idea想法

Societies, AI, and What They Reward社会、AI与奖励机制

I recently spoke with a former colleague about how China, Europe, and the US differ in AI. My takeaway: what a society rewards shapes what it builds with AI.

China rewards collective progress and spotting opportunities. Many people look for ways to earn money under tight rules, and the internet economy runs on attention. Token spending reflects that. A Chinese listed company reported that 55% of China’s token consumption goes to AI short dramas and video generation, 24% to e-commerce and marketing, and 15% to software development. The company is itself invested in short dramas, so the figure deserves caution, but it matches what I hear from friends there. Data collection is also organized at scale: embodied AI companies hand out free head-mounted devices and pay people to record everyday tasks such as cooking.

The US tolerates very different ambitions and rewards them. From what I see, its AI use leans toward automation and scientific work.

Europe rewards individualism and quality of life. Its strengths are processes and regulation, and many startups I met are building the same agent platforms for procurement and compliance. Compared with China, most of them are still at an early stage.

We touched on Hofstede’s cultural dimensions, and two of them fit here. Individualism measures whether people see themselves mainly as individuals or as members of groups whose goals come first. Power distance measures how far people accept that power is distributed unequally. China scores as collectivist with high power distance; the US and Germany as individualist with low power distance. An example was the COVID lockdown in Germany, which some people still see as government overreach. His point: these differences explain why something works in one society and fails in another, so the three are not directly comparable. Each is shaped by history and culture that no one can shed easily.

So when building an AI product, it is worth asking what the market rewards, not only what the technology can do.

The following content is generated by LLMs and may contain inaccuracies.

Societies, AI, and What They Reward

Context

This note sits where comparative political economy, cross-cultural psychology and AI product strategy meet. The core claim is that what a society rewards shapes what it builds with AI. It matters now because the same foundation models are spreading worldwide, but how people use them is splitting along national lines.

The original note describes three patterns:

  • China rewards collective progress and spotting opportunities. Many people look for ways to earn money under tight rules, and the internet economy runs on attention. Token spending reflects this: according to a Chinese listed company, 55% of China’s token consumption goes to AI short dramas and video generation, 24% to e-commerce and marketing, and 15% to software development. The company itself invests in short dramas, so the figure deserves caution, but it matches what friends there report. Data collection is organized at scale: embodied AI companies hand out free head-mounted devices and pay people to record everyday tasks such as cooking.
  • The US tolerates very different ambitions and rewards them. AI use leans toward automation and scientific work.
  • Europe rewards individualism and quality of life. Its strengths are processes and regulation, and many startups are building the same agent platforms for procurement and compliance. Most are still early compared with what the author sees in China.

The conversation used two of Hofstede’s dimensions:

  • Individualism: whether people see themselves mainly as individuals or as members of groups whose goals come first.
  • Power distance: how far people accept that power is distributed unequally.

China is described as collectivist with high power distance; the US and Germany as individualist with low power distance. Germany’s COVID lockdown, which some still see as government overreach, was the example. The colleague’s conclusion: the three societies are not directly comparable, because each is shaped by history and culture that no one can shed easily. The product lesson is to ask what the market rewards, not only what the technology can do.

Key Insights

  1. The Hofstede framing holds up, with caveats. The model came from a 1967–1973 survey of about 117,000 IBM employees. It defines power distance as “the extent to which the less powerful members of organizations and institutions … accept and expect that power is distributed unequally,” and individualism as the “degree to which people in a society are integrated into groups” (Wikipedia, Hofstede’s cultural dimensions theory). Three caveats matter for this note:

    • The scores are revised over time. The same Wikipedia article cites US individualism at 91 and US power distance at 40. But the current Culture Factor comparison tool gives Australia an individualism score of 73, while Wikipedia cites 90. Before quoting any numbers on the blog, check them against the current tool. (The tool’s page was cut off before China, Germany and the US, so I couldn’t confirm their current scores.)
    • National averages hide regional differences. Research has measured large variation in collectivism within China and within the US (Wikipedia, “Questionable choice of national level”). “China” in the token-spending story may mostly reflect particular coastal internet hubs.
    • The model has well-known critics. McSweeney (2002) and Ailon (2008) both argue the framework is methodologically weak (same source). Using it to explain things after the fact is easy; using it to predict is harder.
  2. A dimension that wasn’t discussed may fit Europe better: uncertainty avoidance. Germany scores 65, Belgium 94 and Sweden 29 (Wikipedia). The Culture Factor describes Belgium’s 94 this way: “rules and security are welcome and their absence creates stress” (Culture Factor). That explains a cluster of procurement and compliance agents better than individualism does. These startups sell certainty to cultures that are willing to pay for it.

