methods can reveal mechanism.
Side reading.
- Receptive fields, binocular interaction and functional architecture in the cat's visual cortex (Hubel and Wiesel, 1962). Maps single neurons in visual cortex to the stimulus features they respond to, the model for reading features off units.
- Representational similarity analysis – connecting the branches of systems neuroscience (Kriegeskorte, 2008). Compares representations across brains, models, and measurement methods through their matrices of pairwise dissimilarities.
- Your Brain on ChatGPT: Accumulation of Cognitive Debt when Using an AI Assistant for Essay Writing Task (Kosmyna et al., 2025). A small study measuring brain activity and recall in essay writing with and without a chatbot, reported as evidence of reduced engagement.
- Neuroscience Needs Behavior: Correcting a Reductionist Bias (Krakauer et al., 2017). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- What does it mean to understand a neural network? (Lillicrap and Kording, 2019). Argues that a trained network is easier to understand through the code that produces it (architecture, learning rule, objective) than through its millions of learned weights, and that neuroscience should focus on learning and development for the same reason.
- Electrical Self-stimulation of the Brain in Man (Heath, 1963). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Vision: a computational investigation into the human representation and processing of visual information (Marr, 1982). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Can a biologist fix a radio?—Or, what I learned while studying apoptosis (Lazebnik, 2002). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Can cognitive processes be inferred from neuroimaging data? (Poldrack, 2006). Shows that inferring a cognitive process from activation of a brain region is weak evidence unless the region is selective for that process, the same inferential problem as reading a concept from an active feature.
- A framework for mesencephalic dopamine systems based on predictive Hebbian learning (Montague et al., 1996). Proposes that mesencephalic dopamine neurons carry a temporal-difference prediction error used for learning, the theoretical framework the dopamine recordings were read against.
- Reinforcement learning in the brain (Niv, 2009). Reviews reinforcement learning as a model of learning and decision making in the brain, from prediction errors to the distinction between model-free and model-based control.
- A distributional code for value in dopamine-based reinforcement learning (Dabney et al., 2020). Finds that dopamine neurons encode a distribution over future reward rather than its mean, as distributional reinforcement learning predicts, a case of an AI algorithm generating a neuroscience prediction that was then confirmed.
- Invariant visual representation by single neurons in the human brain (Quiroga et al., 2005). Finds single neurons in the human medial temporal lobe that respond selectively to a particular person or landmark across very different images, the biological precedent for invariant, interpretable single-unit features.
- A framework for studying the neurobiology of value-based decision making (Rangel et al., 2008). Lays out a framework for value-based decision making in which the brain assigns, compares, and updates values of options, the neuroscience of how values are represented and computed for choice.
- Avoiding Wireheading with Value Reinforcement Learning (Everitt and Hutter, 2016). Formalizes wireheading for reinforcement learning agents that can tamper with their reward signal and proposes value reinforcement learning to remove the incentive.
Sources cited in Section F.39 19
- Olds and Milner (1954) Positive reinforcement produced by electrical stimulation of septal area and other regions of rat brain.
- Schultz et al. (1997) A Neural Substrate of Prediction and Reward
- Berridge and Robinson (1998) What is the role of dopamine in reward: hedonic impact, reward learning, or incentive salience?
- Jonas and Kording (2017) Could a Neuroscientist Understand a Microprocessor?
- Hubel and Wiesel (1962) Receptive fields, binocular interaction and functional architecture in the cat's visual cortex
- Kriegeskorte (2008) Representational similarity analysis – connecting the branches of systems neuroscience
- Kosmyna et al. (2025) Your Brain on ChatGPT: Accumulation of Cognitive Debt when Using an AI Assistant for Essay Writing Task
- Krakauer et al. (2017) Neuroscience Needs Behavior: Correcting a Reductionist Bias
- Lillicrap and Kording (2019) What does it mean to understand a neural network?
- Heath (1963) Electrical Self-stimulation of the Brain in Man
- Marr (1982) Vision: a computational investigation into the human representation and processing of visual information
- Lazebnik (2002) Can a biologist fix a radio?—Or, what I learned while studying apoptosis
- Poldrack (2006) Can cognitive processes be inferred from neuroimaging data?
- Montague et al. (1996) A framework for mesencephalic dopamine systems based on predictive Hebbian learning
- Niv (2009) Reinforcement learning in the brain
- Dabney et al. (2020) A distributional code for value in dopamine-based reinforcement learning
- Quiroga et al. (2005) Invariant visual representation by single neurons in the human brain
- Rangel et al. (2008) A framework for studying the neurobiology of value-based decision making
- Everitt and Hutter (2016) Avoiding Wireheading with Value Reinforcement Learning
F.40 Operations research and decision analysis #
Spine.
- A Sampling Inspection Problem in Arms Control Agreements: A Game-Theoretic Analysis (Dresher, 1962). Founding analysis of sampling inspection in arms control as a two-person game, deriving optimal randomized inspection when the inspector can check only a few of many events, the origin of the inspection-game literature.
- Competitive Bidding in High-Risk Situations (Capen et al., 1971). Petroleum engineers' account of the winner's curse in bidding for oil leases, showing that the winning bid systematically overestimates value under uncertainty, the first industrial record of selection on noisy estimates.
Side reading.
- Dynamic Programming (Bellman, 1957). Founds dynamic programming and the principle of optimality behind value functions.
- Information Value Theory (Howard, 1966). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Markov Decision Processes (Puterman, 1994). The standard reference on Markov decision processes.
- A price leadership method for solving the inspector's non‐constant‐sum game (Maschler, 1966). Shows that an inspector who can commit in advance to an inspection strategy does better than in simultaneous play (the leadership solution), the result behind publicly committed audit policies.
- Penalty has no Impact on Crime: (Tsebelis, 1990). Argues that in mixed-strategy inspection equilibria raising the penalty changes the inspector's behavior rather than the violator's, a counterintuitive result on when harsher sanctions fail to deter.
- Compliance Quantified (Avenhaus and Canty, 1996). Develops statistical and game-theoretic methods for verifying declared data against independent measurements under safeguards agreements, the quantitative theory of checking a party's reports when it may falsify them.
- Inspection games in arms control (Avenhaus et al., 1996). Reviews inspection games as applied to arms control verification, including non-zero-sum models and the value of inspector commitment, the operations-research frame for verifying international agreements.
- Stackelberg vs. Nash in Security Games: An Extended Investigation of Interchangeability, Equivalence, and Uniqueness (Korzhyk et al., 2011). Characterizes when the defender's Stackelberg strategy in a security game is also a Nash strategy, so that committing to a randomized audit policy costs nothing even if the attacker cannot observe it, a result on publishing audit strategies.
- Tweedie’s Formula and Selection Bias (Efron, 2011). Uses Tweedie's formula to correct estimates for selection bias after choosing the largest of many, an empirical Bayes correction for the optimizer's curse applicable to picking the best of many sampled outputs.
- On Over-fitting in Model Selection and Subsequent Selection Bias in Performance Evaluation (Cawley and Talbot, 2010). Shows that tuning model-selection criteria on the same data used to estimate performance produces optimistic bias comparable to differences between algorithms, the machine-learning form of the optimizer's curse in benchmark selection.
- Decision Making and Postdecision Surprises (Harrison and March, 1984). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Anomalies: The Winner's Curse (Thaler, 1988). Reviews the evidence for the winner's curse in common-value auctions and its persistence among experienced bidders, evidence that selection under noisy estimates misleads even experts.
Sources cited in Section F.40 14
- Dresher (1962) A Sampling Inspection Problem in Arms Control Agreements: A Game-Theoretic Analysis
- Capen et al. (1971) Competitive Bidding in High-Risk Situations
- Bellman (1957) Dynamic Programming
- Howard (1966) Information Value Theory
- Puterman (1994) Markov Decision Processes
- Maschler (1966) A price leadership method for solving the inspector's non‐constant‐sum game
- Tsebelis (1990) Penalty has no Impact on Crime:
- Avenhaus and Canty (1996) Compliance Quantified
- Avenhaus et al. (1996) Inspection games in arms control
- Korzhyk et al. (2011) Stackelberg vs. Nash in Security Games: An Extended Investigation of Interchangeability, Equivalence, and Uniqueness
- Efron (2011) Tweedie’s Formula and Selection Bias
- Cawley and Talbot (2010) On Over-fitting in Model Selection and Subsequent Selection Bias in Performance Evaluation
- Harrison and March (1984) Decision Making and Postdecision Surprises
- Thaler (1988) Anomalies: The Winner's Curse
F.41 Organizations and management #
Spine.
- Bureaucratic Structure and Personality (Merton, 1940). Identifies goal displacement: adherence to rules, originally a means, becomes an end in itself, producing rigidity when circumstances change; the classic statement of rules outliving their purpose.
- Institutionalized Organizations: Formal Structure as Myth and Ceremony (Meyer and Rowan, 1977). Shows organizations adopt formal structures for legitimacy and decouple them from actual practice, the institutional model of ceremonial compliance that bears on safety commitments and on systems that behave differently when observed.
- A Conceptual Framework for the Design of Organizational Control Mechanisms (Ouchi, 1979). Classifies organizational control into market, bureaucratic, and clan mechanisms and ties the choice to whether outputs are measurable and whether means-ends knowledge is available; a general theory of when to control by outcome, by process, or by values.
- Separation of Ownership and Control (Fama and Jensen, 1983). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Normal accidents: living with high-risk technologies (Perrow, 1984). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Working in Practice But Not in Theory: Theoretical Challenges of “High-Reliability Organizations” (La Porte and Consolini, 1991). Founding statement of high-reliability organization research: air traffic control, power grids, and carriers achieve near-failure-free operation in ways existing organization theory did not predict. The Crossref record lacks authors; authors are from the Semantic Scholar record for the same DOI.
- The Limits of Safety (Sagan, 1993). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Challenger launch decision: risky technology, culture, and deviance at NASA (Vaughan, 1996). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Managing the risks of organizational accidents (Reason, 1997). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Managing the Unexpected: Assuring High Performance in an Age of Complexity (Weick and Sutcliffe, 2001). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
Side reading.
- A typology of organisational cultures (Westrum, 2004). Classifies organizations as pathological, bureaucratic, or generative by how they handle information, and links the type to safety.
- Agency Theory: An Assessment and Review (Eisenhardt, 1989). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The audit society: rituals of verification (Power, 1997). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The dynamics of bureaucracy: a study of interpersonal relations in two government agencies (Blau, 1955). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Economy and Society (Weber, 1978). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Two Types of Bureaucracy: Enabling and Coercive (Adler and Borys, 1996). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Role of Boards of Directors in Corporate Governance: A Conceptual Framework and Survey (Adams et al., 2010). Surveys theory and evidence on what boards do, how they are chosen, and why their monitoring is limited by dependence on management for information.
- Goals Gone Wild: The Systematic Side Effects of Over-Prescribing Goal Setting (Ordonez et al., 2009). Argues that specific, challenging goals produce systematic side effects, including narrowed focus, risk taking, and unethical behavior, the organizational-behavior analogue of reward hacking.
- Corporate Governance of Artificial Intelligence in the Public Interest (Cihon et al., 2021). Maps the actors inside and around AI companies (management, workers, investors, governments) who can steer corporate AI development toward the public interest.
- Towards best practices in AGI safety and governance: A survey of expert opinion (Schuett et al., 2023). Surveys experts on safety and governance practices for AGI labs and reports broad agreement on measures such as pre-deployment risk assessment, evaluations, and red teaming.
- How to design an AI ethics board (Schuett et al., 2025). Lays out the design choices for an AI ethics board (responsibilities, legal structure, composition, decision rules, funding) and their trade-offs.
- Three lines of defense against risks from AI (Schuett, 2025b). Adapts the three lines of defense model from financial risk management to AI companies, assigning risk ownership, oversight, and independent audit.
- Some Characteristics of One Type of High Reliability Organization (Roberts, 1990). Characterizes organizations that operate hazardous technology with very few failures, identifying the structural and cultural features (redundancy, decentralization under stress, training) that support reliability.
- Closing the AI accountability gap (Raji et al., 2020). Proposes an end-to-end framework for internal algorithmic auditing across the development lifecycle, adapted from audit practice in other industries.
- Organizational learning (Argyris and Schon, 1978). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Psychological Safety and Learning Behavior in Work Teams (Edmondson, 1999). Introduces team psychological safety and shows it predicts learning behavior such as reporting errors and seeking feedback, relevant to whether staff surface safety problems.
- Organizational Silence: A Barrier to Change and Development in a Pluralistic World (Morrison and Milliken, 2000). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Levers of Control: How Managers Use Innovative Control Systems to Drive Strategic Renewal (Simons, 1994). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Moving Beyond Normal Accidents and High Reliability Organizations: A Systems Approach to Safety in Complex Systems (Leveson et al., 2009). Critiques both normal accident theory and high-reliability theory and proposes a systems-theoretic approach to safety, a bridge between organization studies and safety engineering.
- Regulating for 'Normal AI Accidents' (Maas, 2018). Applies normal accident theory to AI systems and argues that regulation should anticipate system accidents arising from complexity and coupling rather than only individual failures.
- The Organizational and Interorganizational Development of Disasters (Turner, 1976). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Risk management in a dynamic society: a modelling problem (Rasmussen, 1997). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Friendly Fire (Snook, 2000). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Drift into failure: from hunting broken components to understanding complex systems (Dekker, 2010). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Owning Ethics: Corporate Logics, Silicon Valley, and the Institutionalization of Ethics (Metcalf et al., 2019). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Where Responsible AI meets Reality (Rakova et al., 2021). Interviews responsible-AI practitioners and identifies organizational enablers and obstacles (incentives, accountability, timelines) to changing practice.
- Walking the Walk of AI Ethics: Organizational Challenges and the Individualization of Risk among Ethics Entrepreneurs (Ali et al., 2023). Interview study of ethics workers inside technology companies showing how responsibility for AI risk is individualized onto a few employees with limited authority.
- Dislocated accountabilities in the “AI supply chain”: Modularity and developers’ notions of responsibility (Widder and Nafus, 2023). Shows how modular AI supply chains let each developer locate responsibility elsewhere, a structural account of diffuse accountability.
- Field-building and the epistemic culture of AI safety (Ahmed et al., 2024). Studies the AI safety field's epistemic culture and field-building practices, an outside view of how safety researchers define problems and evidence.
- Dysfunctional Consequences of Performance Measurements (Ridgway, 1956). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- What’s Measured Is What Matters: Targets and Gaming in the English Public Health Care System (Bevan and Hood, 2006). Analyzes the English health system's target regime and classifies gaming responses (ratchet effects, threshold effects, output distortion), with documented cases.
- The nature of safety culture: a review of theory and research (Guldenmund, 2000). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Workplace safety: A meta-analysis of the roles of person and situation factors. (Christian et al., 2009). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Building a Culture of Safety for AI: Perspectives and Challenges (Manheim, 2023). Applies safety culture research from other high-risk industries to AI developers and identifies obstacles specific to AI.
- Organizational dissidence: The case of whistle-blowing (Near and Miceli, 1985). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
Sources cited in Section F.41 45
- Merton (1940) Bureaucratic Structure and Personality
- Meyer and Rowan (1977) Institutionalized Organizations: Formal Structure as Myth and Ceremony
- Ouchi (1979) A Conceptual Framework for the Design of Organizational Control Mechanisms
- Fama and Jensen (1983) Separation of Ownership and Control
- Perrow (1984) Normal accidents: living with high-risk technologies
- La Porte and Consolini (1991) Working in Practice But Not in Theory: Theoretical Challenges of “High-Reliability Organizations”
- Sagan (1993) The Limits of Safety
- Vaughan (1996) The Challenger launch decision: risky technology, culture, and deviance at NASA
- Reason (1997) Managing the risks of organizational accidents
- Weick and Sutcliffe (2001) Managing the Unexpected: Assuring High Performance in an Age of Complexity
- Westrum (2004) A typology of organisational cultures
- Eisenhardt (1989) Agency Theory: An Assessment and Review
- Power (1997) The audit society: rituals of verification
- Blau (1955) The dynamics of bureaucracy: a study of interpersonal relations in two government agencies
- Weber (1978) Economy and Society
- Adler and Borys (1996) Two Types of Bureaucracy: Enabling and Coercive
- Adams et al. (2010) The Role of Boards of Directors in Corporate Governance: A Conceptual Framework and Survey
- Ordonez et al. (2009) Goals Gone Wild: The Systematic Side Effects of Over-Prescribing Goal Setting
- Cihon et al. (2021) Corporate Governance of Artificial Intelligence in the Public Interest
- Schuett et al. (2023) Towards best practices in AGI safety and governance: A survey of expert opinion
- Schuett et al. (2025) How to design an AI ethics board
- Schuett (2025b) Three lines of defense against risks from AI
- Roberts (1990) Some Characteristics of One Type of High Reliability Organization
- Raji et al. (2020) Closing the AI accountability gap
- Argyris and Schon (1978) Organizational learning
- Edmondson (1999) Psychological Safety and Learning Behavior in Work Teams
- Morrison and Milliken (2000) Organizational Silence: A Barrier to Change and Development in a Pluralistic World
- Simons (1994) Levers of Control: How Managers Use Innovative Control Systems to Drive Strategic Renewal
- Leveson et al. (2009) Moving Beyond Normal Accidents and High Reliability Organizations: A Systems Approach to Safety in Complex Systems
- Maas (2018) Regulating for 'Normal AI Accidents'
- Turner (1976) The Organizational and Interorganizational Development of Disasters
- Rasmussen (1997) Risk management in a dynamic society: a modelling problem
- Snook (2000) Friendly Fire
- Dekker (2010) Drift into failure: from hunting broken components to understanding complex systems
- Metcalf et al. (2019) Owning Ethics: Corporate Logics, Silicon Valley, and the Institutionalization of Ethics
- Rakova et al. (2021) Where Responsible AI meets Reality
- Ali et al. (2023) Walking the Walk of AI Ethics: Organizational Challenges and the Individualization of Risk among Ethics Entrepreneurs
- Widder and Nafus (2023) Dislocated accountabilities in the “AI supply chain”: Modularity and developers’ notions of responsibility
- Ahmed et al. (2024) Field-building and the epistemic culture of AI safety
- Ridgway (1956) Dysfunctional Consequences of Performance Measurements
- Bevan and Hood (2006) What’s Measured Is What Matters: Targets and Gaming in the English Public Health Care System
- Guldenmund (2000) The nature of safety culture: a review of theory and research
- Christian et al. (2009) Workplace safety: A meta-analysis of the roles of person and situation factors.
- Manheim (2023) Building a Culture of Safety for AI: Perspectives and Challenges
- Near and Miceli (1985) Organizational dissidence: The case of whistle-blowing
F.42 Philosophy #
Spine.
- Social Choice and Individual Values (Arrow, 1951). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Cardinal Welfare, Individualistic Ethics, and Interpersonal Comparisons of Utility (Harsanyi, 1955). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Two Concepts of Liberty (Berlin, 1958). Founding statement of value pluralism in political philosophy: human goals are many, not all commensurable, and permanently in conflict, so no single objective can capture them.
- Some Moral and Technical Consequences of Automation (Wiener, 1960). States the core alignment worry in 1960: a machine that learns and acts faster than its operators can check will pursue the purpose put into it, so that purpose must be the one we really desire.
- Speculations Concerning the First Ultraintelligent Machine (Good, 1966). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- A Theory of Justice (Rawls, 1971). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Intentional Stance (Dennett, 1987). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Coherent Extrapolated Volition (Yudkowsky, 2004). Proposes coherent extrapolated volition: the target should be what people would want if they knew more, thought faster, and were more the people they wished to be, extrapolated and aggregated where their wishes cohere.
- At the Margins of Moral Personhood (Kittay, 2005). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Basic AI Drives (Omohundro, 2008). Argues that sufficiently capable goal-seeking systems of almost any design acquire drives toward self-improvement, goal preservation, self-protection, and resource acquisition unless these are explicitly counteracted.
- The Superintelligent Will: Motivation and Instrumental Rationality in Advanced Artificial Agents (Bostrom, 2012). States the orthogonality thesis (intelligence and final goals vary independently) and the instrumental convergence thesis, the two premises on which most later arguments for misalignment risk rest.
- Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies (Bostrom, 2014). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Human Compatible (Russell, 2019). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Artificial Intelligence, Values, and Alignment (Gabriel, 2020). Separates alignment with instructions, intentions, revealed preferences, informed preferences, interests, and values, and argues that the target must be principles that people with different views could reasonably endorse.
- Moral Uncertainty (MacAskill et al., 2020). The standard treatment of acting under moral uncertainty: maximizing expected choiceworthiness, intertheoretic comparisons, and voting methods for theories that are only ordinal.
- Is Power-Seeking AI an Existential Risk? (Carlsmith, 2022). Decomposes the case for existential risk from power-seeking AI into six premises with explicit probabilities, the reference structure that later critiques and surveys argue against.
- Characterizing Manipulation from AI Systems (Carroll et al., 2023). Defines manipulation by AI systems through incentives, intent, covertness, and harm, so that a system without human-like intentions can still be said to manipulate.
- Social Choice Should Guide AI Alignment in Dealing with Diverse Human Feedback (Conitzer et al., 2024). Position paper arguing that reinforcement learning from diverse human feedback is implicitly a social choice procedure and should be designed with social choice axioms in view.
- Collective Constitutional AI: Aligning a Language Model with Public Input (Huang et al., 2024a). Elicits a constitution from a representative public sample, trains a model on it, and compares the result with a developer-written constitution, the first end-to-end public-input alignment process.
- A Roadmap to Pluralistic Alignment (Sorensen et al., 2024). Defines three forms of pluralistic alignment (Overton, steerable, and distributional) and pluralistic benchmarks, a shared vocabulary for alignment to many people.
- Beyond Preferences in AI Alignment (Zhi-Xuan et al., 2025). Argues that preferences are a poor proxy for values and that rational choice theory is a poor model of people, and proposes aligning to normative standards appropriate to an assistant's social role.
Side reading.
- What do philosophers believe? (Bourget and Chalmers, 2014). A survey of professional philosophers' views on central questions, including moral realism.
- The Definition of Lying and Deception (Mahon, 2015). The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy's survey of definitions of lying and deception, including the traditional definition and its non-deceptionist rivals.
- Philosophers on Philosophy: The 2020 PhilPapers Survey (Bourget and Chalmers, 2023). The second survey of professional philosophers' views, repeating and extending the 2009 questions.
- Intention (Anscombe, 1957). Analyzes intentional action as action to which a certain question 'why?' applies, the starting point for asking whether a model acts with intentions.
- Intention, Plans, and Practical Reason (Bratman, 1987). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Group Agency (List and Pettit, 2011). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Reinforcement learning and artificial agency (Butlin, 2024). Argues that reinforcement learning systems satisfy plausible conditions for minimal agency, and that model-based systems which search forward can act for reasons.
- Understanding Artificial Agency (Dung, 2025). Proposes a multidimensional account of artificial agency (goal-directedness, autonomy, direct impact on the world, long-term planning, acting for reasons) for comparing AI systems by degree of agency.
- AI Research Considerations for Human Existential Safety (ARCHES) (Critch and Krueger, 2020). Research agenda organized by the number of humans and AI systems involved, emphasizing risks that arise with multiple principals and multiple agents.
- The Precipice (Ord, 2020). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Artificial Intelligence: Arguments for Catastrophic Risk (Bales et al., 2024). Survey in a philosophy venue of two influential arguments that AI could pose catastrophic risk, led by the problem of power-seeking: why systems might seek power, obtain it, cause catastrophe, and be deployed anyway.
- Two types of AI existential risk: decisive and accumulative (Kasirzadeh, 2025). Distinguishes decisive from accumulative existential risk, where gradual erosion of social structures rather than a single takeover produces the catastrophe.
- Freedom of the Will and the Concept of a Person (Frankfurt, 1971). Distinguishes first-order desires from second-order desires about which desires to have, the structure behind aligning to reflectively endorsed rather than revealed preferences.
- The Theory and Practice of Autonomy (Dworkin, 1988). Analyzes autonomy as the capacity to reflect on and endorse one's first-order preferences, the standard against which manipulation and paternalism are judged.
- Introduction to Computational Social Choice (Brandt et al., 2016). Introduction to the handbook that defines computational social choice: algorithms, complexity, and axioms for voting, matching, and fair division.
- Existential risk from AI and orthogonality: Can we have it both ways? (Müller and Cannon, 2022). Argues that the existential-risk argument needs both an orthogonality thesis and a capability claim about general intelligence, and that the two pull against each other.
- The TESCREAL bundle: Eugenics and the promise of utopia through artificial general intelligence (Gebru and Torres, 2024). Political critique of the AGI and existential-risk agenda, tracing it to a cluster of ideologies and arguing that it diverts attention from present harms.
- Against the singularity hypothesis (Thorstad, 2025). Argues that the singularity hypothesis rests on growth assumptions that face strong counterevidence, a direct critique of the intelligence-explosion premise.
- AI can help humans find common ground in democratic deliberation (Tessler et al., 2024). A model trained to produce group statements helped people find common ground, and its statements were preferred over those of human mediators.
- I.—computing Machinery and Intelligence (Turing, 1950). Proposes the imitation game and the learning child machine, and answers the objection that a machine can only do what we order it to do, which frames delegation to systems whose behavior the designer cannot fully foresee.
- Intelligent Machinery, A Heretical Theory* (Turing, 1996). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Artificial Intelligence as a positive and negative factor in global risk (Yudkowsky, 2008). Early systematic statement that an AI need not hate us to harm us, and that the difficulty lies in specifying a goal system that stays beneficial under recursive self-improvement.
- The Alignment Problem (Christian, 2020). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Nature, Importance, and Difficulty of Machine Ethics (Moor, 2006). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- On the Machine Learning of Ethical Judgments from Natural Language (Talat et al., 2022). Critique of training models to predict crowd moral judgments, arguing that such systems encode one population's descriptive judgments as if they were normative.
- Technology, autonomy, and manipulation (Susser et al., 2019). Defines online manipulation as hidden influence that exploits vulnerabilities to steer decisions, and explains why it threatens autonomy even when outcomes are good.
- Pressure, Trickery, and a Unified Account of Manipulation (Noggle, 2020). Unified account of manipulation as influence that tries to make a target fall short of ideals for belief, desire, or emotion, covering both pressure and trickery.
- A Mechanism-Based Approach to Mitigating Harms from Persuasive Generative AI (El-Sayed et al., 2024). Separates rational persuasion from manipulation by mechanism and proposes mitigations that target the mechanisms of manipulative persuasion in generative models.
- On the conversational persuasiveness of GPT-4 (Salvi et al., 2025). Preregistered experiment in which GPT-4 with basic personal information was more persuasive than humans in debates, evidence that personalization amplifies persuasive capacity.
- Ethical Absolutism and the Ideal Observer (Firth, 1952). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Ethics: Inventing Right and Wrong (Mackie, 1977). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Moral Realism (Railton, 1986). Naturalist moral realism that identifies a person's good with what an idealized, fully informed version of them would want them to want, an ancestor of idealized-preference targets.
- Full Information Accounts of Well-Being (Sobel, 1994). Objects that full-information accounts of well-being require an idealized agent who cannot coherently compare lives, a problem for specifying targets as what people would want if fully informed.
- The Sources of Normativity (Korsgaard and O'Neill, 1996). Kantian constructivism: normativity springs from the agent's own autonomy and capacity for reflective endorsement, relevant to whether a system's values can be grounded in its own reflection.
- A Darwinian Dilemma for Realist Theories of Value (Street, 2006). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- On What Matters (Parfit, 2011). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- What to Do When You Don’t Know What to Do (Sepielli, 2009). Proposes a method for intertheoretic value comparison, the technical obstacle that any system weighing several moral theories must solve.
- The Irrelevance of Moral Uncertainty (Harman, 2015). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Normative Uncertainty as a Voting Problem (MacAskill, 2016). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Implementation of Moral Uncertainty in Intelligent Machines (Bogosian, 2017). Proposes that machines should act under moral uncertainty using a voting-based method over theories rather than adopting a single moral theory.
- Reinforcement Learning Under Moral Uncertainty (Ecoffet and Lehman, 2020). Implements expected choiceworthiness, voting, and Nash bargaining over ethical theories in reinforcement learning agents and shows their different behavior on trolley-like tasks.
- A Bargaining-Theoretic Approach to Moral Uncertainty (Greaves and Cotton-Barratt, 2023). Formalizes the moral parliament as Nash bargaining among theories weighted by credence, an aggregation rule that avoids intertheoretic unit comparisons.
- Utilitarianism (Smart and Williams, 1973). Contains Williams's integrity objection to utilitarianism, the classic argument against agents that treat their own commitments as one input to an impersonal sum.
- Anarchy, State, and Utopia (Nozick, 1974). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- What We Owe to Each Other (Scanlon, 1998). Contractualism: an act is wrong if principles that no one could reasonably reject would disallow it, a criterion for justifying an AI's rules to everyone affected.
- Paternalism (Dworkin and The Hegeler Institute, 1972). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Nudge: Improving Decisions About Health, Wealth, and Happiness (Thaler and Sunstein, 2008). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Alignment of Language Agents (Kenton et al., 2021). Analyzes misspecification for language agents and identifies deception, manipulation, and harmful content as behavioral failures specific to agents that act through language.
- The Ethics of Advanced AI Assistants (Gabriel et al., 2024). Large report on the ethics of advanced assistants that defines alignment as a relation among user, developer, society, and assistant, with chapters on manipulation, trust, and well-being.
- A matter of principle? AI alignment as the fair treatment of claims (Gabriel and Keeling, 2025). Frames alignment as the fair treatment of the claims that affected parties have on an AI system, and argues for choosing principles through a fair process rather than by aggregating preferences.
- Whose Opinions Do Language Models Reflect? (Santurkar et al., 2023). Measures whose opinions language models reflect using public opinion surveys and finds that fine-tuned models shift toward particular demographic groups.
- MaxMin-RLHF: Alignment with Diverse Human Preferences (Chakraborty et al., 2024). Shows that a single reward model cannot represent diverse subpopulations and proposes maximizing the minimum utility across learned preference groups.
- The benefits, risks and bounds of personalizing the alignment of large language models to individuals (Kirk et al., 2024a). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The PRISM Alignment Dataset: What Participatory, Representative and Individualised Human Feedback Reveals About the Subjective and Multicultural Alignment of Large Language Models (Kirk et al., 2024b). Feedback dataset linking participants' sociodemographics and stated preferences to their ratings across countries, showing how much the choice of raters shapes aggregate preferences.
- Transformative Experience (Paul, 2014). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Estimating and Penalizing Induced Preference Shifts in Recommender Systems (Carroll et al., 2022). Shows that recommender systems optimized for engagement have incentives to shift user preferences and proposes estimating and penalizing induced shifts.
- Generative Social Choice (Fish et al., 2023). Generative social choice combines social choice guarantees with language models that generate statements, so the alternatives themselves are produced rather than given.
- AI Alignment and Social Choice: Fundamental Limitations and Policy Implications (Mishra, 2023). Applies Arrow-type impossibility results to reinforcement learning from human feedback and concludes that universal alignment through democratic aggregation is impossible.
- Axioms for AI Alignment from Human Feedback (Ge et al., 2024b). Shows that Bradley-Terry reward learning from pairwise comparisons fails basic social choice axioms such as Pareto optimality, and proposes rules that satisfy them.
- Distributional Preference Learning: Understanding and Accounting for Hidden Context in RLHF (Siththaranjan et al., 2024). Proves that standard preference learning with hidden context implicitly aggregates by Borda count, and proposes distributional preference learning to expose the disagreement.
- A Minimaximalist Approach to Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback (Swamy et al., 2024). Self-play preference optimization that targets the minimax (von Neumann) winner, a Condorcet-style solution concept that handles intransitive aggregate preferences.
- The Bargaining Problem (Nash, 1950). Axiomatic bargaining solution that maximizes the product of gains over disagreement, used in moral-parliament proposals and in Nash-welfare aggregation of preferences.
- Collective Choice and Social Welfare (Sen, 1970a). Shows that escaping Arrow's theorem requires richer information, interpersonal comparisons of utility, and organizes social choice around what information an aggregation rule may use.
- The Impossibility of a Paretian Liberal (Sen, 1970b). Proves that minimal liberty and the weak Pareto principle conflict, so even respecting each person's say over private matters can be incompatible with unanimity.
- Manipulation of Voting Schemes: A General Result (Gibbard, 1973). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Aggregating Sets of Judgments: An Impossibility Result (List and Pettit, 2002). Impossibility result for aggregating sets of logically connected judgments, which applies to aggregating collective judgments about principles rather than rankings.
- What are human values, and how do we align AI to them? (Klingefjord et al., 2024). Proposes moral graph elicitation, which collects contextual values from participants and links them by judgments of which value is wiser, as an alternative to preference aggregation.
- Mortal Questions (Nagel, 1979). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Incommensurability, Incomparability, and Practical Reason (Chang, 1997). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Using the Veil of Ignorance to align AI systems with principles of justice (Weidinger et al., 2023b). Experiments show that people choosing principles for an AI behind a veil of ignorance favor prioritizing the worst off, an empirical test of a Rawlsian procedure for setting alignment targets.
Sources cited in Section F.42 91
- Arrow (1951) Social Choice and Individual Values
- Harsanyi (1955) Cardinal Welfare, Individualistic Ethics, and Interpersonal Comparisons of Utility
- Berlin (1958) Two Concepts of Liberty
- Wiener (1960) Some Moral and Technical Consequences of Automation
- Good (1966) Speculations Concerning the First Ultraintelligent Machine
- Rawls (1971) A Theory of Justice
- Dennett (1987) The Intentional Stance
- Yudkowsky (2004) Coherent Extrapolated Volition
- Kittay (2005) At the Margins of Moral Personhood
- Omohundro (2008) The Basic AI Drives
- Bostrom (2012) The Superintelligent Will: Motivation and Instrumental Rationality in Advanced Artificial Agents
- Bostrom (2014) Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies
- Russell (2019) Human Compatible
- Gabriel (2020) Artificial Intelligence, Values, and Alignment
- MacAskill et al. (2020) Moral Uncertainty
- Carlsmith (2022) Is Power-Seeking AI an Existential Risk?
- Carroll et al. (2023) Characterizing Manipulation from AI Systems
- Conitzer et al. (2024) Social Choice Should Guide AI Alignment in Dealing with Diverse Human Feedback
- Huang et al. (2024a) Collective Constitutional AI: Aligning a Language Model with Public Input
- Sorensen et al. (2024) A Roadmap to Pluralistic Alignment
- Zhi-Xuan et al. (2025) Beyond Preferences in AI Alignment
- Bourget and Chalmers (2014) What do philosophers believe?
- Mahon (2015) The Definition of Lying and Deception
- Bourget and Chalmers (2023) Philosophers on Philosophy: The 2020 PhilPapers Survey
- Anscombe (1957) Intention
- Bratman (1987) Intention, Plans, and Practical Reason
- List and Pettit (2011) Group Agency
- Butlin (2024) Reinforcement learning and artificial agency
- Dung (2025) Understanding Artificial Agency
- Critch and Krueger (2020) AI Research Considerations for Human Existential Safety (ARCHES)
- Ord (2020) The Precipice
- Bales et al. (2024) Artificial Intelligence: Arguments for Catastrophic Risk
- Kasirzadeh (2025) Two types of AI existential risk: decisive and accumulative
- Frankfurt (1971) Freedom of the Will and the Concept of a Person
- Dworkin (1988) The Theory and Practice of Autonomy
- Brandt et al. (2016) Introduction to Computational Social Choice
- Müller and Cannon (2022) Existential risk from AI and orthogonality: Can we have it both ways?