  3. Regulation shapes what Europe’s market rewards, so the clustering may be a response to demand rather than a lack of imagination. The EU AI Act (Regulation (EU) 2024/1689) uses four risk tiers. High-risk obligations, which include risk management, logging, documentation and human oversight, apply from 2 December 2027 for Annex III uses and 2 August 2028 for AI built into regulated products. That timeline was set by the “AI Omnibus” (political agreement 7 May 2026, in force 27 July 2026) (European Commission, AI Act). This law creates direct demand for compliance tooling. One more connection: Hofstede research links low power distance to “consultative political practices” (Wikipedia), the same root as German resistance to the lockdown.

  4. Data partly supports the US picture, but with a twist. Anthropic’s Economic Index (Sept 2025) found:

    • Users in Massachusetts are overrepresented in scientific research tasks.
    • “Directive” automation rose from 27% to 39% of conversations, so automation (49.1%) now exceeds augmentation (47%).
    • 77% of API (business) traffic shows automation patterns.

    However, across countries, higher-use, richer countries lean toward augmentation: a 1% rise in per-capita use goes with about a 3% drop in automation. Coding is the top use in every country (Anthropic, Economic Index). So “US = automation” may describe business API users more than American culture.

  5. Treat the token-mix figure as a hypothesis. I could not verify the 55/24/15 split or identify the company. The data is Claude-only, so it says nothing direct about China, but it shows how much a provider’s user base distorts usage statistics. Anthropic’s data skews toward coding everywhere (Anthropic). A Chinese vendor with short-drama customers would skew toward video in the same way. The author’s own caution about the source is justified for a second reason: whose tokens are counted decides the answer.

  6. Paid data collection reflects institutions as much as culture. Handing out free head-mounted devices to record cooking is easier where labor is cheap, the gig economy is flexible, and privacy rules are a weaker constraint. Under the EU’s GDPR and AI Act, the same program would need consent processes and documentation. I could not find a verified source for the specific device-distribution practice, so it remains anecdotal here.

  7. Counterpoint: the causation may run through incentives more than culture. Hofstede’s research itself notes that “as a country becomes richer, its culture becomes more individualistic” (Wikipedia). Market size, monetization paths (attention advertising vs. enterprise SaaS) and regulation may explain most of the differences, with “culture” as a slower-moving background layer. The colleague’s point that history can’t be shed easily still holds; it just works partly through institutions.

Open Questions

  1. Will exports carry their society’s rewards with them? Chinese short-drama apps are already going abroad. If attention-optimized AI succeeds in individualist, low-power-distance markets, then market incentives matter more than culture. If it fails, culture matters more. Watching this would test the colleague’s claim that the three societies aren’t comparable.
  2. Could Europe’s compliance focus become an export advantage? Once the AI Act applies to high-risk uses from December 2027, compliance agents may stop being a crowded local niche and become infrastructure that every company selling into the EU needs. Rewarding processes could then pay off.

我最近与一位前同事交流了中国、欧洲和美国在AI领域的差异。我的结论是:一个社会奖励什么,就会塑造它用AI构建什么。

中国奖励集体进步和发现机会的能力。在严格规则之下,许多人都在寻找赚钱的途径,而互联网经济依靠注意力运转。Token的消费情况正反映了这一点。一家中国上市公司报告称,中国Token消费的55%用于AI短剧和视频生成,24%用于电子商务和营销,15%用于软件开发。该公司自身投资了短剧业务,因此这一数据需要谨慎看待,但它与我从那里的朋友听到的情况是吻合的。数据收集也以大规模方式组织起来:具身智能公司免费发放头戴式设备,并付钱请人录制烹饪等日常任务。