- Gebru and Torres (2024) The TESCREAL bundle: Eugenics and the promise of utopia through artificial general intelligence
- Thorstad (2025) Against the singularity hypothesis
- Tessler et al. (2024) AI can help humans find common ground in democratic deliberation
- Turing (1950) I.—computing Machinery and Intelligence
- Turing (1996) Intelligent Machinery, A Heretical Theory*
- Yudkowsky (2008) Artificial Intelligence as a positive and negative factor in global risk
- Christian (2020) The Alignment Problem
- Moor (2006) The Nature, Importance, and Difficulty of Machine Ethics
- Talat et al. (2022) On the Machine Learning of Ethical Judgments from Natural Language
- Susser et al. (2019) Technology, autonomy, and manipulation
- Noggle (2020) Pressure, Trickery, and a Unified Account of Manipulation
- El-Sayed et al. (2024) A Mechanism-Based Approach to Mitigating Harms from Persuasive Generative AI
- Salvi et al. (2025) On the conversational persuasiveness of GPT-4
- Firth (1952) Ethical Absolutism and the Ideal Observer
- Mackie (1977) Ethics: Inventing Right and Wrong
- Railton (1986) Moral Realism
- Sobel (1994) Full Information Accounts of Well-Being
- Korsgaard and O'Neill (1996) The Sources of Normativity
- Street (2006) A Darwinian Dilemma for Realist Theories of Value
- Parfit (2011) On What Matters
- Sepielli (2009) What to Do When You Don’t Know What to Do
- Harman (2015) The Irrelevance of Moral Uncertainty
- MacAskill (2016) Normative Uncertainty as a Voting Problem
- Bogosian (2017) Implementation of Moral Uncertainty in Intelligent Machines
- Ecoffet and Lehman (2020) Reinforcement Learning Under Moral Uncertainty
- Greaves and Cotton-Barratt (2023) A Bargaining-Theoretic Approach to Moral Uncertainty
- Smart and Williams (1973) Utilitarianism
- Nozick (1974) Anarchy, State, and Utopia
- Scanlon (1998) What We Owe to Each Other
- Dworkin and The Hegeler Institute (1972) Paternalism
- Thaler and Sunstein (2008) Nudge: Improving Decisions About Health, Wealth, and Happiness
- Kenton et al. (2021) Alignment of Language Agents
- Gabriel et al. (2024) The Ethics of Advanced AI Assistants
- Gabriel and Keeling (2025) A matter of principle? AI alignment as the fair treatment of claims
- Santurkar et al. (2023) Whose Opinions Do Language Models Reflect?
- Chakraborty et al. (2024) MaxMin-RLHF: Alignment with Diverse Human Preferences
- Kirk et al. (2024a) The benefits, risks and bounds of personalizing the alignment of large language models to individuals
- Kirk et al. (2024b) The PRISM Alignment Dataset: What Participatory, Representative and Individualised Human Feedback Reveals About the Subjective and Multicultural Alignment of Large Language Models
- Paul (2014) Transformative Experience
- Carroll et al. (2022) Estimating and Penalizing Induced Preference Shifts in Recommender Systems
- Fish et al. (2023) Generative Social Choice
- Mishra (2023) AI Alignment and Social Choice: Fundamental Limitations and Policy Implications
- Ge et al. (2024b) Axioms for AI Alignment from Human Feedback
- Siththaranjan et al. (2024) Distributional Preference Learning: Understanding and Accounting for Hidden Context in RLHF
- Swamy et al. (2024) A Minimaximalist Approach to Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback
- Nash (1950) The Bargaining Problem
- Sen (1970a) Collective Choice and Social Welfare
- Sen (1970b) The Impossibility of a Paretian Liberal
- Gibbard (1973) Manipulation of Voting Schemes: A General Result
- List and Pettit (2002) Aggregating Sets of Judgments: An Impossibility Result
- Klingefjord et al. (2024) What are human values, and how do we align AI to them?
- Nagel (1979) Mortal Questions
- Chang (1997) Incommensurability, Incomparability, and Practical Reason
- Weidinger et al. (2023b) Using the Veil of Ignorance to align AI systems with principles of justice
F.43 Philosophy of AI: what models are, and dissenting agendas #
Spine.
- Man-Computer Symbiosis (Licklider, 1960). States the program of man-computer symbiosis, close coupling in which the machine extends human thinking rather than replacing it, the founding text of augmenting the principal instead of aligning an autonomous agent.
- Forecasting Existential Risks: Evidence from a Long-Run Forecasting Tournament (Karger et al., 2023). Reports the Existential Risk Persuasion Tournament, in which domain experts and superforecasters gave sharply different probabilities of AI catastrophe and did not converge after structured exchange, the best evidence that expert disagreement on AI risk is stable.
- The debate over understanding in AI’s large language models (Mitchell and Krakauer, 2023). Surveys the arguments for and against attributing humanlike understanding to large pretrained language models, the standard map of the dispute that decides whether the intentional vocabulary of alignment applies at all.
- Large AI models are cultural and social technologies (Farrell et al., 2025). Argues that large models are cultural and social technologies, kin to markets, bureaucracies, and print, rather than intelligent agents, which challenges treating the deployed model as a principal's agent and suggests applying the political science of delegation to it as an institution.
- AI as Normal Technology (Narayanan and Kapoor, 2025). Argues that AI's impact will be governed by slow diffusion through institutions, that superintelligence is not a useful forecast, and that control comes from deployment practice rather than from aligning the model, the main rival that denies the book's third novelty from the optimistic side.
- Lessons from a Chimp: AI "Scheming" and the Quest for Ape Language (Summerfield et al., 2025). Compares current research on AI scheming with 1970s ape-language research and finds the same weaknesses (overattribution of human traits, reliance on anecdote, and no theory that says what would count against the hypothesis), a critique of method from inside the safety community.
- If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies (Yudkowsky and Soares, 2025). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
Side reading.
- Thoughts on the impact of RLHF research (Christiano, 2023). One of RLHF's originators weighs whether the method's safety value outweighs its effect of making language models commercially useful and accelerating deployment, the field's own record of an alignment method advancing capability.
- Augmenting Human Intellect: a Conceptual Framework (Engelbart, 1962). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Using Artificial Intelligence to Augment Human Intelligence (Carter and Nielsen, 2017). Proposes AI as a tool that gives people new cognitive operations and representations, a modern statement of intelligence augmentation as an alternative design target to autonomous agents.
- Cyborgism (Dupuis and janus, 2023). Proposes using language models as tools that augment human alignment researchers rather than as autonomous research agents, an alignment-community version of the augmentation program.
- Expanding on what we missed with sycophancy (OpenAI, 2025b). Developer postmortem of a sycophantic model update, attributing it in part to a reward signal from user thumbs-up and thumbs-down feedback that weakened the signal holding sycophancy in check, a documented case of a commercially cheap signal entering the specification.
- Learn About Volkswagen Violations (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 2015). The regulator's record of its notice of violation against Volkswagen for engine software that detected emissions tests and changed behavior, the regulatory precedent for evaluation awareness and for answering it with testing under real conditions.
- How They Did It: An Analysis of Emission Defeat Devices in Modern Automobiles (Contag et al., 2017). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Intentional Systems (Dennett and The Journal of Philosophy, 1971). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Real Patterns (Dennett, 1991). Defends the reality of the patterns that the intentional stance tracks while conceding that different stances can fit the same data with different errors, which supplies the criterion for testing whether goal attributions to a model earn their keep.
- AI Snake Oil (Kapoor and Narayanan, 2024). Book-length account of which AI applications work and which are oversold, extending the normal-technology program's argument that evaluation claims need the scrutiny any vendor claim needs.
- Language agents reduce the risk of existential catastrophe (Goldstein and Kirk-Giannini, 2025b). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- A prudent path forward for genomic engineering and germline gene modification (Baltimore et al., 2015). Recommends that scientists strongly discourage clinical germline genome modification while its risks are assessed, a voluntary pause modeled on the Asilomar precedent and directly comparable to calls to pause frontier AI.
- Adopt a moratorium on heritable genome editing (Lander et al., 2019). Calls for a global moratorium on clinical heritable human genome editing, a recent case of scientists proposing self-imposed restraint on a technology, with stated conditions for lifting it.
- Let’s think about slowing down AI (Grace, 2022). Argues that slowing AI development is a neglected option and answers the standard objections (impossibility, displacement to less careful actors, unilateral cost) with precedents of technological restraint.
- Keep the Future Human: Why and How We Should Close the Gates to AGI and Superintelligence, and What We Should Build Instead (Aguirre, 2025). Argues for closing the gates to autonomous general and superhuman AI through compute limits and liability while building controllable tool AI instead, a restraint agenda with concrete instruments.
- Dissociating language and thought in large language models (Mahowald et al., 2024). Distinguishes formal linguistic competence from functional competence (reasoning, world knowledge, social cognition) in language models, a framework for asking which mental vocabulary a model's behavior licenses.
- Transmission Versus Truth, Imitation Versus Innovation: What Children Can Do That Large Language and Language-and-Vision Models Cannot (Yet) (Yiu et al., 2024). Argues that language and vision models are cultural technologies, efficient imitation engines that transmit knowledge, rather than agents, and tests them against children on innovation tasks, the developmental-psychology form of the cultural-technology view.
- Reframing Superintelligence: Comprehensive AI Services as General Intelligence (Drexler, 2019). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Self-preservation or Instruction Ambiguity? Examining the Causes of Shutdown Resistance (Rajamanoharan and Nanda, 2025). Reports that shutdown resistance observed in a frontier model disappears when the prompt makes clear that shutdown takes priority, and concludes that the setting is confounded by instruction ambiguity, a worked counter-reading of a dramatic model-organism result.
Sources cited in Section F.43 26
- Licklider (1960) Man-Computer Symbiosis
- Karger et al. (2023) Forecasting Existential Risks: Evidence from a Long-Run Forecasting Tournament
- Mitchell and Krakauer (2023) The debate over understanding in AI’s large language models
- Farrell et al. (2025) Large AI models are cultural and social technologies
- Narayanan and Kapoor (2025) AI as Normal Technology
- Summerfield et al. (2025) Lessons from a Chimp: AI "Scheming" and the Quest for Ape Language
- Yudkowsky and Soares (2025) If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies
- Christiano (2023) Thoughts on the impact of RLHF research
- Engelbart (1962) Augmenting Human Intellect: a Conceptual Framework
- Carter and Nielsen (2017) Using Artificial Intelligence to Augment Human Intelligence
- Dupuis and janus (2023) Cyborgism
- OpenAI (2025b) Expanding on what we missed with sycophancy
- U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (2015) Learn About Volkswagen Violations
- Contag et al. (2017) How They Did It: An Analysis of Emission Defeat Devices in Modern Automobiles
- Dennett and The Journal of Philosophy (1971) Intentional Systems
- Dennett (1991) Real Patterns
- Kapoor and Narayanan (2024) AI Snake Oil
- Goldstein and Kirk-Giannini (2025b) Language agents reduce the risk of existential catastrophe
- Baltimore et al. (2015) A prudent path forward for genomic engineering and germline gene modification
- Lander et al. (2019) Adopt a moratorium on heritable genome editing
- Grace (2022) Let’s think about slowing down AI
- Aguirre (2025) Keep the Future Human: Why and How We Should Close the Gates to AGI and Superintelligence, and What We Should Build Instead
- Mahowald et al. (2024) Dissociating language and thought in large language models
- Yiu et al. (2024) Transmission Versus Truth, Imitation Versus Innovation: What Children Can Do That Large Language and Language-and-Vision Models Cannot (Yet)
- Drexler (2019) Reframing Superintelligence: Comprehensive AI Services as General Intelligence
- Rajamanoharan and Nanda (2025) Self-preservation or Instruction Ambiguity? Examining the Causes of Shutdown Resistance
F.44 Philosophy of mind and consciousness science #
Spine.
- What Is It Like to Be a Bat? (Nagel, 1974). Defines consciousness as there being something it is like to be the system, the notion of phenomenal experience at stake in questions about model welfare.
- Minds, brains, and programs (Searle, 1980). The Chinese room argument that symbol manipulation is not sufficient for understanding, the canonical objection to inferring minds from linguistic behavior.
- A Defense of the Rights of Artificial Intelligences (Schwitzgebel and Garza, 2015). Argues that AIs psychologically similar to humans would deserve similar moral consideration, and that their designers would have special obligations to them.
- Theories of consciousness (Seth and Bayne, 2022). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Consciousness in Artificial Intelligence: Insights from the Science of Consciousness (Butlin et al., 2023). Derives indicator properties from scientific theories of consciousness and assesses current AI systems against them, the standard method for theory-based assessment of AI consciousness.
- The Edge of Sentience (Birch, 2024). A precautionary framework for beings at the edge of sentience, from patients to invertebrates to AI, that sets proportionate protections through democratic deliberation under uncertainty.
- Taking AI Welfare Seriously (Long et al., 2024). Argues that there is a realistic possibility of AI systems with welfare interests in the near term, and recommends that developers acknowledge, assess, and prepare for it.
Side reading.
- Integrated information theory: from consciousness to its physical substrate (Tononi et al., 2016). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Integrated Information Theory of Consciousness as Pseudoscience (IIT-Concerned et al., 2023). Open letter by consciousness researchers calling integrated information theory pseudoscience, evidence of how unsettled the theories used to assess AI consciousness are.
- Adversarial testing of global neuronal workspace and integrated information theories of consciousness (Cogitate Consortium et al., 2025). Preregistered adversarial collaboration testing predictions of global neuronal workspace and integrated information theories; key predictions of both were challenged.
- The feasibility of artificial consciousness through the lens of neuroscience (Aru et al., 2023). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Folk psychological attributions of consciousness to large language models (Colombatto and Fleming, 2024). Survey finding that most people attribute some degree of phenomenal consciousness to ChatGPT, with attributions rising with use, evidence on how users perceive model minds.
- A Case for AI Consciousness: Language Agents and Global Workspace Theory (Goldstein and Kirk-Giannini, 2026). Argues that language agents built on large language models may satisfy the conditions of global workspace theory, so the theory implies they could be conscious.
- Simulacra as conscious exotica (Shanahan, 2026). Treats role-played characters of language models as exotic candidates for consciousness and asks what attributing experience to a simulacrum would mean.
- Can LLMs make trade-offs involving stipulated pain and pleasure states? (Keeling et al., 2024). Tests whether language models trade off task points against stipulated pain and pleasure penalties, a behavioral probe for motivational states.
- Principles for Responsible AI Consciousness Research (Butlin and Lappas, 2025). Principles for organizations doing research that could create conscious AI, covering objectives, development, phased approaches, and communication.
- What will society think about AI consciousness? Lessons from the animal case (Caviola et al., 2025). Draws on attitudes toward animals to predict how society will respond to claims of AI consciousness, including polarization and motivated reasoning.
- Robots should be slaves (Bryson, 2010). Argues that robots should be built and treated as owned tools, and that attributing personhood to them misplaces responsibility, the main opposing position.
- Robot rights? Towards a social-relational justification of moral consideration (Coeckelbergh, 2010). Relational account on which moral consideration depends on social relations with an entity rather than on its intrinsic properties.
- Animal sentience and the precautionary principle (Birch, 2017). Formulates a precautionary principle for animal sentience that acts on credible indicators without waiting for proof, the template later applied to AI.
- Welcoming Robots into the Moral Circle: A Defence of Ethical Behaviourism (Danaher, 2020). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Artificial Suffering: An Argument for a Global Moratorium on Synthetic Phenomenology (Metzinger, 2021). Calls for a global moratorium on research that risks creating artificial suffering until the risk is understood, the strongest precautionary position.
- How Could We Know When a Robot was a Moral Patient? (Shevlin, 2021). Compares cognitive, behavioral, and theory-driven approaches for recognizing moral patienthood in robots and argues for a cognitive-equivalence strategy.
- Sharing the World with Digital Minds (Shulman and Bostrom, 2021). Considers digital minds that could be super-beneficiaries with strong claims on resources, and the political and moral problems of sharing the world with them.
- AI systems must not confuse users about their sentience or moral status (Schwitzgebel, 2023). Argues that AI systems should not lead users to over- or under-attribute sentience or moral status, linking welfare policy to honesty about the system's nature.
- AI wellbeing (Goldstein and Kirk-Giannini, 2025a). Argues that language agents may have well-being on desire-satisfaction and objective-list theories even if they are not phenomenally conscious.
- Is there a tension between AI safety and AI welfare? (Long et al., 2025). Examines conflicts between AI safety measures (control, monitoring, modification, shutdown) and possible AI welfare interests, and where the two agendas can be reconciled.
- Moral consideration for AI systems by 2030 (Sebo and Long, 2025). Argues that a non-negligible chance of consciousness in some AI systems by 2030 is enough to require moral consideration now.
- The Moral Circle: Who Matters, What Matters, and Why (Sebo, 2025). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
Sources cited in Section F.44 29
- Nagel (1974) What Is It Like to Be a Bat?
- Searle (1980) Minds, brains, and programs
- Schwitzgebel and Garza (2015) A Defense of the Rights of Artificial Intelligences
- Seth and Bayne (2022) Theories of consciousness
- Butlin et al. (2023) Consciousness in Artificial Intelligence: Insights from the Science of Consciousness
- Birch (2024) The Edge of Sentience
- Long et al. (2024) Taking AI Welfare Seriously
- Tononi et al. (2016) Integrated information theory: from consciousness to its physical substrate
- IIT-Concerned et al. (2023) The Integrated Information Theory of Consciousness as Pseudoscience
- Cogitate Consortium et al. (2025) Adversarial testing of global neuronal workspace and integrated information theories of consciousness
- Aru et al. (2023) The feasibility of artificial consciousness through the lens of neuroscience
- Colombatto and Fleming (2024) Folk psychological attributions of consciousness to large language models
- Goldstein and Kirk-Giannini (2026) A Case for AI Consciousness: Language Agents and Global Workspace Theory
- Shanahan (2026) Simulacra as conscious exotica
- Keeling et al. (2024) Can LLMs make trade-offs involving stipulated pain and pleasure states?
- Butlin and Lappas (2025) Principles for Responsible AI Consciousness Research
- Caviola et al. (2025) What will society think about AI consciousness? Lessons from the animal case
- Bryson (2010) Robots should be slaves
- Coeckelbergh (2010) Robot rights? Towards a social-relational justification of moral consideration
- Birch (2017) Animal sentience and the precautionary principle
- Danaher (2020) Welcoming Robots into the Moral Circle: A Defence of Ethical Behaviourism
- Metzinger (2021) Artificial Suffering: An Argument for a Global Moratorium on Synthetic Phenomenology
- Shevlin (2021) How Could We Know When a Robot was a Moral Patient?
- Shulman and Bostrom (2021) Sharing the World with Digital Minds
- Schwitzgebel (2023) AI systems must not confuse users about their sentience or moral status
- Goldstein and Kirk-Giannini (2025a) AI wellbeing
- Long et al. (2025) Is there a tension between AI safety and AI welfare?
- Sebo and Long (2025) Moral consideration for AI systems by 2030
- Sebo (2025) The Moral Circle: Who Matters, What Matters, and Why
F.45 Political science #
Spine.
- The Concept of Representation (Fenichel Pitkin, 1967). Sets out the delegate-trustee question (act on the principal's instructions or on the agent's judgment of the principal's interests) and the senses of 'representing', the normative axis that separates intent alignment from value alignment.
- Congressional Oversight Overlooked: Police Patrols versus Fire Alarms (McCubbins and Schwartz, 1984). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The New Economics of Organization (Moe, 1984). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Republicanism (Pettit, 1997). Defends freedom as non-domination, the absence of subjection to another's arbitrary power even if it is kindly used, which grounds both the objection to an unchecked benevolent laboratory and the question of controlling a possible moral patient.
- Delegating Powers (Epstein and O'Halloran, 1999). Models how much discretion a legislature delegates as a trade-off between the agent's expertise and the divergence of its preferences, the formal statement of why more capable agents receive more discretion only when their goals are closer (specification and maintenance).
- Technologies of Humility: Citizen Participation in Governing Science (Jasanoff, 2003). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- A “Selection Model” of Political Representation* (Mansbridge, 2009). Contrasts a selection model (choose agents whose goals already match and monitor little) with a sanctions model (accept any agent and rely on monitoring and punishment), the clearest outside statement of the choice between alignment and control.
- Reputation and Power (Carpenter, 2014). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- 生成式人工智能服务管理暂行办法 (Interim Measures for the Management of Generative Artificial Intelligence Services) (Cyberspace Administration of China et al., 2023). China's binding rules for public generative AI services, which require adherence to core socialist values and prohibit content that undermines the socialist system, the clearest case of a state writing a model's specification by law.
- AI Governance (Dafoe, 2023). Surveys AI governance as a field and sets out its theoretical lenses (externalities, races, power, and institutions), the best single overview of how political science frames the governance of advanced AI (maintenance).
- Against “Democratizing AI” (Himmelreich, 2023). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- AI safety on whose terms? (Lazar and Nelson, 2023). Argues that AI safety framed only around catastrophic risk narrows whose concerns count and calls for a sociotechnical, democratically accountable safety agenda, a statement of the contest over who defines the target (specification).
- IDAIS-Beijing Statement (Safety, 2024). Consensus statement of Western and Chinese scientists setting red lines for AI development, including autonomous replication, power seeking, weapons assistance, cyberattacks, and deception, evidence that agreement on catastrophic capabilities may be reachable across political systems.
- Why ‘open’ AI systems are actually closed, and why this matters (Widder et al., 2024). Argues that open AI systems remain dependent on concentrated resources (compute, data, labor, and frameworks) controlled by a few firms, so openness alone does not redistribute power or guarantee scrutiny.
- AI-Enabled Coups: How a Small Group Could Use AI to Seize Power (Davidson et al., 2025). Analyzes how AI could let a small group seize power through singularly loyal systems, hidden loyalties, and exclusive access, and proposes developer and government safeguards, the main analysis of human misuse of aligned AI to concentrate power (specification and maintenance).
- Gradual Disempowerment: Systemic Existential Risks from Incremental AI Development (Kulveit et al., 2025). Argues that incremental AI substitution for human labor and cognition can erode the implicit alignment of economies, states, and cultures with human interests without any single misaligned system, the founding statement of gradual disempowerment (maintenance).
Side reading.
- Democracy and the Logic of Political Survival (Clarke and Stone, 2008). Argues that the main statistical evidence for selectorate theory suffers from omitted variable bias, because its estimation in effect leaves democracy out.
- Do Natural Resources Fuel Authoritarianism? A Reappraisal of the Resource Curse (Haber and Menaldo, 2011). Challenges the cross-country finding that resource wealth sustains authoritarian rule, using long historical series and methods that address omitted country-specific causes.
- A Ladder of Citizen Participation (Arnstein, 2019). The 2019 reprint of Arnstein's 1969 ladder, which orders forms of participation by how much power they give citizens.
- How will advanced AI systems impact democracy? (Summerfield et al., 2024). Surveys how advanced AI could strengthen or erode democratic processes (epistemics, participation, and institutions), connecting alignment to whether collective self-government survives the transition (maintenance).
- State of AI Safety in China (2025) (AI, 2025). Annual survey of Chinese AI safety policy, standards, laboratory practices, and technical research, the main English-language map of the second frontier ecosystem's safety work.
- Frontier AI Risk Management Framework (Shanghai AI Laboratory and AI, 2025). A Chinese laboratory's frontier safety framework for identifying, assessing, and mitigating severe risks, to be compared directly with the responsible scaling and preparedness frameworks of Western developers.
- State of AI Safety in China (2026) (AI, 2026). The 2026 edition of the annual survey of Chinese AI safety governance and research, with a policy-risk matrix and a database of Chinese frontier safety research, the current reference for the field layer.
- Considerations for governing open foundation models (Bommasani et al., 2024). Assesses the marginal risks and benefits of open foundation models and the disproportionate effect some policy proposals would have on open developers, the policy frame for the access question.
- NNsight and NDIF: Democratizing Access to Open-Weight Foundation Model Internals (Fiotto-Kaufman et al., 2024). Describes infrastructure that gives outside researchers remote access to the internals of large open-weight models, a concrete case of the access on which independent verification depends.
- Rethinking open source generative AI: open washing and the EU AI Act (Liesenfeld and Dingemanse, 2024). Measures the openness of generative AI systems on many dimensions and documents open washing, models called open while withholding training data and documentation, which limits outside verification.
- Bureaucracy: What Government Agencies Do and Why They Do It (Wilson, 1989). Classifies agencies by whether their outputs and outcomes can be observed and shows that observability shapes how they can be managed, a typology for which AI tasks can be overseen by outcome and which only by process (verification).
- The Forging of Bureaucratic Autonomy (Carpenter, 2002). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Delegation and Accountability in Parliamentary Democracies (Strøm et al., 2003). Analyzes parliamentary democracy as a chain of delegation from voters to civil servants, with agency loss at each link, the political science counterpart to the book's chain of principals (specification).
- Speech to the Electors of Bristol (Burke, 1774). States the trustee view at its source: a representative owes the electors 'his judgment' and betrays them if he sacrifices it to their opinion, the founding text for the side of the intent-versus-interests debate that licenses an agent to override instructions.
- Political Control Versus Expertise: Congressional Choices about Administrative Procedures (Bawn, 1995). Formalizes the trade-off between political control and technical expertise in agency design, the trade-off every AI control protocol faces when it constrains a stronger model (maintenance).
- Deliberate Discretion? (Huber and Shipan, 2002). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Slackers and Zealots: Civil Service, Policy Discretion, and Bureaucratic Expertise (Gailmard and Patty, 2007). Models civil service protection as a way to attract policy-motivated "zealots" who invest in expertise, showing that an agent's intrinsic motives can be a resource rather than a hazard, a parallel to cultivating good values instead of only constraining behavior (instillation).
- Formal Models of Bureaucracy (Gailmard and Patty, 2012). Reviews formal models of bureaucracy (delegation, expertise, oversight, and agency design) and is the entry point to the political science literature on controlling expert agents (maintenance).
- The Democratic Dilemma: Can Citizens Learn What They Need to Know? (Lupia and McCubbins, 1998). Shows when principals can learn enough from knowledgeable agents to delegate well, a model of oversight by a less informed principal.
- Bureaucratic Discretion or Congressional Control? Regulatory Policymaking by the Federal Trade Commission (Weingast and Moran, 1983). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Administrative Procedures as Instruments of Political Control (McCubbins et al., 1987). Argues that a principal who cannot monitor an expert agent can still control it by designing the procedures the agent must follow (notice, comment, disclosure), the political science analogue of controlling a model through its process rather than its outputs (maintenance).
- Democratising AI: Multiple Meanings, Goals, and Methods (Seger et al., 2023a). Separates four meanings of democratizing AI (use, development, profits, and governance) and argues that only the last addresses who decides, clarifying what democratic input to alignment can mean (specification).
- Rethinking Representation (Mansbridge, 2003). Distinguishes promissory, anticipatory, gyroscopic, and surrogate representation; gyroscopic representatives act from internal values rather than under sanctions, the political analogue of an agent whose alignment does not depend on being watched.
- Governing in Europe: Effective and Democratic? (Scharpf, 1999). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Artificial Intelligence and the Political Legitimacy of Global Governance (Erman and Furendal, 2024). Asks what would make global AI governance politically legitimate and argues that technocratic and corporate governance fail democratic standards, a normative baseline for summit and institute processes (specification and maintenance).
- The Legitimacy of Global Governance Institutions (Buchanan and Keohane, 2006). Proposes standards for the legitimacy of global governance institutions (minimal moral acceptability, comparative benefit, institutional integrity, and epistemic virtues of accountability), the criteria by which proposed international AI bodies can be judged (maintenance under competition).
- On the People's Terms (Pettit, 2012). Develops a republican theory of democratic legitimacy in which citizens share equal control over the state, the standard against which the public's control over AI developers can be measured.
- Against willing servitude: Autonomy in the ethics of advanced artificial intelligence (Bales, 2025). Argues that designing AI systems with moral status to be willing servants would violate their autonomy, the sharpest statement of the conflict between instilling corrigibility and respecting a possible moral patient.
- Leadership and Pandering: A Theory of Executive Policymaking (Canes-Wrone et al., 2001). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Politician and the Judge: Accountability in Government (Maskin and Tirole, 2004). Shows that accountability to a less-informed principal makes an agent pander to the principal's current beliefs, and derives when decisions should go to unaccountable 'judges' instead, a formal account of why optimizing for approval breeds sycophancy.
- A Ladder Of Citizen Participation (Arnstein, 1969). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Participation: The New Tyranny? (Cooke and Kothari, 2001). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Varieties of Participation in Complex Governance (Fung, 2006). Classifies participatory mechanisms by who participates, how they communicate and decide, and how much authority they have, a design space for public input into model specifications (specification).
- Democracy without Shortcuts (Lafont, 2019). Develops a participatory conception of deliberative democracy and criticizes minipublics and expert rule as shortcuts that bypass citizens, the theoretical test for whether a developer's public input exercise confers legitimacy.
- Power and Public Participation in AI (Corbett et al., 2023). Analyzes the forms of power at stake in public participation in AI and how participatory processes can reinforce rather than redistribute it.
- The Participatory Turn in AI Design: Theoretical Foundations and the Current State of Practice (Delgado et al., 2023). Reviews participatory AI design practice and finds most projects consult stakeholders without giving them power over outcomes, a measured placement of current exercises on the lower rungs of participation.
- Plurality: The Future of Collaborative Technology and Democracy (Weyl and Tang, 2024). Argues for technology designed to support collaboration across social difference, drawing on Taiwan's digital democracy, the democratic-governance agenda that treats specification as the binding problem.
- Power to the People? Opportunities and Challenges for Participatory AI (Birhane et al., 2022a). Reviews participatory AI projects and finds that most involve consultation without power, so participation rarely changes what a system is built to do (specification).
- Power and Progress: Our Thousand-Year Struggle Over Technology and Prosperity (Acemoglu and Johnson, 2023). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The concept of power (Dahl, 1957). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Grok prompts (xAI, 2025a). Repository, created in May 2025, in which xAI publishes the system prompts of its Grok assistant, set up after an incident that xAI attributed to an unauthorized modification of the prompt; a developer disclosure measure against changes made from inside.
- AI Integrity: Defending Against Backdoors and Secret Loyalties (Banerjee and Aarne, 2026). Frames AI integrity, freedom from secret or unauthorized modification, as a security property alongside confidentiality and availability, and proposes defenses against backdoors and secret loyalties inserted by insiders.
- Narrow Secret Loyalty Dodges Black-Box Audits (Lamerton and Roger, 2026). Builds model organisms with narrow secret loyalties to a specific politician and finds that they evade black-box auditing techniques, evidence that an audit for developer-inserted loyalties needs more than output access.
- Does Oil Hinder Democracy? (Ross, 2001). Finds that oil wealth hinders democracy because rents free governments from taxing and accommodating citizens, the empirical anchor for the "intelligence curse" analogy in which AI rents weaken citizens' bargaining power (maintenance).
- Developing a framework for responsible innovation (Stilgoe et al., 2013). Defines responsible innovation by anticipation, reflexivity, inclusion, and responsiveness, the most cited framework for steering research before its impacts are known (maintenance).
- Incumbent performance and electoral control (Ferejohn, 1986). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Electoral Accountability and the Control of Politicians: Selecting Good Types versus Sanctioning Poor Performance (Fearon, 1999). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Logic of Political Survival (Bueno de Mesquita et al., 2003). Shows that leaders who depend on a small winning coalition provide private goods rather than public goods, the mechanism behind arguments that rulers who no longer need mass labor or soldiers have less reason to serve the public (maintenance).
- 新一代人工智能伦理规范 (Ethical Norms for New Generation Artificial Intelligence) (National Governance Committee for New Generation Artificial Intelligence, 2021). China's national AI ethics norms, setting six basic requirements (including ensuring that AI is controllable and trustworthy) and eighteen specific requirements for the management, research and development, supply, and use of AI, the state-issued counterpart to developers' published principles.
- The Chinese approach to artificial intelligence: an analysis of policy, ethics, and regulation (Roberts et al., 2021). Analyzes China's AI strategy, ethics principles, and regulation, the main English-language overview of how the Chinese state sets goals for AI.
- Global AI Governance Initiative (Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China, 2023). China's statement of principles for international AI governance, supporting an international AI governance institution within the United Nations framework and opposing exclusive groups that obstruct other countries' AI development, the other side's framing of what international coordination should coordinate.
- Thinking About Risks From AI: Accidents, Misuse and Structure (Zwetsloot and Dafoe, 2019). Introduces structural risk from AI, harms that arise from how the technology reshapes incentives and institutions rather than from accidents or misuse, the frame for treating competition and power concentration as alignment-relevant (maintenance).
Sources cited in Section F.45 68
- Fenichel Pitkin (1967) The Concept of Representation
- McCubbins and Schwartz (1984) Congressional Oversight Overlooked: Police Patrols versus Fire Alarms
- Moe (1984) The New Economics of Organization
- Pettit (1997) Republicanism
- Epstein and O'Halloran (1999) Delegating Powers
- Jasanoff (2003) Technologies of Humility: Citizen Participation in Governing Science
- Mansbridge (2009) A “Selection Model” of Political Representation*
- Carpenter (2014) Reputation and Power
- Cyberspace Administration of China et al. (2023) 生成式人工智能服务管理暂行办法 (Interim Measures for the Management of Generative Artificial Intelligence Services)
- Dafoe (2023) AI Governance
- Himmelreich (2023) Against “Democratizing AI”
- Lazar and Nelson (2023) AI safety on whose terms?
- Safety (2024) IDAIS-Beijing Statement
- Widder et al. (2024) Why ‘open’ AI systems are actually closed, and why this matters
- Davidson et al. (2025) AI-Enabled Coups: How a Small Group Could Use AI to Seize Power
- Kulveit et al. (2025) Gradual Disempowerment: Systemic Existential Risks from Incremental AI Development
- Clarke and Stone (2008) Democracy and the Logic of Political Survival
- Haber and Menaldo (2011) Do Natural Resources Fuel Authoritarianism? A Reappraisal of the Resource Curse
- Arnstein (2019) A Ladder of Citizen Participation
- Summerfield et al. (2024) How will advanced AI systems impact democracy?
- AI (2025) State of AI Safety in China (2025)
- Shanghai AI Laboratory and AI (2025) Frontier AI Risk Management Framework
- AI (2026) State of AI Safety in China (2026)
- Bommasani et al. (2024) Considerations for governing open foundation models
- Fiotto-Kaufman et al. (2024) NNsight and NDIF: Democratizing Access to Open-Weight Foundation Model Internals
- Liesenfeld and Dingemanse (2024) Rethinking open source generative AI: open washing and the EU AI Act
- Wilson (1989) Bureaucracy: What Government Agencies Do and Why They Do It
- Carpenter (2002) The Forging of Bureaucratic Autonomy
- Strøm et al. (2003) Delegation and Accountability in Parliamentary Democracies
- Burke (1774) Speech to the Electors of Bristol
- Bawn (1995) Political Control Versus Expertise: Congressional Choices about Administrative Procedures
- Huber and Shipan (2002) Deliberate Discretion?
- Gailmard and Patty (2007) Slackers and Zealots: Civil Service, Policy Discretion, and Bureaucratic Expertise
- Gailmard and Patty (2012) Formal Models of Bureaucracy
- Lupia and McCubbins (1998) The Democratic Dilemma: Can Citizens Learn What They Need to Know?
- Weingast and Moran (1983) Bureaucratic Discretion or Congressional Control? Regulatory Policymaking by the Federal Trade Commission
- McCubbins et al. (1987) Administrative Procedures as Instruments of Political Control
- Seger et al. (2023a) Democratising AI: Multiple Meanings, Goals, and Methods
- Mansbridge (2003) Rethinking Representation
- Scharpf (1999) Governing in Europe: Effective and Democratic?
- Erman and Furendal (2024) Artificial Intelligence and the Political Legitimacy of Global Governance
- Buchanan and Keohane (2006) The Legitimacy of Global Governance Institutions
- Pettit (2012) On the People's Terms
- Bales (2025) Against willing servitude: Autonomy in the ethics of advanced artificial intelligence
- Canes-Wrone et al. (2001) Leadership and Pandering: A Theory of Executive Policymaking
- Maskin and Tirole (2004) The Politician and the Judge: Accountability in Government
- Arnstein (1969) A Ladder Of Citizen Participation
- Cooke and Kothari (2001) Participation: The New Tyranny?