美国容忍截然不同的雄心,并奖励这些雄心。据我所见,它的AI应用更偏向自动化和科学研究。

欧洲奖励个人主义和生活品质。它的优势在于流程和监管,我接触过的许多初创企业都在为采购和合规打造相同的智能体平台。与我在中国看到的情况相比,它们大多仍处于早期阶段。

我们谈到了霍夫斯泰德的文化维度,其中有两个维度与此相关。个人主义衡量的是人们主要将自己视为个体,还是视为目标优先于个人的群体成员。权力距离衡量的是人们在多大程度上接受权力分配不平等。中国被归为集体主义和高权力距离;美国和德国则被归为个人主义和低权力距离。德国的新冠封锁就是一个例子,一些人至今仍认为那是政府越权。他的观点是:这些差异解释了为什么某种做法在一个社会行得通,在另一个社会却失败,因此这三者无法直接比较。每个社会都受到历史和文化的塑造,而这些是无人能轻易摆脱的。

因此,在构建AI产品时,值得思考的不仅是技术能做什么,还有市场奖励什么。

以下内容由 LLM 生成,可能包含不准确之处。

社会、AI 与它们奖励什么

背景

本文位于比较政治经济学、跨文化心理学与 AI 产品战略的交汇处。核心论点是:一个社会奖励什么,就决定它用 AI 构建什么。 这一问题在当下尤为重要,因为同样的基础模型正在全球扩散,但人们使用它们的方式正沿着国家界线分化。

原始笔记描述了三种模式:

  • 中国奖励集体进步和发现机会。许多人在严格规则下寻找赚钱途径,而互联网经济以注意力为核心。Token 消耗体现了这一点:据一家中国上市公司称,中国 token 消耗的 55% 用于 AI 短剧和视频生成,24% 用于电商与营销,15% 用于软件开发。该公司自身投资短剧,因此这一数字值得谨慎对待,但它与作者在中国的朋友们的反馈相符。数据收集也已大规模组织化:具身智能公司免费发放头戴式设备,并付费请人录制烹饪等日常任务。
  • 美国容忍并奖励截然不同的雄心。AI 的使用偏向自动化与科研工作。
  • 欧洲奖励个人主义与生活质量。其优势在于流程与监管,许多初创公司正在构建用于采购和合规的相同智能体平台。与作者在中国所见相比,这些公司大多仍处于早期阶段。

这场讨论运用了 Hofstede 文化维度理论中的两个维度:

  • 个人主义: 人们主要将自己视为独立个体,还是视为其目标优先于个人的群体成员。
  • 权力距离: 人们在多大程度上接受权力分配不平等。

中国被描述为集体主义、高权力距离;美国和德国则是个人主义、低权力距离。德国的新冠封锁(仍有人视其为政府越权)被作为例子。这位同事的结论是:三个社会不能直接比较,因为每个社会都受到历史与文化的塑造,而这些塑造无人能轻易摆脱。产品层面的启示是:要问市场奖励什么,而不仅仅是技术能做什么。

核心洞见

  1. Hofstede 框架站得住脚,但需附带保留。 该模型源自 1967–1973 年对约 117,000 名 IBM 员工的调查。它将权力距离定义为"组织和机构中权力较小的成员接受并期望权力分配不平等的程度",将个人主义定义为"一个社会中人们融入群体的程度"(维基百科,Hofstede 文化维度理论)。对本文而言,有三点保留十分重要:

    • 分数会随时间修订。 同一维基百科条目引用的美国个人主义分数为 91,美国权力距离分数为 40。但当前的 Culture Factor 比较工具给出澳大利亚个人主义分数为 73,而维基百科引用的是 90。在博客中引用任何数字之前,应先与当前工具核对。(该工具页面在中国、德国和美国之前就被截断,因此我无法确认它们的当前分数。)
    • 国家平均值掩盖了地区差异。 研究测量到中国内部和美国内部集体主义程度存在很大差异(维基百科,“Questionable choice of national level”)。token 消耗故事中的"中国"可能主要反映的是特定的沿海互联网中心。
    • 该模型有众所周知的批评者。 McSweeney(2002)和 Ailon(2008)都认为该框架在方法论上存在缺陷(同一来源)。事后用它来解释很容易,用它来预测则更难。
  2. 讨论中未涉及的一个维度,可能更契合欧洲:不确定性规避。 德国得分 65,比利时 94,瑞典 29(维基百科)。Culture Factor 对比利时 94 分的描述是:“规则与安全受到欢迎,缺少它们会产生压力”(Culture Factor)。与个人主义相比,这一维度更能解释那一批采购与合规智能体的集中出现。这些初创公司是在向愿意为确定性付费的文化出售确定性。