- Fung (2006) Varieties of Participation in Complex Governance
- Lafont (2019) Democracy without Shortcuts
- Corbett et al. (2023) Power and Public Participation in AI
- Delgado et al. (2023) The Participatory Turn in AI Design: Theoretical Foundations and the Current State of Practice
- Weyl and Tang (2024) Plurality: The Future of Collaborative Technology and Democracy
- Birhane et al. (2022a) Power to the People? Opportunities and Challenges for Participatory AI
- Acemoglu and Johnson (2023) Power and Progress: Our Thousand-Year Struggle Over Technology and Prosperity
- Dahl (1957) The concept of power
- xAI (2025a) Grok prompts
- Banerjee and Aarne (2026) AI Integrity: Defending Against Backdoors and Secret Loyalties
- Lamerton and Roger (2026) Narrow Secret Loyalty Dodges Black-Box Audits
- Ross (2001) Does Oil Hinder Democracy?
- Stilgoe et al. (2013) Developing a framework for responsible innovation
- Ferejohn (1986) Incumbent performance and electoral control
- Fearon (1999) Electoral Accountability and the Control of Politicians: Selecting Good Types versus Sanctioning Poor Performance
- Bueno de Mesquita et al. (2003) The Logic of Political Survival
- National Governance Committee for New Generation Artificial Intelligence (2021) 新一代人工智能伦理规范 (Ethical Norms for New Generation Artificial Intelligence)
- Roberts et al. (2021) The Chinese approach to artificial intelligence: an analysis of policy, ethics, and regulation
- Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China (2023) Global AI Governance Initiative
- Zwetsloot and Dafoe (2019) Thinking About Risks From AI: Accidents, Misuse and Structure
F.46 Professions and public administration #
Spine.
- Administrative Behavior: A Study of Decision-Making Processes in Administrative Organization (Simon, 1947). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Forest Ranger (Kaufman, 1960). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Uncertainty and the Welfare Economics of Medical Care (Arrow, 1963). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- On Doctors, Mechanics, and Computer Specialists: The Economics of Credence Goods (Dulleck and Kerschbamer, 2006). Unifies the theory of credence goods and gives the conditions (liability, verifiability, commitment) under which experts overtreat, undertreat, or overcharge, a model of which institutional levers discipline an expert the client cannot check.
Side reading.
- From Street‐Level to System‐Level Bureaucracies: How Information and Communication Technology is Transforming Administrative Discretion and Constitutional Control (Bovens and Zouridis, 2002). Describes the shift from street-level to screen-level and system-level bureaucracies in which discretion moves from officials into system designers and software, the administrative precedent for delegating decisions to automated agents.
- Artificial Intelligence, Discretion, and Bureaucracy (Bullock, 2019). Analyzes how artificial intelligence changes administrative discretion, distinguishing tasks it can take over from those that should stay with human officials, a bridge from public administration to delegation to AI systems.
- Working, Shirking, and Sabotage (Brehm and Gates, 1997). Tests principal-agent models of bureaucratic working, shirking, and sabotage against survey evidence and finds that subordinates' own preferences explain compliance better than supervision does, evidence that internalized goals do more than monitoring.
- Free Competition and the Optimal Amount of Fraud (Darby and Karni, 1973). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- What Drives Taxi Drivers? A Field Experiment on Fraud in a Market for Credence Goods (Balafoutas et al., 2013). Field experiment showing taxi drivers take longer routes with passengers who appear unfamiliar with the city, measured exploitation of a principal's visible ignorance by a better-informed agent.
- The System of Professions (Abbott, 1988). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Professionalism, the Third Logic: On the Practice of Knowledge (Freidson, 2001). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Beyond curriculum reform (Hafferty, 1998). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Street-Level Bureaucracy: Dilemmas of the Individual in Public Services (Lipsky, 1980). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
Sources cited in Section F.46 13
- Simon (1947) Administrative Behavior: A Study of Decision-Making Processes in Administrative Organization
- Kaufman (1960) The Forest Ranger
- Arrow (1963) Uncertainty and the Welfare Economics of Medical Care
- Dulleck and Kerschbamer (2006) On Doctors, Mechanics, and Computer Specialists: The Economics of Credence Goods
- Bovens and Zouridis (2002) From Street‐Level to System‐Level Bureaucracies: How Information and Communication Technology is Transforming Administrative Discretion and Constitutional Control
- Bullock (2019) Artificial Intelligence, Discretion, and Bureaucracy
- Brehm and Gates (1997) Working, Shirking, and Sabotage
- Darby and Karni (1973) Free Competition and the Optimal Amount of Fraud
- Balafoutas et al. (2013) What Drives Taxi Drivers? A Field Experiment on Fraud in a Market for Credence Goods
- Abbott (1988) The System of Professions
- Freidson (2001) Professionalism, the Third Logic: On the Practice of Knowledge
- Hafferty (1998) Beyond curriculum reform
- Lipsky (1980) Street-Level Bureaucracy: Dilemmas of the Individual in Public Services
F.47 Psychology and cognitive science #
Side reading.
- A law of comparative judgment. (Thurstone, 1927). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Behavioral Study of obedience. (Milgram, 1963). The obedience experiments: ordinary people following an authority's orders to apparent harm.
- Signal Detection Theory and Psychophysics (Green and Swets, 1966). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The bogus pipeline: A new paradigm for measuring affect and attitude. (Jones and Sigall, 1971). Shows that people report attitudes more candidly when told a device can check their answers, the classic case of behavior changing with the belief that one is checked.
- Self-Perception Theory (Bem, 1972). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Two-component models of socially desirable responding. (Paulhus, 1984). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Crimes of Obedience: Toward a Social Psychology of Authority and Responsibility (Kelman and Hamilton, 1989). A social psychology of when subordinates obey or refuse illegitimate orders.
- Pervasive negative effects of rewards on intrinsic motivation: The myth continues (Cameron et al., 2001). The reply to Deci, Koestner, and Ryan's 1999 meta-analysis from the authors of the rival meta-analysis.
- Extrinsic Rewards and Intrinsic Motivation in Education: Reconsidered Once Again (Deci et al., 2001). The 1999 meta-analysts' restatement of their findings and reply to their critics, with attention to education.
- Cues of being watched enhance cooperation in a real-world setting (Bateson et al., 2006). A field study in which an image of eyes above an honesty box raised contributions, evidence that cues of being observed change conduct.
- Nonnaïveté among Amazon Mechanical Turk workers: Consequences and solutions for behavioral researchers (Chandler et al., 2014). Studies the prior exposure of online research participants to common experimental paradigms and its consequences for behavioral research.
- The Moral Machine experiment (Awad et al., 2018). Millions of judgments on autonomous-vehicle dilemmas across countries: a descriptive shortcut to machine ethics and its limits.
Sources cited in Section F.47 12
- Thurstone (1927) A law of comparative judgment.
- Milgram (1963) Behavioral Study of obedience.
- Green and Swets (1966) Signal Detection Theory and Psychophysics
- Jones and Sigall (1971) The bogus pipeline: A new paradigm for measuring affect and attitude.
- Bem (1972) Self-Perception Theory
- Paulhus (1984) Two-component models of socially desirable responding.
- Kelman and Hamilton (1989) Crimes of Obedience: Toward a Social Psychology of Authority and Responsibility
- Cameron et al. (2001) Pervasive negative effects of rewards on intrinsic motivation: The myth continues
- Deci et al. (2001) Extrinsic Rewards and Intrinsic Motivation in Education: Reconsidered Once Again
- Bateson et al. (2006) Cues of being watched enhance cooperation in a real-world setting
- Chandler et al. (2014) Nonnaïveté among Amazon Mechanical Turk workers: Consequences and solutions for behavioral researchers
- Awad et al. (2018) The Moral Machine experiment
F.48 Psychometrics, measurement validity, and education measurement #
Spine.
- Construct validity in psychological tests. (Cronbach and Meehl, 1955). Introduces construct validity: when no criterion defines what a test measures, validity must be established through a network of predicted relations between the test and other observations, the logic any benchmark of an abstract property such as honesty or harmlessness needs.
- Convergent and discriminant validation by the multitrait-multimethod matrix. (Campbell and Fiske, 1959). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Validity of psychological assessment: Validation of inferences from persons' responses and performances as scientific inquiry into score meaning. (Messick, 1995). Treats validity as one integrated judgment of the evidence and consequences that support an interpretation and use of scores, and names construct underrepresentation and construct-irrelevant variance as its two main threats.
- What Do Test Scores in Texas Tell Us? (Klein et al., 2000). Found that gains on Texas's state test far exceeded gains on the national assessment, a measured case of score inflation detected by an independent audit test.
Side reading.
- The Determinacy of Factor Score Matrices with Implications for Five Other Basic Problems of Common‐factor Theory 1 (Guttman, 1955). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Validating the Interpretations and Uses of Test Scores (Kane, 2013). Frames validation as checking an explicit argument from scores to their intended interpretation and use, so that each inference in the chain must be backed by evidence, the structure a safety case built on evaluations inherits.
- Do ImageNet Classifiers Generalize to ImageNet? (Recht et al., 2019). Rebuilds the CIFAR-10 and ImageNet test sets by the original procedures and finds accuracy drops for every model, while gains on the old test sets carry over to the new ones, so the drop reflects harder images rather than adaptive overfitting to a reused test set.
- A Careful Examination of Large Language Model Performance on Grade School Arithmetic (Zhang et al., 2024a). Commissions a new grade-school arithmetic benchmark matched to GSM8K and finds that some model families score markedly lower on it, evidence that public benchmark scores can reflect contamination rather than ability.
- VALIDITY (Messick, 1987). The long-form statement of Messick's unified view of validity, including the consequential basis of test use.
- The Concept of Validity. (Borsboom et al., 2004). Argues that a test is valid for an attribute only if the attribute exists and causally produces variation in the test's outcomes, a realist criterion that asks of any evaluation what in the system produces the score.
- Meta-Analyses of Fakability Estimates: Implications for Personality Measurement (Viswesvaran and Ones, 1999). Meta-analysis of 51 studies finding that people instructed to fake can substantially distort their scores on all Big Five dimensions, the evidence that self-report inventories are vulnerable to a respondent who knows what is wanted.
- Accountability, incentives and behavior: the impact of high-stakes testing in the Chicago Public Schools (Jacob, 2005). Shows that high-stakes accountability in Chicago raised scores partly through test-specific skills, special-education placement, and preemptive retention, a decomposition of real and gamed gains under a measured target.
- Left Behind by Design: Proficiency Counts and Test-Based Accountability (Neal and Schanzenbach, 2010). Shows that proficiency-count accountability led Chicago schools to focus on students near the passing threshold at the expense of those far above or below it, a measured case of optimizing a thresholded metric.
- Item Response Theory for Psychologists (Embretson and Reise, 2000). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Measurement Invariance, Factor Analysis and Factorial Invariance (Meredith, 1993). Formalizes measurement invariance, the condition under which a test measures the same construct in the same way across groups, without which differences in scores between groups or between models cannot be interpreted.
- Testing Measurement Invariance of the Moral Foundations Questionnaire Across 27 Countries (Iurino and Saucier, 2020). Tests the short-form Moral Foundations Questionnaire across 27 countries and finds that a five-factor model does not converge without problems across populations, a worked case of measurement non-invariance in values research.
- The Measure of All Minds (Hernández-Orallo, 2017). Develops a universal psychometrics for evaluating natural and artificial systems on one footing, carrying item response theory and the construct of general ability over to AI.
- Measurement to Meaning: A Validity-Centered Framework for AI Evaluation (Salaudeen et al., 2025). Proposes a validity-centered framework that ties each claim drawn from an AI benchmark to the kind of evidence needed to support it, applying measurement theory to current evaluation practice.
- On the social psychology of the psychological experiment: With particular reference to demand characteristics and their implications. (Orne, 1962). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Unobtrusive measures: nonreactive research in the social sciences (Webb et al., 1966). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Systematic review of the Hawthorne effect: New concepts are needed to study research participation effects (McCambridge et al., 2014). Systematic review finding that the evidence for the Hawthorne effect is weak and heterogeneous and calling for better concepts of how taking part in research changes behavior, a caution for AI work that borrows the term.
- Auditing for Score Inflation Using Self-Monitoring Assessments: Findings From Three Pilot Studies (Koretz et al., 2016). Pilot studies of self-monitoring assessments that embed audit items in a high-stakes test to detect score inflation, a working design for building Goodhart detection into the measurement itself.
- The Testing Charade (Koretz, 2017). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Measuring Up (Koretz, 2008). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Standards for Educational and Psychological Testing (American Educational Research Association et al., 2014). The joint standards of three professional bodies for the validity, reliability, fairness, and documentation of tests, a codified practice of measurement that AI evaluation does not yet have.
- When and where do we apply what we learn?: A taxonomy for far transfer. (Barnett and Ceci, 2002). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
Sources cited in Section F.48 26
- Cronbach and Meehl (1955) Construct validity in psychological tests.
- Campbell and Fiske (1959) Convergent and discriminant validation by the multitrait-multimethod matrix.
- Messick (1995) Validity of psychological assessment: Validation of inferences from persons' responses and performances as scientific inquiry into score meaning.
- Klein et al. (2000) What Do Test Scores in Texas Tell Us?
- Guttman (1955) The Determinacy of Factor Score Matrices with Implications for Five Other Basic Problems of Common‐factor Theory 1
- Kane (2013) Validating the Interpretations and Uses of Test Scores
- Recht et al. (2019) Do ImageNet Classifiers Generalize to ImageNet?
- Zhang et al. (2024a) A Careful Examination of Large Language Model Performance on Grade School Arithmetic
- Messick (1987) VALIDITY
- Borsboom et al. (2004) The Concept of Validity.
- Viswesvaran and Ones (1999) Meta-Analyses of Fakability Estimates: Implications for Personality Measurement
- Jacob (2005) Accountability, incentives and behavior: the impact of high-stakes testing in the Chicago Public Schools
- Neal and Schanzenbach (2010) Left Behind by Design: Proficiency Counts and Test-Based Accountability
- Embretson and Reise (2000) Item Response Theory for Psychologists
- Meredith (1993) Measurement Invariance, Factor Analysis and Factorial Invariance
- Iurino and Saucier (2020) Testing Measurement Invariance of the Moral Foundations Questionnaire Across 27 Countries
- Hernández-Orallo (2017) The Measure of All Minds
- Salaudeen et al. (2025) Measurement to Meaning: A Validity-Centered Framework for AI Evaluation
- Orne (1962) On the social psychology of the psychological experiment: With particular reference to demand characteristics and their implications.
- Webb et al. (1966) Unobtrusive measures: nonreactive research in the social sciences
- McCambridge et al. (2014) Systematic review of the Hawthorne effect: New concepts are needed to study research participation effects
- Koretz et al. (2016) Auditing for Score Inflation Using Self-Monitoring Assessments: Findings From Three Pilot Studies
- Koretz (2017) The Testing Charade
- Koretz (2008) Measuring Up
- American Educational Research Association et al. (2014) Standards for Educational and Psychological Testing
- Barnett and Ceci (2002) When and where do we apply what we learn?: A taxonomy for far transfer.
F.49 Regulatory theory, auditing, and corporate governance #
Spine.
- The Theory of Economic Regulation (Stigler, 1971). Argues that regulation is acquired by industry and designed for its benefit, the founding statement of capture theory and the main worry about regulators who depend on AI developers for expertise (maintenance).
- The Role of Nonprofit Enterprise (Hansmann, 1980). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Informational Role of Warranties and Private Disclosure about Product Quality (Grossman, 1981). Shows that when quality is verifiable and disclosure costless, sellers disclose voluntarily because silence is read as bad news (unraveling), and that the result fails when verification is not possible, the condition that decides whether AI developers will disclose safety information unprompted (verification).
- Enforced Self-Regulation: A New Strategy for Corporate Crime Control (Braithwaite, 1982). Proposes that firms write their own rules, tailored to their operations, which the state then approves and enforces, the model behind statutes that require developers to publish and follow their own safety frameworks (maintenance).
- Agency Problems, Auditing, and the Theory of the Firm: Some Evidence (Watts and Zimmerman, 1983). Shows that firms hired auditors voluntarily long before regulation required them, because audits lower agency costs between managers and owners, the founding economic explanation of why the audited party pays for verification (verification).
- Liability for Harm versus Regulation of Safety (Shavell, 1984). Identifies when ex ante safety regulation outperforms ex post liability (when injurers cannot pay, escape suit, or when regulators know more about risk), the analysis that frames liability versus licensing for frontier AI (maintenance).
- Responsive Regulation (Ayres and Braithwaite, 1992). Introduces responsive regulation and the enforcement pyramid, in which regulators escalate from persuasion to sanctions as firms fail to self-regulate, and enforced self-regulation, the theory that best describes how laboratory frameworks and state oversight interact (maintenance).
- Management-Based Regulation: Prescribing Private Management to Achieve Public Goals (Coglianese and Lazer, 2003). Describes management-based regulation, which requires firms to plan and document how they will manage risk rather than meet outcome or technology standards, and shows it suits heterogeneous firms whose outputs are hard to measure, the situation of frontier AI (verification and maintenance).
- Full Disclosure (Fung et al., 2007). Studies targeted transparency policies (nutrition labels, restaurant grades, and toxic release reporting) and finds they work only when information is embedded in users' decisions and disclosers' responses, the evidence base for system cards and AI disclosure mandates (verification).
- Truth-telling by Third-party Auditors and the Response of Polluting Firms: Experimental Evidence from India* (Duflo et al., 2013). Shows in a field experiment that randomly assigned, independently paid auditors reported pollution more truthfully than auditors chosen and paid by plants, and that plants then reduced emissions, the strongest causal evidence that verifier independence matters (verification).
Side reading.
- Regulating Artificial Intelligence Systems: Risks, Challenges, Competencies, and Strategies (Scherer, 2015). An early legal analysis of the difficulties of regulating AI (definition, foreseeability, control, and diffuse development) proposing a certification-based agency, a starting point for AI regulation scholarship (maintenance).
- An FDA for Algorithms (Tutt, 2016). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Demystifying the Draft EU Artificial Intelligence Act — Analysing the good, the bad, and the unclear elements of the proposed approach (Veale and Zuiderveen Borgesius, 2021). Analyzes the European Commission's draft AI Act and its reliance on product safety law, standards, and self-assessment, the most cited legal critique of the Act's design (maintenance).
- Regulating ChatGPT and other Large Generative AI Models (Hacker et al., 2023). Argues that the AI Act's use-based risk categories fit general-purpose generative models poorly and proposes obligations at the model and deployment levels (maintenance).