  3. 监管塑造了欧洲市场奖励的内容,因此这种集中可能是对需求的回应,而非缺乏想象力。 《欧盟人工智能法案》(Regulation (EU) 2024/1689)采用四级风险分类。高风险义务包括风险管理、日志记录、文档编制和人工监督,对附件三所列用途自 2027 年 12 月 2 日起适用,对嵌入受监管产品的 AI 自 2028 年 8 月 2 日起适用。这一时间表由"AI 综合法案"(“AI Omnibus”)确定(政治协议于 2026 年 5 月 7 日达成,2026 年 7 月 27 日生效)(欧盟委员会,AI 法案)。该法律直接催生了对合规工具的需求。另一个联系是:Hofstede 研究将低权力距离与"协商式政治实践"联系起来(维基百科),这与德国人抵制封锁的根源相同。

  4. 数据部分支持美国的图景,但有一个转折。 Anthropic 的经济指数(2025 年 9 月)发现:

    • 马萨诸塞州的用户在科研任务中占比偏高。
    • “指令式"自动化从 27% 上升至 39% 的对话,因此自动化(49.1%)现已超过增强(47%)。
    • 77% 的 API(商业)流量呈现自动化模式。

    然而,跨国来看,使用量更高、更富裕的国家更倾向于增强:人均使用量增加 1%,与自动化减少约 3% 相关。编程是每个国家的首要用途(Anthropic,经济指数)。因此,“美国 = 自动化"或许更多描述的是商业 API 用户,而非美国文化。

  5. 将 token 构成数字视为一种假设。 我无法核实 55/24/15 的比例,也无法确认是哪家公司。这些数据仅来自 Claude,因此并未直接说明中国的情况,但它表明,服务提供商的用户群体会如何扭曲使用统计。Anthropic 的数据在各地都偏向编程(Anthropic)。一家拥有短剧客户的中国供应商,其数据也会同样偏向视频。作者对来源的谨慎态度有第二个理由:统计的是谁的 token,决定了结论。

  6. 付费数据收集反映的是制度,而不仅是文化。 免费发放头戴设备录制烹饪,在劳动力廉价、零工经济灵活、隐私规则约束较弱的地方更容易实现。在欧盟《通用数据保护条例》(GDPR)和《人工智能法案》之下,同样的项目需要同意程序和文件记录。我未能找到关于该具体设备发放做法的可靠来源,因此此处仍属轶事性质。

  7. 反方观点:因果关系可能更多通过激励机制而非文化传递。 Hofstede 自己的研究指出:“一个国家越富裕,其文化就越趋向个人主义”(维基百科)。市场规模、变现路径(注意力广告与企业 SaaS 之别)以及监管,或许能解释大部分差异,而"文化"则是一个变化较慢的背景层。那位同事关于历史无法轻易摆脱的观点依然成立,只是它部分地通过制度发挥作用。

待解问题

  1. 出口是否会携带其社会的奖励机制? 中国的短剧应用已在海外推广。如果以注意力为优化目标的 AI 在个人主义、低权力距离的市场中取得成功,那么市场激励就比文化更为重要;如果失败,则文化更为重要。观察这一点,将检验那位同事关于三个社会不可比较的论断。
  2. 欧洲的合规导向能否成为出口优势? 一旦《人工智能法案》自 2027 年 12 月起适用于高风险用途,合规智能体或许就不再是拥挤的本地细分市场,而会成为每家面向欧盟销售的公司都需要的基础设施。奖励流程,届时或将获得回报。