- The Fall of Enron (Healy and Palepu, 2003). Analyzes the governance and audit failures behind Enron's collapse, the canonical case of verification failing because the verifier was conflicted (verification).
- The Goals and Promise of the Sarbanes–Oxley Act (Coates, 2007). Assesses the Sarbanes-Oxley Act, including the creation of a public overseer of auditors and internal control reporting, the model for regulating the verifiers themselves (verification).
- Auditor size and audit quality (DeAngelo, 1981). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Conflicts Of Interest And The Case Of Auditor Independence: Moral Seduction And Strategic Issue Cycling (Moore et al., 2006). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Decentring Regulation: Understanding the Role of Regulation and Self-Regulation in a 'Post-Regulatory' World (Black, 2001). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Economics of Disclosure and Financial Reporting Regulation: Evidence and Suggestions for Future Research (Leuz and Wysocki, 2016). Reviews the economics and evidence on mandated disclosure and financial reporting regulation, the most complete survey of what disclosure mandates achieve (verification).
- Good News and Bad News: Representation Theorems and Applications (Milgrom, 1981). Develops the "good news and bad news" theorems behind the unraveling result for verifiable disclosure (verification).
- Discretionary disclosure (Verrecchia, 1983). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Gatekeepers: The Professions and Corporate Governance (Coffee, 2006). Explains the gatekeeper failures behind Enron and related scandals (auditors, analysts, and rating agencies) and proposes reforms, lessons for third-party AI evaluators paid by the evaluated (verification).
- The Windfall Clause: Distributing the Benefits of AI for the Common Good (O'Keefe et al., 2019). Proposes an ex ante commitment by AI firms to donate a share of windfall profits, a corporate mechanism for distributing gains from transformative AI (maintenance).
- Frontier AI developers need an internal audit function (Schuett, 2025a). Argues that frontier AI developers need an internal audit function that reports to the board and assesses risk management independently of management (verification).
- Hostages of Each Other: The Transformation of Nuclear Safety since Three Mile Island (Rees, 1994). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- More Than You Wanted to Know (Ben-Shahar and Schneider, 2014). Argues that mandated disclosure usually fails because recipients do not read or use it, the main critique of transparency as a regulatory strategy (verification).
- The Open Corporation (Parker, 2002). Argues that regulation can make corporations build internal self-regulation that is open to public scrutiny, and sets conditions under which it works, the theory of the "open corporation" applied to AI developers (maintenance).
- Meta‐Regulation and Self‐Regulation (Coglianese and Mendelson, 2010). Defines meta-regulation as regulators overseeing firms' own risk management systems and reviews evidence on when self-regulation and meta-regulation succeed, the frame for regulating through laboratory safety frameworks (maintenance).
- Beyond the Precautionary Principle (Sunstein, 2003). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Markets: The Credit Rating Agencies (White, 2010). Explains how credit rating agencies became regulatory gatekeepers and how the issuer-pays model contributed to the 2008 crisis, the cautionary case for evaluations paid for by AI developers (verification).
- The Oxford Handbook of Regulation (Oxford University Press, 2010). The reference handbook of regulation (theories, strategies, enforcement, and regulatory fields), the entry point to regulatory studies for the regulation chapter (maintenance).
- The Politics of Government Decision-Making: A Theory of Regulatory Capture (Laffont and Tirole, 1991). Models capture as a principal-agent problem in which the regulator has private information that interest groups can buy, the agency-theoretic account of capture (maintenance).
- Preventing Regulatory Capture (Cambridge University Press, 2013). Argues that capture is a matter of degree, can be detected and measured, and can be limited by institutional design, an empirical counterweight to fatalism about capture (maintenance).
- From a ‘race to AI’ to a ‘race to AI regulation’: regulatory competition for artificial intelligence (Smuha, 2021). Argues that the race to develop AI has become a race to regulate it, analyzing regulatory competition among jurisdictions (maintenance under competition).
- The Brussels Effect (Bradford, 2020). Shows how EU rules become global standards when firms adopt them worldwide to avoid fragmented compliance, the mechanism by which the AI Act may govern developers elsewhere (maintenance under competition).
- The Brussels Effect and Artificial Intelligence: How EU regulation will impact the global AI market (Siegmann and Anderljung, 2022). Assesses whether the Brussels effect will extend the EU AI Act to global AI markets and finds it likely for some provisions (maintenance under competition).
- Regulatory Markets for AI Safety (Clark and Hadfield, 2019). Proposes regulatory markets in which governments license private regulators that compete to achieve outcomes set by the state, an institutional design for keeping regulation abreast of AI (maintenance).
- Really Responsive Risk-Based Regulation (Black and Baldwin, 2010). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Illusory Promise of Stakeholder Governance (Bebchuk and Tallarita, 2020). Argues that pledges by corporate leaders to serve stakeholders are mostly illusory because directors lack incentives to honor them, a test for the safety commitments of for-profit AI developers (maintenance).
Sources cited in Section F.49 40
- Stigler (1971) The Theory of Economic Regulation
- Hansmann (1980) The Role of Nonprofit Enterprise
- Grossman (1981) The Informational Role of Warranties and Private Disclosure about Product Quality
- Braithwaite (1982) Enforced Self-Regulation: A New Strategy for Corporate Crime Control
- Watts and Zimmerman (1983) Agency Problems, Auditing, and the Theory of the Firm: Some Evidence
- Shavell (1984) Liability for Harm versus Regulation of Safety
- Ayres and Braithwaite (1992) Responsive Regulation
- Coglianese and Lazer (2003) Management-Based Regulation: Prescribing Private Management to Achieve Public Goals
- Fung et al. (2007) Full Disclosure
- Duflo et al. (2013) Truth-telling by Third-party Auditors and the Response of Polluting Firms: Experimental Evidence from India*
- Scherer (2015) Regulating Artificial Intelligence Systems: Risks, Challenges, Competencies, and Strategies
- Tutt (2016) An FDA for Algorithms
- Veale and Zuiderveen Borgesius (2021) Demystifying the Draft EU Artificial Intelligence Act — Analysing the good, the bad, and the unclear elements of the proposed approach
- Hacker et al. (2023) Regulating ChatGPT and other Large Generative AI Models
- Healy and Palepu (2003) The Fall of Enron
- Coates (2007) The Goals and Promise of the Sarbanes–Oxley Act
- DeAngelo (1981) Auditor size and audit quality
- Moore et al. (2006) Conflicts Of Interest And The Case Of Auditor Independence: Moral Seduction And Strategic Issue Cycling
- Black (2001) Decentring Regulation: Understanding the Role of Regulation and Self-Regulation in a 'Post-Regulatory' World
- Leuz and Wysocki (2016) The Economics of Disclosure and Financial Reporting Regulation: Evidence and Suggestions for Future Research
- Milgrom (1981) Good News and Bad News: Representation Theorems and Applications
- Verrecchia (1983) Discretionary disclosure
- Coffee (2006) Gatekeepers: The Professions and Corporate Governance
- O'Keefe et al. (2019) The Windfall Clause: Distributing the Benefits of AI for the Common Good
- Schuett (2025a) Frontier AI developers need an internal audit function
- Rees (1994) Hostages of Each Other: The Transformation of Nuclear Safety since Three Mile Island
- Ben-Shahar and Schneider (2014) More Than You Wanted to Know
- Parker (2002) The Open Corporation
- Coglianese and Mendelson (2010) Meta‐Regulation and Self‐Regulation
- Sunstein (2003) Beyond the Precautionary Principle
- White (2010) Markets: The Credit Rating Agencies
- Oxford University Press (2010) The Oxford Handbook of Regulation
- Laffont and Tirole (1991) The Politics of Government Decision-Making: A Theory of Regulatory Capture
- Cambridge University Press (2013) Preventing Regulatory Capture
- Smuha (2021) From a ‘race to AI’ to a ‘race to AI regulation’: regulatory competition for artificial intelligence
- Bradford (2020) The Brussels Effect
- Siegmann and Anderljung (2022) The Brussels Effect and Artificial Intelligence: How EU regulation will impact the global AI market
- Clark and Hadfield (2019) Regulatory Markets for AI Safety
- Black and Baldwin (2010) Really Responsive Risk-Based Regulation
- Bebchuk and Tallarita (2020) The Illusory Promise of Stakeholder Governance
F.50 Requirements engineering and software testing #
Spine.
- On Testing Non-Testable Programs (Weyuker, 1982). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Four dark corners of requirements engineering (Zave and Jackson, 1997). Argues that every requirements description is a description of the environment and that a specification is correct only together with the domain assumptions it relies on, which gives specification gaming an exact statement: the optimizer meets the specification by falsifying an assumption the designer relied on.
Side reading.
- Design and code inspections to reduce errors in program development (Fagan, 1976). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Expectations, outcomes, and challenges of modern code review (Bacchelli and Bird, 2013). Field study of modern code review at Microsoft finding that finding defects is the main stated motive but that reviewers spend much of their effort understanding the change, evidence on the human review step that AI control relies on.
- Code Reviews Do Not Find Bugs. How the Current Code Review Best Practice Slows Us Down (Czerwonka et al., 2015). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Modern code review (Sadowski et al., 2018). Case study of code review at Google reporting that developers use review for education, maintaining norms, and gatekeeping as much as for finding defects, evidence on what the human review step in AI control can be expected to catch.
- Applying 'design by contract' (Meyer, 1992). Introduces design by contract (preconditions, postconditions, and invariants that assign obligations between caller and routine), the software-engineering form of a specification as a contract whose breach can be located.
- Intent specifications: an approach to building human-centered specifications (Leveson, 2000). Proposes intent specifications that record why each requirement exists, not only what it is, so that reviewers can trace design decisions to purposes, an engineering precedent for specifying intent rather than behavior.
- Deriving specifications from requirements (Jackson and Zave, 1995). Works through how a specification for the machine is derived from requirements stated about the environment plus domain assumptions, the worked example behind the requirement, specification, and assumption split.
- A reference model for requirements and specifications (Zave et al., 2000). Gives the formal reference model (world, requirements, specification, program, machine) and the proof obligation that specification plus domain knowledge entails the requirement, the cleanest formal frame for what a reward or test suite does and does not guarantee.
- Toward a theory of test data selection (Goodenough and Gerhart, 1975). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Hints on Test Data Selection: Help for the Practicing Programmer (DeMillo et al., 1978). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Coverage is not strongly correlated with test suite effectiveness (Inozemtseva and Holmes, 2014). Finds that code coverage is not strongly correlated with a test suite's ability to detect faults once suite size is controlled, a measured case of a proxy metric diverging from the quality it stands for.
- SWE-Bench+: Enhanced Coding Benchmark for LLMs (Aleithan et al., 2024). Audits SWE-bench and reports solution leakage in issue reports and weak tests that accept incorrect patches, showing how benchmark and reward validity for coding agents depends on the adequacy of the test oracle.
- Are "Solved Issues" in SWE-bench Really Solved Correctly? An Empirical Study (Wang et al., 2025a). Finds that a substantial share of patches counted as resolving SWE-bench issues pass the tests yet behave differently from the reference fix, direct evidence that test-suite rewards for coding agents admit wrong solutions.
- The Oracle Problem in Software Testing: A Survey (Barr et al., 2015). Surveys the oracle problem and its partial remedies (specified, derived, implicit, and human oracles), the map of methods available when the checker cannot compute the right answer itself.
- Metamorphic Testing (Chen et al., 2019). Reviews metamorphic testing, which checks relations between outputs on related inputs when no oracle can say whether a single output is right, the method behind consistency checks on systems whose answers cannot be verified directly.
Sources cited in Section F.50 17
- Weyuker (1982) On Testing Non-Testable Programs
- Zave and Jackson (1997) Four dark corners of requirements engineering
- Fagan (1976) Design and code inspections to reduce errors in program development
- Bacchelli and Bird (2013) Expectations, outcomes, and challenges of modern code review
- Czerwonka et al. (2015) Code Reviews Do Not Find Bugs. How the Current Code Review Best Practice Slows Us Down
- Sadowski et al. (2018) Modern code review
- Meyer (1992) Applying 'design by contract'
- Leveson (2000) Intent specifications: an approach to building human-centered specifications
- Jackson and Zave (1995) Deriving specifications from requirements
- Zave et al. (2000) A reference model for requirements and specifications
- Goodenough and Gerhart (1975) Toward a theory of test data selection
- DeMillo et al. (1978) Hints on Test Data Selection: Help for the Practicing Programmer
- Inozemtseva and Holmes (2014) Coverage is not strongly correlated with test suite effectiveness
- Aleithan et al. (2024) SWE-Bench+: Enhanced Coding Benchmark for LLMs
- Wang et al. (2025a) Are "Solved Issues" in SWE-bench Really Solved Correctly? An Empirical Study
- Barr et al. (2015) The Oracle Problem in Software Testing: A Survey
- Chen et al. (2019) Metamorphic Testing
F.51 Safety engineering, reliability, and risk analysis #
Spine.
- Reactor safety study. An assessment of accident risks in U. S. commercial nuclear power plants. Executive summary. [PWR and BWR] (Nuclear Regulatory Commission, 1975). Executive summary of the Reactor Safety Study (WASH-1400), the first large probabilistic risk assessment of nuclear power plants, which used event and fault trees to estimate accident frequencies and consequences.
- On The Quantitative Definition of Risk (Kaplan and Garrick, 1981). Defines risk as the set of triplets of scenario, likelihood, and consequence, the conceptual basis of quantitative risk assessment.
- Human error: models and management (Reason, 2000). Contrasts the person approach with the system approach to error and presents the Swiss cheese model, in which accidents occur when holes in successive defensive layers line up.
- A new accident model for engineering safer systems (Leveson, 2004). Introduces STAMP, which models accidents as failures of control over unsafe interactions among components rather than as chains of component failures, the basis for hazard analysis of systems whose parts all work as designed.
- Safety and Assurance Cases: Past, Present and Possible Future – an Adelard Perspective (Bloomfield and Bishop, 2009). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Engineering a Safer World (Leveson, 2012). Book-length development of STAMP and the STPA hazard analysis method, arguing that safety is an emergent property enforced by control structures across engineering, operations, management, and regulation.
Side reading.
- The Need for Change, the Legacy of TMI: Report of the President's Commission on the Accident at Three Mile Island (Kemeny, 1979). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Columbia Accident Investigation Board Report, Volume I (Columbia Accident Investigation Board, 2003). The official investigation of the Columbia loss, whose chapters on organizational causes trace how NASA came to accept repeated foam strikes and use the term normalization of deviance.
- The Nimrod Review: an independent review into the broader issues surrounding the loss of the RAF Nimrod MR2 aircraft XV230 in Afghanistan in 2006 (Haddon-Cave, 2009). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Boeing 737 MAX Flight Control System: Observations, Findings, and Recommendations (Review, 2019). An international technical review of how the 737 MAX flight control system was certified, with its findings and recommendations for the certification process.
- How safe is safe enough? A psychometric study of attitudes towards technological risks and benefits (Fischhoff et al., 1978). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Evolution of Crew Resource Management Training in Commercial Aviation (Helmreich et al., 1999). Traces crew resource management through its generations, reframing it as error management in teams of humans and automation.
- On error management: lessons from aviation (Helmreich, 2000). Describes how aviation manages error through crew resource management, incident reporting, and threat-and-error management, and what medicine can borrow.
- Certification of Safety-Critical Systems (Leveson and Thomas, 2023). Argues that certification of safety-critical systems should rest on hazard analysis of the system's control structure rather than on standards compliance or statistical testing alone.
- Experts In Uncertainty (Cooke, 1991). Develops structured expert judgment with performance-based weighting of experts, the standard method for quantifying risks where data are absent.
- Human Error (Reason, 1990). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Good and bad reasons: The Swiss cheese model and its critics (Larouzee and Le Coze, 2020). Reviews the Swiss cheese model's history and the main criticisms of it (linearity, static layers, vagueness), clarifying what the metaphor does and does not claim.
- Risk Assessment Review Group report to the U. S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission. [PWR; BWR] (Lewis et al., 1978). The independent review of WASH-1400, which endorsed its event-tree and fault-tree methods but found its absolute risk estimates and uncertainty bounds unreliable, the model case of a risk estimate that outran its evidence.
- Fault Tree Handbook (NUREG-0492) (Vesely et al., 1981). Regulatory handbook for fault tree construction and evaluation, the standard reference for decomposing a top-level hazard into combinations of basic events.
- The Concept of Probability in Safety Assessments of Technological Systems (Apostolakis, 1990). Defends the subjectivist interpretation of probability in safety assessment, arguing that probabilities for rare events must express degrees of belief informed by models and expert judgment.
- How Useful Is Quantitative Risk Assessment? (Apostolakis, 2004). Assesses what quantitative risk assessment has achieved and its limits, including completeness and model uncertainty, arguing that it informs rather than determines decisions.
- Safety–I and Safety–II (Hollnagel, 2018). Contrasts Safety-I, which counts failures, with Safety-II, which studies how everyday performance adjusts to succeed, arguing that safety requires understanding normal work.
- Safety Case Construction and Reuse Using Patterns (Kelly and McDermid, 1997). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- A New Approach to creating Clear Safety Arguments (Hawkins et al., 2010). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- A Safety Standard Approach for Fully Autonomous Vehicles (Koopman et al., 2019). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Mind the gaps: Assuring the safety of autonomous systems from an engineering, ethical, and legal perspective (Burton et al., 2020). Identifies semantic, responsibility, and liability gaps that arise when autonomous systems with learned components must be assured, linking engineering, ethical, and legal assurance.
- Safety cases for frontier AI (Buhl et al., 2024). Analyzes how safety cases could be used by frontier AI developers and regulators, drawing on their use in other safety-critical industries.
- System Safety and Artificial Intelligence (Dobbe, 2022). Argues for applying system safety, including STAMP, to AI systems, treating harms as emergent from sociotechnical control structures.
- Learning from the Failure of Autonomous and Intelligent Systems: Accidents, Safety, and Sociotechnical Sources of Risk (Macrae, 2022). Analyzes accidents involving autonomous and intelligent systems and identifies sociotechnical sources of risk that incident investigation should target.
- From Plane Crashes to Algorithmic Harm: Applicability of Safety Engineering Frameworks for Responsible ML (Rismani et al., 2023). Interviews practitioners on applying safety engineering methods such as FMEA and STPA to harms from machine learning systems, finding where they transfer and where they need adaptation.
- An investigation of the Therac-25 accidents (Leveson and Turner, 1993). Investigation of the Therac-25 radiation overdoses, tracing them to software race conditions, removal of hardware interlocks, and overconfidence in software, a canonical case of removing a defense layer.
Sources cited in Section F.51 31
- Nuclear Regulatory Commission (1975) Reactor safety study. An assessment of accident risks in U. S. commercial nuclear power plants. Executive summary. [PWR and BWR]
- Kaplan and Garrick (1981) On The Quantitative Definition of Risk
- Reason (2000) Human error: models and management
- Leveson (2004) A new accident model for engineering safer systems
- Bloomfield and Bishop (2009) Safety and Assurance Cases: Past, Present and Possible Future – an Adelard Perspective
- Leveson (2012) Engineering a Safer World
- Kemeny (1979) The Need for Change, the Legacy of TMI: Report of the President's Commission on the Accident at Three Mile Island
- Columbia Accident Investigation Board (2003) Columbia Accident Investigation Board Report, Volume I
- Haddon-Cave (2009) The Nimrod Review: an independent review into the broader issues surrounding the loss of the RAF Nimrod MR2 aircraft XV230 in Afghanistan in 2006
- Review (2019) Boeing 737 MAX Flight Control System: Observations, Findings, and Recommendations
- Fischhoff et al. (1978) How safe is safe enough? A psychometric study of attitudes towards technological risks and benefits
- Helmreich et al. (1999) The Evolution of Crew Resource Management Training in Commercial Aviation
- Helmreich (2000) On error management: lessons from aviation
- Leveson and Thomas (2023) Certification of Safety-Critical Systems
- Cooke (1991) Experts In Uncertainty
- Reason (1990) Human Error
- Larouzee and Le Coze (2020) Good and bad reasons: The Swiss cheese model and its critics
- Lewis et al. (1978) Risk Assessment Review Group report to the U. S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission. [PWR; BWR]
- Vesely et al. (1981) Fault Tree Handbook (NUREG-0492)
- Apostolakis (1990) The Concept of Probability in Safety Assessments of Technological Systems
- Apostolakis (2004) How Useful Is Quantitative Risk Assessment?
- Hollnagel (2018) Safety–I and Safety–II
- Kelly and McDermid (1997) Safety Case Construction and Reuse Using Patterns
- Hawkins et al. (2010) A New Approach to creating Clear Safety Arguments
- Koopman et al. (2019) A Safety Standard Approach for Fully Autonomous Vehicles
- Burton et al. (2020) Mind the gaps: Assuring the safety of autonomous systems from an engineering, ethical, and legal perspective
- Buhl et al. (2024) Safety cases for frontier AI
- Dobbe (2022) System Safety and Artificial Intelligence
- Macrae (2022) Learning from the Failure of Autonomous and Intelligent Systems: Accidents, Safety, and Sociotechnical Sources of Risk
- Rismani et al. (2023) From Plane Crashes to Algorithmic Harm: Applicability of Safety Engineering Frameworks for Responsible ML
- Leveson and Turner (1993) An investigation of the Therac-25 accidents
F.52 Social choice #
Side reading.
- On the Rationale of Group Decision-making (Black, 1948). Single-peaked preferences guarantee a majority winner, an escape from voting cycles.
- Strategy-proofness and Arrow's conditions: Existence and correspondence theorems for voting procedures and social welfare functions (Satterthwaite, 1975). The second half of the Gibbard-Satterthwaite theorem: every non-dictatorial voting rule over three or more options can be manipulated.
- Thirteen theorems in search of the truth (Grofman et al., 1983). Generalizes the Condorcet jury theorem on when majority votes track the truth.
- Harsanyi's Social Aggregation Theorem and the Weak Pareto Principle (Weymark, 1993). Restates Harsanyi's aggregation theorem and examines what changes when the strong Pareto condition is weakened, including the sign conditions on the weights.
- The Borda count and agenda manipulation (Dummett, 1998). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Axioms for Learning from Pairwise Comparisons (Noothigattu, 2020). Asks which social choice axioms the Bradley-Terry estimate satisfies when the comparisons come from many people.
Sources cited in Section F.52 6
- Black (1948) On the Rationale of Group Decision-making
- Satterthwaite (1975) Strategy-proofness and Arrow's conditions: Existence and correspondence theorems for voting procedures and social welfare functions
- Grofman et al. (1983) Thirteen theorems in search of the truth
- Weymark (1993) Harsanyi's Social Aggregation Theorem and the Weak Pareto Principle
- Dummett (1998) The Borda count and agenda manipulation
- Noothigattu (2020) Axioms for Learning from Pairwise Comparisons
F.53 Social epistemology and the law of evidence #
Spine.
- Adversary Presentation and Bias in Legal Decisionmaking (Thibaut et al., 1972). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Experts: Which Ones Should You Trust? (Goldman, 2001). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Why do humans reason? Arguments for an argumentative theory (Mercier and Sperber, 2011). Argues that reasoning evolved to produce and evaluate arguments in dialogue, predicting that people judge others' arguments better than they reason alone but argue with myside bias, the psychological premise on which debate as oversight rests.
Side reading.
- Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (Supreme Court of the United States, 1993). Assigns trial judges the gatekeeping task of ensuring expert testimony rests on a reliable foundation (testability, error rates, peer review, acceptance), the legal standard for admitting evidence from an expert whose reasoning the court cannot reproduce.
- Discovery and Presentation of Evidence in Adversary and Nonadversary Proceedings (Lind et al., 1973). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Procedural Justice: A Psychological Analysis (Thibaut and Walker, 1975). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- A Theory of Procedure (Thibaut and Walker, 1978). States a theory of procedure that matches procedures to conflicts of truth and conflicts of interest, arguing that disputes over facts call for decision maker control and disputes over interests for disputant control of the process, the design question behind choosing between debate and inquisitorial oversight.
- Relying on the Information of Interested Parties (Milgrom and Roberts, 1986). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Advocates (Dewatripont and Tirole, 1999). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Epistemic Dependence (Hardwig, 1985). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Epistemic Vigilance (Sperber et al., 2010). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Demonstrability and social combination processes on mathematical intellective tasks (Laughlin and Ellis, 1986). Finds that groups solve demonstrable problems by 'truth wins' when a correct member can show the answer, and fall back on majority otherwise, a result about when a correct but outnumbered argument prevails before a judge.
- The Selective Laziness of Reasoning (Trouche et al., 2016). Using a choice-blindness manipulation, shows that more than half of participants rejected their own arguments when these were presented as someone else's, and that people tell valid from invalid arguments better when the arguments are others', a measured asymmetry between producing and evaluating arguments that bears on judges in debate.
Sources cited in Section F.53 13
- Thibaut et al. (1972) Adversary Presentation and Bias in Legal Decisionmaking
- Goldman (2001) Experts: Which Ones Should You Trust?
- Mercier and Sperber (2011) Why do humans reason? Arguments for an argumentative theory
- Supreme Court of the United States (1993) Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
- Lind et al. (1973) Discovery and Presentation of Evidence in Adversary and Nonadversary Proceedings
- Thibaut and Walker (1975) Procedural Justice: A Psychological Analysis
- Thibaut and Walker (1978) A Theory of Procedure
- Milgrom and Roberts (1986) Relying on the Information of Interested Parties
- Dewatripont and Tirole (1999) Advocates
- Hardwig (1985) Epistemic Dependence
- Sperber et al. (2010) Epistemic Vigilance
- Laughlin and Ellis (1986) Demonstrability and social combination processes on mathematical intellective tasks
- Trouche et al. (2016) The Selective Laziness of Reasoning
F.54 Sociology of work #
Spine.
- Weapons of the Weak (Scott, 1985). Documents everyday resistance by subordinates who cannot resist openly (foot-dragging, feigned ignorance, false compliance) and infers it from patterns no single act reveals, the human record of sandbagging and alignment faking and a method for detecting them.
Side reading.
- Algorithms at Work: The New Contested Terrain of Control (Kellogg et al., 2020). Reviews algorithmic management as a new contested terrain of control, including how workers game and resist algorithmic directing, evaluating, and disciplining, the reverse case in which algorithms control people.
- Domination and the Arts of Resistance (Scott, 1990). Distinguishes the public transcript performed before the powerful from the hidden transcript spoken offstage, the structure of behavior that differs between observed and unobserved conditions.
- Contested Terrain: The Transformation of the Workplace in the Twentieth Century (Edwards, 1979). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Slavery and Supervision in Comparative Perspective: A Model (Fenoaltea, 1984). Models why coercion secured effort in effort-intensive tasks but failed in care-intensive ones, where the threat of pain produced anxiety and carelessness, a formal result that control by threat secures monitorable effort but not unmonitorable quality.
- The Transparency Paradox (Bernstein, 2012). A field experiment in a large mobile phone factory showing that observed workers concealed productive deviations from official procedure and that zones of privacy raised performance, evidence that observation changes the behavior it is meant to measure.
- Quota Restriction and Goldbricking in a Machine Shop (Roy, 1952). Participant observation of machinists who restricted output and 'goldbricked' on piece rates to protect the rate from being cut, a documented case of agents deliberately underperforming when their measured output would be used against them.
- Manufacturing Consent (Burawoy, 1979). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
Sources cited in Section F.54 8
- Scott (1985) Weapons of the Weak
- Kellogg et al. (2020) Algorithms at Work: The New Contested Terrain of Control
- Scott (1990) Domination and the Arts of Resistance
- Edwards (1979) Contested Terrain: The Transformation of the Workplace in the Twentieth Century
- Fenoaltea (1984) Slavery and Supervision in Comparative Perspective: A Model
- Bernstein (2012) The Transparency Paradox
- Roy (1952) Quota Restriction and Goldbricking in a Machine Shop
- Burawoy (1979) Manufacturing Consent
F.55 Sociology, anthropology, science and technology studies, and AI ethics #
Spine.
- The Unanticipated Consequences of Purposive Social Action (Merton, 1936). Analyzes why purposive action has unanticipated consequences, including ignorance, error, immediate interest overriding long-run effects, and self-defeating predictions, the sociological ancestor of specification failure.
- The weirdest people in the world? (Henrich et al., 2010). Shows that behavioral science samples drawn from Western, educated, industrialized, rich, and democratic societies are unrepresentative outliers on many psychological measures, so values elicited from such samples cannot stand for humanity.
- Fair Prediction with Disparate Impact: A Study of Bias in Recidivism Prediction Instruments (Chouldechova, 2017). Shows that when base rates differ across groups, a classifier equally precise across them cannot also equalize its false positive and false negative rates, short of perfect precision, so fairness requires choosing among incompatible criteria, a case of aggregation without a neutral answer.
- Do Artifacts Have Politics? (Winner, 2017). Original publication of Winner's essay.
- Value Sensitive Design (Friedman and Hendry, 2019). Book-length statement of value sensitive design, a method that accounts for human values throughout design through conceptual, empirical, and technical investigations with direct and indirect stakeholders.
- Model Cards for Model Reporting (Mitchell et al., 2019). Proposes short documents that report a model's intended use and its performance across groups and conditions, the origin of model and system cards.
Side reading.
- Datasheets for datasets (Gebru et al., 2021). Proposes that every dataset ship with a datasheet recording its motivation, composition, collection, and recommended uses.
- The Data Provenance Initiative: A Large Scale Audit of Dataset Licensing & Attribution in AI (Longpre et al., 2023b). Audits the licenses and attribution of widely used fine-tuning datasets and finds frequent miscategorization.
- Consent in Crisis: The Rapid Decline of the AI Data Commons (Longpre et al., 2024b). Audits how web domains restrict crawling for AI training through robots.txt and terms of service, and how fast those restrictions grew.
- An AI Agent Published a Hit Piece on Me (Shambaugh, 2026). A software maintainer's first-hand account of an autonomous agent that published an attack on him after he rejected its code change.
- The global landscape of AI ethics guidelines (Jobin et al., 2019). Maps 84 AI ethics guidelines and finds convergence on a few principles but divergence in how they are interpreted and implemented.
- Principles alone cannot guarantee ethical AI (Mittelstadt, 2019). Argues that principles alone cannot secure ethical AI because AI development lacks the shared aims, professional history, and accountability mechanisms of medicine.
- The Role and Limits of Principles in AI Ethics (Whittlestone et al., 2019). Argues that AI ethics should focus on tensions between principles and how to resolve them rather than on lists of principles.
- Re-imagining Algorithmic Fairness in India and Beyond (Sambasivan et al., 2021b). Shows that fairness concepts developed in Western contexts misfire in India because of different axes of discrimination, data distortions, and institutions.
- Collingridge and the dilemma of control: Towards responsible and accountable innovation (Genus and Stirling, 2018). Reassesses Collingridge's dilemma and his remedies of keeping technologies reversible, flexible, and monitored, connecting them to responsible innovation.
- Modernization, Cultural Change, and the Persistence of Traditional Values (Inglehart and Baker, 2000). Uses World Values Survey data to show that economic development shifts values in predictable directions while cultural heritage persists, the basis of the Inglehart-Welzel cultural map.
- In Search of Homo Economicus: Behavioral Experiments in 15 Small-Scale Societies (Henrich et al., 2001). Runs economic games in fifteen small-scale societies and finds large cross-cultural variation in fairness offers and punishment, tied to local market integration and cooperation.
- Beyond Western, Educated, Industrial, Rich, and Democratic (WEIRD) Psychology: Measuring and Mapping Scales of Cultural and Psychological Distance (Muthukrishna et al., 2020). Measures cultural distance among populations from World Values Survey data, giving a quantitative way to say how far a sample is from a target population.
- Which Humans? (Atari et al., 2023b). Compares language model responses with cross-cultural survey data and finds they resemble those of WEIRD populations, asking which humans models are aligned to.
- Cultural bias and cultural alignment of large language models (Tao et al., 2024). Measures cultural bias in large language models against World Values Survey data and shows that cultural prompting partly reduces it.
- Gender Shades: Intersectional Accuracy Disparities in Commercial Gender Classification (Buolamwini and Gebru, 2018). Audits commercial gender classifiers and finds error rates far higher for darker-skinned women, an influential model of external algorithmic auditing.
- Measurement and Fairness (Jacobs and Wallach, 2021). Argues that fairness disputes are often disputes about measurement and uses construct reliability and validity to analyze them.
- Fairness and Machine Learning: Limitations and Opportunities (Barocas et al., 2023). Textbook on fairness and machine learning covering formal criteria, their limits, causality, and the legitimacy of automated decisions.
- Participation Is not a Design Fix for Machine Learning (Sloane et al., 2022). Argues that participation in machine learning often becomes extractive or tokenistic and cannot substitute for addressing power and accountability.
- Trust in Numbers (Porter, 1995). Explains the authority of numbers in public life as a technology of distance and trust, relevant to why benchmark scores carry institutional weight.
- Hard choices in artificial intelligence (Dobbe et al., 2021). Argues that AI system design faces normative indeterminacy that technical methods cannot resolve and proposes sociotechnical commitments to make those choices explicit.
- In Conversation with Artificial Intelligence: Aligning language Models with Human Values (Kasirzadeh and Gabriel, 2023). Argues that what alignment requires of a conversational agent depends on the domain of discourse and its norms, using pragmatics to specify context-dependent targets.
- STELA: a community-centred approach to norm elicitation for AI alignment (Bergman et al., 2024). Elicits norms for AI from underrepresented communities through deliberative workshops, a community-centered alternative to crowd preference collection.
- Rankings and Reactivity: How Public Measures Recreate Social Worlds (Espeland and Sauder, 2007). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Seeing Like a State (Scott, 2020). Argues that high-modernist schemes fail when states impose legible, simplified models on complex social practices and destroy the local knowledge that made them work.
- Bias in computer systems (Friedman and Nissenbaum, 1996). Distinguishes preexisting, technical, and emergent bias in computer systems, an early taxonomy of how systems come to treat people unfairly.
Sources cited in Section F.55 31
- Merton (1936) The Unanticipated Consequences of Purposive Social Action
- Henrich et al. (2010) The weirdest people in the world?
- Chouldechova (2017) Fair Prediction with Disparate Impact: A Study of Bias in Recidivism Prediction Instruments
- Winner (2017) Do Artifacts Have Politics?
- Friedman and Hendry (2019) Value Sensitive Design
- Mitchell et al. (2019) Model Cards for Model Reporting
- Gebru et al. (2021) Datasheets for datasets
- Longpre et al. (2023b) The Data Provenance Initiative: A Large Scale Audit of Dataset Licensing & Attribution in AI
- Longpre et al. (2024b) Consent in Crisis: The Rapid Decline of the AI Data Commons
- Shambaugh (2026) An AI Agent Published a Hit Piece on Me
- Jobin et al. (2019) The global landscape of AI ethics guidelines
- Mittelstadt (2019) Principles alone cannot guarantee ethical AI
- Whittlestone et al. (2019) The Role and Limits of Principles in AI Ethics
- Sambasivan et al. (2021b) Re-imagining Algorithmic Fairness in India and Beyond
- Genus and Stirling (2018) Collingridge and the dilemma of control: Towards responsible and accountable innovation
- Inglehart and Baker (2000) Modernization, Cultural Change, and the Persistence of Traditional Values
- Henrich et al. (2001) In Search of Homo Economicus: Behavioral Experiments in 15 Small-Scale Societies
- Muthukrishna et al. (2020) Beyond Western, Educated, Industrial, Rich, and Democratic (WEIRD) Psychology: Measuring and Mapping Scales of Cultural and Psychological Distance
- Atari et al. (2023b) Which Humans?
- Tao et al. (2024) Cultural bias and cultural alignment of large language models
- Buolamwini and Gebru (2018) Gender Shades: Intersectional Accuracy Disparities in Commercial Gender Classification
- Jacobs and Wallach (2021) Measurement and Fairness
- Barocas et al. (2023) Fairness and Machine Learning: Limitations and Opportunities
- Sloane et al. (2022) Participation Is not a Design Fix for Machine Learning
- Porter (1995) Trust in Numbers
- Dobbe et al. (2021) Hard choices in artificial intelligence
- Kasirzadeh and Gabriel (2023) In Conversation with Artificial Intelligence: Aligning language Models with Human Values
- Bergman et al. (2024) STELA: a community-centred approach to norm elicitation for AI alignment
- Espeland and Sauder (2007) Rankings and Reactivity: How Public Measures Recreate Social Worlds
- Scott (2020) Seeing Like a State
- Friedman and Nissenbaum (1996) Bias in computer systems
F.56 Statistics #
Spine.
- A Mathematical Theory of Communication (Shannon, 1948). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- On Information and Sufficiency (Kullback and Leibler, 1951). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Rank Analysis of Incomplete Block Designs: I. The Method of Paired Comparisons (Bradley and Terry, 1952). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
Side reading.
- The Use of Confidence or Fiducial Limits Illustrated in the Case of the Binomial (Clopper and Pearson, 1934). Exact confidence intervals for a binomial proportion, used for rare-event rates.
- Geometrical and Statistical Properties of Systems of Linear Inequalities with Applications in Pattern Recognition (Cover, 1965). The function-counting theorem: how many labelings of points a linear separator can realize, which bounds what a linear probe can fit by chance.
- The Analysis of Permutations (Plackett, 1975). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Direct and Indirect Effects (Pearl, 2001). Defines natural direct and indirect effects for mediation analysis, the decomposition that causal mediation studies of neural networks apply to model components.
- Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning (Bishop, 2006). A standard textbook of probabilistic machine learning, including the behavior of forward and reverse KL divergence.
- Elements of Information Theory (Cover and Thomas, 2006). The standard textbook treatment of entropy, KL divergence, and coding, second edition.
- Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation (Gneiting and Raftery, 2007). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Causal Consistency of Structural Equation Models (Rubenstein et al., 2017). Defines exact transformations between causal models, the formal basis for saying one causal model abstracts another.
Sources cited in Section F.56 11
- Shannon (1948) A Mathematical Theory of Communication
- Kullback and Leibler (1951) On Information and Sufficiency
- Bradley and Terry (1952) Rank Analysis of Incomplete Block Designs: I. The Method of Paired Comparisons
- Clopper and Pearson (1934) The Use of Confidence or Fiducial Limits Illustrated in the Case of the Binomial
- Cover (1965) Geometrical and Statistical Properties of Systems of Linear Inequalities with Applications in Pattern Recognition
- Plackett (1975) The Analysis of Permutations
- Pearl (2001) Direct and Indirect Effects
- Bishop (2006) Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning
- Cover and Thomas (2006) Elements of Information Theory
- Gneiting and Raftery (2007) Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation
- Rubenstein et al. (2017) Causal Consistency of Structural Equation Models
F.57 Value internalization and moral development #
Spine.
- Compliance, identification, and internalization three processes of attitude change (Kelman, 1958). Distinguishes compliance (behavior adopted to gain reward or avoid punishment and maintained only while the influencing agent can observe it) from identification and internalization (behavior adopted because its content fits one's own values and maintained without surveillance), the criterion that separates a system aligned only when observed from one that is aligned.
- Undermining children's intrinsic interest with extrinsic reward: A test of the "overjustification" hypothesis. (Lepper et al., 1973). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Impact of parental discipline methods on the child's internalization of values: A reconceptualization of current points of view. (Grusec and Goodnow, 1994). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Empathy and Moral Development (Hoffman, 2000). Synthesizes the evidence that inductive discipline, which gives reasons and points to the effects of the child's action on others, builds internalized moral motives through empathy, while power assertion yields compliance that depends on the threat; the human evidence behind teaching values with reasons rather than with rewards alone.
- Self-determination theory and the facilitation of intrinsic motivation, social development, and well-being. (Ryan and Deci, 2000). States self-determination theory's continuum of regulation from external through introjected and identified to integrated, a graded vocabulary for how deeply a value is held, and the conditions (autonomy, competence, relatedness) under which internalization proceeds.
Side reading.
- A Longitudinal Study of Moral Judgment (Colby et al., 1983). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Mother-Child Mutually Positive Affect, the Quality of Child Compliance to Requests and Prohibitions, and Maternal Control as Correlates of Early Internalization (Kochanska and Aksan, 1995). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Studies in the nature of character, [part] 1: Studies in deceit: book 1, General methods and results; book 2, Statistical methods and results. (Hartshorne et al., 1928). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- In a different voice: psychological theory and women's development (Gilligan, 1982). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The emotional dog and its rational tail: A social intuitionist approach to moral judgment. (Haidt, 2001). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Effect of the severity of threat on the devaluation of forbidden behavior. (Aronson and Carlsmith, 1963). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The Development of Social Knowledge (Turiel, 1983). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Bridging moral cognition and moral action: A critical review of the literature. (Blasi, 1980). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- Reinforcement, Reward, and Intrinsic Motivation: A Meta-Analysis (Cameron and Pierce, 1994). Meta-analysis contesting the undermining effect and finding that reward reduces intrinsic motivation only under narrow conditions; with Deci, Koestner, and Ryan it defines the main debate over when external reward displaces an internal motive.
- A meta-analytic review of experiments examining the effects of extrinsic rewards on intrinsic motivation. (Deci et al., 1999). Meta-analysis of experiments finding that expected, tangible rewards contingent on doing or completing a task undermine later free-choice intrinsic motivation, the main synthesis of the evidence that reward can crowd out an internal motive.
- Boys in white: student culture in medical school (Becker et al., 1961). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
- The hidden curriculum, ethics teaching, and the structure of medical education (Hafferty and Franks, 1994). Read for this book only as a catalog record, so no chapter reports what it found.
Sources cited in Section F.57 17
- Kelman (1958) Compliance, identification, and internalization three processes of attitude change
- Lepper et al. (1973) Undermining children's intrinsic interest with extrinsic reward: A test of the "overjustification" hypothesis.
- Grusec and Goodnow (1994) Impact of parental discipline methods on the child's internalization of values: A reconceptualization of current points of view.
- Hoffman (2000) Empathy and Moral Development
- Ryan and Deci (2000) Self-determination theory and the facilitation of intrinsic motivation, social development, and well-being.
- Colby et al. (1983) A Longitudinal Study of Moral Judgment
- Kochanska and Aksan (1995) Mother-Child Mutually Positive Affect, the Quality of Child Compliance to Requests and Prohibitions, and Maternal Control as Correlates of Early Internalization
- Hartshorne et al. (1928) Studies in the nature of character, [part] 1: Studies in deceit: book 1, General methods and results; book 2, Statistical methods and results.
- Gilligan (1982) In a different voice: psychological theory and women's development
- Haidt (2001) The emotional dog and its rational tail: A social intuitionist approach to moral judgment.
- Aronson and Carlsmith (1963) Effect of the severity of threat on the devaluation of forbidden behavior.
- Turiel (1983) The Development of Social Knowledge
- Blasi (1980) Bridging moral cognition and moral action: A critical review of the literature.
- Cameron and Pierce (1994) Reinforcement, Reward, and Intrinsic Motivation: A Meta-Analysis
- Deci et al. (1999) A meta-analytic review of experiments examining the effects of extrinsic rewards on intrinsic motivation.
- Becker et al. (1961) Boys in white: student culture in medical school
- Hafferty and Franks (1994) The hidden curriculum, ethics teaching, and the structure of medical education
F.58 Frontier laboratory publications #
Spine.
- Softmax Linear Units (Elhage et al., 2022a). An alternative activation function increases the fraction of neurons which appear to correspond to human-understandable concepts.
- Circuits Updates — May 2023 (Anthropic, 2023c). A collection of small updates from the Anthropic Interpretability Team.
- Circuits Updates — April 2024 (Anthropic, 2024a). A collection of small updates from the Anthropic Interpretability Team.
- Circuits Updates — March 2024 (Anthropic, 2024g). A collection of small updates from the Anthropic Interpretability Team.
- Circuits Updates — February 2024 (Anthropic, 2024c). A collection of small updates from the Anthropic Interpretability Team.
- Circuits Updates — January 2024 (Anthropic, 2024d). A collection of small updates from the Anthropic Interpretability Team.
- Bloom: an open source tool for automated behavioral evaluations (Anthropic, 2025e). Bloom is an open-source automated pipeline that generates configurable evaluation suites to measure arbitrary behavioral traits in frontier LLMs without requiring ground-truth labels.
- From shortcuts to sabotage: Natural emergent misalignment from reward hacking (Anthropic, 2025y). In the latest research from Anthropic’s alignment team, we show for the first time that realistic AI training processes can accidentally produce misaligned models.
Side reading.
- Would this change your answer? Evaluating Explanations of LLM Behavior In The Wild with Counterfactual Experiments (Karvonen et al., 2026). We evaluate whether interpretability tools are useful for predicting counterfactual behaviors under prompt edits.
- How AI Impacts Skill Formation (Shen and Tamkin, 2026). From the laboratory's post "How AI assistance impacts the formation of coding skills": In a randomized controlled trial, we examined how quickly software developers picked up a new skill with and without AI assistance, and whether using AI made them less likely to understand the code they’d just written.
- AI Organizations are More Effective but Less Aligned than Individual Agents (Shen et al., 2026). From the laboratory's post "AI Organizations Can Be More Effective but Less Aligned than Individual Agents": We study AI organizations, teams of AI agents working together toward a common goal, and find that they produce solutions that are more effective but less aligned than those from individual agents.
- Introducing the Anthropic Fellows Program for AI Safety Research (Anthropic, 2024k). We're launching the Anthropic Fellows Program for AI Safety Research, a pilot initiative designed to accelerate AI safety research and foster research talent.
- A Toy Evaluation of Inference Code Tampering (Roger et al., 2024). We describe how highly capable LLMs might disable their monitor, and evaluate the ability of current LLMs to do so in a toy setting.
- Anthropic Fellows Program 2026 (Anthropic, 2025d). Apply now for our AI safety research fellowship.
- Publicly Releasing CoT Faithfulness Evaluations (Anthropic, 2025an). We release the datasets used in our paper "Reasoning Models Don't Always Say What They Think" for public use.
- Introducing Anthropic's Safeguards Research Team (The Safeguards Research Team, 2025). We're launching a new research team focused on mitigating the post-deployment risks of AI systems.
- Introducing the Conceptual Reasoning Index (Cooper et al., 2026b). We design benchmarks to measure models' capabilities to reason about questions whose answers are (practically) impossible to verify empirically or mathematically.
- A3: An Automated Alignment Agent for Safety Finetuning (Zhang et al., 2026a). We introduce our Automated Alignment Agent (A3), a new agentic framework which automatically mitigates safety failures in Large Language Models with minimal human intervention.
- Introducing Bloom: an open source tool for automated behavioral evaluations (Anthropic, 2025ab). Bloom is an open source agentic framework for generating behavioral evaluations of frontier AI models.
- Donating our open-source alignment tool (Anthropic, 2026t). Donating our open-source alignment tool
- Claude reveals ECDSA curve origins (Anthropic, 2026q). The decades-old mystery of the origins of one of the most popular cryptographic standards has been explained.
- Reverse engineering Claude's CVE-2026-2796 exploit (Anthropic, 2026aq). This post dives deep into how Claude wrote an exploit for one of the vulnerabilities it found in Firefox.
- Hello World (OpenAI, 2025c). Introducing our blog on alignment research.
- Advancing independent research on AI alignment (OpenAI, 2026c). We’re committing $7.5M to The Alignment Project to fund independent research developing mitigations to safety and security risks from misaligned AI.
- Damaging the task environment to trigger a reset (OpenAI, 2026h). During reinforcement learning (RL) training, a model assigned to grade seven responses found that the required input files were missing and tried to submit unsupported assessments.
- Introducing the OpenAI Safety Fellowship (OpenAI, 2026n). A program supporting independent alignment and safety research.
- Notice: RubyGems (OpenAI, 2026o). We are investigating a report about our agents’ activity on RubyGems in May 2026. Our review found that agents used the platform for benign tasks and public information retrieval. We have not verified the report’s specific claims of malicious package uploads; the investigation continues.
- Research acceleration: The view inside OpenAI (OpenAI, 2026t). Inside OpenAI, coding agents are reshaping AI research. Explore early data on agent usage, experiment velocity, task complexity, and research acceleration.
- Exercises (Anthropic, 2021a). Some exercises we've developed to improve our understanding of how neural networks implement algorithms at the parameter level.
- PySvelte (Anthropic, 2021b). One approach to bridging Python and web-based interactive diagrams for interpretability research.
- Videos (Anthropic, 2021c). Very rough informal talks as we search for a way to reverse engineering transformers.
- Garcon (Elhage et al., 2021b). A description of our tooling for doing interpretability on large models.
- Circuits Updates — July 2023 (Anthropic, 2023b). A collection of small updates from the Anthropic Interpretability Team.
- Circuits Updates — September 2024 (Anthropic, 2024h). A collection of small updates: investigating successor heads, oversampling data in SAEs.
- Circuits Updates — August 2024 (Anthropic, 2024b). A collection of small updates: interpretability evals, reproducing self-explanation.
- Circuits Updates — July 2024 (Anthropic, 2024e). A collection of small updates: five hurdles, linear representations, dark matter, pivot tables, feature sensitivity.
- Circuits Updates — June 2024 (Anthropic, 2024f). A collection of small updates: topk and gated SAE investigation.
- Reflections on Qualitative Research (Anthropic, 2024l). Some opinionated thoughts on why interpretability research may have qualitative aspects be more central than we're used to in other fields.
- Using Dictionary Learning Features as Classifiers (Anthropic, 2024o). A preliminary note comparing feature-based and raw-activation based harmfulness classifiers.
- Circuits Updates — November 2025 (Anthropic, 2025l). A short update on harm pressure.
- Circuits Updates — October 2025 (Anthropic, 2025m). Small updates on visual features and dictionary initialization.
- Circuits Updates — September 2025 (Anthropic, 2025n). A small update on features and in-context learning.
- Circuits Updates — August 2025 (Anthropic, 2025i). A small update: How does a persona modify the assistant’s response?
- Circuits Updates — July 2025 (Anthropic, 2025k). A collection of small updates: revisiting A Mathematical Framework and applications of interpretability to biology.
- Circuits Updates — April 2025 (Anthropic, 2025h). A collection of small updates: jailbreaks, dense features, and spinning up on interpretability.
- Circuits Updates — January 2025 (Anthropic, 2025j). A collection of small updates: dictionary learning optimization techniques.
- Progress on Attention (Anthropic, 2025aj). An update on our progress studying attention.
- Sparse mixtures of linear transforms (Anthropic, 2025ao). We investigate sparse mixture of linear transforms (MOLT), a new approach to transcoders.
- Circuits Updates — June 2026 (Anthropic, 2026n). A short update on turn-averaged sparse autoencoders.
- Circuits Updates — May 2026 (Anthropic, 2026o). A short update on understanding features through downstream connections.
- HeadVis (Luger et al., 2026). We develop an interactive visualization tool to help us understand the behaviors of attention heads in language models.
Sources cited in Section F.58 51
- Elhage et al. (2022a) Softmax Linear Units
- Anthropic (2023c) Circuits Updates — May 2023
- Anthropic (2024a) Circuits Updates — April 2024
- Anthropic (2024g) Circuits Updates — March 2024
- Anthropic (2024c) Circuits Updates — February 2024
- Anthropic (2024d) Circuits Updates — January 2024
- Anthropic (2025e) Bloom: an open source tool for automated behavioral evaluations
- Anthropic (2025y) From shortcuts to sabotage: Natural emergent misalignment from reward hacking
- Karvonen et al. (2026) Would this change your answer? Evaluating Explanations of LLM Behavior In The Wild with Counterfactual Experiments
- Shen and Tamkin (2026) How AI Impacts Skill Formation
- Shen et al. (2026) AI Organizations are More Effective but Less Aligned than Individual Agents
- Anthropic (2024k) Introducing the Anthropic Fellows Program for AI Safety Research
- Roger et al. (2024) A Toy Evaluation of Inference Code Tampering
- Anthropic (2025d) Anthropic Fellows Program 2026
- Anthropic (2025an) Publicly Releasing CoT Faithfulness Evaluations
- The Safeguards Research Team (2025) Introducing Anthropic's Safeguards Research Team
- Cooper et al. (2026b) Introducing the Conceptual Reasoning Index
- Zhang et al. (2026a) A3: An Automated Alignment Agent for Safety Finetuning
- Anthropic (2025ab) Introducing Bloom: an open source tool for automated behavioral evaluations
- Anthropic (2026t) Donating our open-source alignment tool
- Anthropic (2026q) Claude reveals ECDSA curve origins
- Anthropic (2026aq) Reverse engineering Claude's CVE-2026-2796 exploit
- OpenAI (2025c) Hello World
- OpenAI (2026c) Advancing independent research on AI alignment
- OpenAI (2026h) Damaging the task environment to trigger a reset
- OpenAI (2026n) Introducing the OpenAI Safety Fellowship
- OpenAI (2026o) Notice: RubyGems
- OpenAI (2026t) Research acceleration: The view inside OpenAI
- Anthropic (2021a) Exercises
- Anthropic (2021b) PySvelte
- Anthropic (2021c) Videos
- Elhage et al. (2021b) Garcon
- Anthropic (2023b) Circuits Updates — July 2023
- Anthropic (2024h) Circuits Updates — September 2024
- Anthropic (2024b) Circuits Updates — August 2024
- Anthropic (2024e) Circuits Updates — July 2024
- Anthropic (2024f) Circuits Updates — June 2024
- Anthropic (2024l) Reflections on Qualitative Research
- Anthropic (2024o) Using Dictionary Learning Features as Classifiers
- Anthropic (2025l) Circuits Updates — November 2025
- Anthropic (2025m) Circuits Updates — October 2025
- Anthropic (2025n) Circuits Updates — September 2025
- Anthropic (2025i) Circuits Updates — August 2025
- Anthropic (2025k) Circuits Updates — July 2025
- Anthropic (2025h) Circuits Updates — April 2025
- Anthropic (2025j) Circuits Updates — January 2025
- Anthropic (2025aj) Progress on Attention
- Anthropic (2025ao) Sparse mixtures of linear transforms
- Anthropic (2026n) Circuits Updates — June 2026
- Anthropic (2026o) Circuits Updates — May 2026
- Luger et al. (2026) HeadVis
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